Saturday, 30 May 2026

Special Update 30/05/2026 Boom And Coming Summer Bust? SpaceX.

Baltic Dry Index. 3224 -02      Brent Crude 91.12

Spot Gold 4570                          Spot Silver 75.88

U S 2 Year Yield 3.98 -0.01

US Federal Debt. 39.186 trillion

US GDP 32.166 trillion

 “Booms start with some tie-in to reality, some reason which justifies the increase in asset values, and then — and this is the critical feature of speculative mood — the market loses touch with reality.”

John Kenneth Galbraith

9:30 AM update. That Blue Origin Rocket Explosion. Approx. 8 minutes.

 A Closer Look At The Damage To New Glenn's Launch Pad

A Closer Look At The Damage To New Glenn's Launch Pad

Welcome to our “blue moon” Sunday, the second rare full moon of the month. More madness in the stock casinos and Washington next week, I suppose. After that, the lunacy of the SpaceX IPO mid-month. Sell in May, go away. With many stocks at or near all-time iffy highs at yesterday’s month-end, it looks very attractive this year.

Up first, Canada leads the way, but with Trump’s Persian Gulf folly, the rest of the G-7 will follow by mid 2027.

Canada Dips Into a Surprise Recession

May 29, 2026 at 11:20 PM GMT+1

Canada edged into a technical recession as weak business and government spending drove a slight contraction in the first quarter, pointing to persistent slack in the economy amid the US trade war.

Real gross domestic product fell by 0.1% on an annualized basis during the first three months of the year. That follows a 1% contraction in the fourth quarter, a downward revision from a previously reported 0.6% decrease.

The weaker-than-expected GDP data coincides with a weaker job market as well, painting a sobering picture of the Canadian economy as US President Donald Trump’s tariffs squeeze Canadian businesses. Business capital investment in the first quarter posted a fifth consecutive decline, shrinking 3% on an annualized basis, driven by lower spending on engineering structures.

The “surprising” first quarter data means Canada has seen growth only in one of the last four quarters, noted Charles St-Arnaud, chief economist at Servus Credit Union. The last time Canada recorded two consecutive quarters of negative growth was in 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic. Before that, it was in 2015 amid low oil prices.

David E. Rovella

Canada Dips Into a Surprise Recession: Evening Briefing Americas - Bloomberg

In the stock casinos, more bubble and disconnect. As per last weekend, the stock casinos are all in that the war on Iran is over, but who won?

South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Topix hit record highs as investors shrug off Iran tensions

Published Thu, May 28 2026 7:45 PM EDT Updated Fri, May 29 2026 10:07 AM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets rose on Friday, with South Korea’s Kospi hitting a fresh intraday record and Japan’s Topix reaching a new all-time high, as investors looked past renewed military activity involving Iran and focused on gains in technology shares and record closes on Wall Street.

South Korea’s Kospi jumped more than 3% to close at 8,476.15, hitting a new intra-day high before paring gains slightly. The small-cap Kosdaq was down 2.68% to 1,074.8.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 2.53%, ending the trading day at 66,329.5 while the Topix rose 1.41% to a new record high of 3,957.17.

Shares of Samsung Electronics surged over 5% after the company said it had begun shipping samples of its latest high-bandwidth memory chip to its customers globally.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.62% to close at 8,731.7. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index added 0.55% in the final hour of trade, while the CSI 300 lost 0.45% to 4,892.12. India’s Nifty 50 dipped 0.5%.

Iran’s armed forces reportedly fired missiles at unspecified targets late Thursday, according to state media outlet Fars.

The latest military activity in southern Iran came just hours after the Pentagon said Tehran had fired a ballistic missile toward Kuwait and deployed attack drones in and around the Strait of Hormuz.

Earlier on Thursday, a White House official confirmed an Axios report saying the U.S. and Iran had “mostly agreed” on the terms of a deal aimed at temporarily halting the three-month conflict.

U.S. futures traded near flat after all three major averages finished at new closing records on Thursday, boosted by a rally in the technology sector.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were trading near the flatline. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 7 points, or less than 0.1%.

The S&P 500 gained 0.58% to 7,563.63, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.91% to 26,917.47. Both indexes also hit intraday all-time highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 0.05% at 50,668.97.

Tech stocks rallied Thursday, after a strong earnings outlook from Snowflake revived enthusiasm around the AI trade. Shares soared 36.5%, posting their best day ever after the cloud-based data platform provider issued rosy fiscal second-quarter guidance, as well as a beat on the top and bottom lines in its latest quarter. The company also inked a plan to spend $6 billion on Amazon Web Services over five years.

Asia markets: Nikkei 225, Hang Seng Index, Kospi, Nifty 50, CSI 300

Stocks close at record highs with tech leading the way again. Nasdaq gains 8% in May

Updated Fri, May 29 2026 4:49 PM EDT

U.S. equities closed at record highs on Friday, while crude prices slipped, helping the major averages score a winning month, boosted by technology.

The Nasdaq Composite settled up 0.2% at 26,972.62, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.22% to 7,580.06. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 363.49 points, or 0.72%, at 51,032.46. All three indexes hit fresh all-time intraday highs earlier as well.

Dell Technologies was a winner. Shares surged nearly 33%, seeing its best day on record, after the laptop maker reported a first-quarter beat on both the top and bottom lines and raised its full-year guidance.

Shares of Micron Technology and Qualcomm rose 5% and 3%, respectively, adding to their recent gains. While the two have suffered notable drops this month, they both posted sizable gains in the period. Micron jumped almost 88% in May, while Qualcomm rose close to 40%.

The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), which hit a new 52-week high Friday, moved up nearly 20% on the month.

