Wednesday, 27 May 2026

Stocks, More Disconnect! Coming Soon “A Tokenized US Fiat Dollar.”

Baltic Dry Index. 3085 +94     Brent Crude 97.94

Spot Gold 4504                          Spot Silver 76.88

US 2 Year Yield 4.01 -0.12

US Federal Debt. 39.293 trillion

US GDP 32.156 trillion.

Republican’s are good for depressions, Democrats are good for wars.

Wall Street saying circa 1976, but perhaps it’s changed in 2026.

With global supply chain disruption everywhere, Trump’s six day war entering day 88, oil inventories, jet fuel and diesel inventories all rapidly nearing day to day supply disruption, the global stock casinos bubble on like nothing happened.

Supply disruption? Who needs supplies? War? What war? Drought in the USA and much of Europe, food price inflation? Let them eat cake!

And so the great delusional disconnect from reality goes on in the GREAT AI MANIA in the stock casinos.

Of course, manias, like debt, don’t matter until one day, out of the blue it does.

Dinosaur Graeme thinks that day may be close, possibly on or near July 4th, America’s 250th founding anniversary.

Japan, South Korea stocks hit fresh records as markets weigh Iran tensions and ceasefire talks

Published Tue, May 26 2026 7:47 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets rose on Wednesday, with Japan and South Korea’s benchmark indices hitting new highs as investors assessed recent U.S. military action in Iran, the fragile state of the Washington-Tehran ceasefire and optimism that a deal could still be reached.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.49% to a fresh record, while the Topix added 0.57%.

South Korea’s Kospi jumped 4.84%, while the small-cap Kosdaq declined 0.68%. Shares of Samsung Electronics rose 6% after unionized workers at the company in South Korea approved a provisional wage agreement, averting a potential strike that could have disrupted global semiconductor supply chains.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.13%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was flat, while the mainland CSI 300 was up 0.27%.

U.S. forces carried out what the Pentagon described as “self-defense” strikes in southern Iran early Tuesday, targeting missile launch sites and Iranian vessels allegedly attempting to deploy mines, even as Washington insisted it was still observing restraint under the ongoing ceasefire framework.

The military action highlighted the fragile truce between Washington and Tehran, with both sides continuing to test limits despite negotiations that the White House has described as nearing completion.

President Donald Trump said Monday that talks with Iran to end the war were “proceeding nicely.” That said, he did warn the U.S. could go on the offensive if negotiations break down.

Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose to fresh intraday all-time highs on Tuesday, led by technology, as traders weighed the developments in the Middle East.

The broad market S&P 500 gained 0.61% and ended at 7,519.12, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 1.19% to 26,656.18. Both indexes also closed at records. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 118.02 points, or 0.23%, ending at 50,461.68. U.S. stock markets were closed Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday.

Asia markets: investors weigh fragile Iran ceasefire, possible U.S.-Iran deal

Stock futures are little changed after the S&P 500 closes at another record: Live updates

Updated Wed, May 27 2026 12:04 AM EDT

U.S. stock futures were little changed early Wednesday after a tech-drive rally lifted the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite to new records.

S&P 500 futures were marginally higher, while futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 40 points, or less than 0.1%. Nasdaq 100 futures were near the flatline.

Stocks making the biggest moves in Tuesday’s extended trading session included Zscaler, which tumbled 19% after guiding for current-quarter revenue below what analysts polled by LSEG were seeking. Meanwhile, shares of Insulet fell 8% after the diabetes management company announced a voluntary medical device correction for specific lots of several of its pods.

During the day’s regular session, a rally in the technology sector drove both the broad market index and tech-heavy Nasdaq to fresh intraday and closing highs. The S&P 500 added 0.61%, while the Nasdaq popped 1.19%. On the other hand, the blue-chip Dow shed 118.02 points, or 0.23%.

Tuesday’s gains were driven by shares of Micron Technology, which surged 19% to top $1 trillion in market capitalization for the first time. Investors were also encouraged by messages from President Donald Trump indicating that talks with Iran to end the war were “proceeding nicely.” While the U.S. conducted “self defense” strikes in southern Iran early Tuesday, Central Command spokesman Tim Hawkins said that the U.S. used “restraint during the ongoing ceasefire” between the two nations.

Hopes of easing tensions, alongside a strong earnings season, have propelled stocks to numerous new record highs this year. But Drew Pettit, U.S. equity strategist at Citi, doesn’t see much more room for stocks to run from here.

“You got yields higher, like 4.50% on the [U.S. 10-year Treasury] , and you have inflation expectations higher in a curve that’s actually gotten flatter throughout the year. All of that doesn’t set you up for a higher sustainable multiple at this point,” he said on CNBC’s “Power Lunch” on Tuesday afternoon.

Pettit’s 7,700 year-end target for the S&P 500 implies a modest increase of just 2% for the index.

Bank of MontrealBath & Body WorksCapriDick’s Sporting GoodsManchester United and Abercrombie & Fitch will report earnings before Wednesday’s opening bell.

