Thursday, 4 June 2026

Day 96 Of The 6 Day War. Dot Con 2.0?

Baltic Dry Index. 3124 -81       Brent Crude 97.02

Spot Gold 4497                           Spot Silver 73.90

US 2 Year Yield 4.08 +0.08

US Federal Debt. 39.207 trillion

US GDP 32.181 trillion.

Unfortunately, it is not in the power of government to make everyone more prosperous. Government can only raise the income of one person by taking from another.

Hans F. Sennholz

As another weekend approaches, more rumours of a peace of sorts this weekend. A third weekend of peace hype, but this time the stock casinos are minded of the boy who cried wolf fable.

In better news, Israel and Lebanon have supposedly reached a truce, but will Netanyahu’s Israel respect it?

In the Great AI Bubble, nearly everyone is trying to cash out via an IPO. Dot con 2.0, year 2000?

Asia-Pacific markets fall on renewed Middle East tensions

Published Wed, Jun 3 2026 7:46 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets fell Thursday, tracking Wall Street losses overnight, as tensions between Iran and the U.S. keep oil prices elevated, stoking energy and inflation worries.

The Kuwait International Airport was struck by Iran early Wednesday, just a day after the U.S. Central Command said it had defeated multiple Iranian ballistic missiles and drones, as well as launched “self-defense strikes” on Qeshm Island in the Persian Gulf. This was in response to “attempted attacks” by Tehran, it said.

If necessary, Israel and the U.S. are prepared to strike Iran again, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told CNBC in an exclusive interview.

“Israel is ready and the U.S. forces are ready. I think Iran should take that into account. I think they are taking into account, but they’re playing with fire,” Netanyahu said.

West Texas Intermediate futures gained more than 2% to close at $96.02 on Wednesday, while international benchmark Brent crude  advanced nearly 2% to settle at $97.81 per barrel. Futures were about 1% lower Thursday.

South Korea’s Kospi fell 1.24%, but the small-cap Kosdaq advanced over 2.61% as trading resumed after a holiday.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.77% after hitting a record high in the previous session, while the Topix declined 1.33%. SoftBank Group dropped over 11.04% amid news that it has sold a 3.25% stake in Indian eyewear ​company Lenskart Solutions via a ‌block deal.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was 1.30% lower.

Mainland China’s CSI 300 fell 0.58%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.49%.

India’s Nifty 50 slipped 0.30%, while the BSE Sensex was down 0.33%.

Futures tied to the S&P 500 futures fell by 0.5%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.6%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were trading marginally higher.

The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back 620.72 points, or 1.21%, to end at 50,687.07 on Wednesday. The broad market S&P 500 fell 0.74% to close at 7,553.68, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.89% to 26,853.98.

Asia markets today: ASX, Nikkei, Kospi, Hang Seng, CSI 300, Sensex, oil

CNBC Daily Open: Fresh Iran war worries halt stock rally

Published Wed, Jun 3 2026 9:49 PM EDT

Hello, this is Dylan Butts writing to you from Singapore. Welcome to the latest edition of the Daily Open newsletter.

Traders in Asia are evaluating another round of mixed signals from the Middle East, as the U.S.-Iran war continues into its fourth month.

In an interview with CNBC, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel and the U.S. were ready to return to military action against Iran, if needed.

The remarks pushed oil prices higher and stock futures down, even as progress was reported on a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon and the U.S. House of Representatives voted to block further American military involvement.

What you need to know today

In an exclusive interview with CNBC aired Wednesday, Netanyahu said that Trump had warned Iran of “a full scale return to military action,” if necessary, emphasizing that it would ultimately be the U.S. president’s decision.

Netanyahu, however, noted that there had been tactical disagreements between the U.S. and Israel, though they were largely on the same page on their Middle East strategy. 

The comments appeared to spook oil traders, with Brent and WTI crude both moving higher on fears of renewed escalation, though crude remains below the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level. 

S&P 500 futures were pointing lower after the benchmark snapped a nine-day winning streak during the trading day. 

In a more positive development for a peace deal, Israel and Lebanon have agreed to implement a ceasefire. Asia markets, however, opened lower Thursday as Mideast worries keep investors on edge.

Signaling diminishing appetite for the conflict in Washington, the U.S. House voted in favor of a war powers measure that would direct an end to U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict unless Congress authorizes continued action.

While the bipartisan vote underscores growing congressional pushback over the scope and duration of the Iran campaign, the measure still needs to pass the Senate, and any final legislation could face a presidential veto.

Trump on Wednesday suggested that Iran had agreed not to have nuclear weapons, while adding that “they can change their mind.” Iran’s Foreign Ministry declined to comment on Trump’s interview when contacted by CNBC. A government official, who was not authorized to speak publicly, told CNBC Trump’s words were “misleading.”

The comments came after the The Kuwait International Airport was struck by Iran, a day after the U.S. Central Command launched “self-defense strikes” on Qeshm Island in the Persian Gulf. 

Corporate America delivered its own set of headlines on Wednesday, pouring cold water on Wall Street’s recent tech-led rally. 

Broadcom shares plunged nearly 14% after-hours after the company reported weaker-than-expected software revenue and didn’t raise its full-year AI chip sales target. CrowdStrike shares also tumbled around 10% in after-hours trading despite its fiscal first-quarter results narrowly beating Wall Street expectations.

More

CNBC Daily Open: Fresh Iran war worries halt stock rally

Israel and Hezbollah agree new ceasefire

Thu, 4 June 2026 at 12:21 am BST

Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a new ceasefire, the US State Department has said.

The two countries agreed on Wednesday night to renew a fragile truce and create a number of "pilot" security zones inside Lebanon from which Hezbollah militants would be banned.

In a joint statement, released after a fourth round of US-mediated talks, the two sides said the ceasefire "is contingent on a complete cessation of Hezbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hezbollah operatives" from areas south of the Litani River. 

It was not immediately clear how the security zones would be established but the agreement calls for the Lebanese army to take full control of those areas.

"These steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement," the statement said. 

More

Israel and Hezbollah agree new ceasefire - Yahoo News UK

In dot con 2.0 news, cash out time?

Fears of dotcom bubble 2.0 as trillion-dollar AI floats swamp the market

Speculation over mega public listings leaves investors worried about history repeating itself

Published 02 June 2026 4:50pm BST

The euphoria surrounding AI has surged to its next exhilarating – and dangerous – level.