“Dell is like the poster child for [the] AI broadening earning story,” said David Nicholas, CEO and founder of XFUNDs by Nicholas Wealth. “We started with chips, memory, but it’s really now about the broad kind of AI infrastructure stack.”

Friday marks the final trading session of May, and all three major averages notched gains. The Nasdaq outperformed, recording an advance of more than 8% for the month. The S&P 500 finished up 5%, while the Dow posted an almost 3% climb.

All three major indexes also ended the week higher, with the Nasdaq in the lead with a gain of more than 2%. The S&P 500 rose more than 1% on the week, while the blue-chip Dow notched a gain of slightly less than 1%.

Stocks are coming off a record-setting session after the U.S. and Iran agreed to Iranian negotiators agreed on a 60-day memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire.

The president said in a Truth Social post Friday morning that he is meeting in the Situation Room “to make a final determination” and insisted that Iran “must agree that they will never have a Nuclear Weapon.” He also said that the Strait of Hormuz must be “immediately open.”

After the announcement, West Texas Intermediate futures closed down 1.73% to $87.36 per barrel. Brent crude dropped 1.77% to close at $92.05. The U.S. benchmark saw its biggest monthly decline since April 2025 as prices dropped nearly 17%.

“There’s always that black swan risk that something pops off, but my gut tells me that this thing should be coming to an end very quickly,” Nicholas said. “The market has priced a lot of that in, but I just think it unlocks the market to continue moving higher.

Stock market news for May 29, 2026

Brent oil price posts biggest monthly loss in six years as market counts on a U.S.-Iran deal

Published Fri, May 29 2026 11:21 AM EDT Updated Fri, May 29 2026 4:13 PM EDT

Bent oil posted its biggest monthly loss in six years as traders hoped that the U.S. and Iran are nearing a deal that will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. [Or even Brent oil. Ed.]

The international oil benchmark fell more than 19% in May, its worst month since March 2020 when the Covid-19 pandemic closed economies. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude prices shed nearly 17% in May, its worst performance since April 2025.

Prices fell Friday after President Trump said he would meet in the White House Situation Room to make a final determination about an agreement with Iran. West Texas Intermediate lost 1.73% to close at $87.36 per barrel while Brent fell 1.77% to settle at $92.05 per barrel.

But Trump laid out a series of demands that Iran has rejected in the past.

Tehran must agree it will never have a nuclear weapon, the U.S. president said, and must immediately open the Strait of Hormuz to unrestricted traffic in both directions without tolls. The Islamic Republic must also agree to remove any remaining mines in the strait, he said.

And Iran must agree to allow the U.S. to unearth and destroy its enriched uranium buried under rubble from U.S. and Israeli attacks last year, Trump said.

U.S. officials told CNBC Thursday that negotiators hammered out a 60-day memorandum of understanding, or MOU, to extend the ceasefire and start talks on Iran’s nuclear program. Trump still has to sign off on the MOU, the officials said. Axios first reported the news of an MOU.

Brent oil price in May posts biggest monthly loss since 2020

Next, more on that dodgy SpaceX IPO.

We asked four market pros whether they'd buy SpaceX stock at its IPO

May 29, 2026, 11:00 AM BST

When SpaceX goes public in mid-June, retail investors are expected to pile into the stock they've waited years to buy. Elon Musk is expected to allocate 30% of the IPO to retail traders, well above usual levels, according to a Reuters report.

But just because you'll soon be able to get into the stock, should you? Bulls say SpaceX has a massive total addressable market and a visionary founder with a track record of success. Bears argue the company is far too overvalued and still unprofitable.

So, would you buy shares of SpaceX on day one? We asked four market pros whether they would.

Altug Dincturk, chief investment officer at Madison Partners

Would you buy: No

Dincturk said his firm will wait for the dust to settle after the IPO to decide whether to buy.

While he likes the company, he said IPOs are historically a risky time to get into a stock. Though University of Florida data from 1980-2024 shows an average gain of 19% on the first day of trading after an IPO, Nasdaq data from 2010-2020 shows that 64% of stocks underperform the market by at least 10% over the three years following their IPO. Around half post negative absolute returns in their first 12 months.

More

Rob Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates

Would you buy: Yes

Arnott said he'd buy at the IPO if he were a retail trader.

While he thinks the company's valuation is outlandish, steady buying from index funds tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 should propel the stock upward as it's gradually folded into them, he said.

"I don't buy stocks at 100-times sales," Arnott said. "This would qualify as a non-fundamental purchase decision."

More

Anna Rathbun, founder of Grenadilla Advisory

Would you buy: No

Rathburn said she'd pass on the IPO, citing concerns around its $2 trillion expected valuation and its profitability levels.

She said the company doesn't yet have enough stable business lines within it to justify buying.

"The only stable 'business' is Starlink, with consecutive annual growth of subscribers and a real/proven use across the globe," she said. "I would have to see the viability of the other businesses (and therefore, cash flow growth, not dramatic losses) before feeling confident."

Jon Zetlmaier, founder of Zetlmaier Wealth Management

Would you buy: No

Zetlmaier is encouraged by SpaceX's fast-growing revenues and Musk's history of success at the helm of major firms, but these factors aren't enough to persuade him to buy yet.

More

4 Market Pros Told Us Whether They'd Buy the SpaceX IPO - Business Insider

In other news, nothing good, but you already knew that.

UK haulage company's crash into administration confirmed - in business since 1972

29 May 2026

A UK haulage company has plunged into administration in the latest blow to the UK's freight industry. Sunhill Transport Limited, a freight company based in Shropshire, appointed administrators on 21 May.

