Thursday, 2 April 2026

Easter, Cover For A Ground Attack? Trump’s Deluded World. An Oil Supply Glut???

Baltic Dry Index. 2030 +35      Brent Crude 107.53

Spot Gold  4688                           Spot Silver 71.83

US 2 Year Yield 3.81 +0.02

US Federal Debt. 39.065 trillion

US GDP 31.290 trillion.

“Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast.”

Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland.

What to make of President Trump’s televised speech to the US nation and the world?

My take, President Trump is living in his own deluded world. Out of touch with reality, surrounded by a team of yes men, unable or unwilling to bring President Trump back to the reality of the global economy or the miniscule threat Iran was to America and the rest of the world.

Is Trump planning a ground invasion of Iran on Good Friday?

Tuesday March 31 2026, 9.35pm BST, The Times

President Trump has suggested he could walk away from Iran and leave other nations to police the Strait of Hormuz, threatening that America “won’t be there to help you anymore”.

Traditional allies of the US, told one day that he does not need them, another day taunted as “cowards” and then told they should hurry up and “go to the Strait”, are wondering how best to respond — or whether Trump is playing a different game altogether.

Ever since the start of the conflict, Trump has been sending out a blizzard of conflicting messages: the war is won; it is not a war but an “excursion”; Iran has ten more days to stop fighting and make a deal; shipping companies should “show some guts”; Iran should “open up the Strait of Trump, I mean Hormuz”; and “we don’t need” it anyway.

·         Is Strait of Hormuz hesitation Trump’s Suez moment?

In Washington, the ever-changing threats and demands are being referred to as “weaponised uncertainty”. That is not to “sane-wash” the process, which is hugely destabilising for the Middle East and the entire globe. But there is a growing feeling that Trump’s rhetorical somersaults are simply his way of buying time to prepare for a ground invasion.

----But Trump has also needed to convince markets constantly that a conclusion was just around the corner, especially at times of stress when it looked like a sell-off could be gathering pace.

A pattern has developed of terrible threats followed a day or so later by calming reassurance. Trump has huge belief in his own power to manipulate situations in his favour, even when the odds or logic are stacked against him: this was shown in his attempts to negate President Biden’s election victory in 2020, when he told two senior Department of Justice officials to “just say that the election was corrupt and leave the rest to me”. (They refused.)

·         Trump threatens obliteration of Kharg Island if no deal made

With his rhetorical brinkmanship, Trump has allowed the US military to build up the troops it will need to raid Iran, if not to fight a prolonged land battle. This could enable a series of coastal forays to try to clear the land nearest the Strait of threats to shipping.

The best time to do this is when markets are closed, especially if the military has only short, sharp missions in mind before they reopen. When better than the coming three-day weekend, when Wall Street and Europe will closed for Good Friday?

This raises the prospect of an Easter ground offensive, despite the Pope’s Palm Sunday warning that “God … does not listen to the prayer of those who wage war”.

As usual with Trump, he is keeping everyone guessing, but he may be following a pattern, especially now that a 2,200-strong Marine expeditionary force has arrived and is being joined by thousands of paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne, as well as — it has been reported — by hundreds of Special Forces.

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Is Trump planning a ground invasion of Iran on Good Friday?

Trump slurs his way through Iran war speech with no clear end in sight

2 April 2026

A weary President Donald Trump slurred his way through a disjointed national TV address Wednesday night in which he repeated the same justifications for his war with Iran that he's been posting on social media throughout the month-long conflict.

The primetime speech, which pre-empted scheduled television programming on all broadcast networks at the request of the White House, had been billed as a major address in which Trump would finally lay out the justifications for the military action he started against Iran — one that would finally provide details on how and when the conflict would end to an American populace that has grown weary of it.

Instead, the president spent nearly 20 minutes speaking from a lectern in the White House’s main foyer, in prepared marks that often repeated, word for word, his Truth Social posts, and offered contradictory statements about the war, Iran and the now bogged down Strait of Hormuz, while repeatedly having trouble pronouncing words like “enemies,” “Venezuela” and “battlefield.”

Addressing both the cameras and an audience of cabinet members who’d been summoned to offer support — including Vice President JD Vance, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Secretary of State Marco Rubio — Trump began by claiming the joint U.S.-Israeli campaign, dubbed “Operation Epic Fury,” had “delivered swift, decisive, overwhelming victories on the battlefield, victories like few people have ever seen before” before repeating many of the same claims he has made about damage to Iran’s military capabilities for the last month in appearance after appearance.

He bragged about Iran’s navy being “gone,” their Air Force “in ruins,” and crowed that “most” of the country’s leaders are “now dead” from decapitation strikes in the opening days of the war while claiming that Tehran’s ballistic missile capability has been “dramatically curtailed.”

“Never in the history of warfare has an enemy suffered such clear and devastating, large scale losses in a matter of weeks,” Trump said before claiming that the U.S. was “winning and now winning bigger than ever before” as a result of his decision to attack Iran in the midst of negotiations on Feb. 28.

He then pivoted to bragging about oil production in both the U.S. and Venezuela and claimed the country is now “totally independent of the Middle East.”

“We don't have to be there. We don't need their oil. We don't need anything they have, but we're there to help our allies,” he said.

The president’s rambling address took place just hours after a new CNN poll revealed that Americans have largely soured on the war, with just 34 percent of respondents voicing approval of it. The poll also found a super-majority of 66 percent of Americans disapproving of the war, with 43 percent of those reporting that they strongly disapprove.

Trump proceeded to change subjects once more by launching into another series of grievances as justification for launching the war, including blatantly false claims about Iran’s alleged culpability for the 2000 bombing of the U.S.S. Cole for which al-Qaeda terrorists are preparing to go on trial before military commissions at the U.S. naval base in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.

He later returned to discussing present events by repeating his oft-used lines about America’s purported objectives of “crippling” Iran’s military capabilities and said he was “pleased” to say the “core strategic objectives are nearing completion.”

Without offering any evidence, he claimed that the families of the 13 American service members who’ve been killed since the start of the conflict had each asked him to “finish the job” while suggesting that failing to “complete the mission” would dishonor the fallen soldiers and airmen.

And inexplicably, he boasted that U.S. “has never been better prepared economically” to deal with the skyrocketing gasoline prices his war has caused while blaming the sky-high energy costs solely on Iran “launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers in neighboring countries that have nothing to do with the conflict.”

