Saturday, 13 June 2026

Special Update 13/06/2026 Extraordinary Popular Delusions, 2026.

Baltic Dry Index. 2729 unch.    Brent Crude 87.33

Spot Gold 4239                           Spot Silver 67.97

U S 2 Year Yield 4.09 +0.04

US Federal Debt. 39.244 trillion

US GDP 32.208 trillion

In reading The History of Nations, we find that, like individuals, they have their whims and their peculiarities, their seasons of excitement and recklessness, when they care not what they do. We find that whole communities suddenly fix their minds upon one object and go mad in its pursuit; that millions of people become simultaneously impressed with one delusion, and run after it, till their attention is caught by some new folly more captivating than the first.

Charles Mackay, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.

This weekend, “seasons of excitement and recklessness,” in SpaceX and other coming IPOs, plus hope that finally Trump’s six day war on the global economy and the world’s poorest, may finally be coming to an end.

And for what that couldn’t have been accomplished without war? For what did 168 Iranian primary school girls die at the mistake of the USAF? A MoU?

Stocks end higher as SpaceX soars in debut, U.S.-Iran deal nears

Updated Fri, Jun 12 2026 4:26 PM EDT

Stocks rose on Friday as SpaceX’s opening pop bolstered sentiment, with investors hoping for the arrival of a potential peace deal between the U.S. and Iran.

The S&P 500 closed up 0.5% at 7,431.46, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.31% to finish at 25,888.84. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 353.51 points, or 0.7%, to settle at 51,202.26.

Elon Musk’s rocket maker debuted on the Nasdaq at $150 per share, trading under the symbol SPCX. That’s above its $135 IPO price. The stock soared more than 20% shortly after it opened and closed up 19% at around $161.

The run-up in SpaceX boosted investor confidence, leading some on Wall Street to believe other stocks may be undervalued.

“The IPO parade, which now looks like it’s turning into a stampede, has been coming for a while,” said Mark Klein, CEO and president at SuRo Capital. “SpaceX is going to be the bellwether.”

“As you look at the IPO market going forward, there are a lot of companies that want to go public, but you may see some of the more important names wait and see what happens because so much capital is flowing to a handful of companies,” he added.

The tech trade was mixed on the day, but had been ramping up recently on hopes for a successful debut for SpaceX, which is also an artificial intelligence appetite proxy because of its xAI unit. AI darling Nvidia finished marginally higher, while other stocks such as Advanced Micro Devices and Alphabet were higher by 4.7% and 0.5%, respectively. Broadcom and AI software stock Palantir Technologies closed in the red, as did Amazon and Meta Platforms.

“The AI theme, in my opinion, is just getting stronger,” said Jeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial. “Nothing moves in a straight line, and we’ve seen a couple hiccups in the Nasdaq, maybe more to geopolitical tension versus the SpaceX IPO. But I think the [‘Magnificent Seven’] leadership should persist.”

Stocks had earlier turned lower, and oil came off it’s lows of the session after President Donald Trump warned in a Truth Social post that Iran “better get their act together” even as a supposed deal between the U.S. and Iran was on the table. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 3.2% lower at $84.88 a barrel.

Later Friday, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that a “final, agreed upon text” of a deal “has been reached.” Major indexes regained some of their strength after those comments.

Iranian state media reported that the draft version of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding includes a commitment from the U.S. to lift oil sanctions, as well as a commitment from Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

A peace deal could be signed in Switzerland as soon as Sunday, Bloomberg reported Friday, citing people familiar with the plans.

Stock market news for June 12, 2026

SpaceX IPO takeaways: SPCX closes at $161, jumping 19% after record debut

Updated Sat, Jun 13 2026

SpaceX jumped 19% on Friday in its Nasdaq debut after the biggest initial public offering ever. The stock closed at around $161, valuing the company at $2.1 trillion, and kept rallying in extended trading adding about another $100 billion to its market cap.

The shares opened at $150 under the ticker SPCX after SpaceX raised $75 billion in the IPO. The high price for the day was $176.52. More than 500 million shares traded hands, a number that approached Facebook’s first day, which saw trading of about 580 million shares in 2012.

Elon Musk and SpaceX President and COO Gwynne Shotwell rang the opening bell on Friday, with Musk in Texas and Shotwell at the Nasdaq in New York City.

Musk said on a JPMorgan Chase livestream before the IPO that SpaceX had been cash-flow positive since around 2015. He said he wanted to take SpaceX public now to raise capital for “a significant growth phase,” with plans to put over 100,000 satellites in orbit for communications, and to build artificial intelligence data centers in space, among other initiatives.

Musk, who became the world’s first trillionaire based on his combined stakes in SpaceX and Tesla, started the company as a reusable rocket maker, but the only profitable part of the business today is the Starlink satellite internet division.

SpaceX acquired Musk’s startup, xAI, in February 2026. That brought with it the company’s data centers, Grok AI models and an embattled AI chatbot and image generator of the same name, as well as the social network X, formerly known as Twitter.

According to its prospectus, SpaceX has accumulated a total loss of $41.3 billion since it was founded in 2002.

Tesla shares rose 1.8% to $406.43 on Friday. The electric vehicle maker’s market cap now stands at around $1.5 trillion.