However, a statement was issued in the London Gazette in the early hours of 29 May, a week after the business was first linked with difficulty. It is not known how many job cuts are expected at this stage. Last Wednesday, it was expected that the company was poised to enter administration, with the firm lodging a notice of intention to appoint an administrator. The family brand was established back in 1972 with the company enjoying 54 years on the roads.

The company is believed to have a fleet of around 20 trucks and 70 trailers and specialises in delivering steel, building materials and horticulture products.

One wrote: "Hauled coils to Sherburn for years, Good set of lads, what a shame."

Another individual said: "Terrible news, another haulage company gone to the wall."

A shocked social media user reacted: "Very sad news, well run family company, it's not getting [any] easier."

One post read: "Sad to see another long established haulier pushed past their limit of being able to trade. A few of their drivers been there 25years, says a lot about the gaffers. Always a tidy fleet."

Facebook group 'Loris Y Gogs' / Trucks Around North Wales ' were also stunned by the news, rallying around to try and secure staff new position.

The post read: "It's not a good thing to hear it shows how hard the Haulage industry is with the rising costs. This is a post to help [their] drivers. The great drivers that are on top of [their] game. I am reaching out to other companies if there is any work available to keep the drivers in work for [their] families."

UK haulage company's crash into administration confirmed - in business since 1972

The CEOs are losing confidence

28 May 2026

The CEOs of the world's biggest companies lost confidence in the economy this month as the Iran war dragged on, a new survey finds.

Why it matters: Business leaders who lack confidence tend to pull back on hiring and investment, weighing further on the economy.

Zoom in: CEO confidence fell 12 points in the second quarter of the year to 47, per the survey from The Conference Board, a nonpartisan think tank, and The Business Council, an association of CEOs.

  • Any number below 50 signals negative sentiment.
  • 141 Fortune Global 500 chief executives participated in the survey, conducted from May 4 to May 18, the war's third month.

Zoom out: When President Trump first took office last year, CEO confidence shot up to its highest levels in years on hopes that he would take a light touch with regulation and pass a big, juicy tax cut.

  • But those expectations soon took a hit in the wake of "Liberation Day." After the administration backed off its harshest tariff policies, optimism began to recover, but the war appears to have dissolved that upward momentum.

By the numbers: 47% of CEOs said economic conditions were worse, up from 8% at the start of the year.

  • Only 15% of CEOs said economic conditions were better now than six months ago, down from 39% in the first three months of the year.

The big picture: CEOs — they're just like us!

  • Americans' optimism about the economy is also broadly in the dumps, as numerous surveys have found recently.

Yes, but: That hasn't troubled stock investors. And CEOs haven't yet changed their plans around capital investment — an increasing share said they planned to increase that spending in the year ahead.

CEOs are losing confidence, new survey finds

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

What do they know that we don’t, (yet?)

The wealthiest investors are pulling money out of the U.S. in the ‘de-dollarization’ trade

Published Thu, May 28 2026 3:01 PM EDT

Family offices are planning the biggest changes to their portfolios in years, with many moving money out of the U.S., according to a new survey.

Fully 60% of family offices plan to make strategic changes to their investment allocation in the next year – about twice the level of the past five years, according to the UBS Global Family Office Report. Among those making changes, many are trimming their U.S. holdings and adding to emerging markets.

Globally, North America is the only region where family offices plan to reduce their allocation in the next 12 months. They plan to add in Latin America and Africa, they said.

“Last year, all of the family offices were super concerned about global trade tariffs tensions,” said John Mathews, UBS head of private wealth management for the Americas. “Today it’s really shifted to geopolitical tensions around the world, global debt, and now interest rates. And not just the short-term implications, but the longer-term implications of these as well.”

The pullback reflects a broader shift away from the U.S. by family offices, the private investment arms of the wealthiest families. America’s highly concentrated stock market and fears of an AI bubble, tariffs, a falling dollar, volatile economic policies and rising debt and bond yields have caused many family offices to dial back their U.S. exposure and spread more of their money around the world.

Advisors caution that it’s not a wholesale “sell America” trade. Rather, international family offices want to be more diversified geographically as global crises grow.

The wars in Ukraine and Iran, changing tariffs, immigration and debt battles have all made the world a more complicated investing landscape. With no real safe haven, the best strategy is to balance risks across the world.

The new catchphrase in family office investing is “jurisdictional diversification,” spreading money in multiple countries to hedge risk. Two thirds of family offices now have their bankable assets in at least three jurisdictions, according to the UBS survey. Nearly a third have them in at least four jurisdictions, including Latin America, the U.S., China, Europe, the Middle East and Asia.

A chief goal among family offices is to reduce their U.S. dollar exposure, or what some are calling “de-dollarization.” More than a quarter of family offices plan to lower their holdings of U.S. dollar-denominated assets, according to the UBS survey. Two thirds of family offices said they expect confidence in the U.S. dollar’s reserve role to fall, and nearly half said they are overexposed to the dollar.

The Swiss franc and the euro are the preferred currencies for diversification, according to the survey.

More

Wealthiest investors pull money out of U.S. in 'de-dollarization' trade

More Americans are going hungry now than at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic: study

Owen Scott Fri, 29 May 2026 at 12:22 pm BST

More Americans are going hungry now than at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic six years ago, according to a study. ​

The study recorded a “remarkable increase in food security” and found that 10 percent of families were missing meals for lack of food. In 2020, just 4 percent of households were missing meals.

The development comes amid high gas prices, caused in part by the war with Iran, and rising cost of living.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York unveiled its report in Liberty Street Economics, drawing on the February edition of its Survey of Consumer Expectations. The survey, along with two reports from 2020 and one from October 2025, was used to study and compare “household financial stress and food insufficiency”.

