Wednesday, 3 June 2026

A Global Inflation Surge. Trump’s All Losers War! Worse Still To Come.

Baltic Dry Index. 3205 -17       Brent Crude 97.06

Spot Gold 4502                           Spot Silver 75.18

US 2 Year Yield 4.05 unch.

US Federal Debt. 39.202 trillion

US GDP 32.178 trillion.

Some people make things happen, some watch while things happen, and some wonder what happened?

Anon.

In the stock casinos, “damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead.”  Bubble on like it’s 2019 1929 again as easy money meets FOMO, Fear Of Missing Out.

That it ends badly is a given, but when? Why?

I suspect October, the favoured crash month, assuming Trump’s six day war doesn’t crash the global economy sooner.

Look away from the rising oil price now.

Japan’s Nikkei hits record high as Asia markets rise amid Middle East concerns

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 7:51 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets opened broadly higher Wednesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 hitting a record high, as investors appeared to look past uncertainty over U.S.-Iran negotiations aimed at ending the Middle East conflict.

Tensions have escalated between Washington and Tehran, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying on Tuesday that Iran has mined “large segments” of the Strait of Hormuz.

“They’re firing on commercial ships and they’ve mined large segments of Hormuz — international waters,” Rubio told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. This marks his first appearance before Congress since the Iran war on Feb. 28.

A White House official told CNBC that the Pentagon has destroyed numerous mines and over 40 minelaying vessels.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway, particularly for the energy market globally — around 20% of the world’s oil supplies passed through the strait before the war. 

Japan’s Nikkei 225 extended early gains to rise 2.94%, while the Topix added 2.14%.

Mainland China’s CSI 300 was 1.52% higher, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.73%.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.82% even as the country reported GDP growth of 2.5% year on year for the first three months this year, missing economists’ expectations of 2.6%. Growth was pressured by weaker household spending, lower government consumption, as well as impact from severe weather disruption to the mining industry.

India’s Nifty 50 fell 0.78%, while the BSE Sensex slipped 0.85%.

South Korea’s markets were closed for a holiday.

The West Texas Intermediate futures for June were 1.00% higher at $94.70 per barrel as of 11:45 p.m. ET. Brent crude futures for July gained 0.92% at $96.88 per barrel.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were trading around the flatline, as were futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average

During Tuesday’s regular session, the broad-based S&P 500 rose 0.13% to end above 7,600 for the first time ever, while the Dow added 228.91 points, or 0.45%. The Nasdaq Composite eked out a gain of 0.03%.

Asia markets today: Nikkei, Kospi, Hang Seng, Sensex, Iran, oil

U.S., Iran intensify attacks as ceasefire frays, peace talks stall

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 8:50 PM EDT

U.S. Central Command said Tuesday that it had defeated multiple Iranian ballistic missiles and drones and launched defensive strikes in response to “attempted attacks” by Iran, the latest in a cycle of attacks that has further threatened a fragile ceasefire.

Iran had launched several ballistic missiles toward regional neighbors, though none hit their intended targets, according to a statement from CENTCOM. Two Iranian missiles fired at Kuwait fell short or broke apart en route, and three missiles launched at Bahrain were immediately intercepted by U.S. and Bahrain air defense forces, it said.

The U.S. also shot down three one-way attack drones launched by Iran toward civilian mariners that were transiting regional waters, according to the statement. American forces also conducted self-defense strikes on an Iranian military ground control station on Qeshm Island.

Three months in, the regional conflict has hardened into a stalemate as the U.S. and Iran have repeatedly failed to turn a fragile ceasefire into a lasting peace deal.

Iran is reportedly reviewing an agreement proposed by the Trump administration to pause the war but has not communicated with Washington for a few days, Iranian media reported on Tuesday, while U.S. President Donald Trump said negotiations were ongoing.

Tensions on the ground have escalated in recent weeks. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps has attacked the U.S. ⁠Fifth Fleet headquarters and an ​airbase and helicopters ​in the region using missiles and drones, in response ⁠to what the IRGC described as a U.S. attack on an ‌a communications tower south of Qeshm Island, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing Iranian media.

IRGC’s navy ​also targeted a vessel it identified as Panaya with missiles in ⁠response to what it said ‌was a U.S. ‌attack on an Iranian tanker near the Strait of ⁠Hormuz with a projectile that damaged ⁠the engine room, ⁠according to Reuters.

Governments in the Gulf region reported drone attacks on Wednesday, with Kuwait’s air defenses confronting “hostile missile and drone attacks” while the country urged citizens to adhere to the security and safety instructions in place.

