Thursday, 30 January 2025

Lunar New Year, The Year Of The Snake. Fed Snubs Trump.

Baltic Dry Index. 726 -20            Brent Crude 76.53

Spot Gold 2760               US 2 Year Yield 4.21 +0.02  

US Federal Debt. 36.414 trillion!

Other years of the snake were in 1929, 1941, 1953, 1965, 1977, 1989, 2001, 2013 and 2025.

Not exactly an encouraging list, featuring the 1929 stock market crash, Pearl Harbour 1941, the Korean War Truce 1953, 1965 the year the USA massively entered the Vietnam War, 6.5 percent US inflation in 1977, the fall of communism 1989, the dot con crash of 2001 and the US Government funding crisis of 2013.

Anyone got a list of happy events for these years? 2025?

Chinese New Year 2025: What is the Year of the Snake and what does it mean?

Wednesday marks a new Lunar Year for millions across the globe - with 2025 representing the Year of the Wood Snake.

29 January 2025.

An annual celebration is coming up this week which marks a fresh beginning for millions worldwide.

Chinese New Year is celebrated on Wednesday, January 29 – ushering in 2025 as the Year of the Snake.

The holiday has roots stretching back some 3,500 years to ancient China, signifying the end of winter and the arrival of a new year. 

This year’s festivities fall between January 28 and February 4.

In line with tradition, homes will be thoroughly cleaned to banish bad luck and decorated and red lanterns will adorn doorways to invite good fortune. Families gather from far and wide to share meals and exchange gifts, often wearing new clothes in the colour red to symbolise prosperity and happiness.

What does the Snake represent?

The Snake in Chinese astrology is particularly known for its association with intelligence, intuition, and critical thinking, with people born in that year thought to possess a natural elegance and charm.

Other years of the snake were in 1929, 1941, 1953, 1965, 1977, 1989, 2001, 2013 and 2025.

Each year is also linked to one of five elements, with this year to mark the Year of the Wood Snake. This serpent is especially charming and creative but it can also carry a secretive dark side, adding to its complexity.

More

Chinese New Year 2025: What is the Year of the Snake and what does it mean? | STV News

In stock markets news.

Japan and Aussie stocks rise after Wall Street declines overnight; most Asia markets closed for holiday

Published Wed, Jan 29 2025 6:36 PM EST

Japanese and Australian markets climbed Thursday, breaking ranks with Wall Street that fell overnight as the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged. Several Asia-Pacific markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 gained 0.13% while the broader Topix index was flat in choppy trading.

Shares in investment holding company SoftBank Group were down 0.5%, following news that it was in talks to invest up to $25 billion in OpenAI. Japanese tech stocks continued to advance: Advantest rose 5.12% while Tokyo Electron gained 2.03%.

Meanwhile, Toyota Motor reported sales of 10.8 million vehicles in 2024, enabling it to retain the spot of the world’s top-selling automaker for a fifth straight year.

The automaker’s shares were up 0.29%, following the announcement.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 extended gains from the previous session to end the day up 0.55% at 8,493.70, its highest since Dec. 5.

Australia’s export price index climbed 3.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024, but fell 8.6% through the year, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics revealed. Its import price index rose 0.2% in the same quarter, but fell 1.9% through the year. These indexes reflect the changes in prices of exports from and imports into the country.

India’s benchmark Nifty 50 advanced 0.55%, while the BSE Sensex Index gained 0.41%.

Overnight in the U.S., benchmark indexes fell after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in its first policy decision of the year on Wednesday.

The S&P 500 slid 0.47% to close at 6,039.31, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.51% to end at 19,632.32. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 136.83 points, or 0.31%, to 44,713.52.

Artificial intelligence darling Nvidia lost 4.1%, after a strong showing in the previous session.

The chipmaker’s shares hit session lows after reports from Bloomberg News that Trump administration officials had discussed curbing its chip sales to China following the challenge posed by the country’s DeepSeek AI model.

Asia markets live updates: Japan stocks and Aussie rise; most Asia markets closed

European markets head for higher open anticipating ECB rate cut; Shell and Deutsche Bank earnings on deck

Updated Thu, Jan 30 2025 12:34 AM EST

European markets were set to open higher Thursday as investors await key earnings, economic data and the European Central Bank’s latest monetary policy decision.

The U.K.’s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 2 points lower at 8,555, Germany’s DAX up 24 points at 21,649, France’s CAC up 25 points at 7,892 and Italy’s FTSE MIB up 72 points at 36,627, according to data from IG.

The ECB is expected to kick off its first meeting of 2025 with a 25-basis-point interest rate cut Thursday. The move would bring its key overnight deposit facility rate to 2.75%, marking its fifth cut since the bank began easing monetary policy last June.