An analysis of the February survey by NPR revealed that food insecurity levels were higher this year than during the summer of 2020.

In addition to revealing that around 10 percent of families reported missing meals in the February study, it found that nearly 16 percent of respondents relied on food donations. Among families earning less than $50,000, nearly 20 percent were forced to skip meals or go without.

Conversely, in 2020, just 4 percent of households reported missing meals, including less than 7 percent of families earning less than $50,000.

Amy Breitmann, who runs the Golden Harvest Food Bank in Augusta, Georgia, says that she has seen a growing number of families and children in need of food firsthand.

“We have some distributions where people are sitting in a 2-to-3-mile line the night before a distribution starts," Breitmann told NPR. “They're sleeping in their cars.”

Meanwhile, Nicole Williams, the CEO of the Community Food Bank of Central Alabama, says that her service is moving to a larger building to accommodate increased needs. The food bank serves 12 counties across the state.

More

More Americans are going hungry now than at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic: study - Yahoo News UK

More workers are raiding their 401(k)s as average balances fall, Fidelity says

Published Thu, May 28 2026 7:05 AM EDT

Financial pressures pushed more savers to tap their retirement accounts in the first part of 2026, new data shows — potentially locking in losses during the early weeks of the Iran war.

Amid severe market volatility earlier this year, the average 401(k) balance fell by 4% to $141,000, according to first-quarter data released Thursday from Fidelity Investments, the nation’s largest provider of 401(k) savings plans.

The average individual retirement account balance was also down 4% to $131,380 in the first quarter, Fidelity found.

The drop was due to the outbreak of the Iran war, which sparked a stock selloff, according to Kirsten Hunter Peterson, vice president of workplace thought leadership at Fidelity Investments. “Luckily, a couple of months later, we are trending in a much better direction,” she said, referring to recent market highs.

After the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28, the S&P 500 lost 5.1% in March for its worst monthly performance since 2022. The Dow dropped 5.4%, snapping a 10-month winning streak. The Nasdaq declined 4.8%.

Markets have since rebounded from earlier losses. As of Wednesday’s close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up roughly 5.3% year to date, while the S&P 500 rose nearly 10% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 14.8%.

More workers are pulling money from their 401(k)s

However, more savers also tapped their accounts to free up cash during this time, which experts say is a sign of underlying financial strain.

The share of workers with an outstanding loan at the end of the first quarter of 2026 was 19.2%, up slightly from 18.8% a year earlier, according to Fidelity. About 2.4% of workers took out a new loan from their 401(k) in the first quarter, up from 2.3% in 2025.

The share of workers taking a hardship withdrawal, which is broken out separately, also rose year over year to 2.5% from 2.3%, Fidelity found. A hardship withdrawal can be taken from a retirement plan without paying an early withdrawal penalty for an “immediate and heavy financial need,” according to the IRS.

Many households have struggled in the face of rising prices for necessities like groceries and gas due to the Iran war. As a result, consumers have had less room in their budgets to cover an unexpected expense or emergency, experts say.

More

Fidelity: Average 401(k) balances fall due to market volatility

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.

Well if they say so, but will the public buy a robot built car, especially a car putting real people out of work? Consumers can be fickle, besides who wants to be first guinea pig in a robot built car?

Humanoid robots 'the future' of car making, says BMW

29 May 2026

For the first time, BMW will use humanoid robots for car manufacturing in Europe.

Two robots, made by Hexagon Robotics, are planned to work in production from the summer. They're currently in a test deployment at the Leipzig factory.

"This will be the future of automotive production," says Michael Nikolaides, head of process management and digitalisation at BMW.

Robot arms and other automation have been used by the car industry for decades.

So why the move to human-shaped robots?

"If you have a humanoid form, you can pretty much set it to any workplace where a human is working today because it has the same size and the same capabilities," says Nikolaides.

The cost of robots has fallen while it remains expensive to redesign the assembly line. As a result, it's more cost-effective to use robots that fit in with existing human processes.

"When a robot costs 17 million, you'd re-organise your factory around the robot, but it doesn't anymore," says Bill Ray, distinguished VP analyst at Gartner.

"So now you want to fit it into your existing way of working."

Named Aeon, the Hexagon robot is shaped like a person and stands 1.65m (5ft 5in) tall, weighing 60kg (9 stone 6lbs).

They have a top speed of 2.4m/second and can carry 15kg for short periods, or 8kg continuously.

Aeon is equipped with 21 sensors including cameras, radar, a microphone, and force and torque sensors for manipulation.

At BMW the robots were trained using a combination of teleoperation (sensors on humans) and simulation in a digital twin of the factory using software from Nvidia.

The robot in the simulation was given a task and repeatedly simulated it to identify the most promising solutions, an approach called reinforcement learning.

Teleoperation was used for tasks such as picking up a part, so the physical robot could learn the range of different ways a human carries that out.

The training of robots is undergoing rapid development - the quicker you can train a robot the better.

More

BMW says humanoid robots are the future of car production - BBC News

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

Exponent Calculator

Enter values into any two of the input fields to solve for the third.

Exponent Calculator

This weekend’ s music diversion.  A wonderful diversion I first heard, entertaining a London very important client in approximately 1980, in the lobby of the Waldorf Astoria, overlooking Park Avenue, performed unaccompanied by a high talented, very beautiful young American, highly skilled lady harpist!!!

Whatever the Waldorf was paying her it wasn’t nearly enough. Approx. 8 minutes.