Anthropic, the developer of the Claude chatbot, took its first step towards a US stock market listing on Monday after privately filing paperwork with regulators.

The company is expected to fetch a $1tn (£740bn) valuation in an initial public offering – or IPO – beating its rival OpenAI, the inventor of ChatGPT, to a float on Wall Street.

These are not the only companies likely to fetch such lofty valuations. Elon Musk is on course to become the world’s first trillionaire should he meet targets after SpaceX’s potential $1.8tn listing in the US later this month.

But rather than generating excitement, the astronomical numbers have left many professional investors questioning whether the market is entering the next phase of an AI bubble.

“It’s something we are all thinking about,” said Patrick Perret-Green, the chief executive of investment researcher PPG Macro.

“I struggle with the maths. Think the dotcom example of Global Crossing.”

Global Crossing, which floated in 1998, became an infamous example of what goes wrong when markets become too excited about a newfound technology.

As investors raced to jump on the hype created by the advent of the internet, the telecoms company’s valuation soared to $47bn in 1999 despite it never recording a profitable year.

It collapsed into bankruptcy in 2002 after the dotcom bubble burst, sending the valuations of technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) companies plummeting.

Joachim Klement, an analyst at stockbroker Panmure Liberum, warned last month about the “impossible maths” surrounding some of the major AI players.

So-called “hyperscalers” such as Meta and Microsoft have ploughed billions into investments in data centres and AI infrastructure.

However, Mr Klement warned they were unlikely to generate a return on their investments at their current trajectory. Google-owner Alphabet announced on Tuesday it would tap shareholders for $80bn to fund its own spending plans.

More

Fears of dotcom bubble 2.0 as trillion-dollar AI floats swamp the market

SpaceX is worth less than half of its $1.75 trillion IPO target, Morningstar says

Published Wed, Jun 3 2026 5:19 AM EDT

SpaceX is expected to start trading on the Nasdaq in just over two weeks, but Morningstar analysts have warned that Elon Musk’s tech behemoth is “significantly overvalued.”

The hotly-anticipated debut is expected to be the largest ever initial public offering, with SpaceX reportedly targeting a $75 billion fundraise and a valuation of $1.75 trillion.

“We think the company has been significantly overvalued and investors will have opportunities to buy the stock at more attractive levels after the IPO,” Morningstar analysts wrote in a note published Monday. 

The analysts see a wide range of possibilities for the potential profitability of SpaceX’s xAI and find its “economic moat indeterminate.” They view the unit as posing a “material threat of value destruction” to the company. 

As such, Morningstar’s discounted cash flow valuation of SpaceX is $780 billion, which is roughly 48% below its private market valuation of $1.5 trillion. 

Morningstar said the upcoming IPO does not offer the best entry point for retail investors. However, long-term investors eager to participate in the company’s potential future success will have more opportunities later down the line, with “a greater margin of safety” than at the time of flotation, the analysts added. 

“With a small initial float boosted by almost every investment bank on the planet, buoyant investor appetite for AI infrastructure bids, and an unprecedented path to inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 Index just 15 trading days after the IPO, we expect SpaceX’s share price will likely survive separation and may even ascend, at least for a time,” Morningstar said. 

SpaceX recorded a net loss in the latest quarter of $4.28 billion after losing $4.94 billion in 2025.

Its Starlink arm generated $3.26 billion in revenue in the latest quarter, accounting for 69% of the total. Its space business lost $619 million on an operating basis, while its AI unit lost $2.5 billion — meaning connectivity is the only profitable part of the company. 

Crucially, SpaceX wrote in its S-1 filing that it has “a history of net losses and may not achieve profitability in the future.”

Much of its value relies on success in developing various technologies that are “novel and untested”, and SpaceX expects to “incur significant capital expenditures over a period of years” before its AI products and services become profitable, according to the document.

Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell, said “little is known” about SpaceX’s financials due to its status as a private company, with Elon Musk controlling 85% of the voting rights. Coatsworth flagged the potential for an eye-watering valuation as a potential risk to further upside.

“A $1.75 trillion valuation would put SpaceX on 67 times sales, three times as much as Nvidia’s rating based on its past financial year and latest share price,” he added. “It implies SpaceX’s valuation could be richer than a plate of dauphinoise potatoes.”

Meanwhile, chatter about whether Musk could merge SpaceX with Tesla has resurfaced.

SpaceX is worth less than half its IPO target price, Morningstar says

In other news, as expected in day 96 of Trump’s 6 day war, nothing good.

Donald Trump’s Iran war drains US oil stocks to lowest level since 2004

Industry warns prices could soon jump as inventories reach ‘critically low’ threshold

4 June 2026

Donald Trump’s Iran war has driven US oil stocks to their lowest level in two decades as his administration drains stockpiles to contain surging prices and exporters capitalise on the drop in Middle Eastern supply.

US government data published on Wednesday showed total stocks of crude and petroleum products such as petrol fell by 10.6mn barrels last week to 1.57bn barrels — the lowest level since 2004.

The sharp fall triggered new warnings from industry analysts that oil prices are poised to move sharply higher again within weeks. The US oil price rose 2.6 per cent in afternoon trading on Wednesday to $96.17 a barrel.

Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group and a former White House adviser, warned prices could reach $200 per barrel this summer unless the Strait of Hormuz — the crucial energy waterway in the Gulf closed by the war — was reopened to tanker traffic.

“You start to raise the risk of spillover into other sectors, the economy and financial system … it detonates fragilities in the broader economy and financial system,” McNally said.

The fall in US inventories since the war began has erased the build-up caused by the shale revolution, which made the country the world’s largest oil producer and a major exporter.

Last week’s drop was driven by a fall of 16mn barrels in commercial and government stocks of crude oil and rising exports to Asia and Europe, where traders have raced to replace lost Middle Eastern supplies.

US crude shipments jumped from 4.4mn barrels a day to 5.8mn b/d last week — more than many Opec countries produce — continuing a pattern of sharply higher exports since the war began, according to the Energy Information Administration.

The surge underscored the dire state of global oil supplies because of the near-total closure of the strait, the waterway between Iran and Oman through which a fifth of the world’s 100mn b/d or so of global oil supply flowed before the war.