Bahrain’s interior ministry also sounded warning sirens urging residents to seek shelter.

Asian markets traded higher on Wednesday, tracking gains on Wall Street with the major averages notching fresh record closes overnight. Japan’s Nikkei 225 hit a record high, signaling that investors have looked past the geopolitical uncertainty.

“It’s hard to gauge when [the conflict and negotiations] may finally come to an end,” Rick Gardner, chief investment officer at RGA Investments, said on CNBC’s Squawk Box Asia on Wednesday. He expects markets to oscillate between conflict-related negative shock and resilient corporate earnings.

“You’ve got a two-edged sword there,” Gardner said, adding that investors who step back from markets over geopolitical uncertainty risk being “on the wrong side of the trade,” pointing to strong earnings and guidance as reasons to stay in.

U.S., Iran intensify attacks as ceasefire frays, peace talks stall

Gold overtakes US bonds as world’s favourite investment

Escalating fears over Trump’s wars and tariffs push central banks to dump Treasuries

Published 02 June 2026 12:19pm BST

Gold has overtaken US bonds to become central banks’ favourite investment, as Donald Trump rattles faith in America’s political stability and public finances.

The share of gold in central banks’ official holdings of foreign currencies climbed to 27pc last year, surpassing US Treasuries at 22pc, according to a report from the European Central Bank (ECB).

Gold’s soaring price is the main reason for its newfound dominance of central banks’ foreign reserves. The cost of a troy ounce rose by 65pc last year, finishing 2025 at a near-record $4,322 (£3,209).

But the ECB said central banks were also using gold to shore up their balance sheets against the headwinds of “geopolitics” – often used as code for Mr Trump’s tariffs, wars and territorial threats.

The bank cited a survey from late 2025 in which central banks said “geopolitics” was the third-biggest risk they faced, behind only “cybersecurity” and “other cyber incidents”. Three-quarters of central banks said geopolitical risk had increased last year.

In a fresh survey from April, a month after the US and Israel attacked Iran, 70pc of central banks said geopolitics was now the most significant risk they faced this year.

A third of central banks also said geopolitics would be the most important factor guiding the management of their foreign-currency reserves over the next five years.

Gold is traditionally viewed as a haven when markets or politics are stormy. But the ECB noted several disadvantages: its price is volatile, it is expensive to store and it cannot respond as quickly to shifts in demand.

This has traditionally led central banks to favour US bonds and other dollar-denominated investments, which are highly liquid and held in the world’s most widely used currency.

However, central banks have grown more cautious as Mr Trump has pursued unpredictable policy on the world stage and piled on more debt.

The US government’s debt is growing faster than demand for its bonds and faster than the American economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio has risen from just over 100pc in the 2010s to more than 120pc today.

More

Gold overtakes US bonds as world’s favourite investment

Next, what Netanyahu’s desperation to cling for office has wrought. Sadly, all too predictably, driving wrong antisemitism worldwide. Who could have known?

Trump outburst reflects Israel’s sinking popularity in American eyes

2 June 2026

When details were leaked about the latest phone call between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the headlines focused on the wave of profanities from the US president.

“What the f--- are you doing?” shouted Mr Trump in reference to the Israeli prime minister’s continued bombing of Lebanon. “You’re f---ing crazy. You’d be in prison if it weren’t for me.

It is strong stuff, revealing genuine anger, but it is not the first time an American president has lost his patience with the aggressive brinkmanship of Mr Netanyahu.

Much more troubling for the Jewish state are the words that followed: “Everybody hates you now. Everybody hates Israel because of this.”

Mr Trump, like many populist leaders, finds his way by testing boundaries. He throws up insults until he finds one that bites, and then he mines it for everything it is worth.

For many non-Israeli Jews and others around the world who support the existence of a democratic Jewish state, the words “everybody hates Israel” are chilling. It is not just because they capture some truth, but because the politics they open up play on an ancient and contagious hate.

Research by the Pew Research Center, a think tank based in Washington DC, found last year that across 24 countries it surveyed, 62 per cent of people had negative views of the country, against 29 per cent who viewed it positively.

More

Trump outburst reflects Israel’s sinking popularity in American eyes

In food supply news, Trump’s supply chain disruptions continue to drive food price inflation.

Rising fertilizer costs drive downturn in Australian wheat production

Source: Xinhua| 2026-06-02 15:34:15

CANBERRA, June 2 (Xinhua) -- Australia's annual wheat harvest is set to fall by 26 percent year-on-year as a result of rising fertilizer prices driven by the conflict in the Middle East, according to a government report.