SpaceX (SPCX) IPO: Live updates

US, Iran Seen Inching Toward Hormuz Deal

June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM GMT+1

Iran and the US continue moving toward an understanding that would open the Strait of Hormuz and could pave the way for a lasting peace. Senior officials suggested a deal could be at hand by the time Group of Seven world leaders convene next week in the French Alps. The accord may be signed in Geneva.

Bond markets surged and oil prices fell on rising confidence that an interim deal may really be at hand this time. Credit investors gave up wartime hedges on European companies. That reversal points to marked improvement in expectations for a return to business in the Middle East.

The apparent momentum toward an MOU gained pace as the latest economic data shows both sides starting to buckle under the strain of the Hormuz blockade. Iranian oil shipments to China have plunged. In the US, plastic prices are skyrocketing and fueling inflation on consumer goods.

To be sure, the path to a lasting nuclear accord remains long, fraught and vulnerable to breakdown. There’s also still plenty of room for failure, with President Donald Trump chiding Iran over leaking their terms to end the war. But with the end of the trading week in sight, and lasting economic damage on the horizon, investors continued to hold out hope that peace is possible. —Jonathan Tirone

US, Iran Seen Inching Toward Hormuz Deal - Bloomberg

Global oil prices end at 3-month low after Pakistan says a U.S.-Iran peace deal has been reached

WTI prices have been range-bound since the April 7 cease-fire, with further declines likely requiring a meaningful pickup in Strait of Hormuz traffic

Last Updated: June 12, 2026 at 3:39 p.m. ET First Published: June 12, 2026 at 7:10 a.m. ET

Oil prices finished lower on Friday, with international benchmark Brent crude settling at its lowest level since the early days of the Iran conflict, after Pakistan said a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran had been reached.

The Brent crude contract for August  was off by 3.4% to end at $87.33 a barrel, its lowest settlement value since March 5. For the week, the international benchmark was off 6.2% and has fallen in three of the past four weeks, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

More, subscription required.

Global oil prices end at 3-month low after Pakistan says a U.S.-Iran peace deal has been reached - MarketWatch

Oil executives warn White House that gas prices will get worse

Grim predictions add to the problems of a president already facing a sharp rise in inflation.

June 11, 2026

Oil and gas executives have warned the White House that gasoline prices could surge in coming months as fuel inventories fall to critical lows, complicating the Trump administration’s efforts to contain inflation that has already rattled American consumers.

Industry officials say they are doing everything they can to sound an alarm that prices are about to soar as the commercial and government inventories that have mitigated price rises so far are rapidly depleting, according to multiple people familiar with the conversations, who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation from the administration. Some inventories could be wiped out within weeks, the executives have warned, coinciding with the peak summer travel season.

“I have absolutely no doubt the White House — from the president on down — is fully aware of the nearly universal alarm among oil companies and analysts about the direction of travel for oil prices this summer,” said Bob McNally, who was an energy adviser in the George W. Bush administration and founded the research firm Rapidan Energy Group.

The warnings underscore the rising political and economic risks confronting President Donald Trump as the conflict with Iran drags into its fourth month, with little indication that a diplomatic breakthrough is imminent, despite periodic White House predictions of progress.

Already Trump’s administration is confronting the highest rate of inflation in three years, which has led to a significant drop in his standing among voters and deepened concern among Republicans about widespread losses in the midterm elections, which could cause them to lose control of one or both houses of Congress.

The Labor Department’s consumer price index rose at a 4.2 percent annual pace in the year ending in May, driven by surging gas prices.

Trump has publicly brushed off concerns about the rising prices. “I love it. I love the inflation,” Trump told reporters Wednesday when asked about the new figures. Oil prices will drop “like a rock” once the war concludes, he said.

Industry executives suggest otherwise.

The war with Iran has snarled the Strait of Hormuz, the waterway that transported about one-fifth of the world’s oil and natural gas supplies before the war. Trump has repeatedly sought to assure the public that he is close to a deal to reopen the strait, but that has not happened.

Senior oil executives who typically avoid making alarming projections in public have been doing exactly that.

“We’re sounding the alarm on these inventories going to record lows,” said American Petroleum Institute CEO Mike Sommers on “Mornings with Maria,” a Fox Business program that Trump frequently watches. “We should be concerned about what prices we’re going to see over the next few weeks. We have to solve this problem in the Strait of Hormuz.”

Industry officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to avoid antagonizing the White House, said the administration’s reception to their worries has been mixed. Some officials, they say, are taking the posture that the warnings are hollow. Prices have not shot up toward $200 a barrel, despite warnings since the war against Iran started in late February that they would quickly head there.

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve has dropped to 349.2 million barrels, approaching a multi-decade low last seen in 1983. 

More

Oil executives warn White House that gas prices will get worse - The Washington Post

The war 'nobody is talking about' - why tungsten has entered a permanent shortage

June 10, 2026

The battle for one of the world’s most important strategic metals is unfolding in scrapyards, warehouses, and even parking lots across the U.S.

Domestic tungsten recyclers say Chinese buyers are courting domestic suppliers with extraordinary offers. They’re paying as much as five times prevailing market prices to secure worn-out drill bits, mining equipment, and industrial cutting tools containing the critical mineral. Long-standing relationships between American recyclers and suppliers are being tested as cash-rich competitors outbid them on the spot.

