Monday, 27 April 2026

Stocks, More Disconnect. Graphene Fights Bacteria Breakthrough.

Baltic Dry Index. 2665 -08      Brent Crude 106.61

Spot Gold  4743                           Spot Silver 76.51

US 2 Year Yield 3.78 -0.05

US Federal Debt. 39.169 trillion

US GDP 31.363 trillion.

"Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake" 

President Xi Napoleon (attributed.)

For the good news about graphene scroll down to the last section.

More war is good for stocks, who knew? China, please invade Taiwan? Russia Estonia.  America Cuba. Mexico America.

But wait, maybe it’s just that on a fiat currency global system, governments can simply print up currency to rig stock casinos higher.

Japan, South Korea stocks hit record high as investors shrug off stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations

Published Sun, Apr 26 2026 7:46 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher Monday as investors looked past diplomatic setbacks between the U.S. and Iran, even as escalating tensions in the Middle East kept oil prices elevated.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 added 1.4% to hit a record high, while South Korea’s Kospi jumped 1.83%, also scaling a new peak.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.54%.

Hong Kong Hang Seng index slid 0.17%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 added 0.25% after China’s industrial profits jumped 15.8% from a year earlier in March, accelerating from the 15.2% surge in the first two months of this year.

Sentiment held up despite U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday scrapping plans to send U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Islamabad, Pakistan for negotiations with Iran.

“Too much time wasted on traveling, too much work! Besides which, there is tremendous infighting and confusion within their ‘leadership,’” Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social.

Oil prices jumped about 2% after plans for a second round of peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran unraveled again.

International benchmark Brent oil futures rose more than 2% to $107.49 per barrel by 7:35 p.m. ET, while U.S. crude oil also jumped 1.79% to $96.19.

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain high after Iran’s Revolutionary Guard reportedly boarded two cargo ships near the strategic sea lane.

U.S. futures edged lower, with Dow Jones Industrial Average futures declining 0.2%, or 130 points. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.3%.

Last Friday in the U.S., the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at record levels. The broad market index finished up 0.8% at 7,165.08, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 1.63% to settle at 24,836.60. Both indexes also scored fresh all-time intraday highs. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 79.61 points, or 0.16%, to end at 49,230.71.

Asia-Pacific markets: Nikkei 225, Kospi, Hang Seng Index

Stock futures fall as Iran peace talks stall, oil rises: Live updates

Updated Mon, Apr 27 2026 9:44 PM EDT

Stock futures fell in overnight trading Sunday as stalled Iran peace talks and a fresh escalation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher, keeping geopolitical tensions front and center heading into a pivotal week.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2%, or 130 points. S&P 500 futures declined 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.3%.

President Donald Trump on Saturday scrapped plans to send U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan for ceasefire talks related to Iran, noting the negotiations could happen by phone.

“Too much time wasted on traveling, too much work!” the president wrote in a post on Truth Social. “Nobody knows who is in charge, including them. Also, we have all the cards; they have none! If they want to talk, all they have to do is call!!!”

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said no meeting between Tehran and Washington is currently planned.

Tensions escalated near the Strait of Hormuz after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps boarded two container ships near the vital shipping lane, a key artery for global crude flows. West Texas Intermediate futures rose about 2% to above $96 a barrel, while international benchmark Brent oil futures rose about 2% to top $107 per barrel.

“While this is a modest negative, we continue to think the conflict remains on a path of de-escalation,” said Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge in a note.

On the corporate front, five of the “Magnificent Seven” companies are set to report results in the final week of April, raising the stakes for a market already priced for strong growth.

Attention will also turn to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, which could mark Jerome Powell’s final meeting as chair before Kevin Warsh is expected to take over in May. The Department of Justice decided to drop its criminal probe into Powell on Friday, causing Sen. Thom Tillis to end his block of Warsh’s confirmation.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite ended last week at fresh all-time highs, extending a powerful rally despite tensions in the Middle East and doubts about record artificial intelligence spending. April is shaping up to be a strong rebound month for equities. The S&P 500 is up more than 9%, while the Nasdaq has surged over 15%. The blue-chip Dow has gained more than 6% month to date.

Stock market news for April 27, 2026

20,000 job cuts at Meta, Microsoft raise concern that AI-driven labor crisis is here

Published Fri, Apr 24 2026 12:55 PM EDT Updated Fri, Apr 24 2026 2:46 PM EDT

The more than 20,000 potential job cuts Meta and Microsoft revealed on Thursday, months after Amazon announced its most widespread layoffs ever, may only be the beginning.

The same companies that are collectively spending hundreds of billions of dollars a year to build out artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet soaring demand for AI services are seeking efficiencies from AI by slashing head count. They’re also still trying to rightsize from the pandemic-fueled overhiring.