Market watchers expect further easing this year despite euro zone inflation ticking upwards over the past few months; activity in the single currency area’s manufacturing and services sectors remains broadly subdued and consumer confidence is below its long-term average, European Commission data shows.

Against this backdrop, investors will be closely watching the latest growth data from France, Germany and the euro zone on Thursday, as well as euro zone unemployment, economic sentiment and consumer confidence figures.

On the earnings front, NokiaABBRocheDeutsche BankH&MShellBT GroupSage GroupWizz AirElectroluxBBVACaixabankNordea and Sanofi are all due to report Thursday.

Overnight in the Asia-Pacific region, Australian and Japanese stocks extended gains from the previous session. Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong and China markets are closed for Lunar New Year holidays.

Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures rose Wednesday night as Wall Street digested recent quarterly results from several megacap tech companies, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold steady on rates.

European markets live blog: stocks, news, data and earnings

In other news, news Washington, London and Oslo would rather you didn’t know, Russia’s pot calls Ukraine’s kettle black.

Oh, what a happy war.  In 2025, does anyone seriously think that in war, proxy or not, either side hold back, whether in the Ukraine, Gaza, Lebanon or the West Bank?

Moscow releases report on Kiev’s war crimes

Over 5,000 civilians, including children as young as four months old, were affected by the “Ukrainian aggression” in 2024, according to the document

28 Jan, 2025 16:09

The Russian Foreign Ministry released a report on Tuesday on war crimes committed by the Kiev regime in 2024 against the country’s civilians.

The document, published on the ministry’s website, provides detailed information on Kiev’s attacks against Russian territory, mainly along the combat line and territories controlled by Ukrainian forces.

According to the report, at least 5,399 civilians suffered from “Ukrainian aggression” last year, with 809 killed, including 51 children – the youngest being a four-month-old girl.

The Russian regions of Belgorod, Kursk, Kherson, and Bryansk, as well as Russia’s Donetsk People’s Republic, all of which border Ukraine, have been targets of Kiev’s shelling and drone attacks. On average, at least 15 civilians were reported as victims of Ukrainian military actions daily.

The report said that in total, there were over 87,880 recorded cases of Russian civilian targets being hit last year.
“On average, 240 strikes were carried out daily over the year, using the entire available arsenal of weapons supplied by the West at the expense of taxpayers of these countries,” the document stated.

The Ukrainian military predominantly used 155mm NATO artillery shells equipped with fragmentation, high-explosive, and cluster munitions, according to Rodion Miroshnik, the official tasked by the Russian Foreign Ministry to record alleged Ukrainian atrocities.

Speaking at a press briefing following the release of the ministry’s report, the senior diplomat stated that Ukrainian drones (UAV) were the second most frequently used weapon to target civilians, resulting in significant casualties.

Kiev also repeatedly engaged in “energy and nuclear terrorism,” according to the report, citing repeated attempts to attack the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant and nearby infrastructure in Energodar.

More than 3,500 UAV attacks targeted various energy facilities, such as the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant and others, posing significant risks of radiation contamination. Daily strikes on power substations and energy infrastructure left hundreds of thousands of people without electricity, while residential homes, hospitals, maternity wards, and educational institutions were also targeted.

Kiev also deliberately targeted ambulances, medical facilities, and medical institutions, thus violating international law. According to the report, Ukrainian drones often hovered over impact sites, targeting rescuers and medics to increase the casualties and deny victims access to lifesaving aid.

The report further documented a “large number of attacks” on churches, monasteries, and sacred buildings of the Russian Orthodox Church in frontline zones, resulting in casualties among clergy, parishioners, and novices.

Investigations into the crimes are ongoing, according to the report, with new evidence of mass murders, violence, and looting by Ukrainian forces being uncovered. The number of confirmed murders and other crimes will inevitably increase, Miroshnik stated.

In 2024 alone, the Russian authorities completed 163 criminal investigations involving 185 Ukrainian servicemen and foreign mercenaries accused of crimes against civilians, the report concluded.

Moscow releases report on Kiev’s war crimes — RT World News

Lone Russian hacker exposes covert arms delivery to Ukraine

Norway secretly agreed to provide additional NASAMS anti-aircraft systems to Kiev, leaked documents reportedly show

28 Jan, 2025 16:04

A Russian hacker claims to have obtained highly sensitive documents exposing covert Norwegian arms deliveries to Ukraine, after accessing the servers of defense company Kongsberg. The documents allegedly reveal not only the type of weapons involved but their location and plans for their movement, according to the hacker. 

Known under the alias PalachPro, the hacker told Russian media that he obtained the leaked documents on Tuesday, and detailed how he hacked the defense firm. 