Stock market today: Live updates

ECB ‘will do what is necessary’ to tame inflation, Bank of France governor tells CNBC

Published Tue, May 26 2026 9:53 AM EDT

The European Central Bank “will do what is necessary” to keep inflation on target, one of its top policymakers has told CNBC.

Speaking to CNBC’s Lisa Kim in Singapore on Tuesday, Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau sought to reassure sovereign debt markets that central bankers in Europe were committed to minimizing the impact of the Iran war.

Spiking oil prices, a result of the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have fueled concerns that an energy crisis could lead to a resurgence of inflation in various markets.

Villeroy de Galhau, who is a member of the ECB’s Governing Council, added that European policymakers “will do what is necessary as an independent central bank to bring inflation back to target.”

“If I speak on behalf of the ECB, this means do what is necessary to bring inflation back to 2% in the medium term. Markets can be assured of that,” he told CNBC.

Eurozone inflation had dipped below the ECB’s target to 1.9% before the war in the Middle East began with joint U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28. Inflation in the eurozone jumped to 3% in April, up from 2.6% in March.

Europe is particularly vulnerable to energy shocks as a major net energy importer. Prices of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel have surged in recent months, prompting government intervention in some countries and warnings of flight cancellations over the summer.

Villeroy de Galhau told CNBC that there was a fear of inflation permeating financial markets, which was particularly visible in government bonds.  

“The effect of the Middle East conflict is clear,” Villeroy de Galhau told CNBC. “In the short run, there are significant upward pressure first round effects due to energy prices, but it’s our responsibility, I would even say our commitment to prevent second round effects.”

More

ECB inflation outlook: Villeroy says bank ready to act

In other news.

Australian businesses under pressure as fuel shortages bite

Source: Xinhua| 2026-05-26 12:11:45

CANBERRA, May 26 (Xinhua) -- Australia's businesses are facing pressure from rising fuel costs and supply disruptions, with 72 percent reporting negative impacts, official data showed on Tuesday.

The data from the survey of business conditions and sentiments highlights the economic impacts of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil transit route, on Australian businesses, said Tom Lay, head of business statistics at the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

"Businesses across all industries were impacted by rising fuel costs from global volatility and ongoing supply chain disruptions," Lay said, adding one in six businesses reported supply chain interruptions, particularly in transport, logistics, agriculture and small businesses.

About 36 percent said revenue had dropped over the past four weeks, while 27 percent expect further declines in the coming month, said an ABS statement.

Half of businesses reported rising operating expenses, driven mainly by higher fuel, freight and delivery costs, the statement said.

About 60 percent of firms adjusted operations due to fuel costs or supply in May, it said, adding that nearly half absorbed costs, while others raised prices, delayed production, or added fuel surcharges.

About 28 percent of businesses made changes to their workforce, including cutting non-essential travel and reducing staff, the statistics showed.

Australian businesses under pressure as fuel shortages bite-Xinhua

China switched on the world’s largest offshore wind turbine and researchers are now watching for measurable local atmospheric effects, because at this scale the rotor is big enough to change turbulence and mixing, not just generate electricity

Published On: May 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM

China has switched on a 20-megawatt offshore wind turbine that’s being described as the largest of its kind, a headline-grabbing leap for renewable power and a clear signal that “bigger” is still the industry’s favorite direction of travel. But the more interesting twist is what came next.

Early reporting says researchers noticed unexpected shifts in the local microclimate around the installation, including changes in air currents and how temperatures are distributed nearby.

Can one machine really “touch” the weather around it? In a limited, local sense, yes, and that matters because offshore wind is moving from niche to mega-infrastructure.

As turbines scale up, the clean-energy benefits people see on an electric bill can arrive alongside new questions coastal planners and environmental scientists have to measure instead of guess.

A record breaker built for rough seas

The turbine highlighted in the briefing is located in waters near China’s Hainan province in the South China Sea, with reports describing a structure about 242 meters tall and blades around 128 meters long.

It’s also built to tolerate extreme conditions, including gusts up to 80 meters per second (roughly 178 miles per hour), which is the kind of number you associate with typhoon resilience, not everyday operations.

Industry reporting identifies the unit as Mingyang Smart Energy’s MySE18.X-20 MW, with flexible ratings up to 20 MW and rotor diameters reported in the 260 to 292-meter range.

That same reporting says that at an average wind speed of 8.5 m/s, annual generation could reach around 80 million kWh, with an emissions-offset estimate of 72,500 tons of CO2 and an electricity-equivalence claim of about 96,000 households.

Why a wind turbine can nudge local weather

A wind turbine works by pulling energy out of moving air, and that energy extraction creates turbulence and a downwind “wake.”

Offshore, that wake can persist longer than on land because the ocean surface is smoother, and a U.S. Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) white paper summarizes research showing offshore wakes measured from zero to 43 miles, with modeling up to 62 miles when multiple turbines interact.