Many economists and industry experts are fearful that a labor crisis may be upon us today — not coming sometime in the future — given how quickly AI is sweeping across corporate America. As of this week, over 92,000 tech workers have been laid off so far in 2026, according to Layoffs.fyi, bringing the total to almost 900,000 since 2020

“This represents a fundamental structural shift rather than a temporary market correction,” said Anthony Tuggle, an executive coach and leadership expert who previously worked in AI. “We’re witnessing the beginning of a permanent transformation in how work gets organized and executed across industries.”

Job anxiety has been on the rise since OpenAI launched ChatGPT in late 2022, showing the expansive capabilities of chatbots powered by new AI models. Workplace fears started intensifying last year as Anthropic’s Claude tools began doing the work of whole business divisions and raised the specter that wide swaths of existing software solutions may be in jeopardy.

Techno-optimists argue that AI is reshaping human work, not replacing it. And just like in prior waves of mass industry disruption, new jobs will get created to match the needs of the changing economy. Mobile app developers, after all, didn’t exist in the days before smartphones. And what use were IT administrators before we created servers?

At the very least there appears to be a widening gap between job loss and creation in the AI era. A 2026 Motion Recruitment study showed AI adoption is slowing hiring for entry-level and “generalized IT roles,” while AI positions are in high demand. Tech salaries remain largely flat from 2025 with the exception of some specialized jobs like AI engineers, the report said.

Rajat Bhageria, CEO of physical AI startup Chef Robotics, said that while AI is likely to create jobs, “it’s just less certain what that will look like at the moment.”

“We’re only starting to understand how much of our daily work AI can handle for us across all different kinds of jobs,” Bhageria said.

Meta only hinted at AI in its announcement on Thursday. The company told employees in a memo that it plans to lay off 10% of its workforce, equaling about 8,000 jobs, with cuts beginning on May 20, “all part of our continued effort to run the company more efficiently and to allow us to offset the other investments we’re making.” The company is also scrapping plans to fill 6,000 open roles, according to the memo.

Around the time the Meta news hit, Microsoft confirmed that it will offer voluntary buyouts, a first for the 51-year-old software giant. About 7% of U.S. employees are eligible, according to a person familiar with the plans who asked not to be named because the number isn’t being made public. With about 125,000 U.S. employees, that could add up to 8,750 cuts.

Nike too?

Tech jobs aren’t only at risk in the tech industry.

Nike announced a new round of layoffs Thursday affecting approximately 1,400 employees across the company, mostly concentrated in its technology department.

“These reductions are very hard for the teammates directly affected and for the teams around them, too,” Chief Operating Officer Venkatesh Alagirisamy told employees.

Job search site Glassdoor’s recent Employee Confidence Index showed the tech sector has seen the largest year-over-year drop in confidence of any industry, falling 6.8 percentage points in March from a year earlier to 47.2%.

Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor’s chief economist, said fewer people are quitting their jobs, fearing an unstable market, a dynamic that comes at a cost to employee morale and career satisfaction. It also means even more job cuts.

More

20k job cuts at Meta, Microsoft raise concern of AI labor crisis

Finally, the insane folly of Trump’s Gulf war. Supply disruption in oil, LNG, LPG, Aluminium, Fertiliser, Helium, Diesel, Jet Fuel. Dollar velocity disruption. How long before the next Lehman? Approx. 29 minutes.

“You know it's serious when Pablo Escobar says we're living on borrowed time.”

Why Can't the Stock Market See This Coming?

Why Can't the Stock Market See This Coming?

In other news.

US Wheat Crops Wither, Herds Thin as Spring Drought Deepens

April 25, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC

Farmers across the Great Plains are confronting an intense drought that threatens winter wheat harvests and is pushing cattle producers toward costly feed purchases, prompting some to abandon plans to expand their herds.

The dryness is expected to persist through spring after weeks of scant rainfall and a late-winter heat spell that fueled massive pasture fires across the nation's breadbasket. Drought now covers nearly 90% of Nebraska and Oklahoma, with 
more than half of Nebraska in "extreme" drought. Such conditions have historically driven cattle producers to sell off animals and forced farmers to drill new irrigation wells as rivers run dry.

The coming weeks are critical for growers in the Plains, as winter wheat begins to mature ahead of the summer harvest and before other crops are planted. Without sufficient moisture from rainfall or irrigation, wheat shoots struggle to fill out and produce grain. Some farmers will allow cattle to graze fields instead of attempting to harvest grain.

“We’ve got a lot of modern precedent for these very rough conditions heading into the spring growing season, but this certainly ranks up there with some of the worst we’ve seen,” said 
Brad Rippey, a meteorologist for the US Department of Agriculture.

Though periodic rains have rolled through parts of the Plains this spring, the region as a whole remains unusually dry after a La Niña winter, marked by low snow and record-breaking warm temperatures, 
stripped moisture from the soil.

The impact is already showing. Just 30% of the US winter wheat crop was rated good to excellent as of Sunday in USDA data, the lowest rating since 2023. Roughly half of the crop in Colorado, Nebraska, Oklahoma and Texas — the region’s largest producers — is categorized as poor to very poor, Rippey said, indicating a high risk of yield losses.