Handel Harp Concerto

Handel Harp Concerto

Next, the Aral Sea story. Approx. 15 minutes.

The Aral Sea Finally Came Back To Life After Kazakhstan Used The Kokaral Dam To Block A Strait

The Aral Sea Finally Came Back To Life After Kazakhstan Used The Kokaral Dam To Block A Strait - YouTube

Finally, how A-bombs spread.  Approx.40  minutes.  

How India Got the Bomb

How India Got the Bomb

From the Great Depression, to the stagflation of the seventies, to the current economic crisis caused by the housing bubble, every economic downturn suffered by this country over the past century can be traced to Federal Reserve policy. The Fed has followed a consistent policy of flooding the economy with easy money, leading to a misallocation of resources and an artificial 'boom' followed by a recession or depression when the Fed-created bubble bursts.

Ron Paul


Friday, 29 May 2026

Core PCE “Tame?” Stocks, Buying The Top On Margin? Cuba Next?

Baltic Dry Index. 3226 +102    Brent Crude 92.64

Spot Gold 4540                           Spot Silver 76.09

US 2 Year Yield 4.00 -0.01

US Federal Debt. 39.282 trillion

US GDP 32.16 trillion.

“Why, sometimes I’ve believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast.”

NASDAQ Lewis Carroll, Alice in Nasdaqland Wonderland.

Little need for my input today, except to say pay attention to that warning from Exxon.

Bad things in the global economy happen fast when diesel inventories fall to critical levels.

There’s a lot of speculation that if Trump’s going to invade Cuba, it has to happen in the next few weeks. Possibly after an Iran deal?

Asia markets rise as investors weigh Iran military activity against signs of temporary U.S.-Iran deal

Published Thu, May 28 2026 7:45 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets traded higher on Friday as investors weighed fresh military activity involving Iran against signs that Washington and Tehran were moving closer to a temporary agreement to halt their three-month conflict.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.88%, while the Topix added 0.53%. South Korea’s Kospi jumped 2.68%, while the small-cap Kosdaq was up 0.25%. Shares of Samsung Electronics surged as much as 6.51% after the company said it had begun shipping samples of its latest high-bandwidth memory chip to its customers globally.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.72%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index added 0.68%, while the CSI 300 rose 0.38%.

Iran’s armed forces reportedly fired missiles at unspecified targets late Thursday, according to state media outlet Fars.

The latest military activity in southern Iran came just hours after the Pentagon said Tehran had fired a ballistic missile toward Kuwait and deployed attack drones in and around the Strait of Hormuz.

Earlier on Thursday, a White House official confirmed an Axios report saying the U.S. and Iran had “mostly agreed” on the terms of a deal aimed at temporarily halting the three-month conflict.

U.S. futures traded near flat after all three major averages finished at new closing records on Thursday, boosted by a rally in the technology sector.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were trading near the flatline. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 7 points, or less than 0.1%.

The S&P 500 gained 0.58% to 7,563.63, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.91% to 26,917.47. Both indexes also hit intraday all-time highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 0.05% at 50,668.97.

Tech stocks rallied Thursday, after a strong earnings outlook from Snowflake revived enthusiasm around the AI trade. Shares soared 36.5%, posting their best day ever after the cloud-based data platform provider issued rosy fiscal second-quarter guidance, as well as a beat on the top and bottom lines in its latest quarter. The company also inked a plan to spend $6 billion on Amazon Web Services over five years.

Asia markets: Nikkei 225, Hang Seng Index, Kospi, Nifty 50, CSI 300

Exxon warns oil inventories will hit dangerously low levels in weeks, forcing prices to shoot higher

Published Thu, May 28 2026 5:03 PM EDT Updated Thu, May 28 2026 6:25 PM EDT

Exxon Mobil warned Thursday that oil inventories will fall to record low levels in coming weeks, forcing prices to spike and curbing demand.

“We’re approaching unheard of inventory levels,” said Exxon Senior Vice President Neil Chapman at a conference hosted by Bernstein in New York.

“I mean really, really low levels,” Chapman warned. “You can debate whether that’s going to hit, those really low levels, in two weeks or three weeks. Once you get to that point, then you’ll see price shoot up.”

The price of physical Brent oil cargoes will spike to $150 to $160 per barrel when inventories hit all-time lows in coming weeks, the executive said. “When the price gets to a certain level, demand destruction brings it back into balance,” he said.

Brent futures for July delivery, the nearest contract, closed under $94 per barrel Thursday as investors once again held out hope for a settlement between the U.S. and Iran that will reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran’s closure of the strait has cost the market more than a billion barrels so far, the largest oil supply disruption in history, according to the International Energy Agency. Oil stockpiles have mitigated the impact so far, but that “can’t last forever,” Chapman said.

The IEA warned earlier this month that inventories are being depleted at a record pace. The organization’s members agreed in March to release a record 400 million barrels to lessen the impact of the supply disruption.

Oil industry executives have warned for two months that the crude futures market is not reflecting the scale of the disruption triggered by the war in the Middle East.

“I don’t know, whether it’s two to three weeks or three to four weeks,” Chapman said. “What I’m really saying is, once you get to the minimum inventory levels and all-time low inventory levels, there’s only one way to go. That’s the situation.”

Exxon warns oil inventories will hit dangerously low levels due to Iran war

Axios Markets 1 big thing: Leveraging up

May 28, 2026

Investors are using a record amount of borrowed money to bet on stocks.

Why it matters: Trading with borrowed money — known on Wall Street as "margin" — can amplify both returns on the way up and losses if the market turns.

  • Even investors who do not trade on margin should watch it: Borrowed money has played a key role in market crashes, from 1929 to the dot-com bust.