That does not mean offshore wind farms “heat the planet,” and BOEM stresses that wind-farm microclimate effects are better described as localized redistribution of temperature and humidity, not a net increase in heat or water vapor.

More

China switched on the world’s largest offshore wind turbine and researchers are now watching for measurable local atmospheric effects, because at this scale the rotor is big enough to change turbulence and mixing, not just generate electricity

The demand for money is regulated entirely by its value, and its value by its quantity.

David Ricardo

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

More funny money is coming as Uncle Scam gets ever more desperate to prop up the 39+ trillion of US official debt, heading to about 50 trillion of debt in about 2035.

The goal is to tokenize the U.S. dollar for 24/7 settlements so that it continues to hold its dominance in global trade.

Just wait until AI hackers get to the tokenized US fiat dollar, or even start to issue their own “tokenized US fiat dollars” probably starting next year.

China, Japan, UAE, India sell billions in US Treasuries

May 25, 2026

As per latest data from the Treasury International Capital (TIC) System, several countries sold billions of dollars worth of U.S. Treasuries in March 2026.

Japan and China led the exit, selling $47.7 billion and $41 billion worth of U.S. Treasuries in March.

Luxembourg (13.7 billion), Taiwan ($12.7 billion), Saudi Arabia ($10.8 billion), India ($7.6 billion), Canada ($6.9 billion) and the United Arab Emirates ($5.8 billion) were also among the major sellers.

However, some countries added to their U.S. Treasury holdings in March, such as the United Kingdom ($29.6 billion), the Cayman Islands ($16.4 billion), and Germany ($3.7 billion).

Overall, the U.S. Treasuries saw a sell-off of $138.4 billion in March 2026.

The development comes amidst the declining value of the U.S. dollar over the last few years.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies: Euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc, was as high as 113 points in October 2022.

But the index has continued to tank in the later years and stood at 99 points at the time of writing.

GENIUS Act aims to cement dollar's dominance

The U.S. government is well-aware of the challenge to the U.S. dollar's global dominance and is taking innovative steps to contain the damage.

One of these steps is the landmark legislation called the GENIUS Act that is aimed at global adoption of U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins.

A stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a fixed value by pegging it to a real-world asset, most commonly the U.S. dollar. Unlike volatile assets like Bitcoin, 1 stablecoin holds the same value as that of $1.

It's no secret that the dollar still commands the global trade, whether it's commodities like oil or cross-border settlements like SWIFT. Even countries wanting to de-dollarize global trade are forced to settle their trades in the dollar because other alternatives are weaker and less liquid.

But while SWIFT settlements take a longer time and only work on weekdays, stablecoins make cross-border settlements faster and don't even sleep on weekends and public holidays.

In July 2025, President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law to regulate U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins. The legislation mandates strict stablecoin reserve, transparency, and oversight requirements within a federal framework.

The goal is to tokenize the U.S. dollar for 24/7 settlements so that it continues to hold its dominance in global trade.

As per DeFiLlama, the total stablecoin market capitalization has surged from $260 billion in mid-July 2025—when Trump signed the legislation into law—to $322 billion at the time of writing.

In fact, popular stablecoin companies like Tether and Circle have become major holders of U.S. Treasuries.

Tether claimed to hold U.S. Treasury bills worth $122.32 billion as of Dec. 31, 2025, and Circle claimed to hold $20.9 billion in U.S. Treasury securities as of March 11, 2026, as per attestation reports.

China, Japan, UAE, India sell billions in US Treasuries

China industrial profits jump 24.7% in April, fastest gain in over two years despite headwinds

Published Tue, May 26 2026 9:51 PM EDT

BEIJING — China’s industrial profits surged by 24.7% in April from a year earlier, according to official data released Wednesday, despite broader signs of slowing economic momentum.

The increase marked the fastest growth since November 2023, according to financial data provider Wind Information, and accelerated from a 15.8% rise in March.

For the first four months of the year, industrial profits rose 18.2%, up from 15.5% growth in the first quarter. Computing and electronics equipment manufacturing, the largest sector by profit amount, saw earnings more than double from a year ago, although the pace slowed slightly in April from March on a year-to-date basis.

Among the ten largest sectors by profit, the oil and gas extraction industry posted an 8.1% rise in profits in the first four months of the year, reversing a 1.4% decline in the first quarter.

Higher crude prices helped lift profits in the petroleum processing industry to 40.42 billion yuan ($5.96 billion) in the January-April period, nearly double the 22.94 billion yuan recorded as of March.

Profits for automobile manufacturers fell 16.8% in the same period from a year earlier, improving from a 17.7% decline in the first quarter.

Beijing’s efforts to address excessive competition in the automobile and other sectors are starting to bear fruit, EU Chamber of Commerce of China President Jens Eskelund told reporters on Tuesday, citing a survey of members earlier in the year. But he cautioned it would take another year or two to confirm the trend.