“The US is acting like the lender of last resort for global oil markets, acting as a stabiliser and providing a buffer to offset Middle Eastern supply loss,” said Edward Hayden-Briffett, analyst at The Officials, a division of Onyx Capital Group.

But he warned the US’s ability to absorb the global oil shock was finite, pointing to increased releases from the nation’s strategic petroleum reserve — which was also tapped by Joe Biden’s administration to push down prices.

“As that buffer decreases, it becomes a stressor rather than a reassurance,” said Hayden-Briffett.

More

Donald Trump’s Iran war drains US oil stocks to lowest level since 2004

OECD warns of global slowdown as U.S.-Iran war stymies economic growth prospects

Published Wed, Jun 3 2026 3:00 AM EDT

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development has slashed its global growth outlook, warning that the economic damage from the U.S.-Iran war could dramatically worsen unless a durable peace settlement is reached quickly.

In its June Economic Outlook, the OECD said global growth is now expected to slow from 3.4% in 2025 to 2.8% in 2026, before recovering to 3.1% in 2027 — should the current energy price shock start easing by the middle of this year.

But that’s assuming a time-limited disruption scenario in which a peace agreement is reached and current disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz are swiftly resolved, said Stefano Scarpetta, the OECD’s chief economist.

A worse scenario, in which the disruptions to shipping and energy infrastructure continue well into 2027, would see global growth fall sharply to just 2.1% in 2026, and 1.8% in 2027.

That would tip some economies into, or close to, recession, Scarpetta warned.

The OECD’s study explores how the Strait of Hormuz shutdown, coupled with energy infrastructure damage throughout the Gulf, has sent energy prices soaring, and pushed up the costs of fertilizers and other key industrial inputs. It noted how the consequences of the war between the U.S. and its allies and Iran are likely to be felt for some time, even after any resolution is found.

Scarpetta said that a durable settlement to the current conflict would not only bring relief to the region but also “lay the groundwork for a resolution to the disruptions it has caused to the global economy.”

“The longer the disruptions last, the larger the economic and social costs become,” he said in the report.

In the worse-case scenario, global inflation is expected to rise by 0.4 percentage points in 2026, and 1.3 percentage points in 2027.

“Unemployment would rise and investment — including in energy-intensive AI — would weaken significantly, with increasing risks of financial market repricing… with upside pressures from elevated commodity prices partially offset by weaker final demand,” Scarpetta said.

“The consequences would be global but could prove especially severe for developing economies with limited energy reserves, higher shares of energy and food in household consumption, constrained fiscal capacity and weak social safety nets, low private savings buffers and more fragile currencies.”

The downward trajectory will further complicate the challenge for global central banks already grappling with weaker growth and inflationary pressures, he added.

The crisis also highlights the vulnerability of global economies to one single chokepoint, and underlines the need to strengthen the resilience of supply chains and diversify energy supply, the OECD report said.

“In the near-term, emergency demand-restraint measures and international coordination of strategic energy stocks can help mitigate some of the effects of the supply crunch, but the need to invest more to wean us off the dependency on fossil fuel imports is more urgent than ever.”

OECD warns of global slowdown as Iran war stymies growth prospects

Iran has mined ‘large segments’ of Hormuz Strait, Secretary of State Rubio says

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 6:07 PM EDT Updated Tue, Jun 2 2026 7:13 PM EDT

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Tuesday that Iran has mined “large segments” of the Strait of Hormuz, indicating that explosives in the strategic sea lane are more widespread than previoulsy acknowledged.

“They’re firing on commercial ships and they’ve mined large segments of Hormuz — international waters,” Rubio told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, in his first appearance before Congress since the U.S. and Israel launched the war against Iran on Feb. 28.

Iran must agree in any deal with the U.S. that it will not charge a toll to transit Hormuz, will not fire on commercial ships and will help remove any mines it has laid in the strait, the Secretary of State said.

“What they’re doing is unlawful and illegal,” Rubio told the Senate.

Hormuz is a crucial chokepoint for the global energy market, with about 20% of global oil supplies passing through the sea lane before war. Oil tanker traffic through the strait has plunged due to threats from Iran, triggering the the largest supply disruption in history.

President Donald Trump cast doubt early in the war that Iran was deploying mines. In a Truth Social post on March 10, Trump warned Tehran that if it has deployed mines in Hormuz, they were to be removed immediately. The president said the following day that he didn’t think Iran had mined the strait when asked by a reporter outside the White House.

Trump said on April 23 that he ordered the U.S. Navy to “shoot and kill” any boat that was deploying mines in the strait. He said U.S. mine sweepers were “clearing the Strait” at an accelerated tempo.

But Iran’s mines still pose a major challenge to the resumption of large scale commercial traffic more than a month after Trump said the US. was clearing the explosives. The president demanded Friday that Iran “complete the immediate removal and/or detonation of any mines” that the U.S. has not already removed.

It is still unclear how many mines are in Hormuz and where they are located in the sea lane, said Jack Kennedy, head of Middle East country risk at S&P Global Market Intelligence. Traffic through Hormuz is unlikely to return to prewar levels until a solid demining effort has taken place, Kennedy said.

The White House did not respond to a question about how many mines are believed to remain in Hormuz. The Pentagon has destroyed numerous mines and over 40 minelaying vessels, a White House official told CNBC.

“The President has been clear that these are short-term, temporary disruptions,” the official said.

Iran has mined 'large segments' of Hormuz Strait, Secretary of State Rubio says

UN warns world to prepare for El Nino extreme weather

Tue, 2 June 2026 at 1:24 pm BST

There is an 80-percent chance of the warming El Nino phenomenon developing between June and August, increasing the risk of extreme weather events, the World Meteorological Organization said Tuesday.

"Fuelled by unusually warm ocean waters in the tropical Pacific, El Nino conditions are developing and are set to influence global temperature and rainfall patterns," the United Nations' WMO weather and climate agency said.

Forecasts from the WMO global network "indicate a pronounced shift toward El Nino conditions, with probabilities reaching 80 percent for June-August", the Geneva-based organisation said.

El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon that warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds, pressure and rainfall patterns.

It typically takes place every two to seven years and lasts around nine to 12 months.

Conditions oscillate between El Nino and its opposite La Nina, with neutral conditions in between.