“We were a dead and crippled country after the last administration, and made it the hottest country anywhere in the world, by far with no inflation, record setting investments coming into the United States — over $18 trillion and the highest stock market ever, with 53 all time record highs in just one year. It all positioned us to get rid of a cancer that has long simmered. It's known as the nuclear Iran, and they didn't know what was coming,” he said.

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Trump slurs his way through Iran war speechwith no clear end in sight

Two Weeks To An Iranian Nuke—The Ultimate False Flag Lie

March 30, 2026 David Stockman

The now endlessly repeated notion that Iran’s stockpile of 60% enriched uranium (HEU) is tantamount to having a nuclear weapon within weeks is downright malefic. Indeed, this gross deception is so thoroughly fallacious and dangerously misleading that it needs be debunked lock, stock and barrel.

So we begin with the War Party’s hoary claim that the roughly 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium possessed by Iran as of May 2025, according to the IAEA, could have been further processed to weapons-grade levels (90 percent or higher) in a matter of a few days or weeks using existing centrifuge cascades.

And, then, poof, they would supposedly have had ten nukes.

Actually, they would not have had any nuclear bombs at all. Not even remotely.

That’s because producing fissile material is only the first—and in many respects the easiest—step on the long road to a reliable, deliverable nuclear weapon. If building the latter is akin to a grueling 20-mile journey across rugged terrain, acquiring 60 percent HEU gets you perhaps to the “mile-one” marker.

Metaphorically speaking, you would have cleared the initial foothills of uranium isotope separation. But the remaining 19 miles are chock-a-bloc with uncharted engineering valleys, sheer technical manufacturing cliffs and a final summit that no nation has ever scaled without extensive trial, error, and empirical proof that the wherewithal for successful weaponization of a nuclear reaction has been obtained.

Indeed, this crucial distinction—between producing fissile material and building a functional weapon—has been at the very center of U.S. National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) for nearly two decades. From the 2007 NIE (national intelligence estimate) on the matter right up to and including the March 2025 testimony of Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard before the US Congress, the intelligence agencies have attested to Iran’s proficiency in uranium enrichment but have also noted its complete lack of activity or capability with respect to bomb weaponization.

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Two Weeks To An Iranian Nuke—The Ultimate False Flag Lie

In sock casinos and commodity market news. [ Or even stock casinos. Ed.]

Asia-Pacific markets reverse gains as investors assess Trump’s speech on Iran war

Published Wed, Apr 1 2026 7:46 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets reversed gains on Thursday as investors assessed U.S. President Donald Trump’s address to the nation on the Iran war.

During his speech, Trump reiterated that the U.S. objectives in Iran were almost met and said that “we have all the cards” in the conflict. He also said that Washington will hit Iran “very hard” over the next two to three weeks.

Early Wednesday stateside, Trump claimed that Iran’s “New Regime President” had asked the U.S. for a ceasefire, a claim that Tehran has denied.

Trump added that the U.S. will “consider” the offer only once the Strait of Hormuz was “open, free, and clear,” he said on Truth Social.

Trump previously said he was willing to end the U.S. military campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal.

South Korea’s Kospi dropped 4.25%, leading Asian losses, and the small-cap Kosdaq was down 4.71%, both the indexes opened more than 1% higher.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 2.3% after Trump’s address, while the Topix fell 1.5%.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 started the day in positive territory, but was also down 1.11%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 1.08% after the speech, while the CSI 300 index on mainland China lost 0.77%.

U.S. stock futures fell, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures down over 1%. Dow futures were down 439 points, or 0.94%.

Overnight in the U.S., the S&P 500 advanced 0.72%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.16%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.48%.

Asia-Pacific markets reverse gains as investors assess Trump's speech on Iran war

Stock futures fall after Trump says Iran war will continue for weeks: Live updates

Updated Thu, Apr 2 2026 10:09 PM EDT

U.S. stock futures fell on Wednesday night after President Donald Trump indicated that the Iran war would continue.

S&P 500 futures declined 0.8%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 1%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 352 points, or about 0.8%.

Trump delivered an address Wednesday night, providing updates on the Middle East conflict. Though he said that the U.S. is “getting very close” to ending the Iran war, Trump added that the nation would “hit” Tehran “extremely hard.”

“Over the next two to three weeks, we’re going to bring them back to the stone ages where they belong,” the president said.

Stock futures slid during the speech, and oil prices surged. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were last up 3.5% at more than $103 a barrel, while Brent crude futures advanced more than 4% to top $105. At one point in the evening, Brent briefly hit $106 a barrel.

All three major indexes advanced in regular trading Wednesday, as investors became more optimistic that the end of the U.S.-Iran war was in sight. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite respectively gained 0.72% and 1.16%. The Dow rose 224.23 points, or 0.48%.

In a Truth Social post on Wednesday morning, Trump said that Iran’s president had asked the U.S. for a ceasefire. However, Trump said that the U.S. would only “consider” the offer once the Straight of Hormuz was “open, free, and clear.”

The announcement came after the president told reporters at the White House on Tuesday afternoon that he expects U.S. military forces will leave Iran in “two or three weeks.”

“We don’t know how long this is going to last, but as market participants we need to understand the damage that has already been done,” Sebastien Page, head of global multi-asset and CIO at T. Rowe Price, said on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime” on Wednesday afternoon. “I don’t think we stabilize quickly back to normal levels of inflation. It’s a slow-moving macroeconomic chain.”

“You have this background of still a robust economy, but you have to worry you’re on the knife’s edge for a growth shock,” Page added.

Thursday marks the last trading day of the shortened week, as markets are closed for Good Friday. On Thursday morning traders will watch out for initial jobless claims for the week ending March 28, while March’s jobs report is set for release on Friday morning.

Stock market today: Live updates

Oil prices surge with Brent rising 5% as Trump vows to hit Iran ‘extremely hard’ within weeks

Published Wed, Apr 1 2026 9:17 PM EDT

Oil jumped in volatile trading as U.S. President Donald Trump warned of further military aggression against Iran in the next two or three weeks, dampening hopes for an imminent de-escalation in the conflict.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for May gained 4.1% to $104.21 a barrel as of 9:45 p.m. ET. International benchmark Brent crude futures for June rose 5% to $106.42 per barrel.

Trump in his speech attributed the increase in oil prices to the “Iranian regime launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers and neighboring countries that have nothing to do with the conflict.”