A fivefold increase in profits in the mining and related sectors also boosted overall industrial profit growth, while iron smelting and rolling swung to a profit for the year as of April, compared with a loss in the first quarter.

However, profit declines in furniture manufacturing steepened to 54.4% for the first four months of the year, worse than the 44.9% recorded as of March.

“China’s industrial profit growth accelerated sharply in April, driven primarily by rising producer prices amid the global energy shock,” Hao Zhou, head of research and chief economist at Guotai Junan International.

“However, the improvement in profitability appears uneven and potentially fragile. Profit gains are concentrated in upstream and high-tech sectors, while many other industries continue to struggle,” he said in a note.

China reported slower economic growth in April, with a 4.1% increase in industrial output and a 0.2% rise in retail sales from a year ago. Fixed asset investment fell for the first four months of the year as the real estate drag steepened.

Exports remained strong, climbing 14.1% in April from a year ago in U.S. dollar terms. Imports surged by 25.3%, data released earlier in May showed.

The producer price index in April jumped 2.8% from a year ago, the most since July 2022.

China industrial profits jump 24.7% in April, fastest gain in over two years despite headwinds

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Well, if he says so, and have I got a bridge in Brooklyn to sell him.

Donald Trump says the US is developing medicine 'to bring people back to life'

The US President claims that the drug has been tested and shown promising results

22:57, Mon, May 25, 2026 Updated: 23:15, Mon, May 25, 2026

Donald Trump has claimed that the US are working on discovering a medicine that can bring people back to life.

The president made the shocking statement in a press conference from the Oval Office.

Trump stated that the drug has been tested and is showing positive results.

He said, "Without waiting many, many years, we know the drug works because we've taken people who were dead. We had a person given the last rights, gone.

"The kids are crying and everything, and given them this drug and the person became better.

"It works. You know, and some don't work, but you learn really fast. It's called the ultimate test."

However, the US president spared ant details, giving no clinical data or the specific name of the substance.

He linked the successes to the Right to Try Act, a policy that allows terminally ill patients to access experimental treatments.

The legislation was passed during his first administration.

Medical professionals and critics have unsurprisingly responded to the claims with significant scepticism.

It has been argued that this story has been exaggerated from severely ill patients, rather than clinically dead patients with professionals stating the drug simply does not exist.

There was also backlash from the medical world after the conference due to the promotion of 'fake drugs'.

The announcement comes as the US administration is making a shift in public health funding, moving to cut programs for FDA-approved life-saving treatments like Narcan.

Medical experts also highlighted that federal support for proven death-preventing tools (such as fentanyl test strips) is being prohibited.

Outside of the medical world, Trump's claims received further criticism with his statements being compared to a movie plot.

Many shocked listeners understandably thought the unnamed drug in question must be fake.

Donald Trump says the US is developing medicine 'to bring people back to life' | US | News | Express.co.uk

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

Oh, the grand old Duke of Trump,
He had ten thousand men;
He marched them up to the top of the hill,
And he marched them down again.

When they were up, they were up,
And when they were down, they were down,
And when they were only halfway up,
They were neither up nor down.

With apologies.


Tuesday, 26 May 2026

Trump’s War Restarts? Oil Inventory Trouble. Dunkirk 1940.

Baltic Dry Index. 2991 Friday  Brent Crude 98.13

Spot Gold  4540                          Spot Silver 77.05

US 2 Year Yield 4.13 +0.05 Friday

US Federal Debt. 39.289 trillion

US GDP 32.153 trillion.

May 26, 1940 - Evacuation of Allied troops from Dunkirk begins.

Did Trump just restart his hot war in Iran? He says no, the ceasefire is still in place, but what is the value of a US or Israeli “ceasefire” when neither respect them? 

In Trump's case, what is the point of negotiating a trade deal with him, he changes them almost daily with his breakfast cereal, just ask, the EU, China, India, UK, Canada and Mexico among others. Even deals he negotiated himself declaring them with his usual characteristic understatement,  supercalifragilisticexpialidocious!

For now, markets must await further developments. We will probably know by the end of the week, but global oil inventories, especially in jet fuel and critical diesel are now getting dangerously low.

U.S. conducts ‘self-defense strikes’ in Iran as Trump pushes for peace deal

Published Mon, May 25 2026 9:13 PM EDT

U.S. forces conducted “self defense” strikes in southern Iran early Tuesday, with U.S. Central Command saying the military action was to “protect our troops from threats posed by Iranian forces.“

CENTCOM spokesman Tim Hawkins said targets included missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to emplace mines

“U.S. Central Command continues to defend our forces while using restraint during the ongoing ceasefire,” Hawkins added.

The action comes as U.S. President Donald Trump said Monday stateside that the talks with Iran were “proceeding nicely.” However, he warned that “it will only be a Great Deal for all or, no Deal at all,” threatening to take things “Back to the Battlefront and shooting, but bigger and stronger than ever before.”