The agricultural commodities report published by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) on Tuesday said that national wheat production is forecast to fall to 26.7 million tonnes in 2026-27, down 26 percent from 2025-26 and 8 percent below the 10-year average.

A separate crop report also published by the ABARES on Tuesday said that the total area planted to wheat is forecast to fall by 12 percent to 10.9 million hectares in 2026-27, the smallest area since 2019-20.

Overall, it said that Australian winter crop production is forecast to fall by 21 percent year-on-year to 54.5 million tonnes.

The commodities report said that many growers are expected to leave plowed land unplanted due to increases in fuel and fertilizer prices as well as dry conditions and a below-average national winter rainfall outlook.

"The impact of Middle East conflict is significant for Australian agriculture because the sector is export-oriented and farming systems use imports of fuel, fertilizer, chemicals, and packaging as inputs," the report said.

According to the ABARES, Australian grain and oilseed export prices have risen by around 20 percent since the conflict in the Middle East began, but domestic prices for urea have risen by more than 80 percent in the same period.

As a result of the declining winter crop production, the bureau is forecasting that the total value of Australia's agricultural output will fall by 5 percent to 98.3 billion Australian dollars (70.5 billion U.S. dollars) in 2026-27.

Agricultural export value is expected to fall by 9 percent to 74.8 billion Australian dollars (53.6 billion U.S. dollars), the report said. ■

Rising fertilizer costs drive downturn in Australian wheat production-Xinhua

In the USA, approx. 6 minutes.

Ag's Headlines: Historic Wheat Losses Mount While FTC Targets Fertilizer Industry

Bing Videos

In other news, China learning to live without Nvidia. The world transitioning from Trump’s USA towards China.

CNBC’s The China Connection newsletter: China learns to build without Nvidia

Published Mon, Jun 1 2026 7:00 PM EDT

Hi, this is Evelyn, writing to you from Beijing. Welcome to the latest edition of The China Connection — a succinct snapshot of what I’m seeing and hearing from local businesses.

China’s tech self-sufficiency push is rapidly becoming a reality as companies focus on business questions that run deeper than geopolitics. What does that mean for Nvidia?

The big story

Robovan startup Zelostech plans to use multiple chip suppliers from China and elsewhere, over the next year or two, instead of relying only on Nvidia for its self-driving systems, the company told CNBC.

A major factor is cost, said Shi Yunjian, director of finance and investment. Using China-made chips, for example, would cost far less than the two Nvidia Orin chipsets currently used in each vehicle, he said.

That’s a big deal because scale is becoming a competitive advantage. The more autonomous vehicles can deploy, the more operating data they can collect and the easier it becomes to convince regulators that the technology is ready for wider use.

Zelostech claims it already has more than 25,000 vehicles operating in over 20 countries, with plans to expand rapidly. These don’t carry people, and many are smaller than a mail truck. Most operate in mainland China, mostly for logistics companies delivering packages.

By comparison, Alphabet-backed Waymo has just under 4,000 vehicles on the road, while Chinese rivals Baidu, WeRide and Pony.ai have yet to deploy fleets at a similar scale.

Beyond Nvidia

Zelostech is hardly alone in pursuing Nvidia alternatives.

Waymo uses custom chips, while Chinese electric car giant BYD last week joined Nio and Xpeng in revealing their own semiconductors for driver-assist systems.

This year, Nio said it’s planning a fivefold increase in spending on computing power. When I asked whether that included Nvidia, CEO William Li said the company was no longer buying chips but renting compute power powered by a variety of processors.

A vehicle Xpeng co-developed with Volkswagen is also using the Chinese company’s “Turing chip,” while the German automaker has partnered with China’s Horizon Robotics to develop driver-assist systems in China — without Nvidia.

Nvidia’s driver-assist chips are not subject to the same U.S. export restrictions that apply to the more advanced semiconductors used to train and run AI models.

Yet even after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joined U.S. President Donald Trump on his trip to Beijing in May, it’s clear China is not eager to let more Nvidia chips in.

The shift extends beyond vehicles. Chinese AI developers have increasingly optimized their models to run on homegrown hardware, rather than Nvidia’s widely used CUDA ecosystem.

The latest MiniMax and Kimi models, along with DeepSeek’s V4, are compatible with local Chinese semiconductors.

“We believe the pivot to domestic chips will accelerate over 2026E-28E,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a May 5 report. They pointed out that DeepSeek V4 works with eight China-made chips, including those from Huawei and Alibaba’s T-head chip unit.

More

China learns to build without Nvidia

Every world leader who has visited China in 2026 in one chart

China has hosted 26 leaders from 23 countries this year, underscoring its growing diplomatic and economic influence.