State of play: Through the end of April, net margin debt hit more than 1.25% of U.S. market cap, near the highest level in records stretching back to 1997.

The big picture: It's just one of the metrics causing some to question the sustainability of the market's AI-driven boom. Others include:

What they're saying: "Whether we're in a bubble is a very common question from investors, and there are a number of ways to address that," said Ben Snider, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist.

  • He added: "I think it's fair to say the increase in leveraged retail trading activity does point in the direction of signals that would warrant some caution."

Yes, but: As compelling as these measures of market exuberance may seem, their record as timing mechanisms — that is, as guides for when to buy and sell — is pretty terrible.

  • Shiller's CAPE ratio, for example, has signaled market overvaluation for almost all of the last decade.
  • Anyone who sold when it broke out of its previous range in late 2016 would have missed out on an over 200% rise in the S&P 500.

Case in point: Goldman Sachs' Snider doesn't find the current levels of market enthusiasm off-putting.

  • Yesterday, he raised his year-end S&P 500 target to 8,000 (it was previously 7,600), implying a gain of 16.9% in 2026. He cited the strength of corporate earnings, wrinkles and all, as a reason for continued optimism.

The bottom line: Stocks are probably a bit frothy and could be due for a correction. But timing the markets is incredibly hard.

Axios Markets

Toyota's April exports to Middle East plummet 91.7 pct

Source: Xinhua| 2026-05-28 14:36:00

TOKYO, May 28 (Xinhua) -- Toyota Motor Corp. said Thursday that its exports from Japan to the Middle East nosedived to 2,418 units in April, down 91.7 percent year on year, as the ongoing regional conflict weighed on trade.

The automaker's global sales in April declined 3.1 percent to 849,306 vehicles, extending a losing streak to a third consecutive month. In contrast, global output ticked up 2 percent to 831,971 units, a record high for the month.

Overseas sales by the world's largest automaker by volume retreated 7.5 percent to 699,382 units, with sales in the United States declining 4.6 percent to 222,378 vehicles, while those in the Middle East tumbled 33.7 percent to 31,360 units.

Meanwhile, domestic sales in Japan surged 24.2 percent to 149,924 units, buoyed by demand from consumers who had delayed purchases ahead of the abolition of the environmental performance tax at the end of March.

On the production side, Toyota's overseas output grew 3.8 percent to 567,578 cars, while domestic production edged down 1.7 percent to 264,393 units.

Toyota's April exports to Middle East plummet 91.7 pct-Xinhua

US 'ready to invade Cuba immediately' as massive military build-up unmasked

29 May 2026

The US is "ready to invade Cuba immediately", according to an explosive new report which revealed a huge military build-up next to the communist island.

The US Department of Defence has spent months positioning troops and weapons needed for an American invasion of the island territory - and just needs the green light from Donald Trump.

The President is said to have put forward plans to takeover the island after Cuba's communist regime failed to be toppled by economic and political pressure, according to Politico.

The US Navy's presence in the region - which lies just 90 miles off the coast of Florida - is now the second largest anywhere in the world, only behind its build-up in the Middle East.

Washington has significantly ramped up pressure on Havana since the daring capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro in January.

The US has intercepted oil deliveries bound for Cuba from other countries and assumed control of Venezuela's petroleum supplies, effectively severing the island nation's energy lifeline.

Shortly after Mr Maduro arrived in New York, Mr Trump told reporters he believed he would "have the honour of taking Cuba".

And on Wednesday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio - himself the son of Cuban immigrants - warned the country was “in a lot of trouble".

In a full Cabinet meeting, Mr Rubio said that having a "failed state" on America's doorstep presented a "threat to the national security".

The Pentagon's build-up in the region is understood to be slightly smaller than the armada which massed around Venezuela prior to the previous military operation.

In May, the USS Nimitz aircraft strike carrier group arrived in the Caribbean, alongside a number of guided missile destroyers capable to carrying out precision missile attacks on the island.

Flight tracking websites have shown a number of US drones and surveillance aircraft surrounding Cuba over the past few months.

More

US 'ready to invade Cuba immediately' as massive military build-up unmasked

In other news, expect higher coffee prices from August.

China to grant market access to eligible coffee beans from 53 African countries starting July 20

 09:27, May 28, 2026

BEIJING, May 27 (Xinhua) -- China will allow eligible coffee beans from all 53 African countries that have diplomatic ties with China to enter its market starting July 20, 2026, the General Administration of Customs (GAC) has announced.

Coffee beans, a signature agricultural produce and pillar economic industry for many African countries, are the second type of African agricultural products to obtain full quarantine access to the Chinese market following dried chilies, according to the GAC.

African countries including Ethiopia and Burundi have already secured access for their coffee bean exports to China, while some other countries, including Mauritius, Angola, Togo, Guinea, Liberia and Sao Tome and Principe, have filed export applications, official data showed.

Following a holistic assessment of African coffee bean production systems and pest risk control frameworks, the GAC has rolled out unified phytosanitary requirements, eliminating the previous practice of negotiating separate bilateral quarantine agreements with each applicant country and substantially streamlining access procedures.

Industry insiders noted that full quarantine access does not mean exemption from border checks, as all shipments must comply with requirements stipulated in GAC Announcement No. 68 of 2026.

The GAC official added that it will continue to implement upgraded "green channel" facilitation measures to bring more high-quality, safe African agricultural and food products to the Chinese market.

China to grant market access to eligible coffee beans from 53 African countries starting July 20 - People's Daily Online

Temperatures likely to remain at record levels in 2026-2030: UN

Geneva (AFP) – Global average temperatures are likely to continue at or near record levels this year and for the next four years afterwards, the United Nations warned Thursday.