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who is in India, said that the Strait of Hormuz has to be open, “one way or the other,” referring to U.S. action against Iran, Reuters reported. He added that the deal with Iran could take a few days. Fox News, citing senior U.S. officials on Monday said that the Iran deal was “95% there.”

This is not the first instance of military action since a ceasefire was reached between Washington and Tehran on April 8. Later that month, U.S. marines seized the Touska, an Iranian cargo ship, and in May, both sides traded fire in the Strait of Hormuz, with each side claiming the other initiated the attack.

In a separate Truth Social post, the U.S. President said Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium will be “immediately turned over to the United States to be brought home and destroyed,” destroyed in Iran or “at another acceptable location.”

Trump also urged Arab nations to sign the Abraham Accords, which would normalize their relations with Israel. However, Pakistan roundly rejected the proposal, with a source telling Reuters that the two issues were “not interlinked and cannot be made so.”

Oil prices were mixed Tuesday morning, with U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures down about 5% at $91.87 per barrel, but international benchmark Brent was up 2.14% at $98.2.

Chen Lanhee, partner at advisory firm Brunswick, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” that a majority of the American public wants the war to be over.

“It doesn’t matter what Iran does or doesn’t have, it doesn’t matter what the contours of the deal are. They just want the war over to bring petrol or gas prices down,” Chen said.

More

U.S. conducts 'self-defense strikes' in Iran as Trump seeks peace deal

South Korea’s Kospi hits new high amid mixed trading in Asia

Published Mon, May 25 2026 7:50 PM EDT

South Korea’s Kospi hit a fresh record Tuesday as trading resumed after a public holiday, with investor sentiment supported by hopes for a breakthrough in the U.S.-Iran peace talks.

President Donald Trump said Monday negotiations with Iran were “proceeding nicely,” though he warned that the U.S. could resume attacks if the talks failed.

Oil prices were mixed after Trump’s comments. West Texas Intermediate futures for July fell 5.24% to $91.54 per barrel as of 11:45 p.m. ET. International benchmark Brent futures for July rose 1.80% to $97.87 per barrel.

Signaling the precarious nature of the Washington-Tehran engagement, the U.S. Central Command conducted “self-defense strikes” targeting Iranian missile launch sites and boats attempting to lay mines in the south of the Islamic Republic.

Meanwhile, Tehran appears to be “blinking” over the Strait of Hormuz, ex-CIA Director David Petraeus told CNBC’s Lisa Kim at the UBS Asian Investment Conference on Monday.

South Korea’s Kospi rose to a fresh high of 8,094.90 in early trade, while the small-cap Kosdaq pared gains and was 1.34% higher.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.32% amid some profit taking, while the Topix was flat. The Nikkei 225 breached 65,000 for the first time Monday in holiday-thinned Asia trading. The Bank of Japan’s Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said the timing of a rate hike is still being considered, as the central bank continues to monitor developments in the Middle East, according to Reuters.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.38%.

China’s CSI 300 slipped 0.28%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng reversed early losses and rose 0.45% following a public holiday on Monday.

India’s Nifty 50 was marginally lower, while the BSE Sensex was down 0.35%.

S&P 500 futures gained 0.78%, and Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 1.14%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures popped 371 points, or 0.73%.

U.S. stock markets were closed Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday.

Asia markets today: Sensex, Kospi, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, Iran, Oil

Oil prices mixed as U.S. military strikes against Iran cloud Middle East peace prospects

Published Mon, May 25 2026 8:43 PM EDT

Oil prices were mixed Tuesday as U.S. military operations in southern Iran and President Donald Trump’s mixed messaging on the negotiations between Tehran and Washington kept traders on edge.

July futures for international benchmark Brent crude gained 2% to $98.26 a barrel in Asia trading, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for July were trading 5.1% lower at $91.73 per barrel.

The U.S. military said it “conducted self-defense strikes in southern Iran today,” targeting vessels allegedly trying to deploy mines, as well as missile launch locations. The U.S. Central Command said the actions were intended “to protect our troops from threats posed by Iranian forces.”

Complicating peace talks, Trump said in a social media post Monday that he had encouraged Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt and Jordan to join the Abraham Accords aimed at normalizing Arab nations’ ties with Israel.

Trump also said negotiations with Iran were “proceeding nicely,” but cautioned that the U.S. could resume military action if discussions were to collapse. “It will only be a Great Deal for all or, no Deal at all,” Trump wrote.

Swiss multinational investment bank UBS said Friday the global oil market was showing mounting signs of strain as inventories continue to fall amid ongoing disruptions to shipments via the Strait of Hormuz. Observed global oil inventories dropped by a combined 246 million barrels in March and April, while cumulative production losses could exceed 1 billion barrels by the end of May, the bank said.

The sharp inventory drawdowns suggest the market remains “strongly undersupplied,” UBS said, pointing to falling on-land crude and refined product inventories even as oil stored on tankers rose due to rerouted U.S. exports to Asia.