He said the U.S. will “hit” Iran “extremely hard” over the next two or three weeks during a national address on Wednesday, while adding that the war won’t last long and discussions with Tehran “are ongoing,” leaving a diplomatic resolution on the table.

“We are going to finish the job, and we’re going to finish it very fast,” he said.

George Efstathopoulos, portfolio manager at Fidelity International, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” that markets had braced for a “binary outcome” where the president may either signal his plans for a war exit or further escalation and prolonged uncertainty — “clearly we seem to be on the latter path right now.”

----Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, which used to see a fifth of the world’s oil and gas flows through, has effectively ground to a halt since the U.S.-Israel war against Iran began on Feb. 28, sending energy prices soaring in one of the world’s most devastating energy crises.

Oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was unlikely to resume anytime soon, said Giles Alston, political risk analyst at Oxford Analytica.

“It’s becoming increasingly clear that the U.S. position on what you do to get your oil out of and through the Straits of Hormuz is now something which Washington has largely washed its hands off. This is now something for those who take oil through the Strait to sort out for themselves,” he said on CNBC on Thursday.

Earlier on Wednesday, Trump said in a post on Truth Social that Iran had asked for a ceasefire, briefly raising hopes for more oil tanker movement through the waterway, sending oil prices lower.

Iran’s “New Regime President” has asked the U.S. for a ceasefire, a request that will only be considered if the Strait of Hormuz is “open, free, and clear,” Trump said. “Until then, we are blasting Iran into oblivion or, as they say, back to the Stone Ages!!!”

The Islamic Republic, however, has denied Trump’s claim, saying that the waterway won’t be reopened based on the U.S. leader’s “absurd displays” and that the key transit route remains “decisively and dominantly under the control of the IRGC Navy.”

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Oil prices surge with Brent rising 5% as Trump vows to hit Iran 'extremely hard' within weeks

Oil supply crunch will worsen in April, IEA warns as it weighs releasing more strategic reserves

Published Wed, Apr 1 2026 7:31 AM EDT

The coming month will see an intensification of the oil supply glut [? Ed.] that has driven prices sharply higher since the start of the Iran war, according to the head of the International Energy Agency.

Speaking to the “In Good Company” podcast hosted by Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, Birol said the energy crisis sparked by the U.S.-Iran war was the worst in history.

“The next month, April, will be much worse than March,” he said. He explained that in March there were already some cargo ships carrying oil and gas that transited through the Strait of Hormuz before the war broke out.

“They are still coming to ports, still bringing oil and energy and other [things],” he said. “In April, there is nothing. The loss of oil in April will be twice the loss of oil in March. On top of that you have LNG and others. It will come through to inflation, I think it will cut economic growth in many countries, especially emerging economies. In many countries the rationing of energy may be coming soon.”

U.S. President Donald Trump said Tuesday that American forces would leave Iran “in two or three weeks,” prompting a broad relief rally across financial markets.

But Birol said the war, currently in its fifth week, had already created a deeper glut than those seen in previous crises such as those in the 1970s and following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

“When you look at the [1973 and 1979], in both of them we lost each about 5 million barrels per day of oil. These oil crises led to global recession in many countries,” he told Tangen. “Today, we lost 12 million barrels per day — more than two of these oil crises put together.”

He added that the gas supplies being lost as a result of the conflict and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route, also exceed the amount lost to the market when Russian gas flows were disrupted four years ago.

“The current crisis is more than all these three put together. Plus, in addition to this, there are many vital commodities — petrochemicals, fertilizers, sulfur — they are very important for the global supply chains,” he said. “We are heading towards a major, major disruption, and the biggest in history.”

IEA weighs further reserve release

Birol also said the IEA was mulling another release of its strategic oil reserves, as the conflict in the Middle East drags on.

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Oil supply crunch will worsen in April, IEA warns

In other news, when a win is not a win.

Trump’s panicked White House seeks end to costly war

31 March 2026

Five weeks on, the White House is struggling to find a way out of a conflict that has inflicted much greater economic pain than it bargained for.

In the days before the bombing of Tehran began, Donald Trump was buoyant.

Fresh from what aides cast as extraordinary military success – a daring raid to capture Nicolás Maduro, the Venezuelan leader – the president and his generals were convinced Tehran would buckle in a similar fashion.

The plan was simple: hit hard, hit fast, and Tehran would have no choice but to submit to Washington’s demands.

But the opposite has happened. Bolstered by the success of its missile strikes and intimidation of Gulf neighbours, Iran turned its missiles on the Strait of Hormuz, bringing the global shipping lane to a standstill. Iran’s stockpile of uranium, the fuel needed to build a nuclear weapon, remains in the regime’s hands.

At the same time, oil prices have soared, major airports fear fuel shortages and the cloud of sustained economic harm hangs over a president facing a difficult midterm election and falling approval ratings.

“They [the administration] underestimated it, they were shocked by the response from Iran”, a senior Gulf diplomatic source said.

“The question is: do they care? They don’t seem to care about the global economic impact, they care about the domestic impact. If they can control the oil, they can present it as a win to the American people, like Venezuela,” the source added.

Mr Trump’s options seem limited. Down one path is a fast-escalating conflict that could put US troops on the ground and push the world’s economies towards global recession. The other – an un-Trumplike retreat – could be humiliating.

The Pentagon has drawn up plans for a weeks-long invasion, including potential raids on Kharg Island, Tehran’s main oil export hub, and attacks on coastal sites near the Strait of Hormuz. The 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, including about 2,200 troops, arrived in the Middle East over the weekend in preparation.

Another force – the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit – is expected to arrive soon. And 3,000 paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division have also been ordered to the region. They are trained to carry out helicopter assaults behind enemy lines and seize critical infrastructure.

If operations are launched it will be expensive monetarily and, in all likelihood, in terms of dead American servicemen. The high costs of a military battle for the president, who had campaigned to end foreign wars, have given the White House reason to rein in a conflict that has gotten out of control and could get much worse.

And so, the administration appears to be adjusting its objectives. Mr Trump is said to have told aides privately that he’s willing to end the conflict even if the Strait remains largely closed, likely extending Tehran’s grip on the shipping lane.

Instead, he increasingly wants Britain, and other Nato allies, to be responsible for reopening the strait.

“All of those countries that can’t get jet fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz, like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran, I have a suggestion for you,” Mr Trump wrote on Truth Social on Tuesday.