The drought is also colliding with higher input costs. Fertilizer prices have soared following attacks on Iran by the US and Israel, prompting some farmers to cut back on applications. US Representative Frank Lucas, a Republican from Oklahoma, said he chose not to purchase nitrogen fertilizer for his wheat fields in the western part of the state.

“I didn’t have enough moisture — it wouldn’t have done any good,’’ Lucas said. “Number two, I’m not even sure what the cost would be.”

Farmers were under economic pressure even before the drought threatened yields. Still, ample grain supplies elsewhere in the world could limit any price gains. In the Plains, “moisture is desperately needed,” Rippey said, adding that rainfall in the coming weeks will likely determine whether the winter wheat crop will be “made or broken for 2026.” The drought, while unlikely to impact meat prices, will also lend little reprieve to record beef costs if it stalls the rebuilding of the US cattle herd.

Relief may not arrive soon enough. Although the drying La Niña pattern has ended, heavy rains may not return to the central US until its warming counterpart, El Niño, develops later this summer. By then, the winter wheat harvest and planting window could be closing.

More

US Wheat Crops Wither, Herds Thin as Spring Drought Deepens - Bloomberg

Only five ships pass through Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours

24 April 2026

LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Only five ships, including one Iranian oil products tanker, have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, Friday shipping data showed, after Iran seized two container ships this week and the U.S. continues to blockade Iranian ports.

Shipping traffic passing through the crucial waterway at the entrance to the Gulf during an uneasy ceasefire between Washington and Tehran represents a fraction of the average 140 daily passages before the Iran war began on February 28.

"For most shipping companies, they will need a stable ceasefire and assurances from both sides of the conflict that the Strait of Hormuz is safe to transit," said Jakob Larsen, chief safety and security officer at shipping association BIMCO.

"In the meantime, shipping will be restricted to using routes close to Iran and Oman. Due to their confined nature, these routes cannot safely accommodate the normal volumes of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz," Larsen added.

The Iranian-flagged oil products tanker Niki, which is subject to U.S. sanctions, was among the few vessels that sailed out of the strait with no destination listed, Kpler analysis and tracking data on the MarineTraffic platform showed on Friday.  

----Container shipping group Hapag-Lloyd said on Friday that one of its ships has crossed the strait but did not provide any information on the circumstances or timing.     

The Comoros-flagged supertanker Helga arrived at an offshore oil loading terminal in Iraq's southern Basra port on Friday, the second vessel to reach Iraq since the strait's closure.    

Iran's use of a swarm of small, fast boats to seize two container ships near the strait on Wednesday has heightened concerns among many shipping and oil companies. 

"The latest seizures make clear, even an 'open' Strait of Hormuz is not a safe Strait of Hormuz for seafarers, ships and cargo," Peter Sand, chief analyst with ocean and air freight intelligence platform Xeneta, said in a note.

Between April 22 and early April 23, seven vessels transited the strait, six of which were involved in Iran-related trade, analysis from Lloyd's List Intelligence showed.

The closure of the strait has disrupted a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies and triggered a global energy crisis.

Hundreds of ships and 20,000 seafarers remained stranded inside the Gulf with war risk insurers and oil companies watching for any sign that the risks may have eased so they can prepare to sail through. 

Only five ships pass through Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours

Genius sometimes consists of knowing when to stop.

Charles de Gaulle

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Consumer sentiment at record low as Americans feel impact of war in Iran

April 24, 2026

US consumer sentiment showed some improvement amid a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran, but it's still at record lows, according to new data from the University of Michigan.

The Index of Consumer Sentiment showed consumer sentiment ended April with a final reading of 49.8, above the 48.5 reading economists expected but marking the lowest level on record — below readings taken during the financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and when inflation spiked following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 

Overall, consumer sentiment fell 6.6% from last month and 4.6% from a year ago.

The ceasefire in the Middle East made Americans feel a bit better about the shock to gas prices and other prices, Joanne Hsu, the survey's director, said in the release. The record low in sentiment also comes as stock have hit record highs this week.

"In contrast, military and diplomatic developments that do not lift supply constraints or lower energy prices are unlikely to buoy consumers," she added.

Gas prices have increased by more than $1 on average since the beginning of the war, according to AAA

Friday's reading from the University of Michigan also showed year-ahead inflation forecasts rising to 4.7% in April from 3.8% in March. That was the largest one-month increase since April 2025, when President Trump announced sweeping global tariffs that shocked markets.

Current inflation expectations also remain well above the 2.3% to 3% range seen in the two years before the pandemic.

Long-term inflation expectations climbed to 3.5% in April, the highest level since last October, as Americans expected inflation to stick around. That was higher than the 3.2% to 3.3% range inflation expectations have hovered around for the past four months. In 2019 and 2020, it was consistently below 2.8%.

Consumer sentiment fell across all ages, incomes, education levels, and political parties, Hsu said in the release.

Consumer sentiment at record low as Americans feel impact of war in Iran

Borrowing costs jump at fastest pace since start of Iran war

24 April 2026

The cost of government borrowing has jumped at its fastest pace since the start of the Iran war this week as Sir Keir Starmer faces pressure to resign.