Issued on: 28/05/2026 - 06:09 Modified: 28/05/2026 - 07:04

The 11 hottest individual years ever recorded all happened from 2015 onwards and the UN's weather and climate agency said the trend was set to continue, with a new hottest-ever year "likely" before 2031.

There is a 75 percent chance that the 2026-2030 five-year mean temperature will surpass the key threshold of 1.5C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average, the World Meteorological Organization said.

The WMO outlook comes as western Europe swelters under a "heat dome" of warm air, breaking temperature records for May in Britain and France.

"Global average temperatures are likely to continue at or near record levels in the next five years," the agency said.

“It is likely (86 percent chance) that one year between 2026 and 2030 will surpass 2024 as the warmest year on record."

El Nino effect on 2027

"There is an El Nino predicted for the end of 2026, which increases the chances of the following year, 2027, being the next record-breaking year," said Leon Hermanson, lead author of the WMO's Global Annual-to-Decadal Update.

The last El Nino contributed to making 2023 the second-hottest year on record and 2024 the all-time high at around 1.55C above the pre-industrial average.

El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon that warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds, pressure and rainfall patterns.

It typically takes place every two to seven years and lasts around nine to 12 months.

More

Temperatures likely to remain at record levels in 2026-2030: UN

Canada to buy Swedish surveillance plane over US models

Prime Minister Mark Carney says the Canadian Armed Forces need the plane to detect and deter threats across the Arctic.

Jenipher Camino Gonzalez with Reuters, AP 27 May 2026

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced on Wednesday that his government would not purchase early-warning-radar planes from the United States, opting instead for a European model.

Canada will purchase Swedish Saab's GlobalEye, which is based on the Canadian-manufactured Bombardier Global 6500 jet.

"With a suite of advanced sensors and mission systems, Saab's GlobalEye will be a key resource for the Canadian ‌Armed Forces to detect and ⁠deter ⁠threats across the Arctic," Carney told a defense conference in Ottawa.

The decision comes after Carney linked Canada to a major European Union defense fund last year, and as the Canadian prime minister has made a point of diversifying his country's military spending away from the United States.

Carney has also previously vowed to spend no more than 70 cents of every dollar of Canadian military capital spending to the United States.

The prime minister had pledged earlier this year that Canada would take full responsibility for protecting its vast Arctic territory, after decades of relying on a partnership with the US to monitor over 4.4 million square km (1.7 million square miles) of Canadian land and sea.

 "Saab's GlobalEye will be a key resource for the Canadian Armed Forces to detect and deter threats across the Arctic," Carney said.

What is Saab's GlobalEye?

The Saab GlobalEye plane is equipped with a powerful radar. It provides situational awareness of aircraft and missile movements over hundreds of kilometers.

The plane can also detect hostile activity in the air or from ships and can direct fighter jets to their targets. Carney did not elaborate on the size of the fleet or the cost of a potential contract.

Meanwhile, in a statement, Saab said it planned to invest in research and development work in Canada as part of any deal.

Tensions between the US and Canada have been high since US President Donald Trump launched a trade war against the US' northern neighbor and even suggested that Canada should become the 51st US state, which caused widespread outrage in Canada, just as Carney was seeking the post of prime minister and succeeded in getting elected to it.

Since then, the Canadian government has also opted ot review the planned purchase of US F-35 fighter jets to explore other options.

Canada to buy Swedish surveillance plane over US models

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Core inflation hit an annual rate of 3.3% in April, as expected, Fed’s preferred gauge shows

Published Thu, May 28 2026 8:32 AM EDT

Inflation continued to hit consumer wallets in April, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on the sidelines until the current wave subsides, fresh pricing data released Thursday showed.

The personal consumption expenditures price index increased a seasonally adjusted 0.4% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 3.8%, the Commerce Department reported. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for respective readings of 0.5% and 3.8%.

Excluding food and energy, core prices rose 0.2% for the month and 3.3% for the year, against estimates of 0.3% and 3.3%.

While the annual rates were in line with forecasts, the soft monthly readings could provide some hope that the burst in prices over the previous month had begun to ease.

The Fed takes in a wide dashboard of indicators, but uses the PCE measures as its prime forecasting and policy tool. Officials generally consider core a better indicators of long-term inflation trends as it excludes the volatile gas and groceries components.

In other economic news Thursday, gross domestic product growth in the first quarter was less than expected. GDP accelerated at an annualized rate of just 1.6% for the period, according to a revised Commerce Department reading that was below the initial estimate of 2%.

The department said the initial reading was cut because of downward revisions to consumer spending and investment. The consensus was for GDP to hold at the earlier 2% estimate.

Despite the soft Q1 reading for GDP, the department reported that consumer spending increased 0.5% in April, meeting the forecast. Income, though, was flat, against the estimate for a 0.4% increase.

Stock market futures held negative after the data but were off their lows. Treasury yields were slightly negative, primarily at the longer-duration end.

On the inflation front, goods prices jumped 0.7% in April, pushed again by gasoline, which surged 5.5%. Services prices rose 0.3%, which included a 0.6% acceleration in the housing and utilities category and a 0.5% increase in food services and accommodations.

Housing prices broadly increased 0.5%, the biggest monthly gain going back at least until January 2025. Services excluding food, energy and housing rose just 0.2% for the month.

The inflation readings could provide some encouragement that underlying pressures are easing a bit, though they likely won’t change market expectations.

Traders expect the Fed to stay on hold until at least late in 2026 and currently are pricing the likelihood that the central bank’s next move will be a rate increase, possibly in the early part of the next year.