“Number 1, buy from the US, we have plenty, and Number 2, build up some delayed courage, go to the Strait, and just TAKE IT.”

He added: “You’ll have to start learning how to fight for yourself, the USA won’t be there to help you any more, just like you weren’t there for us. Iran has been, essentially, decimated. The hard part is done. Go get your own oil!”

Amid the anger, a climbdown has been coming.

On Monday, Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, omitted reopening the strait as a key priority to ending the war.

“The full reopening of the strait is something the administration is working towards, but the core objectives of the operation have been clearly defined for the American people by the Commander-in-Chief,” Mrs Leavitt told reporters.

There is just one problem, of course: a peace deal requires Iran to negotiate. Mr Trump insists the US is having “serious discussions” with a “new and more reasonable regime in Tehran” in talks led by Pakistan. Iran, however, insists no direct talks are happening.

The need for peace is not lost on some of the president’s most loyal supporters. “Our ‘allies’ depend on the Strait as their lifeline for energy – yet they neither have the forces nor the will to step in,” Steve Bannon, the president’s former chief strategist, told The Telegraph. “The fact that they are not coming in any meaningful way is just starting to sink in – it’s a terrible betrayal, one not lost on the American people.”

Regardless, America’s own military is showing its limitations. Iran has chosen to leverage its ability to create a costly, long-term war by continuing to disrupt global energy supplies and has threatened more instability in the Middle East.

“For the Iranians, the longer this war goes on the better. They can leave the conflict with more demands,” the Gulf diplomatic source said.

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Trump’s panicked White House seeks end to costly war

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Middle East war could drive UK food inflation to 9% this year, trade body warns

1 April 2026

Food inflation could soar higher than 9% by the end of 2026 as war in the Middle East risks pushing up the cost of living for British households, a trade body has predicted.

The Food and Drink Federation (FDF), which represents 12,000 food and drink manufacturers, hiked its inflation forecast for the year in light of the conflict.

Economists for the trade body are now predicting that food inflation will reach at least 9% by the end of the year, up from the 3.2% that it had forecast in September last year.

The shift has been caused by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and disruption and damage to energy infrastructure in the Middle East.

This has sent Brent crude oil and natural gas prices skyrocketing to their highest level since 2022.

The FDF said the situation is fast-changing, but its revision to the inflation forecast is based on the assumption that the Strait of Hormuz opens to cargo traffic within the next two to three weeks and the majority of key facilities, such as oil, gas and fertiliser sites, return to normal within a year.

Disruption to oil and gas markets is having a direct and immediate impact on production costs for UK food and drink manufacturers, the FDF said.

This is because it is an industry that requires a lot of energy for the manufacturing process.

Many larger businesses are able to hedge costs by fixing energy contracts, but they are preparing for sharp price rises when contracts end, according to the FDF.

Meanwhile, it said smaller producers tend to buy energy “on the spot” and were already experiencing higher prices.

"Despite companies’ best efforts not to pass price increases on, it’s clear that food inflation is going to rise in the months ahead"

— Dr Liliana Danila, FDF's chief economist

Dr Liliana Danila, FDF’s chief economist, said: “The food and drink sector is already feeling the force of this geopolitical shock.

“As one of the UK’s energy intensive industries, manufacturers are facing mounting energy bills, rising transport and packaging costs and disruption across key supply chains.

“These pressures are hitting simultaneously, and are a significant challenge for businesses to absorb.”

She added: “The current situation is unprecedented and hard to predict, however given the scale and speed of these cost increases, and despite companies’ best efforts not to pass price increases on, it’s clear that food inflation is going to rise in the months ahead.”

Sir Keir Starmer is expected to provide an update on the cost of living on Wednesday amid concerns over the amount energy bills could rise as a result of the conflict.

Furthermore, Chancellor Rachel Reeves will meet supermarket bosses and regulators to discuss the impact on consumers.

Middle East war could drive UK food inflation to 9% this year, trade body warns

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

How Advances in Battery Technology Are Shaping Key Global Industrial Trends

April 1, 2026

The battery has evolved in recent years from little more than a supporting innovation for portable electronics and other niche applications to an essential component across transportation, energy, digital infrastructure and several other high-value industries. Having moved to the forefront of how much of the world today generates power, transports goods and people, and manages energy across industries and geographies, the battery-technology transformation has profound implications for industrial trends, the global economy, geopolitics and investment patterns.

Advances in energy-storage technology, chemistry, manufacturing and systems integration are drastically changing the cost, performance and range of applicability of today’s batteries, which, in turn, are reshaping the potential of many industrial sectors. From heavy transportation and data centres to consumer electronics and defence, battery technology has become a critical factor in the major gains in industrial performance that have been widely observed.

Several forces have combined to make this seismic impact possible—the electrification of transport being perhaps the most significant. According to estimates, electric vehicle (EV) sales reached historic levels in 2025, exceeding 20 million new battery-powered vehicles and accounting for the bulk of global lithium-ion battery demand. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, specialising in EV and battery supply-chain research and insights, reported on January 16 that “2.1 million electric vehicles were sold globally in December 2025, bringing the end-of-year figure to 20.7 million EV units sold in the passenger car and light-duty vehicle segment”.

And it’s not just passenger cars that are enjoying the battery revolution. Logistics fleets, delivery vans, buses and even heavy trucks—vehicle categories traditionally dominated by diesel and internal-combustion technologies—are undergoing rapid electrification to such a degree that Chinese battery industry leader CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited) recently predicted that half of new Chinese trucks could be electric by 2028.

From a climate perspective, moreover, the strategic importance of battery technology cannot be overstated. The rapid adoption of intermittent renewable-energy sources, such as wind and solar, and distributed generation has created a critical need for reliable energy storage to balance supply and demand. Today, batteries play a central role in managing variability, stabilising grids and deferring expensive transmission upgrades.

“Batteries are already the beating heart of our technology-led societies and essential to the devices, such as phones and computers, that are embedded in modern life. Now, as clean-energy transitions pick up pace, the role of batteries is expanding significantly, and so too is our reliance on them,” according to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA’s) executive director, Fatih Birol, who also recently stressed that reducing emissions and getting on track to meet international energy and climate targets will “hinge” on whether the world can scale up batteries quickly enough.

“More than half the job that we need to do will rely, at least in some part, on battery deployment,” Birol added. “Our analysis shows that energy storage more broadly will need to increase sixfold by 2030 to help meet the goals set at COP28, a target that will be met almost exclusively by batteries.”