UK bond yields – the return offered to buyers of government debt – have risen sharply as traders brace for turmoil for the British economy.

The yield on 10-year gilts, as UK bonds are known, has climbed around 0.2 percentage points since Monday as the Prime Minister is at risk of a leadership challenge.

It came within touching distance of 5pc again on Friday, a level which had not been since 2008 before the Iran war pushed up oil prices.

It has pushed the difference in the cost of borrowing for the UK and US governments to its widest point in nearly a year as investors brace for a potential lurch to the Left in the Labour party.

The gap between British and American bond yields was on Friday at its most stark since June last year as the economy also faces pressure from rising inflation and the potential for higher interest rates.

The yield on 10-year gilts, as UK bonds are known, rose to as high as 4.99pc, while the equivalent US Treasury bond yield only went as high as 4.34pc.

At their widest point, the gap between yields measured 0.65 percentage points, having risen for five consecutive days, according to Bloomberg.

Bond market traders warned the gap in borrowing costs was widening over concerns the Prime Minister would be replaced by a candidate more likely to raise spending and borrowing.

Former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner is the bookies’ favourite to succeed him.

Mark Dowding of RBC BlueBay Asset Management, said: “It seems very likely that Prime Minister Starmer will be ousted after the UK local government elections in May.

“Angela Rayner is his most likely successor, and she will have a job allaying bond market concerns with respect to a more left-wing Labour Party agenda.

“In many respects, the gilt market may give Rayner very little room for policy manoeuvre, much to the frustration of the party base.”

Borrowing costs jump at fastest pace since start of Iran war

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Graphene kills harmful bacteria “superbugs” but spares human cells

Date:  April 26, 2026

Source:  The Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)

Summary:  Scientists have uncovered how graphene oxide pulls off a remarkable trick: it hunts down and destroys harmful bacteria while leaving human cells completely unharmed. By targeting a molecule found only in bacterial membranes, this ultra-thin carbon-based material acts with laser-like precision—offering a powerful new alternative to traditional antibiotics. Even more exciting, it works against drug-resistant “superbugs,” promotes faster wound healing, and keeps its antibacterial strength even after repeated washing.

Hygiene is essential for everyday items that come into close contact with the body, including clothing, masks, and toothbrushes. Scientists have now uncovered how graphene can selectively eliminate bacteria while leaving human cells unharmed. This discovery points to a new class of antibacterial materials that could be both safe for people and capable of reducing reliance on traditional antibiotics.

Recently, KAIST announced that a collaborative research team led by Professor Sang Ouk Kim from the Department of Materials Science and Engineering and Professor Hyun Jung Chung from the Department of Biological Sciences identified the mechanism behind the antibacterial properties of Graphene Oxide (GO). This material consists of a single atomic layer of carbon with oxygen groups attached, giving it the ability to disperse well in water and perform a range of functions.

Until now, scientists did not fully understand how graphene achieved its antibacterial effects. This study provides clear molecular-level evidence explaining how the material works.

Selective Antibacterial Action Explained

The researchers found that graphene oxide carries out what they describe as "selective antibacterial action." It attaches to and disrupts the membranes of bacteria while leaving human cells unaffected. The process is similar to how a magnet only sticks to certain metals.

This selectivity comes from oxygen-containing groups on the surface of graphene oxide. These groups bind specifically to a molecule called POPG, which is found in bacterial cell membranes but not in human cells. In simple terms, graphene oxide identifies a unique feature of bacteria, attaches to it, and breaks down the cell structure. Phospholipids make up the membrane surrounding cells, and POPG is a type mainly present in bacteria.

Effective Against Superbugs and Promotes Healing

When applied in nanofiber form, this material was able to stop the growth of a wide range of harmful bacteria, including antibiotic-resistant superbugs. Tests in animals also showed that it helped wounds heal more quickly without causing inflammation.

Another advantage is durability. Fibers made with graphene oxide retained their antibacterial properties even after repeated washing, suggesting strong potential for use in clothing, medical fabrics, and other practical applications.

More

Graphene kills harmful bacteria “superbugs” but spares human cells | ScienceDaily

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

No country without an atom bomb could properly consider itself independent.

Charles de Gaulle


Saturday, 25 April 2026

Special Update 25/04/2026 Chernobyl+40. Going Electric. Dollar Decline

Baltic Dry Index. 2665 -08     Brent Crude 105.33

Spot Gold 4709                           Spot Silver 76.94

U S 2 Year Yield 3.78 -0.05

US Federal Debt. 39.161 trillion

US GDP 31.357 trillion

Tomorrow is 40 years on from the Chernobyl nuclear disaster in what is now Ukraine. Sellafield, Three Mile Island, Fukushima. When will the world stop building nuclear disaster-prone threats to mankind?

The farmer and manufacturer can no more live without profit than the labourer without wages.

David Ricardo

According to the head of the International Energy Agency, Trump’s disastrous Gulf War has permanently changed the way the world will get its energy going forwards.