According to the documents, the company reached a secret deal with the Ukrainian government, agreeing to deliver 10 additional Norwegian Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS), worth around $3 billion. The delivery, expected to be made later this year, has not been publicly announced by either side. 

The deal was reportedly reached earlier this year by Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, who is currently embroiled in a major corruption scandal involving arms procurements at grossly inflated prices. Apart from the NASAMS systems, Norway also agreed to invest some $66 million to design anti-drone systems, as well as to modernize the Ukrainian fleet, the leaked documents suggest.

The hacker said he managed to get ahold of the sensitive data thanks to social engineering, breaching the company’s file exchange systems with the help of one of its employees. Apart from the arms contracts documents, PalachPro claimed to have obtained other top-secret files related to the deployment of NASAMS systems in Ukraine.

More

Lone Russian hacker exposes covert arms delivery to Ukraine — RT Russia & Former Soviet Union

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

Fed holds rates steady, takes less confident view on inflation

Published Wed, Jan 29 2025 2:00 PM EST Updated Wed, Jan 29 2025

The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate in check Wednesday, reversing a recent trend of easing policy as it examines what is likely to be a bumpy political and economic landscape ahead.

In a widely anticipated move, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee left unchanged its overnight borrowing rate in a range between 4.25%-4.5%.

The decision followed three straight cuts since September 2024 worth a full percentage point and marked the first Fed meeting since frequent Fed critic Donald Trump assumed the presidency last week and almost immediately made known his intentions that he wants the central bank to cut rates.

The post-meeting statement dropped a few clues about the reasoning behind the decision to hold rates steady. It offered a somewhat more optimistic view on the labor market while losing a key reference from the December statement that inflation “has made progress toward” the Fed’s 2% inflation goal.

“The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid,” the new language read. “Inflation remains somewhat elevated.”

A stronger labor market and stubborn inflation would provide less incentive for the Fed to ease policy. The statement again indicated that the economy “has continued to expand at a solid pace.”

During a news conference, Chair Jerome Powell added that the labor market has not been a significant source of inflationary pressure. He said the central bank would need to see “real progress on inflation or some weakness in the labor market before we consider making adjustments.”

Stocks fell after the decision to leave rates unchanged.

Recent statements from policymakers have shown some apprehension about whether progress in bringing down inflation has stalled. Officials also have said they want to see how the previous cuts are working their way through the economy though most expect rate reductions this year.

More

Fed rate decision January 2025: Fed holds rates steady, takes less confident view on inflation

Covid-19 Corner

This section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

After new CIA finding, China says ‘extremely unlikely’ COVID-19 came from a lab

Nathaniel Weixel  Mon 27 January 2025 at 6:35 pm GMT

China on Monday dismissed the possibility that the virus that caused COVID-19 leaked from a lab, after the CIA said it now favors the so-called lab leak theory over natural transmission.

“It is extremely unlikely the pandemic was caused by a lab leak,” Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning told reporters. “This has been widely recognized by the international community, including the scientific community,” she said.

Mao added that the conclusion was reached by the joint China-WHO expert team from field visits.

Mao did not say where the virus originated, only that any judgment should be made by scientists

The CIA on Saturday said it believes the virus came from a Chinese lab. The new assessment, though it was made with low confidence, dumped new fuel on the debate over the origins of COVID-19.

“CIA assesses with low confidence that a research-related origin of the COVID-19 pandemic is more likely than a natural origin based on the available body of reporting. CIA continues to assess that both research-related and natural origin scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic remain plausible,” an agency spokesperson told The Hill.

“We have low confidence in this judgement and will continue to evaluate any available credible new intelligence reporting or open-source information that could change CIA’s assessment.”

The swift release of the conclusion came just days after new CIA Director John Ratcliffe was sworn in.

It also comes after the Biden administration ordered further review of the origins of COVID-19, contributing to the divide in the U.S. government over whether the virus was introduced naturally or from a lab accident.

Federal agencies, including the Intelligence Community, have not come to a definitive conclusion.

In 2023, a classified report from the Department of Energy reportedly concluded with low confidence the virus originated from a lab.  That same year, the FBI also said a lab leak was more plausible than natural exposure.

---- Intelligence agencies typically share their conclusions with a low, moderate or high degree of confidence. It’s unusual for intelligence agencies to publicize assessments with a low degree of confidence.

More

After new CIA finding, China says ‘extremely unlikely’ COVID-19 came from a lab

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported.

Alibaba releases AI model it says surpasses DeepSeek

By Eduardo Baptista  January 29, 20259:12 AM GMT

BEIJING, Jan 29 (Reuters) - Chinese tech company Alibaba (9988.HK), opens new tab on Wednesday released a new version of its Qwen 2.5 artificial intelligence model that it claimed surpassed the highly-acclaimed DeepSeek-V3.