“They’ll say, ‘meet in this Home Depot parking lot’ to buy over $20,000 worth of this stuff,” Nick Stevens, owner of the recycling firm JC Metalstold the Financial Times.

The sector executives see it as anything but ordinary commodity trading. It’s a struggle over control of a strategic resource that drives both military readiness and industrial competitiveness.

“We’ve got to stop the export back to China,” said Ryan McAdams, chief executive of Texas-based recycler Amermin. “This is a secret war that nobody’s talking about.”

Structural Shortages and Loopholes

According to Argus Media, U.S. tungsten scrap prices have surged 350% since May 2025, Mining.com reported.

Tungsten went parabolic from September 2025 to March 2026, before giving back much of its gains, CTIA data shows. Yet, the bullish trend has reaccelerated over the past few weeks.

Tungsten has the highest melting point of any metal, alongside exceptional hardness. Those properties make it indispensable for munitions, missiles, aerospace components, mining drills, and other modern manufacturing tools. With such properties, its substitution is nearly impossible.

China controls more than half of global mined and refined tungsten production while accounting for roughly half of worldwide demand. Early in 2025, Beijing tightened domestic mining quotas and imposed export restrictions on metals, including tungsten. Furthermore, Chinese mines have aged and dropped in productivity.

Put together, the current shortage appears structural, rather than temporary.

Although Beijing has historically restricted tungsten scrap imports on environmental grounds, the material still moves through a third-country recycling hub.

Data from the research group Project Blue shows increased exports of U.S. tungsten scrap to the Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam, and South Korea, where it can be processed before potentially re-entering Chinese supply chains.

More

The war 'nobody is talking about' - why tungsten has entered a permanent shortage

In other news.

Why U.S. AI giants like Anthropic, OpenAI are launching major expansions in London

Published Thu, Jun 11 2026 6:19 AM EDT

A slew of U.S. Big Tech and AI companies are racing to expand in London as they look to take advantage of the city’s deep talent pools amid a push to develop and commercialize frontier tech.

Anthropic and OpenAI both announced they’d taken up larger office spaces in the U.K. capital in recent months. Vibe coding platform Cursor unveiled plans this week to open a London headquarters this summer and Google said it will begin moving teams into a new 11-storey building in Kings Cross in the coming months.

Other key U.S. software players, such as Databricks and Salesforce, are also upping headcount or expanding their campuses in the city. Elsewhere, electric vehicle company Rivian and Palantir said in the second half of 2025 they’d also be growing in London.

“It’s all about talent,” Mike Wiseman, head of campuses at British Land, told CNBC. “London has built a deep and mature technology ecosystem over many years, and if you’re looking to scale a business internationally, it’s one of the few markets globally that can support that level of growth.”

Deep talent pools

After a quiet post-pandemic period, demand from tech companies has returned in London, Wiseman said. That’s being driven by a “new generation” of companies that weren’t on the radar a few years ago.

Growth in the global AI sector has been fuelled by record funding figures over the past couple of years, as investors have rushed to back companies developing the tech. Startups globally have raised $392.1 billion so far this year, according to Dealroom, already dwarfing the previous record year of 2025, when companies secured $215.9 billion.

London has emerged as one of the “deepest” pools of frontier AI talent outside of the U.S., Frederic Groussolles, partner at executive search firm Heidrick & Struggles, told CNBC.

“A decade of investment anchored by DeepMind, major research labs and leading universities has created a mature talent base spanning AI research, engineering and commercial leadership.”

Founded in 2010 in London, DeepMind was acquired by Google in 2014, but maintained a large team in the U.K. capital. Google DeepMind has since been behind the tech giant’s Gemini models alongside a number of AI breakthroughs.

When announcing Anthropic’s London expansion in April, which saw it secure office space for 800 people — roughly four times its headcount in the city — head of EMEA north Pip White specifically flagged the “exceptional pool of AI talent” as a key driver of the move.

Anthropic’s new office space will be located in the Knowledge Quarter area of London, home to a slew of AI companies including OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Meta, Synthesia and Wayve.

More

Why U.S. AI giants like Anthropic, OpenAI are expanding in London

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

UK economy shrank 0.1% in April as Iran conflict weighed on growth

Published Fri, Jun 12 20262:06 AM EDT

The U.K. economy shrank by 0.1% in the month to April, figures published on Friday showed, as the impacts of the Iran war continue to hamper growth.

A 0.2% contraction in services activity was cited as the main driver of the negative growth, with officials saying it had been partly offset by a 0.1% rise in construction output. Production output showed zero growth for the month.

Economists polled by Reuters had been expecting the British economy to contract by 0.1% month-on-month.

April’s print followed growth of 0.3% in March, 0.4% in February and no growth in January.

How the Iran war affected U.K. growth

One of the biggest contributors to the decline in services came from a fall of 9.1% in sports, amusement and recreation activities. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said that this was the largest negative contribution from a single industry to both services output and real GDP growth.

Some of the sector’s decline was attributed to the war, with the ONS noting that the cancellation of various sporting events in the Middle East had affected the output of U.K.-based companies.