A massive switch to electrification will replace oil and gas ahead, he thinks.

If he’s only half way right, it’s the beginning of the end of the petro-dollar. Solar, wind, nuclear tidal and even coal, trade in local currencies with little to no reference to a dollar price, except of course in the USA.

If Mr. Birol is right, by mid next decade the petro-dollar will be in rapid decline. Global dollar usage will have fallen below 50 percent.

For Trump’s USA rapidly approaching 40 trillion in official Federal debt, a world going electric brings in a massive currency reality shock.

Though a very imperfect long term hedge against the decline of the dollar reserve standard, only physical holdings of gold and silver held outside of American jurisdiction, seem appropriate.

‘The damage is done’: global oil crisis has changed fossil fuel industry for ever, IEA chief says

Exclusive: International Energy Agency’s Fatih Birol, the world’s leading energy economist, also says UK should largely forgo North Sea expansion

Fri 24 Apr 2026 16.00 BST

‘The damage is done’: global oil crisis has changed fossil fuel industry for ever, IEA chief says

Exclusive: International Energy Agency’s Fatih Birol, the world’s leading energy economist, also says UK should largely forgo North Sea expansion

The oil crisis triggered by the Iran war has changed the fossil fuel industry for ever, turning countries away from fossil fuels to secure energy supplies, the world’s leading energy economist said.

Fatih Birol, the executive director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), also said that, despite pressure, the UK should forgo much of its potential North Sea expansion.

Speaking exclusively to the Guardian, Birol said a key effect of the US-Israel war on Iran was that countries would lose trust in fossil fuels and demand for them would reduce.

“Their perception of risk and reliability will change. Governments will review their energy strategies. There will be a significant boost to renewables and nuclear power and a further shift towards a more electrified future,” he said. “And this will cut into the main markets for oil.”

Birol said there was no going back from the crisis: “The vase is broken, the damage is done – it will be very difficult to put the pieces back together. This will have permanent consequences for the global energy markets for years to come.”

While focused on the global picture of shortages and future demand, the IEA chief also urged caution over the UK’s potential plans. The oil industry and its allies have called for increased North Sea drilling, including giving the go-ahead to the Jackdaw and Rosebank fields that have received exploration licences but not production permits.

Birol said: “It is up to the government, but these fields would not change much for the UK’s energy security, nor would they change the price of oil and gas. They would not make any significant difference to this crisis.”

----In a wide-ranging interview, Birol said the vastly changed future outlook presented expanded opportunities for renewable energy but also dangers that could throw progress on the climate off track. As the longtime head of the global energy watchdog, he is one of the most influential voices on governments globally.

Birol also said:

 Continuing high fossil-fuel prices could tempt developing countries to turn to coal, but solar was competitive with coal on cost and was growing faster.

 Renewables offerred a no-regrets alternative and nuclear power was also likely to be increased. Building renewables was an option “I never heard that anybody ever regretted”, he said. “I don’t see any downsides for renewable energy.”

Although he called for windfall taxes during the Ukraine crisis to skim some of the vast unearned profits of energy companies, Birol said it was too early in this crisis for new levies.

 Impacts on fertiliser, food, helium, software and other industries would continue even if the strait of Hormuz reopened.

This crisis was “bigger than all the biggest crises combined, and therefore huge”, he said. “I still cannot understand that the world was so blind-sided, that the global economy can be held hostage to a 50km strait.”

More

‘The damage is done’: global oil crisis has changed fossil fuel industry for ever, IEA chief says | Oil | The Guardian

European Energy Scarcity Arrives and Plans to Stay Awhile

April 24, 2026 at 5:06 PM GMT+1

A short time ago, most people wouldn’t have batted an eyelash over a ship passing through the Strait of Hormuz. But 55-days into the war on Iran, energy traders are locked on every movement in the narrow passage, through which huge volumes of the world’s oil, gas, fuel and fertilizer used to flow.

With no end in sight to US and Iranian efforts to blockade the channel, alarms are ringing louder over the consequences to the global economy. Goldman Sachs bankers figure almost three-fifths of Persian Gulf oil exports have ceased.

With dwindling fossil fuel reserves of its own, the situation looks particularly dire in Europe. The International Energy Agency reported today that tight gas supplies will extend into 2027. Scarcity on traded markets is already showing up in the data, with liquified natural gas imports dropping for the first time in more than a year. European Union policymakers are adding an additional challenge by cutting short term purchases of Russian LNG, which last year covered a significant part of the bloc’s consumption.

“Europe must have a lot more courage,” Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni told reporters in Cyprus yesterday, shortly before talking with her counterparts about the energy crunch. We’re told EU heads of government left knowing they’re in a bind that won’t be easy to solve. —Jonathan Tirone

European Energy Scarcity Arrives and Plans to Stay Awhile - Bloomberg

Approx 24 minutes.

How the 1% Kept Their Gold in 1933 Confiscation

How the 1% Kept Their Gold in 1933 Confiscation

In other news.