The likelihood of El Nino developing by November is "near or above 90 percent", and most forecast models suggest it will be "at least moderate -- and possibly strong", the WMO said in its quarterly El Nino/La Nina update.

WMO chief Celeste Saulo said the world needed to get ready for an El Nino which could "exacerbate drought and heavy rainfall and increase the risk of heatwaves both on land and in the ocean".

The WMO says that even a moderate El Nino makes some weather and climate extremes more likely.

The last El Nino contributed to making 2023 the second-hottest year on record and 2024 the all-time high at around 1.55C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.

More.

UN warns world to prepare for El Nino extreme weather - Yahoo News UK

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Here’s the impact of Trump’s Iran war on your household budget

Wed, 3 June 2026 at 5:24 am BST

The military conflict in Iran has cost U.S. households an estimated $100 billion overall, driven primarily by a sharp increase in energy costs following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a new study from Moody’s Analytics found.

The analysis indicates that the financial burden translates to roughly $750 per household since the conflict began in February. The military action, initiated by President Donald Trump without congressional approval, has led to a 35 percent surge in oil prices.

According to data from AAA, the national average price for regular gasoline sits at $4.29 per gallon, though prices remain elevated after previously climbing above $4.50. Costs continue to top $5 in six states following the disruption of shipping lanes in the region.

Although the White House has dismissed concerns regarding the economic impact, public polling suggests the financial pressure is affecting domestic budgets.

Trump has downplayed the inflation concerns, calling the price hikes “peanuts” in comparison to the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran.

However, a May survey conducted by Public First for Politico found that 53 percent of Americans say the cost of living is the worst they can remember, an increase from the 46 percent recorded in November.

The economic effects were highlighted by Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody's Analytics. In a statement posted to X, Zandi described the conflict in Iran as a “big economic blow” for Americans.

Zandi stated that domestic tax cuts had initially offset the higher costs, but that is no longer the case.

“As of May 16, the bigger tax refunds Americans have received this year no longer cover the higher costs of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel caused by the war,” Zandi wrote. “The financial pressure is thus mounting quickly, particularly on already hard-pressed middle and lower-income households.”

Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the personal savings rate fell to 2.6 percent in April, down from 5.8 percent a year earlier, indicating that households are setting aside less money as daily expenses rise.

Economists have expressed concern regarding the longevity of this trend if energy prices fail to stabilize. Zandi warned that low savings rates leave families with fewer options to absorb ongoing costs, which could affect broader economic growth.

“With the saving rate about as low as it ever goes, unless the war ends soon and energy prices come down, they will have little choice but to rein in their spending, weighing further on the already sagging economy,” Zandi wrote.

Here’s the impact of Trump’s Iran war on your household budget - Yahoo News UK

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Microsoft says new quantum chip 1,000 times more reliable than predecessor

2 June 2026

Microsoft says its new quantum chip is vastly more reliable than its previous version, paving the way for a quantum computer solving commercially useful problems within three years.

At the heart of quantum computing are qubits, which offer the promise of answering questions that defeat today's machines, but are notoriously delicate and unstable.

Microsoft says the qubits on Majorana 2, its new chip, survive for an average of 20 seconds, rather than the milliseconds of Majorana 1.

That means the new chip is 1,000 times more reliable - an improvement in performance the tech giant compares to the difference between a phone that needs charging every day to one which needs charging every few years.

"We will have a quantum machine in 2029 that can solve commercially viable, reasonable problems", said Zulfi Alam, corporate vice president of Microsoft Quantum.

That would still require huge further advances as such a device would require millions of qubits - the current chip, Alam said, has 12.

Assessing the firm's claims are difficult because it does not release the full details of what it has discovered publicly, citing commercial confidentiality.

There is a worldwide race to develop the technology, given its potential to take on tasks currently considered too enormous for even the most powerful traditional computers.

Microsoft has spent 20 years pursuing an approach to quantum computing known as "topological".

The firm's approach to this is based on exploiting the properties of a so-called quasi-particle, which had existed only in theory, since it was first predicted in the 1930s by Italian physicist Ettore Majorana.

To do this it had to exploit a novel state of matter - different from the three familiar states of liquid, solid or gas.

Paul Stevenson, a physics professor at the University of Surrey, said the tech giant's timeline sounded plausible - if its research lived up to its claims.

"Microsoft appears to have made a leap in their attempt to produce viable topological qubits," he said.

"If they succeed, they will leap from being a player with no production quantum computer, to being a serious player in the race to make the next generation of fault-tolerant machines."

False start

Microsoft's focus on topological qubits has, at times, been controversial.

It was forced to retract a paper published in the journal Nature in 2018 in which it claimed to have found evidence for the Majorana.

But it continued working on it, and its first Majorana chip was released in 2025.

However, Microsoft faced considerable scepticism, including over its claims about Majorana's, from unconvinced experts, external.

Henry Legg, a physicist at the university of St Andrews, told the BBC at the time that in his opinion Microsoft's quantum research had "moved firmly away from science and entered the realm of faith".

Today, Jason Zander, executive vice president of Microsoft Quantum and Discovery, said: "We stand behind it 100%.

More, much more.

Microsoft claims new quantum chip 1,000 times better than before - BBC News

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)    

Go into the street and give one man a lecture on morality, and another a shilling, and see which will respect you most. 

Dr. Samuel Johnson.


Wednesday, 3 June 2026

A Global Inflation Surge. Trump’s All Losers War! Worse Still To Come.

Baltic Dry Index. 3205 -17       Brent Crude 97.06

Spot Gold 4502                           Spot Silver 75.18

US 2 Year Yield 4.05 unch.

US Federal Debt. 39.202 trillion

US GDP 32.178 trillion.

Some people make things happen, some watch while things happen, and some wonder what happened?

Anon.

In the stock casinos, “damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead.”  Bubble on like it’s 2019 1929 again as easy money meets FOMO, Fear Of Missing Out.

That it ends badly is a given, but when? Why?

I suspect October, the favoured crash month, assuming Trump’s six day war doesn’t crash the global economy sooner.

Look away from the rising oil price now.

Japan’s Nikkei hits record high as Asia markets rise amid Middle East concerns

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 7:51 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets opened broadly higher Wednesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 hitting a record high, as investors appeared to look past uncertainty over U.S.-Iran negotiations aimed at ending the Middle East conflict.