Companies operating in the manufacturing, wholesale, transportation support, and travel agencies said that the conflict in the Middle East had contributed to reduced turnover in April. 

“A common theme of the comments received was the increase in prices because of the Middle East conflict,” the ONS said. “These comments were mainly for energy and fuel costs, with some suggesting an impact seen in April 2026 and also suggesting an impact for future months.”

Suren Thiru, chief economist at the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales, said the data made a rate cut from the Bank of England next week unlikely, with the GDP decline signaling a “damaging descent into stagflation.”

“This decline is the first economic blow landed by the Iran conflict as falling fuel sales and slowing services output meant the U.K.’s early-year growth momentum stalled in April,” he said.

“Skyrocketing fuel costs have noticeably altered the U.K.’s growth trajectory having flipped from a tailwind to growth in March to a headwind in April as motorists cut consumption in the face of surging pump prices, after frontloading purchases in March.”

The U.S.-Iran war, which recently crossed the 100-day mark, has sparked supply constraints in global energy markets, prompting a resurgence of inflation.

The International Monetary Fund warned in April that the U.K. could see the biggest hit to growth from the war of any major economy.

As a net energy importer, the U.K. is particularly vulnerable to energy shocks that impact the global supply chain.

The IMF is now forecasting U.K. growth of just 0.8% in 2026, down from a previous forecast of 1.3% made at the beginning of the year.

In the U.K., headline inflation eased to 2.8% in April, which was largely attributed to a national energy price cap by Britain’s energy regulator.  

From July, the price cap will rise by 13%, allowing energy providers to pass on some of the elevated costs of oil and gas.

U.K. GDP April 2026: Economy shrinks 0.1%

Residential Building Material Prices Rise at Highest Rate In Over Three Years

June 11, 2026

Wholesale prices of goods used in residential construction rose in May as energy prices continued to climb. In May, residential building material prices, excluding energy, rose at their highest yearly rate since January 2023, as prices were up 4.4% from a year ago and up 0.7% over the month. Meanwhile, prices for services rose 4.7% over the year, but were unchanged from the previous month.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.1% in May, after rising 1.1% in April. Compared to a year ago, final demand prices were up 6.5%. The index for final demand services rose 0.3% in May, while the index for final demand goods rose 2.8% over the month.

The price index for inputs to new residential construction rose 1.3% in May and was up 6.9% from last year. The price of goods used in new residential construction (including energy) was up 2.1% over the month and up 8.3% from last year, while the price of services was unchanged over the month and up 4.7% from last year.

Input Goods

The goods component has a larger importance to the inputs to residential construction price index, representing around 60% of the total. On a monthly basis, the price of input goods to new residential construction was up 2.1% in May. This monthly increase was the largest since it rose 3.3% back in March of 2022.

The input goods to residential construction index can be further broken down into two separate components, one measuring energy inputs with the other measuring remaining goods. The latter of these two components simply represents building materials used in residential construction, which makes up around 93% of the goods index.

Energy input prices rose 17.2% in May and were 62.8% higher than a year ago. Building material prices were up 0.7% in May and up 4.4% compared to one year ago.

Among input goods, the largest year-over-year increase was for No. 2 diesel fuel as prices were 105.9% higher than a year ago. Metal molding and trim prices remained higher, with prices up 42.9% from a year ago. Softwood lumber prices were up 5.6% from a year ago in May while ready-mix concrete prices were up 1.7% from a year ago. Gypsum building materials prices were down 1.1% from a year ago.

More

Residential Building Material Prices Rise at Highest Rate In Over Three Years – Eye On Housing

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.

Cornell’s electrochemical ‘bath’ restores spent lithium EV batteries to 95% power

Cornell team uses Direct Electrode-to-Electrode Regeneration (DEER) to recycle critical minerals in batteries.

By Mrigakshi Dixit Energy Jun 10, 2026 08:25 AM EST

The life cycle of an electric vehicle battery has been a violent, one-way street. When a battery dies, the industry routinely tears it apart to access the parts that matter. High-tech recyclers either blast the dead cells in extreme-heat furnaces or grind them into a powdery substance known as “black mass” before drenching them in harsh, corrosive acids.

It is an expensive, carbon-intensive, and messy way to extract scarce minerals like nickel and cobalt. But what if you didn’t have to destroy a dead battery just to rebuild it?

Researchers at Cornell University have developed a way to overcome the destruction altogether. Rather than smashing the battery, the method turns to chemical washing. 

In this, intact components were immersed in a specialized electrochemical bath to restore 95 percent of the dead batteries. Plus, this method could cut recycling manufacturing costs by 56 percent.

“We repair them, as is, without shredding or powdering them, and then put them back into a new battery,” said Vibha Kalra, the Fred H. Rhodes Professor of Chemical Engineering in the Cornell Duffield College of Engineering. 

“The dissolution is basically what helps the battery recover its capacity. It shows 95 percent recovery. So we are shortening the circularity loop immensely,” added Kalra. 

Cost-saving battery fix

To understand how it works, look at what actually happens when a battery dies.

Batteries don’t usually run out of minerals. But, as electricity flows back and forth between the positive and negative sides, a thick, crusty layer of gunk gradually builds up inside the cell.

Engineers call this the solid electrolyte interphase. The materials are all still there, but the energy can no longer flow. Standard recycling destroys the whole part just to clean it. 