2 Jun 2026

British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper is the latest senior official in a steady stream of world leaders visiting China this year.

During her three-day trip this week, Cooper is expected to meet her Chinese counterpart Wang Yi and Vice President Han Zheng in Beijing before travelling to the southern tech hub of Shenzhen for a programme focused on science and technology.

According to an Al Jazeera tally, Cooper is the 26th foreign leader or senior official to visit China this year. The list includes presidents, prime ministers, chancellors, crown princes and foreign ministers from 23 countries.

In all, leaders from Ireland, South Korea, Canada, Finland, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, Germany, Turkmenistan, Pakistan, Spain, the United Arab Emirates, Russia, Vietnam, Mozambique, Iran, Tajikistan, the United States, Seychelles, Moldova, Singapore, Serbia, Brazil, and Laos have travelled to China this year.

More

Every world leader who has visited China in 2026 in one chart | Business and Economy News | Al Jazeera

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Inflation hits 3.2% in the euro zone as Iran war pushes energy costs higher

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 5:03 AM EDT

Euro zone inflation rose to an estimated 3.2% in May, driven by double-digit energy price growth, official data showed on Tuesday.

The print, which was in line with forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists, is expected to lock in expectations of an interest rate hike at next week’s European Central Bank meeting.

Energy costs represented the highest annual rate of inflation in May, according to the flash data, with prices rising by 10.9% — a slight rise from the euro zone’s 10.8% energy price growth recorded the previous month.

Services inflation rose to 3.5% from 3% in April, while food, alcohol and tobacco prices cooled to 2% from 2.4% the previous month.

Inflation rates also varied drastically between individual markets. Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, saw annual inflation fall to 2.7% in May from 2.9% in April. But Greece and Lithuania’s annual inflation rates rose above 5% last month. In France, annual inflation rose from 2.5% in April to 2.8% in May.

Tuesday’s print showed inflation in Europe is continuing to rise above the European Central Bank’s 2% target as oil and gas prices remain elevated in the wake of the U.S.-Iran war.

Inflation in the euro zone jumped to 3% in April, up from 2.6% in March. Prior to the outbreak of the conflict in Iran, inflation in the euro area had dipped below the 2% threshold.

Europe is particularly vulnerable to energy shocks as a major net energy importer.

Markets are currently pricing in a 94% chance of the ECB hiking its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its meeting later this month, according to LSEG data.

Following the data release, the euro was flat against the dollar at around $1.164. The yield on Germany’s 10-year bund, broadly seen as a benchmark for the euro zone, fell by 6 basis points.

Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING, said in a note on Tuesday morning that the May inflation data paves the way for an ECB rate hike next week.

“A week ahead of the next ECB meeting, this is the expected uptick in inflation that will motivate the central bank to decide on an ‘insurance’ hike,” he said.

Brzeski added that the Iran war-induced energy shock had “become more permanent,” but noted that oil prices remain lower than levels forecast by many market watchers under a more adverse scenario regarding the length of the war.

“Nevertheless, for inflation in the eurozone, the only way is currently up,” he said. “Not a sharp up but a rather moderate and gradual lift. While knock-on effects from higher energy prices on other prices, like transportation and food, will be hard to avoid, the latest survey-based inflation expectations have come down a bit.”

Inflation hits 3.2% in the euro zone as energy costs climb higher

S. Korea's consumer price inflation hits 26-month high in May

Source: Xinhua| 2026-06-02 15:22:15

SEOUL, June 2 (Xinhua) -- South Korea's consumer price inflation hit a 26-month high due to surging oil product prices driven by tensions in the Middle East, statistical ministry data showed Tuesday.

The consumer price index (CPI) shot up 3.1 percent in May from a year earlier, marking the fastest gain since March 2024, according to the Ministry of Data and Statistics.

Headline inflation has stayed above the central bank's mid-term inflation target of 2 percent for nine straight months since September 2025.

Prices for industrial products, including oil products and processed food, spiked 4.2 percent in May compared to the same month last year, up from 3.8 percent in the previous month.

Prices for oil products surged 24.2 percent in May, pushing overall inflation up by 0.92 percentage points. This marked the fastest increase in nearly four years, since July 2022.

Prices for gasoline and diesel jumped 23.1 percent and 33.3 percent, respectively, while computer prices went up 19.0 percent amid higher semiconductor prices.

Prices for agricultural, livestock and fishery products climbed 2.2 percent in May from a year earlier, marking the first rebound in three months.

Prices for electricity, natural gas and tap water were up 0.1 percent in May on a yearly basis.