Tensions have escalated between Washington and Tehran, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying on Tuesday that Iran has mined “large segments” of the Strait of Hormuz.

“They’re firing on commercial ships and they’ve mined large segments of Hormuz — international waters,” Rubio told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. This marks his first appearance before Congress since the Iran war on Feb. 28.

A White House official told CNBC that the Pentagon has destroyed numerous mines and over 40 minelaying vessels.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway, particularly for the energy market globally — around 20% of the world’s oil supplies passed through the strait before the war. 

Japan’s Nikkei 225 extended early gains to rise 2.94%, while the Topix added 2.14%.

Mainland China’s CSI 300 was 1.52% higher, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.73%.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.82% even as the country reported GDP growth of 2.5% year on year for the first three months this year, missing economists’ expectations of 2.6%. Growth was pressured by weaker household spending, lower government consumption, as well as impact from severe weather disruption to the mining industry.

India’s Nifty 50 fell 0.78%, while the BSE Sensex slipped 0.85%.

South Korea’s markets were closed for a holiday.

The West Texas Intermediate futures for June were 1.00% higher at $94.70 per barrel as of 11:45 p.m. ET. Brent crude futures for July gained 0.92% at $96.88 per barrel.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were trading around the flatline, as were futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average

During Tuesday’s regular session, the broad-based S&P 500 rose 0.13% to end above 7,600 for the first time ever, while the Dow added 228.91 points, or 0.45%. The Nasdaq Composite eked out a gain of 0.03%.

Asia markets today: Nikkei, Kospi, Hang Seng, Sensex, Iran, oil

U.S., Iran intensify attacks as ceasefire frays, peace talks stall

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 8:50 PM EDT

U.S. Central Command said Tuesday that it had defeated multiple Iranian ballistic missiles and drones and launched defensive strikes in response to “attempted attacks” by Iran, the latest in a cycle of attacks that has further threatened a fragile ceasefire.

Iran had launched several ballistic missiles toward regional neighbors, though none hit their intended targets, according to a statement from CENTCOM. Two Iranian missiles fired at Kuwait fell short or broke apart en route, and three missiles launched at Bahrain were immediately intercepted by U.S. and Bahrain air defense forces, it said.

The U.S. also shot down three one-way attack drones launched by Iran toward civilian mariners that were transiting regional waters, according to the statement. American forces also conducted self-defense strikes on an Iranian military ground control station on Qeshm Island.

Three months in, the regional conflict has hardened into a stalemate as the U.S. and Iran have repeatedly failed to turn a fragile ceasefire into a lasting peace deal.

Iran is reportedly reviewing an agreement proposed by the Trump administration to pause the war but has not communicated with Washington for a few days, Iranian media reported on Tuesday, while U.S. President Donald Trump said negotiations were ongoing.

Tensions on the ground have escalated in recent weeks. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps has attacked the U.S. ⁠Fifth Fleet headquarters and an ​airbase and helicopters ​in the region using missiles and drones, in response ⁠to what the IRGC described as a U.S. attack on an ‌a communications tower south of Qeshm Island, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing Iranian media.

IRGC’s navy ​also targeted a vessel it identified as Panaya with missiles in ⁠response to what it said ‌was a U.S. ‌attack on an Iranian tanker near the Strait of ⁠Hormuz with a projectile that damaged ⁠the engine room, ⁠according to Reuters.

Governments in the Gulf region reported drone attacks on Wednesday, with Kuwait’s air defenses confronting “hostile missile and drone attacks” while the country urged citizens to adhere to the security and safety instructions in place.

Bahrain’s interior ministry also sounded warning sirens urging residents to seek shelter.

Asian markets traded higher on Wednesday, tracking gains on Wall Street with the major averages notching fresh record closes overnight. Japan’s Nikkei 225 hit a record high, signaling that investors have looked past the geopolitical uncertainty.

“It’s hard to gauge when [the conflict and negotiations] may finally come to an end,” Rick Gardner, chief investment officer at RGA Investments, said on CNBC’s Squawk Box Asia on Wednesday. He expects markets to oscillate between conflict-related negative shock and resilient corporate earnings.

“You’ve got a two-edged sword there,” Gardner said, adding that investors who step back from markets over geopolitical uncertainty risk being “on the wrong side of the trade,” pointing to strong earnings and guidance as reasons to stay in.

U.S., Iran intensify attacks as ceasefire frays, peace talks stall

Gold overtakes US bonds as world’s favourite investment

Escalating fears over Trump’s wars and tariffs push central banks to dump Treasuries

Published 02 June 2026 12:19pm BST

Gold has overtaken US bonds to become central banks’ favourite investment, as Donald Trump rattles faith in America’s political stability and public finances.

The share of gold in central banks’ official holdings of foreign currencies climbed to 27pc last year, surpassing US Treasuries at 22pc, according to a report from the European Central Bank (ECB).

Gold’s soaring price is the main reason for its newfound dominance of central banks’ foreign reserves. The cost of a troy ounce rose by 65pc last year, finishing 2025 at a near-record $4,322 (£3,209).

But the ECB said central banks were also using gold to shore up their balance sheets against the headwinds of “geopolitics” – often used as code for Mr Trump’s tariffs, wars and territorial threats.

The bank cited a survey from late 2025 in which central banks said “geopolitics” was the third-biggest risk they faced, behind only “cybersecurity” and “other cyber incidents”. Three-quarters of central banks said geopolitical risk had increased last year.

In a fresh survey from April, a month after the US and Israel attacked Iran, 70pc of central banks said geopolitics was now the most significant risk they faced this year.

A third of central banks also said geopolitics would be the most important factor guiding the management of their foreign-currency reserves over the next five years.

Gold is traditionally viewed as a haven when markets or politics are stormy. But the ECB noted several disadvantages: its price is volatile, it is expensive to store and it cannot respond as quickly to shifts in demand.

This has traditionally led central banks to favour US bonds and other dollar-denominated investments, which are highly liquid and held in the world’s most widely used currency.

However, central banks have grown more cautious as Mr Trump has pursued unpredictable policy on the world stage and piled on more debt.

The US government’s debt is growing faster than demand for its bonds and faster than the American economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio has risen from just over 100pc in the 2010s to more than 120pc today.