Cornell’s method, called Direct Electrode-to-Electrode Regeneration (DEER), is far gentler. 

Workers open the casing and pull out the battery’s core parts — the electrodes — while these are still completely intact. Then the parts are submerged into a chemical solution called 1,3-dimethyl-2-imidazolidinone. The liquid targets the gunk. It dissolves the insulating buildup, leaving the delicate internal structures perfectly preserved.

The process cuts down air pollution and slashes industrial water consumption.

-----The research team’s next step is to test the DEER method on larger, industrial-scale batteries and adapt the process to combat other forms of wear, such as permanent lithium loss. 

Currently, the technique successfully treats batteries at a 70-80 percent state of health — the typical retirement threshold for electric vehicles. But researchers believe they can widen this recovery window by targeting these additional degradation mechanisms.

The study findings were published in the journal Energy and Environmental Science on June 9. 

Spent lithium EV batteries get 95% power back with new chemical bath

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

Exponent Calculator

Enter values into any two of the input fields to solve for the third.

Exponent Calculator

This weekend’ s music diversion. The genius of J. S again. Skip to the third movement about 5.45 minutes in. Approx. 4 minutes from 5.45.

Bach: Brandenburg Concerto No. 3 | Claudio Abbado & the Orchestra Mozart

Bach: Brandenburg Concerto No. 3 | Claudio Abbado & the Orchestra Mozart - YouTube

Next, yet another bad modern building story, this is the Porsche Design Tower Miami.  Approx. 15 minutes.

Florida's $840M Porsche Skyscraper Is SINKING — The Ground Beneath It Is Crumbling

Florida's $840M Porsche Skyscraper Is SINKING — The Ground Beneath It Is Crumbling

Finally, how justice finally caught up to John D. Rockefeller and Standard Oil. Approx. 2 minutes.  

Who Is Ida Tarbell?

Who Is Ida Tarbell? - YouTube

Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

Charles Mackay, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.


Friday, 12 June 2026

The Great Blunder Of 2026! The ECB Hikes. Space Day.

Baltic Dry Index. 2729 -42       Brent Crude 88.64

Spot Gold 4195                           Spot Silver 67.14

US 2 Year Yield 4.05 -0.08

US Federal Debt. 39.240 trillion

US GDP 32.205 trillion.

The first method for estimating the intelligence of a ruler is to look at the men he has around him.

Niccolo Machiavelli

Day 104 of The Great Blunder of 2026. Probably The Greatest Blunder (so far,) of The Great Nixonian Error of Fiat Money, August 15, 1971.

As with August 15, 1971, when the global economy changed irreversibly, February 28, 2026 has also changed the global economy irreversibly. How a mouse that roared back, stalemated the greatest power on Earth.

Unfortunately, with massive disruption to supply chains in crude oil, LNG, LPG, fertiliser, aluminium, sulphur, some refined oil products, plus a giant disruption in shipping, it’s far too early to see clearly just how irreversibly the global economy has changed.

My early guess is that the major global central banks will now tolerate higher inflation and faster fiat currency depreciation. We will get more frequent bouts of stagflation. More and deeper recessions. Greater social discontent.

Another early guess, a faster global retreat from the dollar reserve standard, since blunderer Trump started tariff wars on friend and foe alike; coveted Canada and Greenland; told NATO Europe they were on their own; sucked up to Russia, China, and Netanyahu (causing an unnecessary war.)

Another early guess, crude oil pricing will settle much closer to $100 a barrel, than the pre-blunder price of about $60 a barrel.

Starting 2027 onwards, there will be big changes in the global food supply chain, though I suspect the G-20 countries will be least affected.

All in all, tomorrow will not be like today which was like yesterday. Tomorrow will be more difficult for most, though politicians, I suspect, will try to shift most of the blame onto AI.

In the stock casinos, Tulip Mania 2026 style.

In Trump’s blunder, another TACO.

In shipping, piracy.

SpaceX to Make Musk World’s First Almost-Trillionaire

June 11, 2026 at 10:59 PM GMT+1

The decision by US President Donald Trump and Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to wage a surprise war on Iran, and the global energy crisis triggered by its retaliation, has damaged two-thirds of the world’s economies.

This from the World Bank, which on Thursday cut its outlook for growth in part because of the war’s disruption of commodity flows and rising import costs. The global economy will expand 2.5% in 2026, it said, the slowest pace since the Covid-19 pandemic caused a global recession in 2020.

“This is the biggest supply shock in more than 50 years,” said Chief Economist Indermit Gill. “If the conflict persists, the next thing that will be affected is food prices.” The bank said risks to its outlook are skewed to the downside. Global growth could fall to 1.3% this year if “energy supply disruptions prove more severe than assumed and are accompanied by substantial financial stress.” —David E. Rovella

The World’s First Almost-Trillionaire: Evening Briefing Americas - Bloomberg

Oil prices fall on hopes of U.S.-Iran deal despite Tehran pushback

Published Thu, Jun 11 2026 8:53 PM EDT

Oil prices fell Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington had reached a framework agreement with Iran, raising hopes the Middle East conflict could be nearing its end.

U.S. crude oil futures for July delivery fell 1.61% to $86.30 per barrel, while August futures for international benchmark Brent lost 1.75% to $88.8 per barrel.