Oil prices: traders weigh Iran diplomacy against U.S. military operations

Wall Street Week Ahead

May 24, 2026, 7:22 AM ET

Wall Street heads into a holiday-shortened week with investors focused on inflation data, a fresh wave of Federal Reserve commentary, and earnings from the technology sector.

The main macro event will be Thursday’s core PCE price index report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge -- for now. Economists expect the core rate to come in at 3.3%, keeping pressure on policymakers as markets continue to debate the path for rates under new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh. A heavy slate of Fed speakers throughout the week, including John Williams, Austan Goolsbee, and Neel Kashkari, could further shape expectations.

Earnings reports from Marvell Technology (MRVL), Salesforce (CRM), Costco (COST), Dell Technologies (DELL), and Snowflake (SNOW) will provide fresh insight into AI spending, enterprise demand, and the health of consumers. Dell’s earnings call will be closely watched for commentary on AI infrastructure trends following Nvidia’s (NVDA) closely followed results last week.

Investors will also monitor Meta Platforms’ (META) annual meeting for updates on AI spending and capital returns, while Nvidia and Applied Materials (AMAT) executives are due to appear at investor conferences.

Outside markets, Disney’s (DIS) "Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu" is expected to dominate the Memorial Day box office, marking the franchise’s first theatrical release since 2019.

Wall Street Week Ahead | Seeking Alpha

In other news.

Oil market at ‘tank bottoms’ in Asia, and Europe isn’t far behind, warns market veteran Jeff Currie

Published Mon, May 25 2026 12:51 AM EDT

Oil markets are nearing minimum operating levels in Asia, with Europe likely next and the U.S. potentially facing shortages by July, said veteran market strategist Jeff Currie on Monday, underscoring the global energy shock due to the Iran war.

Headline global inventory figures can be misleading as much of the oil stored worldwide cannot be used immediately, said Currie, Carlyle’s chief strategy officer of energy pathways and co-chairman of Abaxx Markets.

A large portion of that oil is needed to keep pipelines and storage systems running safely, leaving only a smaller share available for the market. Asia is already close to these so-called “minimum operating levels,” Currie told CNBC on the sidelines of the UBS Wealth Conference in Singapore.

Global oil markets have been under strain since the outbreak of the Iran war earlier this year, after disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz sharply curtailed energy exports from the Middle East. 

“We’ve seen explosive prices on products. Jet fuel has come down, but diesel has now gone up above jet fuel. So, the problem here in Singapore continues. It just moved from jet to diesel,” said Currie.

Europe could begin seeing similar strains within weeks, as the current relief from U.S. oil flows may prove temporary, and as the summer driving season starts. “I would say, Asia, you’re there. Europe, give it about another month, and look for July being a problem in the U.S.,” Currie said.

“All of the inventories that are drawing out of the United States out of the U.S. SPR [Strategic Petroleum Reserve] are being exported into Europe, so the Europeans think they have no problem because they’re getting all of this oil being imported from the United States, but that can’t continue on.”

His comments come on the back of recent warnings by the International Energy Agency that the global oil market could face a critical supply squeeze during the peak summer consumption period, especially if Middle Eastern exports fail to recover and inventories continue falling.

More

Oil market at 'tank bottoms' in Asia, Europe isn't far behind: Jeff Currie

America’s Emergency Oil Reserve Is Shrinking Fast

May 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT

America’s oil stockpiles are shrinking rapidly, with U.S. crude inventories posting consecutive weekly declines, exports surging and the country drawing down from its emergency supplies to offset the impact of the war with Iran on global energy markets.

According to recently released figures from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), total crude inventories fell by 17.8 million barrels for the week ending May 15. The record drop follows several weeks of similarly steep declines that have brought total stocks (including those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) to their lowest level in almost a year.

As analysts told Newsweek, the declines are eroding a critical safety buffer designed to protect the U.S.—and the prices consumers pay at the bump—during major supply shocks, and will offer the country less flexibility to respond if conditions deteriorate further.

Since the beginning of the war on February 28, the closure of the Hormuz Strait—through which around one-fifth of the world’s oil previously passed—has pushed global oil prices to multi-year highs and led to what the director of the International Energy Agency (IEA) has called the “largest energy crisis in history.”

And in the U.S., drivers are facing significantly higher costs, with gas prices having risen around 50 percent to an average over $4.50 per gallon, and other downstream products like jet fuel facing comparable spikes. And experts believe the drawdown of U.S. inventories could put further upward pressure on prices going into the summer season.

Where Is America’s Oil Going?

America’s oil inventories increased gradually during the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term, in line with the inaugural pledge to “fill our strategic reserves up again right to the top.”

However, according to the EIA’s latest Petroleum Status report, consecutive weekly drops have pulled stockpiles back down to June 2025 levels.

At 445 million barrels, excluding those in its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the agency said that U.S. crude oil inventories are around 2 percent below the five-year average for this time of the year. Distillate inventories—including petroleum products such as diesel fuel and heating oil—have dropped even further below their typical levels.