Emirates boss Tim Clark says airline will resume full operations within 1-2 months of Strait of Hormuz reopening

Clark said Emirates is running at 65% capacity, with recovery dependent on corridor reopenings and expected to normalise within two months

Fri 24 Apr 2026

Emirates President Sir Tim Clark expects the Dubai carrier to restore capacity rapidly after regional aviation disruption reduced operations and left parts of its network inaccessible.

Clark told the CAPA Airline Leader Summit in Berlin on Thursday that Emirates was operating at more than 65 per cent of capacity, with about 13 per cent of airports in its network still unavailable because of airspace restrictions.

“We can get this back. The brand is particularly strong,” Clark said, adding that passenger demand remained resilient despite longer routings and adjusted schedules.

Bloomberg mentions that while speaking from Dubai to the Capa Airline Leader Summit in Berlin, Clark said the carrier is operating at 65 per cent of capacity, with only about 13 per cent of the airports in its network still cut off. Once the Strait of Hormuz reopens, there should be 1-2 months of disruptions before things return to normal.

Capacity recovery

Clark said network restoration would depend on the reopening of key regional corridors, after which Emirates expects one to two months of disruption before operations normalise.

Regional airspace restrictions have forced Middle East carriers to reduce schedules, reroute services and manage fleet utilisation across longer flight sectors. Emirates has kept passenger demand, fuel access and brand strength at the centre of its recovery plan.

Clark said Emirates was not concerned about jet fuel supply. He said the UAE had an adequate supply and produced and refined Jet A-1 fuel domestically.

Emirates entered the disruption from a record profit base. Emirates Group posted a profit before tax of AED 12.2 billion for the first six months of 2025 to 2026, while Emirates airline recorded AED 11.4 billion in profit before tax and AED 65.6 billion in revenue.

Fleet investment

Emirates carried a 79.5 per cent passenger seat factor in the first half of 2025 to 2026. Capacity measured in available seat kilometres rose 5 per cent, while passenger traffic measured in revenue passenger kilometres increased 4 per cent.

Clark said Emirates would continue its aircraft retrofit programme as the carrier uses available maintenance windows to upgrade cabins and maintain product consistency.

Arabian Business reported in November 2025 that Emirates had moved into the next phase of its retrofit programme, with 60 A380S and 51 Boeing 777s scheduled for cabin upgrades from August 2026.

Emirates closed the 2024 to 2025 financial year with AED 21.2 billion in airline profit before tax and AED 127.9 billion in airline revenue. Emirates Group revenue reached AED 145.4 billion, with cash assets of AED 53.4 billion.

Clark expects Emirates to remain the most profitable airline by the end of 2026, supported by Dubai’s hub connectivity, premium cabin demand and wide-body fleet deployment.

Emirates boss Tim Clark says airline will resume full operations within 1-2 months of Strait of Hormuz reopening - Arabian Business: Latest News on the Middle East, Real Estate, Finance, and More

 

Five things to know about Chinese AI startup DeepSeek

Beijing (AFP) – As DeepSeek releases its first major new artificial intelligence model in over a year -- DeepSeek-V4 -- here are five things to know about the Chinese startup:

Issued on: 24/04/2026 - 07:39

Founded by Liang Wenfeng in the eastern Chinese tech hub Hangzhou, DeepSeek started life in 2023 as a side project of Liang's data-driven hedge fund that had access to a cache of powerful AI processors made by US chip giant Nvidia.

It shot to global attention in January 2025 with the release of its R1 deep-reasoning large language model, which sparked a US tech share sell-off.

Industry insiders were stunned by R1's high performance -- at a level similar to ChatGPT and other leading US chatbots -- and DeepSeek's claims to have developed it at a fraction of the cost.

Venture capitalist Marc Andreessen described it as a "Sputnik moment" -- referencing the 1957 launch of Earth's first artificial satellite by the Soviet Union that stunned the Western world.

Censorship concerns

Like other Chinese chatbots, DeepSeek's AI tools eschew topics usually censored in the world's second-largest economy, such as the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown.

That and data privacy concerns have led DeepSeek AI to be banned or restricted on government-issued devices in several countries, including the United States, Australia and South Korea.

However, its low cost and ease of deployment have made it a popular choice in developing countries, analysts say.

The company holds four percent of global market share for chatbots, according to web traffic analysis company Similarweb. ChatGPT dominates at 68 percent.

Open source

DeepSeek's systems are open-source -- meaning their inner workings are public, allowing programmers to customise parts of the software to suit their needs.

That is the same for other major Chinese AI players, including tech giant Alibaba, in contrast to the "closed" models sold by OpenAI and other Western rivals.

The Chinese government has trumpeted its lead in open-source AI technology, which it says can accelerate innovation.

"Chinese AI models are leading the way in the open-source innovation ecosystem," National People's Congress spokesman Lou Qinjian told policymakers this month.

Startup boost

The success of DeepSeek has galvanised China's AI scene, despite hurdles posed by rivalry with the United States, and fears of a global market bubble.