Speaking at the Oval Office, Trump said he expects an agreement to be signed “over the next few days,” assertions he has made several time during the conflict. He also said the Strait of Hormuz would reopen once a deal is finalized.

Earlier in the day, Trump said he had called off a planned round of U.S. military strikes against Iran, arguing that negotiations with Tehran “have been brought to the highest level of Iranian leadership and approved.”

Tehran pushed back on Trump’s claim, with Iranian state-affiliated outlet Fars reporting on Telegram that Tehran had not approved any draft text for an initial memorandum of understanding with Washington.

In a subsequent post, Fars portrayed Trump’s announcement as a step back from his earlier military threats, saying he had failed to present any new elements beyond a proposal Iran had already submitted.

“The reality is that up until now, not only has Iran not given a final response, but it is the US that has returned to its previous demand,” Fars reported in a translated post. “Of course, it seems that given that the US has accepted the text proposed by Iran, there is a possibility of re-examining this text,” according to Fars.

BMO Capital Markets said oil prices have remained surprisingly contained despite the recent fresh exchange of U.S.-Iran strikes, with ongoing diplomatic efforts, alternative shipping routes around the Strait of Hormuz and sharply lower Chinese crude imports helping offset geopolitical risks. 

Citi also echoed in a note on Friday that sharply lower Chinese crude imports have helped moderate oil prices since the start of the Middle East conflict, reducing fears of a bidding war for supplies. The bank estimates China can keep imports near 8.7 million barrels per day without materially depleting inventories, suggesting demand from China may not provide a major boost to prices in the near term.

Oil prices: WTI, Brent on hopes of U.S.-Iran deal despite Tehran pushback

Stock futures tick higher as Wall Street gears up for SpaceX’s historic IPO: Live updates

Updated Fri, Jun 12 2026 12:14 AM EDT

U.S. stock futures were slightly higher early Friday as traders looked ahead to SpaceX’s historic initial public offering on Friday.

S&P 500 futures added roughly 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.2%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 43 points, or about 0.1%.

Stocks rallied on Thursday, following a rebound in chip stocks and President Donald Trump signaling that the U.S. and Iran could soon sign a peace deal. The S&P 500 rose 1.75%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.54%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 929.97 points, or 1.86%.

In Asia, South Korea’s Kospi advanced 7.01% on Friday, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 3.4%. Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 was up 1.54%.

Trump on Thursday told reporters in the Oval Office that a deal between the U.S. and Iran would have a “signing soon, and the documents are in pretty final shape. It should be done and it should be done pretty quickly.” The president added that under the deal, “Iran will never have a nuclear weapon.” Equities had rallied earlier in the day, after Trump said in a Truth Social post that he had called off the strikes on Iran originally planned for Thursday evening.

Heading into Friday, all eyes will be watching SpaceX, Elon Musk’s rocket maker, as it debuts on the Nasdaq. SpaceX, set to go public under the ticker symbol SPCX, has set a fixed price of $135 per share, which would put its valuation at $1.77 trillion.

The company plans to sell 555.6 million shares, amounting to a $75 billion fundraise that would be the largest initial public offering in history. It’s more than triple the size of Alibaba’s $22 billion offering in 2014, currently the biggest U.S. IPO to date.

If the IPO goes according to plan, it could offer a major catalyst for stocks on Friday. But some investors are concerned that due to the offering’s sheer size, it could pressure the market. Even if the market can digest these new shares of SpaceX, IPOs are known to be volatile, and Friday’s offering could trigger another rotation in tech leadership as investors find capital to fund their new issues.

“History indicates that large IPO issuance occurs during periods of strong equity market sentiment, but the added equity supply can cause some indigestion. Household equity exposure already sits close to an all-time high, which suggests they may sell existing holdings to fund these new positions,” wrote Wells Fargo Investment Institute global equity strategist Douglas Beath. “Combined with the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the upcoming midterm elections, it could be one more reason for markets to display greater choppiness in the second half.”

“We remain favorable on the AI theme and the Information Technology sector but would not chase this run up,” he added, noting that as of May 29 the sector has gained 37% since April compared to the S&P 500′s 17% advance in the same period.

Thursday’s rally lifted the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite back into the green for the week, with the indexes on pace to add 0.14% and 0.39%, respectively. The blue-chip Dow trailed behind, on pace to end the week 0.04% lower.

Investors will also be watching for June’s preliminary reading of the Michigan Sentiment index on Friday morning.

Stock market today: Live updates

In other news, piracy, since a blockade is an act of war and the US has issued no declaration of war on Iran.

An early warning to stock up on basics and relatively cheap stock able foods and to help the poor.

Three Indian sailors dead after US strike on oil tanker off Gulf of Oman

Thu, 11 June 2026 at 9:08 am BST

All three missing Indian seafarers have died ​after a US ​military strike on a ⁠tanker in the ​Gulf of Oman, Indian ​shipping minister Sarbananda Sonowal said on Thursday.

The vessel, identified as the Palau-flagged oil products tanker Settebello, was carrying oil from Iran when it came under attack. The strike is the latest escalation in a US-led blockade targeting Iran-linked shipping routes.