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America’s emergency oil reserve is shrinking fast - Newsweek

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Macroeconomics, even with all of our computers and with all of our information - is not an exact science and is incapable of being an exact science.

Paul Samuelson

Food staple prices set to remain more expensive in long term – report

Tue, 26 May 2026 at 12:01 am BST

Household food staples like bread and pasta are set to remain more expensive in the long term as a result of the Middle East crisis and El Nino weather pattern, a report suggests.

Food price rises leading on from “major shocks” tend to come down only slowly and partially afterwards, leaving households facing a higher grocery bill long after the original crisis has eased, according to analysis from the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU).

On average, shelf prices fall just 1% of the original rise after six months, 5% after a year and 7% after two years, the think tank found.

The report, based on more than 30 years of UK data, suggests that this “rocket and feathers” effect, where food prices “shoot up like rockets but drift down like feathers”, helps explain why food prices remain far above pre-pandemic levels even after some of the shocks that drove them have eased.

ECIU food and farming analyst Chris Jaccarini said: “Shoppers feeling that prices are on a never-ending escalator upwards is borne out by the data.

“War and extreme weather are increasingly pushing up the cost of the weekly shop with the latest conflict in the Middle East driving up the price of oil, gas and fertiliser used to grow, ship and process food.

“In England, we’ve had three of the worst harvests on record in the past five years and next year is shaping up to be the hottest globally.

----Henry Dimbleby, former lead of the government’s National Food Strategy, said: “Food inflation has been brutal – and it will keep biting unless we tackle the underlying causes.

“That’s because our food system is tightly tied to energy, fertiliser and transport costs – and we’ve built too little resilience into supply chains and production.

----A previous report by the think tank suggests that UK food prices are on track to be 50% higher by November compared to levels at the start of the cost-of-living crisis in mid-2021.

The “grim milestone” would mean that the price growth seen in the nearly 20 years prior to the crisis would be achieved in just over five years, almost quadrupling the pace of food inflation.

The ECIU said warmer El Nino temperatures tended to particularly affect cocoa, food oils, rice and sugar, with wider risks for other products linked to the tropics such as bananas, tea, coffee, chocolate and soy-fed meat.

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Food staple prices set to remain more expensive in long term – report - Yahoo News UK

The world is heading toward a financial crisis – the state of US politics has left us ill-prepared

Eduardo Porter  Mon 25 May 2026 11.00 BST

Trump’s second term has revealed that Washington’s policy response to such a crisis will be misguided and full of chaos

Mon 25 May 2026 11.00 BST

A bona fide financial crisis has not broken out since the US housing meltdown of 2007. Even the Covid pandemic and subsequent upsurge in inflation didn’t lead to financial upheaval. The jitters produced by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023 were soon forgotten.

Given this stability, it might take some effort to convince financial markets that another big one is around the corner. But it is. Financial markets and their regulating governments may believe they have acquired immunity, but the world is careening toward a moment of financial upheaval that could well dwarf the damage caused by the last one.

What’s most scary about this approaching moment is not the specific nature of the crisis, but the incompetence with which it will be handled.

Current US politics practically guarantee that Washington’s policy response will be misguided, steered by Donald Trump’s incontinent appetites and animosities. In a world where mistrust has strangled space for collective action, damages are likely to be compounded by similarly blinkered responses around the globe. As Maurice Obstfeld, former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund noted: “The political fundamentals are really bad.”

We’ll never know exactly when and how a crisis will hit. But one can envisage plausible pathways. Perhaps a financial bubble pops: stocks buoyed up by the current euphoria over the prospects of artificial intelligence could be downgraded sharply in light of disappointing returns, sending the stock market tumbling, shrinking consumer spending and damaging balance sheets of companies that have piled into the AI dream, as well as their financiers.

The largest risk, at this moment, revolves around the federal government’s accumulation of debt, now in excess of 120% of the nation’s gross domestic product, a near unprecedented level. It is likely to keep on growing at a fast clip given massive built in budget deficits for the next decade.

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The world is heading toward a financial crisis – the state of US politics has left us ill-prepared | Business | The Guardian

Charting the global economy: Factory activity sags on inflation

24 May 2026

The global economy is showing signs of wearing down with inflation pressures persisting during the third month of a war-induced energy crunch. Factory activity as measured by S&P Global either slowed or even contracted across the board on all indexes released Thursday, apart from the UK and US.

Meanwhile, inflation concerns have driven long-term yields for Group of Seven sovereign bonds to a two-decade high this week.

Here are some of the charts that appeared on Bloomberg this week on the latest developments in the global economy, markets and geopolitics:

World

131288340

Surveys of purchasing managers from Australia to the Europe pointed to an intensifying ordeal for manufacturing and services companies in May. As with April, the worst impact was seen in the euro zone, with plummeting gauges in France delivering the biggest surprise. Manufacturing there and in the region’s biggest economy, Germany, has now just succumbed to a phase of shrinking activity.