Shares in two leading Chinese AI startups, Zhipu AI and MiniMax, soared on their market debuts in Hong Kong this year, and it has been a similar story for Chinese chipmakers such as MetaX.

Shi Yaqiong and her team at Beijing-based Jinqiu Capital told AFP there has been a "clear surge" in enthusiasm around Chinese AI -- and competition among investors -- since the DeepSeek shock.

Chip smuggling reports

DeepSeek's rise has not been without controversy.

Reports, including in technology outlet The Information, say DeepSeek has been skirting a US ban on the export of top-end chips to China to train its new V4 model.

The Information said in December, citing six people with knowledge of the matter, that DeepSeek developed V4 using thousands of chips dismantled in third countries and smuggled to China.

DeepSeek did not respond to AFP's request for comment. Nvidia did not respond to a request for comment but told The Information that they had not seen any evidence of this and that "such smuggling seems farfetched".

Five things to know about Chinese AI startup DeepSeek

White House memo claims mass AI theft by Chinese firms

24 April 2026, 00:13 BST

The White House has said it will work more closely with US artificial intelligence (AI) firms to combat "industrial-scale campaigns" by foreign actors to steal advances in the technology.

Michael Kratsios, Director of Science and Technology Policy, wrote in an internal memo that the administration had new information indicating "foreign entities, principally based in China" were exploiting American firms.

Through a process called "distilling", such firms are essentially copying AI technology developed by US companies, he said.

A representative of China's US embassy in Washington DC said its development was "the result of its own dedication and effort as well as international cooperation".

In the memo, Kratsios said the aim was to "systematically undermine American research and development and access proprietary information".

In an attempt avoid and halt "malicious exploitation," he said the White House will be doing four things:

  • sharing more information with US AI companies about "tactics employed and actors involved" in distillation campaigns
  • working to "better coordinate" with companies to fight the attacks
  • develop a set of "best practices to identify, mitigate, and remediate" them
  • "explore" how the White House can hold foreign actors accountable for such distillation

The memo did not detail any specific plans for action against foreign entities found to be undertaking distillation of US AI technology.

A White House spokesperson declined to comment beyond the memo.

A representative of China's US embassy in Washington DC took issue with "the unjustified suppression of Chinese companies by the US" in response to the memo

"China is not only the world's factory but is also becoming the world's innovation lab," the representative added.

More

White House memo claims mass AI theft by Chinese firms - BBC News

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

The demand for money is regulated entirely by its value, and its value by its quantity.

David Ricardo

Germany’s economy was set to rebound. But soaring energy prices have derailed Europe’s biggest comeback

Published Fri, Apr 24 2026 7:59 AM EDT

Europe’s biggest economy was set for a rebound, but now it’s being hammered by soaring energy costs caused by the Iran war, prompting the federal government to halve growth forecasts.

Germany’s flagship fiscal stimulus package is in the spotlight as ministers scramble to cushion the impact of higher bills.

Before the war, the country had been powered by rising industrial orders, dropping inventories, and improving sentiment, thanks mainly to fiscal spending on defense and infrastructure.

But higher energy prices and supply chain risks are “spoiling the German growth party before it even started,” said Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro research at ING.

The Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy this week slashed its growth forecast for 2026 to 0.5% from 1%, while its 2027 forecast was cut from 1.3% to 0.9%. Inflation is now projected to reach 2.7% this year and 2.8% the next.

Brzeski noted that industrial production was already “stuttering” before the war, sliding 0.3% month-on-month in February and printing flat on an annual basis.

But now the Iran conflict has sent business sentiment into freefall.

‘Trouble ahead’

On Friday, the Ifo Institute for Economic Research’s latest business climate index — a key temperature gauge of Germany’s economic mood — dropped to 84.4 in April, down from 86.3 in March, its lowest level since May 2020, early in the Covid-19 pandemic.

Current assessments dipped from 86.7 to 85.4 month-on-month, while forward expectations tumbled from 85.9 to 83.3. Separately, the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment slumped 16 points to -17.2 in April, its lowest reading since December 2022. The ZEW tracker tumbled from +58.3 in February to -0.5 points in March, indicating a rapid and deepening pessimism over the country’s economic outlook.

“What we are seeing is that the German economy is hit hard by the Iran crisis,” Clemens Fuest, president of Ifo, told CNBC on Friday. “Companies are telling us there is trouble ahead.”

Germany remains one of Europe’s largest net importers of energy, about 6% of which comes from the Middle East, according to ING analysis, while its so-called “energy-intensive” industries, which employ almost 1 million people, account for about 17% of industrial gross value added.

More

Germany growth forecast cut on energy shock, signaling trouble ahead

Nestle to cut 450 jobs at UK chocolate factories - makes KitKats, Aeros and Yorkies

The makers of beloved Nestle chocolate lines are making sudden job cuts in the UK.