More

Gold overtakes US bonds as world’s favourite investment

Next, what Netanyahu’s desperation to cling for office has wrought. Sadly, all too predictably, driving wrong antisemitism worldwide. Who could have known?

Trump outburst reflects Israel’s sinking popularity in American eyes

2 June 2026

When details were leaked about the latest phone call between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the headlines focused on the wave of profanities from the US president.

“What the f--- are you doing?” shouted Mr Trump in reference to the Israeli prime minister’s continued bombing of Lebanon. “You’re f---ing crazy. You’d be in prison if it weren’t for me.

It is strong stuff, revealing genuine anger, but it is not the first time an American president has lost his patience with the aggressive brinkmanship of Mr Netanyahu.

Much more troubling for the Jewish state are the words that followed: “Everybody hates you now. Everybody hates Israel because of this.”

Mr Trump, like many populist leaders, finds his way by testing boundaries. He throws up insults until he finds one that bites, and then he mines it for everything it is worth.

For many non-Israeli Jews and others around the world who support the existence of a democratic Jewish state, the words “everybody hates Israel” are chilling. It is not just because they capture some truth, but because the politics they open up play on an ancient and contagious hate.

Research by the Pew Research Center, a think tank based in Washington DC, found last year that across 24 countries it surveyed, 62 per cent of people had negative views of the country, against 29 per cent who viewed it positively.

More

Trump outburst reflects Israel’s sinking popularity in American eyes

In food supply news, Trump’s supply chain disruptions continue to drive food price inflation.

Rising fertilizer costs drive downturn in Australian wheat production

Source: Xinhua| 2026-06-02 15:34:15

CANBERRA, June 2 (Xinhua) -- Australia's annual wheat harvest is set to fall by 26 percent year-on-year as a result of rising fertilizer prices driven by the conflict in the Middle East, according to a government report.

The agricultural commodities report published by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) on Tuesday said that national wheat production is forecast to fall to 26.7 million tonnes in 2026-27, down 26 percent from 2025-26 and 8 percent below the 10-year average.

A separate crop report also published by the ABARES on Tuesday said that the total area planted to wheat is forecast to fall by 12 percent to 10.9 million hectares in 2026-27, the smallest area since 2019-20.

Overall, it said that Australian winter crop production is forecast to fall by 21 percent year-on-year to 54.5 million tonnes.

The commodities report said that many growers are expected to leave plowed land unplanted due to increases in fuel and fertilizer prices as well as dry conditions and a below-average national winter rainfall outlook.

"The impact of Middle East conflict is significant for Australian agriculture because the sector is export-oriented and farming systems use imports of fuel, fertilizer, chemicals, and packaging as inputs," the report said.

According to the ABARES, Australian grain and oilseed export prices have risen by around 20 percent since the conflict in the Middle East began, but domestic prices for urea have risen by more than 80 percent in the same period.

As a result of the declining winter crop production, the bureau is forecasting that the total value of Australia's agricultural output will fall by 5 percent to 98.3 billion Australian dollars (70.5 billion U.S. dollars) in 2026-27.

Agricultural export value is expected to fall by 9 percent to 74.8 billion Australian dollars (53.6 billion U.S. dollars), the report said. ■

Rising fertilizer costs drive downturn in Australian wheat production-Xinhua

In the USA, approx. 6 minutes.

Ag's Headlines: Historic Wheat Losses Mount While FTC Targets Fertilizer Industry

Bing Videos

In other news, China learning to live without Nvidia. The world transitioning from Trump’s USA towards China.

CNBC’s The China Connection newsletter: China learns to build without Nvidia

Published Mon, Jun 1 2026 7:00 PM EDT

Hi, this is Evelyn, writing to you from Beijing. Welcome to the latest edition of The China Connection — a succinct snapshot of what I’m seeing and hearing from local businesses.

China’s tech self-sufficiency push is rapidly becoming a reality as companies focus on business questions that run deeper than geopolitics. What does that mean for Nvidia?

The big story

Robovan startup Zelostech plans to use multiple chip suppliers from China and elsewhere, over the next year or two, instead of relying only on Nvidia for its self-driving systems, the company told CNBC.

A major factor is cost, said Shi Yunjian, director of finance and investment. Using China-made chips, for example, would cost far less than the two Nvidia Orin chipsets currently used in each vehicle, he said.

That’s a big deal because scale is becoming a competitive advantage. The more autonomous vehicles can deploy, the more operating data they can collect and the easier it becomes to convince regulators that the technology is ready for wider use.

Zelostech claims it already has more than 25,000 vehicles operating in over 20 countries, with plans to expand rapidly. These don’t carry people, and many are smaller than a mail truck. Most operate in mainland China, mostly for logistics companies delivering packages.

By comparison, Alphabet-backed Waymo has just under 4,000 vehicles on the road, while Chinese rivals Baidu, WeRide and Pony.ai have yet to deploy fleets at a similar scale.

Beyond Nvidia

Zelostech is hardly alone in pursuing Nvidia alternatives.

Waymo uses custom chips, while Chinese electric car giant BYD last week joined Nio and Xpeng in revealing their own semiconductors for driver-assist systems.

This year, Nio said it’s planning a fivefold increase in spending on computing power. When I asked whether that included Nvidia, CEO William Li said the company was no longer buying chips but renting compute power powered by a variety of processors.

A vehicle Xpeng co-developed with Volkswagen is also using the Chinese company’s “Turing chip,” while the German automaker has partnered with China’s Horizon Robotics to develop driver-assist systems in China — without Nvidia.

Nvidia’s driver-assist chips are not subject to the same U.S. export restrictions that apply to the more advanced semiconductors used to train and run AI models.

Yet even after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joined U.S. President Donald Trump on his trip to Beijing in May, it’s clear China is not eager to let more Nvidia chips in.

The shift extends beyond vehicles. Chinese AI developers have increasingly optimized their models to run on homegrown hardware, rather than Nvidia’s widely used CUDA ecosystem.

The latest MiniMax and Kimi models, along with DeepSeek’s V4, are compatible with local Chinese semiconductors.

“We believe the pivot to domestic chips will accelerate over 2026E-28E,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a May 5 report. They pointed out that DeepSeek V4 works with eight China-made chips, including those from Huawei and Alibaba’s T-head chip unit.