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How Advances in Battery Technology Are Shaping Key Global Industrial Trends

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

“Now, here, you see, it takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place. If you want to get somewhere else, you must run at least twice as fast as that!”

Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland.

Wednesday, 1 April 2026

Stocks, More Rigging. Peace Or An Easter Ground Attack?

Baltic Dry Index. 1995 -22      Brent Crude 105.21

Spot Gold  4750                           Spot Silver 75.40 

US 2 Year Yield 3.79 -0.03

US Federal Debt. 39.061 trillion

US GDP 31.287 trillion.

Tungsten and helium prices have been surging, "but you don't have anyone on the buy side saying, 'oh my goodness, we don't have enough product,'" Ecclestone said. "Defense contractors should have warehouses of tungsten, but they don't."

"The world has got lazy. It thinks life is like a supermarket, the product is a pack of cornflakes or a few tons of sulfuric acid," he said. "The supermarket of commodities has had a few of the aisles chopped down."

Christopher Ecclestone, principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company.

To no one’s great surprise, faced with an unfolding stocks rout on the last trading day of the month and quarter, President Trump goosed markets higher by all but declaring his Iran/Gulf war over. More details tonight in  his televised speech to the nation.

But is his unnecessary war on Iran really over, with or without Iran reopening shipping in the Strait of Hormuz? Is it just cover for a “surprise” ground attack over Easter?

For now in the stock casinos, the relief/dead cat bounce.

South Korea’s Kospi leads rebound in Asia markets as Trump says Iran war could end in weeks

Published Tue, Mar 31 2026 7:50 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets rebounded Wednesday after statements from U.S. President Donald Trump raised hopes that the Iran war could end soon.

On Tuesday stateside, Trump said the U.S. could leave Iran in “two or three weeks,” adding “We leave because there’s no reason for us to do this.”

U.S. crude futures were up 1.34% at $102.72 a barrel as of 10.42 p.m. ET, while Brent futures climbed 1.27% to trade at $105.29 per barrel.

South Korea’s Kospi led gains in the region, surging over 6.5%, while the small-cap Kosdaq gained 5.38%, after data showed South Korean exports in March jumped 48.3% from a year earlier, beating Reuters poll estimates of 44.9%.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 4.04%, led by financial stocks, while the broad-based Topix added 3.79%.

The Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey for the first quarter of 2026, which measures business sentiment, showed optimism among large Japanese manufacturers rising to 17 from 15. That beat expectations of 16 from economists polled by Reuters and reached its highest level since the fourth quarter of 2021.

Large non-manufacturers’ business sentiment stood at 36, unchanged from the previous quarter and above Reuters poll expectations of 33.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index gained 1.71%, powered by basic materials stocks, while mainland China’s CSI 300 rose 1.47%.

According to a private survey China’s manufacturing activity slowed in February. The RatingDog PMI came in at 50.8 in February, missing Reuters-polled analysts’ forecast for 51.6 and slowing from a more than 5-year high of 52.1 in February.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 advanced 1.7%, driven by a rise in educational services stocks.

U.S. futures also ticked higher, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.16% and 0.24%, respectively. Dow futures rose 44 points, or 0.09%.

Overnight in the U.S., all three major indexes posted their best day since May, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 2.49%.

The S&P 500 gained 2.91%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 3.83%.

The moves followed an unconfirmed report that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was open to ending the war with guarantees. 

South Korea's Kospi leads rebound in Asia markets as Trump says Iran war could end in weeks

CNBC Daily Open: Markets rally as Trump signals Iran war could end soon

Published Tue, Mar 31 2026 9:17 PM EDT

Hello, this is Dylan Butts writing to you from Singapore. Welcome to another edition of CNBC’s Daily Open.

The global markets rollercoaster resulting from the U.S. war with Iran continued on Tuesday, with Wall Street rallying sharply on renewed hopes that the conflict could be moving towards a resolution. 

Those hopes were fueled by an announcement from the White House that President Donald Trump will deliver an address “to the nation to provide an important update on Iran” at 9 p.m. ET Wednesday.

But, we’ve been here before: Optimism builds, markets rally, but then reality intrudes. Can this recent positive sentiment last, or are we just building up to more drops and loops? 

What you need to know today

A wave of reports on Tuesday suggested that Washington and Tehran may be exploring paths to end their conflict, including an unconfirmed report that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is open to ending the war if guarantees are provided. 

The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump had told aides he was willing to end military hostilities in the Middle East even if the Strait of Hormuz remained largely shut. The President later told the New York Post he believes the war will likely end soon, and that the strait would reopen ‘automatically’ after a U.S. exit.

Markets rallied sharply on the shifting tone Tuesday. All three major U.S. indexes posted their best day since May, with the Dow jumping more than 1,100 points. The S&P 500 gained 2.91% to end at 6,528.52, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 3.83% to 21,590.63.

After markets closed, Trump said he expected that U.S. military forces would leave Iran in “two or three weeks.” The U.S. has been building up troops in the Middle East for potential ground operations against Iran, though no moves have been made at this time.

Hours later, the White House said that Trump will deliver an address “to the nation to provide an important update on Iran” at 9 p.m. ET Wednesday.

On Tuesday, Trump also lashed out at Western allies including France and the U.K, warning that the U.S. “won’t be there to help you anymore” after they refused to join military action against Iran and help open the Strait of Hormuz. 

Partial closures of the strait have impacted global supply chains, particularly oil, since the start of the war. Brent crude prices remained elevated as Iran struck a Kuwaiti oil tanker in waters near Dubai.

While oil continues to dominate wr-related market headlines this week, we’ve also seen some recent notable swings in tech stocks, particularly artificial intelligence.

OpenAI on Tuesday announced it closed a record-breaking funding round that valued the company at $852 billion post-money, with $122 billion in committed capital, up from the $110 billion figure it announced in February.

Meanwhile, CNBC confirmed that Oracle has begun telling employees it will cut thousands of jobs, as the software maker grapples with a plummeting stock price tied to heavy spending on AI infrastructure.

CNBC Daily Open: Markets rally Trump signals Iran war could end soon

Oracle cutting thousands in latest layoff round as company continues to ramp AI spending

Published Tue, Mar 31 2026 11:34 AM EDT  Updated Tue, Mar 31 2026 4:20 PM EDT

Oracle has started telling employees that it’s cutting thousands of jobs, CNBC has confirmed, as the software maker deals with a plummeting stock price tied to hefty capital commitments for building out AI infrastructure.