131288342

One inflation spike in the 2020s might be an accident, the world’s biggest bond markets seem to have decided, but two looks like an alarming new trend. The Iran war is inflicting another wave of price hikes on a global economy that’s barely recovered from the last one. As all the economic damage mounts, it’s starting to rattle the safest haven in world finance: the $50 trillion-plus market for Group of Seven sovereign bonds, where long-term yields hit a two-decade high this week.

131288353

In addition to Iceland, Indonesia’s central bank delivered a larger-than-expected hike in interest rates, while Mauritius also tightened policy. Egypt, Nigeria, Ghana, Jamaica and Paraguay kept rates unchanged.

131288366

A benchmark Asia rice price rose to the highest in more than a year, as worries loom over harvests across the region. The US Department of Agriculture forecast global rice production in the 2026-27 season to decline for the first time in 11 years.

Asia

131288384

Japan’s banks are grappling with a problem that was unthinkable a few years ago. Loans are growing faster than deposits. The country is seeing an explosion of borrowing as businesses boost capital investment and buyout deals get bigger.

131288387

Three of Asia’s most vulnerable economies are showing rising strains as their central banks come under pressure to tighten policy even as the economic hit from the Iran-war oil shock deepens. Indonesia, the Philippines and India are already grappling with capital outflows and free-falling currencies as Middle East tensions hurt consumers and companies alike. Now, global bond ructions are piling on further pressure.

131288394

China’s growth slowed across the board in April with investment resuming declines, calling into question the government’s reluctance to add stimulus to the economy as a global energy crisis hits factories and consumers across the world. Official data on Monday painted a picture of an economy where booming exports no longer offset deteriorating consumption at home.

Europe

131288417

UK inflation fell to its lowest rate in more than a year, prompting traders to bet on fewer Bank of England interest-rate hikes even though economists expect price pressures to return. The consumer prices index rose 2.8% in the year to April, down from 3.3% the previous month, reflecting more favorable annual comparisons and government support with bills.

131288423

Switzerland’s economy grew faster than anticipated in the first quarter, weathering a spike in energy prices and a strengthening franc that each took effect at the outbreak of the Iran war. Gross domestic product adjusted for large sport events rose 0.5% from the previous three months, according to a preliminary estimate.

US

131288427

Consumer sentiment fell in May to a record low and long-term inflation expectations worsened notably due to the Iran war.

131288435

Housing starts declined in April as construction of single-family homes dropped by the most in nearly a year, suggesting builders are growing cautious amid higher mortgage rates.

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Charting the global economy: Factory activity sags on inflation

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

EasyJet diverts London flight after passenger alerts crew to power bank in luggage

Michael Howie Sat, 23 May 2026 at 7:05 pm BST

A London-bound easyJet flight was diverted to Rome after concerns were raised about a power bank charging in a passengers bag.

The landing was made as a “precaution” after a passenger alerted crew members to the device that was in someone's luggage.

Flight EZY2618 took off from Hurghada in Egypt on Tuesday evening and was due to land at Luton Airport in the early hours of Wednesday.

But the flight was diverted to Rome Fiumicino and rescheduled to operate the following morning.

A spokesperson told Sky News: “The captain took the decision to divert as a precaution in line with safety regulations.

“The aircraft landed safely and passengers disembarked routinely and we provided hotel accommodation and meals where available.

“As some customers remained in the airport, they were provided with refreshments.

“The safety of its passengers and crew is easyJet's highest priority and easyJet operates its fleet of aircraft in strict compliance with all manufacturers' guidelines.

“We would like to apologise to all passengers for any inconvenience caused by the diversion and subsequent delay.”

EasyJet diverts London flight after passenger alerts crew to power bank in luggage - Yahoo News UK

Solid-state battery power banks are here – and they could change everything about safety

25 May 2026

Power banks are an indispensable tool for many people, whether you're using the portable battery to inflate your tires or charge your phone after a lengthy session of playing "Pokémon Go." The problem is that most modern power banks run on lithium-ion technology, which can burst into flames if not managed properly — just look at the recent Veektomx VT103 recall. The good news here is that companies such as SolidSafe and Kuxia have started rolling out solid-state battery power banks.

Unlike traditional rechargeable batteries, which rely on liquid and gel electrolytes to transfer electrons between electrodes, solid-state batteries utilize a solid matrix consisting of composite compounds, hence their name. These materials can include ceramics, sulfides and polymers that are significantly less flammable than traditional lithium-ion electrolyte gels. Plus, they are less likely to swell, which means solid-state batteries last longer, are less likely to fail, and, most importantly, they should be a much safer form of battery for public use.

The upsides don't end with just safety concerns. Solid-state batteries charge faster than lithium-ion alternatives, and since solid-state power banks have a higher capacity density than normal batteries, manufacturers can deliver longer charging from smaller devices.

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Solid-state battery power banks are here – and they could change everything about safety

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

There is something in people; you might even call it a little bit of a gambling instinct… I tell people investing should be dull. It shouldn't be exciting. Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.

Paul Samuelson