More

China learns to build without Nvidia

Every world leader who has visited China in 2026 in one chart

China has hosted 26 leaders from 23 countries this year, underscoring its growing diplomatic and economic influence.

2 Jun 2026

British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper is the latest senior official in a steady stream of world leaders visiting China this year.

During her three-day trip this week, Cooper is expected to meet her Chinese counterpart Wang Yi and Vice President Han Zheng in Beijing before travelling to the southern tech hub of Shenzhen for a programme focused on science and technology.

According to an Al Jazeera tally, Cooper is the 26th foreign leader or senior official to visit China this year. The list includes presidents, prime ministers, chancellors, crown princes and foreign ministers from 23 countries.

In all, leaders from Ireland, South Korea, Canada, Finland, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, Germany, Turkmenistan, Pakistan, Spain, the United Arab Emirates, Russia, Vietnam, Mozambique, Iran, Tajikistan, the United States, Seychelles, Moldova, Singapore, Serbia, Brazil, and Laos have travelled to China this year.

More

Every world leader who has visited China in 2026 in one chart | Business and Economy News | Al Jazeera

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Inflation hits 3.2% in the euro zone as Iran war pushes energy costs higher

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 5:03 AM EDT

Euro zone inflation rose to an estimated 3.2% in May, driven by double-digit energy price growth, official data showed on Tuesday.

The print, which was in line with forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists, is expected to lock in expectations of an interest rate hike at next week’s European Central Bank meeting.

Energy costs represented the highest annual rate of inflation in May, according to the flash data, with prices rising by 10.9% — a slight rise from the euro zone’s 10.8% energy price growth recorded the previous month.

Services inflation rose to 3.5% from 3% in April, while food, alcohol and tobacco prices cooled to 2% from 2.4% the previous month.

Inflation rates also varied drastically between individual markets. Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, saw annual inflation fall to 2.7% in May from 2.9% in April. But Greece and Lithuania’s annual inflation rates rose above 5% last month. In France, annual inflation rose from 2.5% in April to 2.8% in May.

Tuesday’s print showed inflation in Europe is continuing to rise above the European Central Bank’s 2% target as oil and gas prices remain elevated in the wake of the U.S.-Iran war.

Inflation in the euro zone jumped to 3% in April, up from 2.6% in March. Prior to the outbreak of the conflict in Iran, inflation in the euro area had dipped below the 2% threshold.

Europe is particularly vulnerable to energy shocks as a major net energy importer.

Markets are currently pricing in a 94% chance of the ECB hiking its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its meeting later this month, according to LSEG data.

Following the data release, the euro was flat against the dollar at around $1.164. The yield on Germany’s 10-year bund, broadly seen as a benchmark for the euro zone, fell by 6 basis points.

Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING, said in a note on Tuesday morning that the May inflation data paves the way for an ECB rate hike next week.

“A week ahead of the next ECB meeting, this is the expected uptick in inflation that will motivate the central bank to decide on an ‘insurance’ hike,” he said.

Brzeski added that the Iran war-induced energy shock had “become more permanent,” but noted that oil prices remain lower than levels forecast by many market watchers under a more adverse scenario regarding the length of the war.

“Nevertheless, for inflation in the eurozone, the only way is currently up,” he said. “Not a sharp up but a rather moderate and gradual lift. While knock-on effects from higher energy prices on other prices, like transportation and food, will be hard to avoid, the latest survey-based inflation expectations have come down a bit.”

Inflation hits 3.2% in the euro zone as energy costs climb higher

S. Korea's consumer price inflation hits 26-month high in May

Source: Xinhua| 2026-06-02 15:22:15

SEOUL, June 2 (Xinhua) -- South Korea's consumer price inflation hit a 26-month high due to surging oil product prices driven by tensions in the Middle East, statistical ministry data showed Tuesday.

The consumer price index (CPI) shot up 3.1 percent in May from a year earlier, marking the fastest gain since March 2024, according to the Ministry of Data and Statistics.

Headline inflation has stayed above the central bank's mid-term inflation target of 2 percent for nine straight months since September 2025.

Prices for industrial products, including oil products and processed food, spiked 4.2 percent in May compared to the same month last year, up from 3.8 percent in the previous month.

Prices for oil products surged 24.2 percent in May, pushing overall inflation up by 0.92 percentage points. This marked the fastest increase in nearly four years, since July 2022.

Prices for gasoline and diesel jumped 23.1 percent and 33.3 percent, respectively, while computer prices went up 19.0 percent amid higher semiconductor prices.

Prices for agricultural, livestock and fishery products climbed 2.2 percent in May from a year earlier, marking the first rebound in three months.

Prices for electricity, natural gas and tap water were up 0.1 percent in May on a yearly basis.

City gas charge, heating cost and waterworks fee added in single digits, while electricity bills dipped 0.4 percent.

Service prices surged 2.8 percent in the month, lifting headline inflation by 1.56 percentage points, marking the fastest increase since December 2023.

Driven by a surge in fuel surcharges amid rising oil prices, international airfares jumped 33.5 percent last month, marking the steepest increase since records began in 1995.

The livelihood items index, which gauges prices for daily necessities, climbed 3.3 percent, while the fresh food index, which measures prices for fish, shellfish, fruit and vegetables, declined 1.4 percent.

Demand-side inflationary pressure lingered. Core consumer price index, which excludes volatile agricultural and oil products, appreciated 2.5 percent.

The OECD-method core price index, excluding volatile energy and food costs, picked up 2.5 percent in the cited month. ■

S. Korea's consumer price inflation hits 26-month high in May-Xinhua

Trump administration proposes 25% tariff on Brazilian goods over unfair trade practices

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 12:13 AM EDT

The Office of the United States Trade Representative has proposed 25% tariffs on Brazilian goods under Section 301, determining that the South American nation had engaged in practices that “are unreasonable and burden or restrict U.S. commerce.”

Some of these practices also include anti-corruption enforcement, intellectual property protection, ethanol market access, and illegal deforestation, according to the release from the U.S. Trade Representative.

U.S Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said that the investigation under Section 301 was launched at the direction of U.S. President Donald Trump.

While Trump has had “several constructive meetings” with Brazilian counterpart Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the two sides continue to have substantial differences in resolving the issues identified in this investigation, Greer said.

The USTR will hold a hearing about the proposed action on July 6.