While Oracle’s core business is on the receiving end of market panic about competitive risk from generative artificial intelligence models, the company is also facing pressure from investors about the amount of debt it’s raising for AI investments and its dwindling cash flow.

Business Insider reported on the latest cuts earlier on Tuesday. CNBC confirmed the cuts with two people familiar with the matter who asked not to be named because the announcement hasn’t been made public.

Oracle, which employed 162,000 people as of May 2025, declined to comment. The company’s stock price is down 25% this year, dropping more than all of tech’s megacaps.

Oracle continues to sell its flagship database for storing and serving up corporate information. In recent years, alongside cloud rivals such as Amazon, the company has ratcheted up capital expenditures as it builds data center infrastructure that can handle AI workloads. But Oracle is smaller than its cloud peers.

Oracle has been leaning on the debt market to fund its buildout. In January, Oracle announced plans to raise $50 billion in debt and equity. During earnings last month, executives said there were no more plans to raise debt in 2026.

In September, Oracle disclosed that its remaining performance obligations, a measure of contracted revenue that has not yet been recognized, jumped 359% to $455 billion following an agreement with OpenAI worth over $300 billion. Weeks later, Oracle picked executives Mike Sicilia and Clay Magouyrk to replace Safra Catz as CEO.

Cutting 20,000 to 30,000 employees could lead to $8 billion to $10 billion in incremental free cash flow, TD Cowen analysts wrote in a January note.

Executives have said its AI investment will pay off, over time.

“Demand for AI infrastructure, both GPU and CPU, continues to exceed supply,” Magouyrk said on an earnings call earlier this month. “This is directly visible in our $553 billion remaining performance obligations.”

Oracle cutting thousands in latest layoff round as AI spending booms

In other news, the rise and rise of China.

Aluminium, with US ali imports of about 575 million Kg p.a. coming from the blocked up Gulf, and Canada the only realistic replacement source, was it really a good idea, Mr. President, to tariff Canada and insult Prime Minister Carney by calling him “Governor Carney” leader of the 51st  State?

Three niche commodity prices are surging. What they show about China's grip on supply chains

March 31, 2026

BEIJING — The Iran war is squeezing a global commodities market already pressured by China's export controls and stockpiling efforts.

Prices of three niche elements — tungsten, sulfur and helium — have climbed sharply in recent weeks.

While none of the commodities are traded as widely as oil, the surge indicates how ripple effects from the Middle East conflict could end up restricting production of the semiconductors that power artificial intelligence advances.

Tungsten, a metal nearly as hard as a diamond, creates the electrical connection in the core of a semiconductor chip. Sulfuric acid, a byproduct of sulfur, cleans chip wafers. Helium enables smooth production of semiconductors since the gas prevents unwanted chemical reactions in the manufacturing process.

Those are just some of the ways in which the three elements have become critical for modern manufacturing, including for defense.

Beijing started to ramp up its control over the critical supplies even before the Iran war started on Feb. 28, partly as tensions with the U.S. escalated over the last few years.

China started restricting tungsten exports just over a year ago, and in December called for tighter limits on sulfuric acid exports. Helium, a gas that's difficult to store, saw the volume of Chinese imports rise by 15.7% in 2025, after a nearly 65% surge in 2024, according to Wind Information.

The Iran war and the ensuing constraints on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical Middle East shipping route for energy and chemicals, has tipped some oversupply situations into undersupply, while exacerbating existing shortages.

Prices of the three commodities have jumped in some cases by more than oil. The widely used fossil fuel has climbed by more than 50% in March, putting Brent on track for a record month.

"While the Chinese supply chain is being viewed as more resilient than many peers, the risk of disruption in chemicals as raw materials for manufacturers in selected segments is higher than expected based on the feedback," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report late last week, citing nearly 40 commodity-related meetings and site visits in China.

Tungsten

Tungsten hit a record high of over $3,000 late last week, marking a surge of well over 50% for the month and more than tripling in price since late December. That's based on the industry benchmark called "ammonium para tungstate (APT)" in metric ton units, or MTU, from Fastmarket, as quoted by tungsten miner Almonty.

Almonty officially reopened a large tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, earlier this month, and plans to start producing some tungsten this year at a project in the U.S. state of Montana.

The company's CEO Lewis Black told CNBC that defense sector demand for tungsten has been "extremely strong" since the beginning of last year, but that there's been no notable change despite the Iran war.

"There's no material to stockpile. That's probably the biggest change," he said.

Sulfur

The price of sulfuric acid in Africa is now at least 30% higher than it was prior to the war, and is still rising, the Goldman Sachs analysts said, citing a local Chinese miner in Africa.

More

Helium

Helium prices have roughly doubled since the Iran war began, according to Fitch Ratings.

As most trading occurs through long-term private contracts between industrial gas suppliers and manufacturers, it is difficult to pinpoint industry-wide prices, said Shelley Jang, Fitch's director of Asia-Pacific corporate ratings.

Iranian missile attacks this month crippled a key industrial center in Qatar, which produces about one-third of the world's helium.

That implies helium supply won't be restored anytime soon, pointed out Christopher Ecclestone, principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company.

more

Three niche commodity prices are surging. What they show about China's grip on supply chains

Iran’s attacks on aluminum producers are sending ‘shockwaves’ through the metals market

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 10:36 AM EDT

Aluminum closed in on prices not seen since 2022 following Iranian attacks on two Middle Eastern producers over the weekend, heightening fears of a supply crisis for the industry. 

Futures prices on the London Metal Exchange initially jumped 5.5% on Monday to briefly touch $3,492 per tonne, a price last seen in April 2022.

It pulled back slightly by Monday afternoon to land 3.5% higher at $3,381 per tonne. Aluminum has risen around 10% since the conflict began on Feb. 28, though it fell briefly last week alongside most other asset classes amid fears of a global recession.

Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) and Aluminium Bahrain, two of the Gulf’s largest producers, came under fire from Iranian drones and missiles on Saturday.

EGA said in a statement that its Al Taweelah smelter sustained “significant” damage in the strikes, injuring several people.

“The safety and security of our people is our top priority at all times,” CEO Abdulnasser Bin Kalban said. “We are deeply saddened and are assessing the damage to our facilities.”

‘Shockwaves’ through the global market

Saturday’s attacks only served to darken the outlook for commodity firms in the region, which have faced severe supply disruption over the past month. 