Inflation had been ticking closer to the central bank’s 2% goal, but the Iran war and the impact from tariffs has derailed the Fed. Policymakers recently have been placing a greater emphasis on the inflation danger as signs increase that the labor market is stabilizing.

Core inflation hit an annual rate of 3.3% in April, as expected, Fed’s preferred gauge shows

Germany: No recovery in sight for the economy

The war in Iran has dashed hopes for economic growth. Germany's pension and healthcare systems are also feeling the strain.

27 May 2026

It was certainly not a joyful meeting for Chancellor Friedrich Merz: On Wednesday (May 27), the chancellor and several ministers from his cabinet met with the five economics professors who make up the German Council of Economic Experts — an independent advisory body to the federal government.

The Council's latest report provides no cause for the German government to celebrate. On the contrary, it underscores just how poor the state of the German economy is.

Stagnation rather than growth in Germany

"Unfortunately, we've had to lower the growth forecast we gave in this year's report," said Chairperson Monika Schnitzer ahead of the meeting at the Chancellery. "We now expect the gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by just 0.5% this year and 0.8% next year."

The GDP measures the total value of all goods and services produced, and serves as the measure of a country's economic strength. Meanwhile, the inflation rate — that is, the rise in prices — is expected to climb to 3% in 2026.

These are disastrous figures. In fact, they are the exact opposite of what the chancellor promised as his top priority in May 2025 when his government took office: to quickly get the economy back on track.

Frustration among German companies

Business leaders are voicing their increasing discontent with the government. Leading industry associations are expressing concern that since the end of World War II, Germany's competitive position in the global economy has never been more precarious.

One in four jobs in Germany is linked to the industrial sector. For decades, German exports of cars, machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical products flourished, and the country prospered as a result. Since the prolonged economic downturn that began in 2019, however, German companies have been losing their global competitive edge, and companies that export goods are openly questioning whether it is possible to turn things around.

Energy prices have risen dramatically

As recently as last fall, there was at least some hope that the economy might finally start to pick up again in 2026. But the war in Iran threw a wrench in those plans. Heating oil prices have risen by 40% and gas and electricity prices are also expected to continue climbing.

Before the Iran war, 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas consumption was transported through the Strait of Hormuz off the Iranian coast. Just like US President Donald Trump's tariff policy, the blockade has been affecting the whole world. The US is by far the world's largest importer.

"Tariffs and the energy crisis are hitting the German economy particularly hard because it is both an exporter of goods and an importer of fossil fuels," explained Austrian economist Gabriel Felbermayr, who was recently appointed to the German Council of Economic Experts.

At the same time, there is increasing competitive pressure on global markets, especially from China. In 2025, China increased the volume of goods it exports to Europe once again. Since Europe is the most important market for German exports, Felbermayr said, "this puts a huge strain on German industries both at home and in third-party markets."

More

Germany: No recovery in sight for the economy

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Europe could get $8 back for every $1 spent on wind power as China races ahead, study finds

27 May 2026

A new analysis suggests Europe may be leaving a lot of money on the table by underfunding one of its biggest clean-energy industries: wind power.

study by Trinomics in collaboration with DTU Wind says each euro of public support for wind innovation and industrial scale-up could produce €7 ($8) for every $1 spent each year in economic returns by 2040, while also boosting jobs, exports, and energy security.

According to Wind Europe, the study makes the case for a dedicated European "Fund for Wind Research and Competitiveness," with €11.6 billion — $13.5 billion with current exchange rates — in targeted support spread across the continent's wind supply chain.

Of that total, around €9 billion ($10.5 billion) would go toward expanding manufacturing capacity, so European companies can keep up with growing demand as the region pushes for greater energy independence. Researchers argue that the funding should be specifically earmarked within the European Competitiveness Fund instead of being scattered across multiple programs.

The report says that by 2040, that support could contribute €33 billion — $38.4 billion — a year to EU gross value added, create 180,000 more jobs, and raise annual wind equipment exports by €12.6 billion.

Right now, wind reportedly gets less than 2% of the budgets in EU programs open to it. Funding is divided across 12 different programs, and approval times in major channels such as Horizon Europe and the Innovation Fund run for more than nine months on average — a pace the study says is too slow to keep up with global competition.

The findings come as China ramps up support for its wind industry. The study says public backing for Chinese turbine makers in recent years was roughly two to five times higher than what European manufacturers received, giving them a major advantage when it comes to scaling up and competing globally.

The report estimates that targeted wind support could help keep up to 89% of the industry's value within Europe, compared with 47% without it. It could also displace 91.5 billion cubic yards of imported gas each year, roughly equivalent to 700 liquefied natural gas shipments.

The report says that could mean more stable energy systems, less exposure to imported fuel price shocks, and more local manufacturing jobs.

They say the next EU budget should reserve funding specifically for wind so the industry is not forced to compete in broad, technology-neutral funding calls that can slow progress. A more focused system could help Europe expand domestic manufacturing, accelerate innovation, and defend market share in a sector it helped build.

As the report puts it: "The message is clear. Europe needs a smarter way to use the tools it already has." It adds that funding wind the right way means "more European manufacturing, more innovation and more exports, with stronger supply chains and higher energy security."

Europe could get $8 back for every $1 spent on wind power as China races ahead, study finds

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)    

Another weekend and peace with Iran and war with Cuba?  In Diesel land, how long before the great disruption hits? Have a great weekend everyone.

In tomorrow's LIR YouTube section, how India got the atom bomb.

“It would be so nice if something made sense for a change.”

President Trump Lewis Carroll, Alice in Iran Wonderland.