The unusual timing of the Qwen 2.5-Max's release, on the first day of the Lunar New Year when most Chinese people are off work and with their families, points to the pressure Chinese AI startup DeepSeek's meteoric rise in the past three weeks has placed on not just overseas rivals, but also its domestic competition.

"Qwen 2.5-Max outperforms ... almost across the board GPT-4o, DeepSeek-V3 and Llama-3.1-405B," Alibaba's cloud unit said in an announcement posted on its official WeChat account, referring to OpenAI and Meta's most advanced open-source AI models.

The Jan. 10 release of DeepSeek's AI assistant, powered by the DeepSeek-V3 model, as well as the Jan. 20 release of its R1 model, has shocked Silicon Valley and caused tech shares to plunge, with the Chinese startup's purportedly low development and usage costs prompting investors to question huge spending plans by leading AI firms in the United States.

But DeepSeek's success has also led to a scramble among its domestic competitors to upgrade their own AI models.

Two days after the release of DeepSeek-R1, TikTok owner ByteDance released an update to its flagship AI model, which it claimed outperformed Microsoft-backed OpenAI's o1 in AIME, a benchmark test that measures how well AI models understand and respond to complex instructions.

This echoed DeepSeek's claim that its R1 model rivalled OpenAI's o1 on several performance benchmarks.

DEEPSEEK VERSUS DOMESTIC COMPETITORS

The predecessor of DeepSeek's V3 model, DeepSeek-V2, triggered an AI model price war in China after it was released last May.

The fact that DeepSeek-V2 was open-source and unprecedentedly cheap, only 1 yuan ($0.14) per 1 million tokens - or units of data processed by the AI model - led to Alibaba's cloud unit announcing price cuts of up to 97% on a range of models.

Other Chinese tech companies followed suit, including Baidu (9888.HK), opens new tab, which released China's first equivalent to ChatGPT in March 2023, and the country's most valuable internet company Tencent (0700.HK), opens new tab.

More

Alibaba releases AI model it says surpasses DeepSeek | Reuters

Graphene’s Game-Changing Role in Batteries and Energy Storage Systems

24 June 2025

insights from industryI-Ling TsaiSenior Application SpecialistGraphene Engineering Innovation Centre

In this interview, industry expert I-Ling discusses graphene’s transformative role in energy storage, tackling industry challenges, and advancing sustainable, next-generation battery technologies for applications in automotive, renewable energy, and beyond.

To start, could you share a bit about your role as a Senior Application Specialist at the GEIC and the key areas of research the Energy team focuses on?

As a Senior Application Specialist, I lead projects with industrial partners to address real-world challenges. My work includes managing projects, including the training of technicians in battery research and ensuring that our applications align with market demands. Unlike traditional academic research, which often focuses on small-scale experiments, our team at the Graphene Engineering Innovation Centre (GEIC) bridges the gap between lab discoveries and industrial-scale applications.

Our energy team applies 2D materials like graphene to energy storage devices, scaling up lab discoveries to industrial levels for commercialization. This involves addressing challenges like material quality, scalability, and cost-effectiveness, focusing on technology readiness levels 3 to 6.

For those unfamiliar with graphene, what makes it such an exciting material, particularly in the energy storage and battery sectors?

Graphene, first discovered in Manchester in 2004, is renowned as the pioneering 2D material. It’s a single layer of carbon atoms arranged in a hexagonal lattice, giving it unique characteristics like high electrical conductivity, thermal conductivity, and mechanical strength. These properties improve energy storage devices by enabling faster charging, enhancing safety by reducing risks like thermal runaway, and strengthening components to increase durability. Its versatility makes it a game-changer in energy storage applications.

How does graphene enhance specific battery components like electrodes and membranes?

Graphene’s high electrical conductivity reduces resistance in electrodes, enabling faster charging and better power delivery. Its mechanical strength also prevents cracking during the constant expansion and contraction of electrodes in charging cycles, which is crucial for next-generation batteries like lithium-sulfur or silicon anodes that experience significant volume changes.

For membranes, particularly in solid-state batteries, graphene can be used to strengthen ceramic and polymer materials, creating more robust hybrid electrolytes. It also improves the interface between solid electrodes and electrolytes, which is a major challenge in solid-state systems. This better contact reduces internal resistance, enhancing the battery’s performance and lifespan. Importantly, the effectiveness depends on selecting the right type of graphene, as not all graphene is the same. The GEIC is quite a specialist in this area.

More

Graphene’s Game-Changing Role in Batteries and Energy Storage Systems

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

“It would be so nice if something made sense for a change.”

Fed Chairman Powell, with apologies to Lewis Carroll and Alice. 

 


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