Around 9% of global ​aluminum supply comes from the Gulf, and most firms there have been unable to export the metal beyond the region since Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz. EGA’s damaged smelter produced 1.6 million tons of cast metal in 2025, according to its statement.

“The attacks have sent shockwaves through the global aluminum market, raising the risk of a supply crisis that could reshape the industry,” April Kaye Soriano, aluminum research analyst at S&P Global Energy, told CNBC over email.

She added that, if the damage proves lasting, the market could move away from any temporary softness and begin to reflect expectations of tighter supply and higher prices.

Joyce Li, commodities strategist at Macquarie Group, told CNBC over email that their base case before the attacks assumed a cut to the current running capacity of approximately 20%, which amounts to roughly 800 to 900 kilotons of production loss in 2026.

Li said Macquarie saw this disruption as sufficient to push the global market into a full-year deficit, adding added that they were closely monitoring the “fluid” situation for any changes.

More

Alumninum prices rise after Iran attacks Gulf smelters

China’s factory activity returns to growth, expanding at its sharpest pace in a year

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 9:37 PM EDT

China’s official gauge for manufacturing activity climbed more than expected in March to mark its best performance in a year and snapping two months of declines, as export orders showed strong momentum.

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for March rose to 50.4, according to the National Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday, beating economists’ expectations for 50.1 in a Reuters poll. A reading below 50 indicates contraction, while levels above that threshold signal expansion.

That expansion marked a notable rebound after two months of contraction, with the official figure standing at 49.3 and 49.0 in January and February, respectively. In March last year, the reading was 50.5.

Within China’s latest manufacturing PMI, sub-indexes showed that production and new orders expanded while the measures on raw materials inventory, employment, and delivery time remained in contraction.

Manufacturing activity in March gathered momentum as factories rushed to resume production after an extended national holiday in mid-February, said Huo Lihui, chief statistician at NBS.

The non-manufacturing PMI, which measures activity in the services sector such as tourism, rose to 50.1 from 49.5 in February.

Mideast war clouds outlook

Higher shipping fees and costs for imported commodities, including crude oil and chemicals — triggered by the ongoing Middle East conflict — have weighed more on NBS-surveyed companies, Huo said. Price indexes tracking raw material inputs and factory-gate prices rose 63.9% and 55.4%, respectively.

Many factory owners in China expected the disruption to be short-lived as U.S. President Donald Trump has planned a visit to China in May to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, said Cameron Johnson, Shanghai-based senior partner at consulting firm Tidalwave Solution, leaving a period of roughly six weeks of elevated prices and supply challenges.

Inquiries for Chinese-made solar panels and batteries from overseas buyers have picked up in recent weeks, particularly from Europe, India, and East Africa, Johnson said, as China appears somewhat insulated from the supply shock due to its massive stockpiles.

″[But] if we’re talking about the same [disruption] into May, that’s going to be a really big problem,” Johnson noted.

In the first two months of this year, China’s exports surged 21.8% from a year earlier, sharply beating expectations, as robust demand from Southeast Asia and Europe more than offset the slump in U.S.-bound shipments.

A separate private-survey PMI conducted by RatingDog and S&P Global is set to be released on Wednesday and is expected to drop to 51.6 in March from a 5-year high of 52.1 in February, according to a Reuters poll.

China's factory activity returns to growth, expanding at its sharpest pace in a year

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Economics is extremely useful as a form of employment for economists.

JK Galbraith.

A Walmart-related recession indicator that's preceded the last 4 economic downturns is flashing red

Mar 30, 2026, 3:08 PM BST

An indicator linked to Walmart, one of the US's most iconic economic stalwarts, is flashing a possible recession warning, according to a Wall Street veteran.

Jim Paulsen — a longtime economist and the former chief investment strategist of the Leuthold Group — maintains the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS), which measures Walmart's stock price against a basket of luxury stocks. The general idea is that the higher the gauge goes, the more risk there is of a sharp economic downturn.

As the chart below shows, the WRS is the highest since the Global Financial Crisis nearly two decades ago:

The logic behind the recession signal is that, as the economy slows, more shoppers shift away from luxury businesses to budget retailers like Walmart. That means a rise in the Walmart Recession Signal could hint that a downturn or a "significant economic slowdown" is on the way, Paulsen said of the indicator.

Walmart, which has long served as a marker for US consumer health, has crushed it in the past year, with its stock up 40% over the last 12 months. It's gotten a boost from consumers looking to save money as inflation worries have mounted.

Paulsen noted that the Walmart Recession Signal has seen a sharp increase leading up to the past four US downturns. So far this year, it's climbed about 28 basis points, likely due to economic anxiety surrounding the Iran war, he said.

More

Recession Warning: Walmart's Stock Suggests More Economic Pain Is Coming - Business Insider

Why high oil prices could plunge world into recession by the summer

30 March 2026

The world economy is heading for a “rare” recession in the middle of this year as a prolonged war seems likely amid the prospect of US troops heading to the Middle East. 

Economists have warned that activity will fall in the middle of the year if oil prices surge to $150 per barrel and remain there for a period of four months. 

Oil prices continued to climb higher on Monday morning as the Brent Crude benchmark raced past the $116 per barrel mark amid mixed messages between the US, Israel and Iran on the state of the war

It is the highest level the price of oil has reached since war in the Middle East erupted at the end of last month.

Officials in Israel and the US have raised the prospect of a ground war could being launched within days. President Donald Trump said he was considering an invasion of Kharg Island, which accounts for the vast majority of Iran’s crude oil exports. 

Reports across US outlets have detailed plans for a military operation that could take several months. 

The involvement of Houthi militants near Yemen, which is another proscribed Iran-backed group, is also adding to trade tensions given shipping flows across the Red Sea are under greater threat. 

City analysts have noted that Trump’s words about the war were being taken with a pinch of salt as mounting fears of fuel shortages could lead to to crude pieces hitting $150 per barrel within weeks. 

World economy set for surge in inflation

Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research Ben May has predicted there would be a contraction in the US economy this year before a recovery in 2027. 

May also warned that European and Asian economies would suffer a bigger hit to GDP. 

The world economy could face a hit of around two percentage points compared to previous growth forecasts, making countries just two per cent richer altogether this year. 

Global inflation would also rise to 7.7 per cent this year, near the peak seen in 2022. 

World economies could also suffer from “critically low levels” of oil supplies while diesel shortages could lead to food prices spiking and transport connections coming to a halt. 