According to the US military's Central Command (Centcom), American forces targeted the tanker after it allegedly ignored repeated instructions.

A US aircraft "fired precision munitions into the ship's engine room after the crew repeatedly failed to comply with directions from American forces", Centcom said.

The US military said it "disabled" the vessel while it was sailing through the Gulf of Oman and accused it of violating "the ongoing blockade by attempting to transport oil from Iran".

Two Indian sources familiar with the matter told Reuters that Delhi summoned the US deputy chief of mission and conveyed a "strong protest" over the incident on 10 June.

India's Ministry of External Affairs earlier condemned what it described as an "attack on the commercial vessel Settebello".

"Our embassy in Oman is closely monitoring the situation and proactively coordinating with the Omani authorities in the ongoing search and rescue operation," the ministry said in a statement.

The ministry added that 21 Indian crew members had been rescued.

"The targeting of commercial shipping and civilian infrastructure in the region must end," it said.

The tanker reported an engine room fire about 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman's Sohar port, according to the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency.

The Omani Navy responded to the distress call, according to British maritime risk management group Vanguard.

Data from ship-tracking platform MarineTraffic showed that the tanker was partially loaded and was last recorded off the Omani coast on 1 June.

The attack comes amid a broader US campaign against Iran-linked shipping. The blockade began on 13 April after Iran sharply restricted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most important oil and gas routes.

Centcom said its forces have disabled eight vessels since the blockade began. It said 134 ships had changed course after complying with US instructions, while 42 vessels carrying humanitarian supplies were allowed to continue.

The military said there had been no reported deaths linked to previous blockade operations.

More

Three Indian sailors dead after US strike on oil tanker off Gulf of Oman - Yahoo News UK

El Niño under way and threatens weather extremes, scientists say

11 June 2026, 14:01 BST

El Niño - the natural Pacific weather pattern that pushes up global temperatures - has officially begun, US scientists say.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has declared that El Niño conditions are now under way in the tropical Pacific, with sea surface temperatures having risen sharply in recent months.

Many forecasts suggest this could end up as a so-called "super" El Niño, and even be among the strongest ever recorded.

Coming on top of decades of human-caused warming, it could bring another record-hot year - most likely in 2027 - with disruption to weather, food supplies and economies running well into that year.

This announcement by NOAA is not a surprise as forecasters have expected this warming phase, after the cooler "sister" pattern, La Niña, ended earlier this year.

Sea surface temperatures in the central and tropical Pacific have now passed the 0.5C-above-average threshold that US scientists use to define an El Niño event.

"El Niño conditions developed over the past month, as shown by above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central to eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean," the agency said.

NOAA has also seen the winds above the equatorial Pacific begin to shift - a sign that the atmosphere is now responding to the warmer ocean, not just the ocean warming on its own.

What has surprised the researchers is how confident the computer models already are about its strength.

El Niño's intensity is measured by how far sea surface temperatures rise above average in a key zone of the Pacific.

A strong event is defined as more than 1.5C above average; a very strong one above 2C.

According to NOAA's June outlook, "there is a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño during November-January, that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950," the agency said.

The three strongest events since then have been in 1982/83, 1997/98 and 2015/16.

Some of the latest US and European (ECMWF) models go further, showing temperatures in the tropical Pacific potentially climbing more than 3C above average by the end of the year.

But the US agency urged some caution on what their strength prediction implies.

"Even very strong El Niño events do not lead to the expected impact everywhere, but stronger events can more significantly tilt the odds in favour of expected outcomes."

El Niño has begun, scientists say, and could bring record heat - BBC News

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

ECB hikes interest rates for first time since 2023 as Iran war ramps-up energy costs

Published Thu, Jun 11 2026 8:16 AM EDT

The European Central Bank announced a quarter-point rate hike on Thursday, bringing its key interest rate to 2.25% as the Iran war continues to blow inflation off target.

Markets had been pricing in a near-100% chance of the ECB raising rates by at least 25 basis points ahead of its June Governing Council meeting, according to LSEG data.

The ECB’s Governing Council said the decision had been made in a bid to ward off inflationary pressures generated by the U.S.-Iran war.

“The war in the Middle East is generating inflation pressures, and the decision to raise rates is robust across a range of scenarios mapping out how the shock might evolve and affect the medium-term outlook for the euro area,” it said in a statement announcing the decision.

The central bank also raised its inflation forecasts, saying it now expects headline inflation in the euro zone to average 3% in 2026 before cooling to 2.3% next year and 2% in 2028.

Officials said the growth outlook had been trimmed to reflect “a more pronounced impact of the war on commodity markets, real incomes and confidence.”

“The outlook remains uncertain, with upside risks for inflation and downside risks for economic growth,” the statement said. “The full implications of the war for medium-term inflation and growth will depend on the intensity and duration of the energy price shock, as well as the scale of its indirect and second-round effects.”

The Iran war — which recently crossed the 100-day mark — has caused a global energy price shock, as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz waterway and destruction of energy production facilities in the Middle East have created severe supply constraints. A fragile ceasefire remains in place, but tensions have escalated between Washington and Tehran in recent days.