07:47, Fri, Apr 24, 2026 Updated: 07:48, Fri, Apr 24, 2026

The popular UK chocolate company, Nestle, could cut as many as 450 jobs across the UK, union GMB has said. The company is known for making several popular chocolate items such as KitKats, Aero bars and Polos.

It comes after Nestle announced 16,000 job cuts worldwide in October last year.

The company has factories in Halifax in West Yorkshire, Tutbury in Derbyshire, Dalston in Cumbria, and Staverton in Wiltshire.

Nestle's headquarters was moved to Gatwick from Croydon. It moved all employees based at its City Place office, which is located near Gatwick Airport, to a new site at Park House, Manor Royal BID from September 2023.

KitKats are made in York while is made in Nescafé is made in Derbyshire and Cumbria.

Quality Street, which is also produced by the brand, is made in Halifax.

A spokesperson for Nestle said it announced plans to “reduce our global workforce by 16,000 roles” last year and details of any changes would be shared with staff affected first.

Announcing the mass cull in October, Nestle said it needed to “change faster” and secure its future “as a leader in our industry”, reports The Mirror.

The reductions are expected to include around 12,000 “white-collar professionals” across business functions.

This was expected to save the company around one billion Swiss francs (£940 million) each year by the end of 2027.

Charlotte Brumpton-Childs, GMB National Secretary, said: “These job cuts will rip the heart out of communities.

Nestle workers – who make some of the UK's best loved treats – have already put up with years of uncertainty and job losses.”

The union will be working closely with members and the company to “ease the pain” as much as possible, Charlotte says.

A Nestle spokesperson said: “As always, we will manage any changes in the right way and in consultation with our people.

“Any proposed changes will always be shared with those affected first and we have no further update to give at this time.”

Nestle to cut 450 jobs at UK chocolate factories - makes KitKats, Aero and Yorkies | UK | News | Express.co.uk

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.

CATL is launching sodium-ion batteries in EVs in 2026, aiming for 370+ miles range

Apr 22 2026 - 9:25 am PT

CATL is bringing sodium-ion batteries to EVs in 2026

During its Tech Day Event this week, CATL revealed its latest battery innovations as it looks to maintain its dominant lead on the global EV battery market.

The battery giant showcased major breakthroughs, including its third-generation Shenxing Ultra-fast charging battery, capable of a full recharge (10% to 98%) in just 6 minutes and 27 seconds, beating rival BYD’s Blade Battery 2.0 that offers 9-minute charging.

CATL confirmed during the event that its sodium-ion batteries will begin rolling out in passenger EVs by the end of 2026.

CATL’s chief scientist, Wu Kai, said during the event that LFP is “nearing its theoretical energy density limit,” making it critical to focus on fast charging solutions. He added that “Sodium-ion batteries offer broad potential for extreme temperatures and energy storage applications.”

The Naxtra sodium-ion battery “marks CATL’s transition from laboratory breakthrough to large-scale manufacturing,” the company said.

After overcoming “hundreds of engineering challenges,” the battery giant has achieved GWh-level industrialization.

CATL said it had overcome four key barriers this year: extreme water control, gas generation in hard carbon, aluminum foil adhesion, and self-forming anode systems, paving the way for full-scale mass production by the end of 2026.

Earlier this year, CATL launched the sodium-ion batteries for light commercial vehicles. The 45 kWh sodium-ion battery pack can charge at temperatures as low as -30°C (-20°F), and at -40°C (-40°F), it still retains 90% of its usable capacity.

CATL’s sodium-ion batteries will begin rolling out in passenger EVs by the end of the year, starting with the Changan Nevo A06. CATL and Changan unveiled the new EV in February, deeming it the world’s first mass produced EV with a sodium-ion battery.

The sodium-ion batteries achieve an energy density of about 175 Wh/kg, but CATL aims to bring it on par with lithium iron phosphate within the next three years, enabling up to around 600 km (372 miles) of CLTC driving range.

Sodium-ion batteries perform better in cold weather and also offer a sustainable alternative to lithium with the abundance of sodium.

CATL is launching sodium-ion batteries in EVs in 2026

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

Exponent Calculator

Enter values into any two of the input fields to solve for the third.

Exponent Calculator

This weekend’ s music diversion. More genius from Mr. Handel. Approx. 8 minutes.

G.F.Handel: 'Alla caccia / Diana Cacciatrice', Cantata HWV 79 (1707)

G.F.Handel: 'Alla caccia / Diana Cacciatrice', Cantata HWV 79 (1707)

Next, how funny money came into our world.  Approx. 16 minutes.

Why They Stopped Making Silver Coins in 1964 — The Real Reason They Hide

Why They Stopped Making Silver Coins in 1964 — The Real Reason They Hide

Finally, Operation Bernhard, German economic warfare. Approx. 16 minutes.

Operation Bernhard: The Nazi Plot to Crash Britain's Economy

Operation Bernhard: The Nazi Plot to Crash Britain's Economy

It is here we come to the heart of the matter. The economic principle of comparative advantage', 'a country may, in return for manufactured commodities, import corn even if it can be grown with less labour than in the country from which it is imported

David Ricardo