Section 301 is designed to address unfair foreign practices affecting U.S. commerce, and allows the U.S. president to impose tariffs if an investigation finds that the acts are unreasonable or discriminatory.

Back in July 2025, Brazil was hit with 50% tariff by Trump, partly in retaliation for the ongoing prosecution of the country’s former President Jair Bolsonaro.

However, those duties were struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court in February, leaving Washington able to only impose a 10% global tariff on exports to the U.S.

Separately, the White House announced an adjustment to tariffs on certain steel, aluminum and copper imports. Levies on agricultural equipment, like combines and harvesters will be dropped to 15% from 25%, and the scope of equipment qualifying for the 15% tariff will also be expanded.

Capital equipment that include at least 85% of U.S. steel and aluminum by weight will also qualify for a 10% duty rate, down from the current 95%.

Trump administration proposes 25% tariff on Brazilian goods over unfair trade practices

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Scientists listen to the ‘heart’ of our Sun – and find mysterious behaviour

Andrew Griffin Tue, 2 June 2026 at 4:10 am BST

The Sun is behaving in mysterious and unexpected ways, scientists have found after listening to its “heart”.

A new study suggests that something has changed about the Sun’s internal rhythm over the past 40 years, the researchers say. That rhythm decides space weather than can affect life on Earth, and scientists say that urgent study is required to understand what is happening to our star.

The Sun is known to change on 11-year cycles, from active to less active times. Through the busier parts of those cycles, the Sun is more likely to throw out solar flares and ejections of particles that can lead to potentially dangerous solar storms.

The new research came after scientists listened to the tiny sound waves that are inside the Sun. That allows them to better understand the changes on the Sun’s interior, and what they might mean for its cycles and behaviour.

They found that the Sun appears to be entering a “different mode of behaviour”. In addition to the usual 11-year tempo, there are more long term changes in its structure that could alter how the Sun works.

The study suggests that solar magnetic activity is being pushed into a layer just below the visible surface of the Sun, and that layer is becoming increasingly shallow.

"The Sun has its own 'active biorhythm' creating rising and falling magnetic activity that shapes space weather. However, traditional surface measures don't capture the full story – that the Sun may be entering a different mode of behaviour unfolding over decades,” said Bill Chaplin, from the University of Birmingham, who was the lead author on the new study.

"We have uncovered evidence of systematic changes in the solar activity cycle. Crucially, magnetic activity is becoming more tightly confined near the surface with each cycle. This is the first such discovery and would have been impossible without the long BiSON observations."

The researchers suggest that more work is required to better understand the Sun’s current cycle and whatever changes inside might be powering and altering it.

"We discovered that the relationship between internal solar oscillations and surface activity has evolved over the past few cycles,” said Sarbani Basu, from Yale University.

"This trend cannot be explained simply by weaker magnetic fields. Instead, it indicates a structural reorganisation of how the Sun's magnetic activity is stored beneath the surface."

Scientists listen to the ‘heart’ of our Sun – and find mysterious behaviour - Yahoo News UK

Blue Origin launchpad damaged in rocket explosion may not be restored until 2028, NASA’s Isaacman says

Published Mon, Jun 1 2026 7:48 PM EDT

NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman on Monday told CNBC that it will “take some serious time” to restore the launchpad damaged last week by a Blue Origin rocket explosion.

Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin was conducting a hot-fire test of its massive New Glenn rocket on Thursday at a Space Force launch facility in Cape Canaveral, Florida, when the rocket erupted into a fireball. Bezos confirmed that all Blue Origin personnel were safe following the incident, and pledged to rebuild, while calling it a “very rough day.”

A 2028 timeframe is “within the realm” of a possible launchpad recovery, Isaacman said in an interview with CNBC’s Morgan Brennan at the CEO Council Summit.

“We’re all getting organized generally around the idea that we certainly want to see Blue Origin be very successful,” Isaacman said. “So recovering, getting the pad recovered, providing subject matter expertise, root cause analysis for sure. Let’s figure out what’s broken, and then we got to keep moving forward.”

Isaacman, Bezos and Blue Origin CEO Dave Limp toured the launchpad and addressed the space startup’s employees on Friday. Limp wrote in a Saturday post on X that Blue Origin has since regained some access to launchpad and developed a plan for rebuilding.

NASA has several contracts with Blue Origin as part of the space agency’s Artemis program, an effort to return American astronauts to the Moon’s surface by 2028. It tapped Blue Origin to launch an uncrewed Blue Moon lander, known as MK1, atop New Glenn later this year.

Getting the lander to the moon will require a rocket that can carry a significant amount of mass, Isaacman said. That will likely put NASA in “Falcon Heavy land,” he said, referring to the super heavy-lift rocket developed by Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

“In terms of heavy lift, you know, real heavy lift, you’ve got SpaceX and Blue Origin, and obviously one of them is down a pad right now,” Isaacman said.

New Glenn was designed by Blue Origin to compete with SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket, along with United Launch Alliance’s Vulcan heavy-lift rocket.

Blue Origin only has one New Glenn launchpad, making Thursday’s explosion an especially devastating mishap. It plans to operate a New Glenn launchpad out of Vandenberg Space Force Base in California, but that pad remains in development.

“We’ve got a lot of data, in fact, it was one of the first things my team made available, is, hey, across history of human space flight, of every launch pad we’ve built, every launch pad we ever had to rebuild, here’s the timelines,” Isaacman said. “Even if you’re moving at, you know, a pretty quick pace, that’s going to take some serious time.”

The incident also impacts Blue Origin’s other customers, including Amazon. Blue Origin was set to ferry 48 satellites for Amazon’s nascent Leo internet-from-space venture this week, as part of several upcoming missions.

Amazon, which Bezos founded in 1994, has a pending deadline by the Federal Communications Commission to deploy about half of its constellation by next month. It’s also working to bring its Leo service online for commercial customers later this year, which aims to compete with SpaceX’s Starlink.

AST SpaceMobile, which is building a direct-to-device satellite system, also relies on Blue Origin for some rocket launches. The stock closed down more than 6% on Monday, after falling almost 17% on Friday.

Blue Origin launchpad may not be restored until 2028: NASA's Isaacman

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)    

The most likely way for the world to be destroyed, most experts agree, is by accident. That’s where we come in: we’re computer professionals. We cause accidents.

Anon.