More

ECB hikes interest rates for first time since 2023 as Iran war ramps up energy costs

Wholesale prices rose 1.1% in May, more than expected

Published Thu, Jun 11 2026 8:33 AM EDT

Wholesale prices rose more than expected in May, indicating that pipeline inflationary pressures are percolating higher, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday.

The producer price index, a measure of final demand costs, increased a seasonally adjusted 1.1% on the month, putting the 12-month wholesale inflation rate at 6.5%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a monthly move of 0.7%.

The annual headline inflation rate was the highest since November 2022. The monthly gain matched the April increase.

However, excluding food and energy, so-called core PPI accelerated 0.4%, compared to the consensus view of 0.5%, indicating that rising fuel prices are causing much of the inflationary burden.

Taking out food, energy and trade services, PPI accelerated 0.8%, the biggest one-month move since March 2022. On a 12-month basis, the core excluding trade services rose 5.1%, the most since October 2022.

Most of the acceleration in the PPI — nearly 80% — came from a 2.8% surge in final demand goods prices, the biggest increase ever in a data series going back to December 2009. In turn, 80% of that increase came from a 10.7% jump in energy.

Producer price index May 2026:

Germany risks recession as Iran energy shock hits growth, DIW economists say

11 June 2026

Germany’s Recovery Has Hit Another Energy Wall

Germany had been trying to climb out of years of weak growth.

Now DIW Berlin says that recovery is at risk of slipping into a technical recession. The institute expects output to contract slightly in both the second and third quarters of 2026 before stabilizing late in the year. Economists commonly define a technical recession as two consecutive quarters of falling GDP.

That is the central warning.

Germany may still post modest annual growth, but the path through the year could include a mid-year contraction.

DIW Cut Its Forecast In Half

DIW now forecasts German growth of 0.5% in 2026 and 0.8% in 2027.

That is around half a percentage point lower than the institute expected in spring. The downgrade reflects the effect of the Iran-war energy shock on Europe’s largest economy.

This is not a collapse forecast.

It is a warning that the recovery is too fragile to absorb a major energy shock without stalling.

The Energy Shock Is Hitting Households First

Higher oil and gas prices feed quickly into consumer costs.

DIW expects German inflation to reach 2.9% in 2026 and 3% in 2027, above the European Central Bank’s 2% target. Higher energy costs reduce household purchasing power, especially when wages and benefits do not immediately keep pace.

That matters because consumption was supposed to help support the recovery.

If households spend more on fuel, heating, transport, and food, they have less left for everything else.

Companies Face A Confidence Problem

The shock is also hitting firms.

Energy costs raise production expenses, especially for manufacturers, transport companies, chemicals, metals, and other energy-intensive sectors. At the same time, uncertainty makes firms more cautious about investment, hiring, and expansion.

The European Commission’s spring forecast described the Middle East conflict as a major energy shock, noting that gas prices rose 50% and crude oil prices 65% between February 27 and April 29, the cut-off date for its forecast assumptions.

For Germany, that kind of shock lands on an economy already struggling with weak industrial momentum.

This Is Not 2022, But It Rhymes

DIW’s head of forecasting, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, said the shock is “noticeably slowing the recovery,” but added that Germany is not seeing a repeat of 2022–23. The reason is that energy supply is more secure and Germany is less dependent on fossil fuel imports than it was after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

That distinction is important.

Germany is less vulnerable than it was during the Russian gas crisis, but less vulnerable does not mean safe. A global oil and LNG shock can still raise costs, squeeze consumers, and slow industry.

More

Germany risks recession as Iran energy shock hits growth, DIW economists say

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Today, an Ebola update. Not good.

DR Congo Ebola cases rise to 635, recoveries reach 30: health minister

Source: Xinhua| 2026-06-11 02:41:00

KINSHASA, June 10 (Xinhua) -- The number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has risen to 635 as of June 9, Health Minister Roger Kamba said Wednesday.

In a post on social media platform X, Kamba said the outbreak, caused by the Bundibugyo Ebola virus, continues to pose challenges, but the response is gaining momentum, with more patients recovering and contact tracing improving.

According to Kamba, the proportion of contacts under follow-up has increased to 61.1 percent, up from 56.4 percent a day earlier. He said health authorities are monitoring "every zone, every alert and every signal," as vigilance remains high.

Kamba also announced eight new recoveries, including seven in Nyankunde and one in Mongbwalu, both in the eastern province of Ituri. The new recoveries brought the total number of recovered patients to 30.

"Each recovery sends a strong message: come for treatment, as early care saves lives," he said.

The minister added that 490 tonnes of medicines have been deployed, laboratories strengthened and response teams mobilized around the clock in Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu provinces.

The DRC declared its latest Ebola outbreak on May 15. On May 17, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern. 

DR Congo Ebola cases rise to 635, recoveries reach 30: health minister-Xinhua

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)   

Another weekend and a never-ending war weekend or a peace weekend? Something in between? Have a great weekend everyone. King Charles Trooping the Colour spectacle tomorrow.

It should be borne in mind that there is nothing more difficult to arrange, more doubtful of success, and more dangerous to carry through than initiating changes. The innovator makes enemies of all those who prospered under the old order, and only lukewarm support is forthcoming from those who would prosper under the new. Their support is lukewarm ... partly because men are generally incredulous, never really trusting new things unless they have tested them by experience.

Niccolo Machiavelli