Shortages in aluminium, sulphur, naphtha and helium would also damage key semiconductor, manufacturing and fertiliser industries. 

“The speed and scale of this energy shock push us into uncharted territory, and it’s possible that diesel, jet fuel, and shipping fuel shortages could inflict greater damage to activity this year,” May wrote. 

“Although activity would likely rebound more quickly too, the additional disruption could also trigger greater supply chain pressures, and thus higher and stickier core inflation.”

The UK economy is expected to be more heavily affected than other countries due to its reliance on imports for key goods and recent woes in dealing with price growth and productivity. 

Economists at the OECD, the Paris-based think tank, said the UK economy would suffer the second lowest growth this year in the G7 while also having the second highest level of inflation. 

Sir Keir Starmer is holding a meeting with key banking, energy and military officials on Monday to discuss the possible impact of shortages for businesses and households across the country. 

Why high oil prices could plunge world into recession by the summer

Pessimism sets in for Europe as Iran war hits economic and consumer confidence

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 8:03 AM EDT

Economic and consumer confidence plummeted in Europe in March, according to official data released on Monday, in the latest evidence of how the Iran war is upending growth and inflation expectations.

Preliminary data from the European Commission shows economic sentiment declined in both the EU (down 1.5 points from the previous month to 96.7) and the euro area (down 1.6 points to 96.6) in March.

The figures, measuring economic sentiment across five key sectors of the European economy, also reveal employment expectations are under pressure across the EU and euro zone. Employers in the retail trade, services and industry sectors are all adjusting their employment plans against a backdrop of ongoing war in the Middle East.

The slump adds to a deterioration seen in February, but the Commission warned the latest data prints showed a “marked deterioration of economic sentiment in March”, which had driven both economic sentiment and employment expectations “away from their long-term average of 100.”

Consumer confidence also fell sharply to its lowest level since Oct. 2023, “driven by a dramatic decline in consumers’ expectations for the overall economic situation in their country.”

“Consumers also became markedly more pessimistic about their household’s future financial situation and less prone to make major purchases over the next 12 months,” the Commission added.

It follows separate data showing euro zone private sector output fell to a 10-month low and toward contraction territory in March, raising fears of looming “stagflation”.

In revised forecasts released on March 19, the European Central Bank now expects economic growth of 0.9% in 2026, and headline inflation to average 2.6% this year.

ECB President Christine Lagarde said last week that the central bank was watching data closely and would respond with interest rate hikes if necessary.

Rising risk profile

European leaders have refused to get involved in the U.S. and Israel’s bombardment of Iran, seeing the war as one of choice, rather than necessity.

Nonetheless, Iran’s retaliatory strikes and almost total closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed up global energy prices, with Germany’s defense minister warning last week that the conflict represented a “catastrophe” for the world’s economies.

More

European economic and consumer sentiment drops in March

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Wind power hits new record as gas squeezed to tiny share of generation

Solar and wind also combined to squeeze more expensive gas to just 2.3% of the power mix

Mar 26th, 2026 at 14:16 Last updated Mar 26th, 2026 at 16:39

Wind energy across Great Britain hit a new record on Wednesday, producing enough electricity for more than 23 million homes across the country.

Solar and wind also combined to squeeze more expensive gas-fired generation to just 2.3% of the power mix, figures from the National Energy System Operator (Neso) show.

The record comes as the Government announced a £64 million grant to back the development of Port Talbot, in Wales, as the first port in the Celtic Sea to support floating offshore wind which can harness even more renewable power.

The Neso figures show that between 1.30pm and 2pm on Wednesday, wind generation hit 23,880 megawatts (MW) of electricity, beating the previous record of 23,825MW set on December 5 2025.

Slightly earlier at midday wind and solar power combined to produce 34 gigawatts (GW) of power, squeezing gas generation to just over a gigawatt, or 1,358MW – the lowest since April 2024.

At the time of the record, more than half of Britain’s electricity (53.5) was coming from wind power, a fifth came from solar, 10% from nuclear, 9.6% from trading over interconnectors with other European countries, 2.4% from biomass, 2.3% from gas, 1.5% from other sources and 0.4% from hydro, Neso said.

Kayte O’Neill, chief operating officer at Neso said: “This is a world-leading record, showing that our national electricity system can run safely and securely on large quantities of renewables generated right here in Britain.

“We’ve come on leaps and bounds in wind generation in recent years.

“It really shows what is possible, and I look forward to seeing if we can hit another clean energy milestone in the months ahead: running Britain’s electricity grid entirely zero carbon.”

The record comes as the UK faces rising energy costs as a result of the Middle East crisis which has pushed up global oil and gas prices.

There have been calls to increase drilling in the North Sea in light of the crisis following the US-Israeli war on Iran, to boost energy security, although experts have warned that will not significantly bring down prices or secure supplies.

Meanwhile the Government has doubled down on its push towards clean energy, with new housing rules mandating heat pumps and solar panels, access to plug-in solar panels for homeowners and bringing forward renewable energy auctions for major wind farms and other projects.

In its latest move, it has provided £64 million funding for Associated British Ports to complete the design and engineering work needed to build one of the first floating offshore wind ports in the UK at Port Talbot.

The port will support the development of 4.5GW of floating offshore wind projects – which are suited to the Celtic Sea as they are based in deeper waters where they can harness stronger and more consistent wind speeds – enough to power 6.5 million homes.

More

Wind power hits new record as gas squeezed to tiny share of generation | STV News

Record wind output helps shield the UK from worst of Iran war fallout

March 31, 20267:10 AM GMT+1

LITTLETON, Colorado, March 31 (Reuters) - Record output from wind farms has helped boost total clean power supplies in the United Kingdom to new highs so far in 2026, and allowed power firms to pare use of fossil fuels to multi-year lows.

The growth in wind output has helped shield the UK power system from the worst effects of the U.S. ​and Israel war against Iran, which has disrupted supplies of fossil fuels from the Middle East and sent oil and natural gas costs soaring.

Power supplies from UK wind farms during ‌the opening three months of 2026 increased by 31% from the same months in 2025, data from LSEG shows, helping to lift overall clean power output by 16% from a year ago and total power output by 4%.

More, subscription required

Record wind output helps shield the UK from worst of Iran war fallout | Reuters

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

What is worth doing is worth the trouble of asking somebody to do it.

Ambrose Bierce.