City gas charge, heating cost and waterworks fee added in single digits, while electricity bills dipped 0.4 percent.

Service prices surged 2.8 percent in the month, lifting headline inflation by 1.56 percentage points, marking the fastest increase since December 2023.

Driven by a surge in fuel surcharges amid rising oil prices, international airfares jumped 33.5 percent last month, marking the steepest increase since records began in 1995.

The livelihood items index, which gauges prices for daily necessities, climbed 3.3 percent, while the fresh food index, which measures prices for fish, shellfish, fruit and vegetables, declined 1.4 percent.

Demand-side inflationary pressure lingered. Core consumer price index, which excludes volatile agricultural and oil products, appreciated 2.5 percent.

The OECD-method core price index, excluding volatile energy and food costs, picked up 2.5 percent in the cited month. ■

S. Korea's consumer price inflation hits 26-month high in May-Xinhua

Trump administration proposes 25% tariff on Brazilian goods over unfair trade practices

Published Tue, Jun 2 2026 12:13 AM EDT

The Office of the United States Trade Representative has proposed 25% tariffs on Brazilian goods under Section 301, determining that the South American nation had engaged in practices that “are unreasonable and burden or restrict U.S. commerce.”

Some of these practices also include anti-corruption enforcement, intellectual property protection, ethanol market access, and illegal deforestation, according to the release from the U.S. Trade Representative.

U.S Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said that the investigation under Section 301 was launched at the direction of U.S. President Donald Trump.

While Trump has had “several constructive meetings” with Brazilian counterpart Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the two sides continue to have substantial differences in resolving the issues identified in this investigation, Greer said.

The USTR will hold a hearing about the proposed action on July 6.

Section 301 is designed to address unfair foreign practices affecting U.S. commerce, and allows the U.S. president to impose tariffs if an investigation finds that the acts are unreasonable or discriminatory.

Back in July 2025, Brazil was hit with 50% tariff by Trump, partly in retaliation for the ongoing prosecution of the country’s former President Jair Bolsonaro.

However, those duties were struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court in February, leaving Washington able to only impose a 10% global tariff on exports to the U.S.

Separately, the White House announced an adjustment to tariffs on certain steel, aluminum and copper imports. Levies on agricultural equipment, like combines and harvesters will be dropped to 15% from 25%, and the scope of equipment qualifying for the 15% tariff will also be expanded.

Capital equipment that include at least 85% of U.S. steel and aluminum by weight will also qualify for a 10% duty rate, down from the current 95%.

Trump administration proposes 25% tariff on Brazilian goods over unfair trade practices

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Scientists listen to the ‘heart’ of our Sun – and find mysterious behaviour

Andrew Griffin Tue, 2 June 2026 at 4:10 am BST

The Sun is behaving in mysterious and unexpected ways, scientists have found after listening to its “heart”.

A new study suggests that something has changed about the Sun’s internal rhythm over the past 40 years, the researchers say. That rhythm decides space weather than can affect life on Earth, and scientists say that urgent study is required to understand what is happening to our star.

The Sun is known to change on 11-year cycles, from active to less active times. Through the busier parts of those cycles, the Sun is more likely to throw out solar flares and ejections of particles that can lead to potentially dangerous solar storms.

The new research came after scientists listened to the tiny sound waves that are inside the Sun. That allows them to better understand the changes on the Sun’s interior, and what they might mean for its cycles and behaviour.

They found that the Sun appears to be entering a “different mode of behaviour”. In addition to the usual 11-year tempo, there are more long term changes in its structure that could alter how the Sun works.

The study suggests that solar magnetic activity is being pushed into a layer just below the visible surface of the Sun, and that layer is becoming increasingly shallow.

"The Sun has its own 'active biorhythm' creating rising and falling magnetic activity that shapes space weather. However, traditional surface measures don't capture the full story – that the Sun may be entering a different mode of behaviour unfolding over decades,” said Bill Chaplin, from the University of Birmingham, who was the lead author on the new study.

"We have uncovered evidence of systematic changes in the solar activity cycle. Crucially, magnetic activity is becoming more tightly confined near the surface with each cycle. This is the first such discovery and would have been impossible without the long BiSON observations."

The researchers suggest that more work is required to better understand the Sun’s current cycle and whatever changes inside might be powering and altering it.

"We discovered that the relationship between internal solar oscillations and surface activity has evolved over the past few cycles,” said Sarbani Basu, from Yale University.

"This trend cannot be explained simply by weaker magnetic fields. Instead, it indicates a structural reorganisation of how the Sun's magnetic activity is stored beneath the surface."

Scientists listen to the ‘heart’ of our Sun – and find mysterious behaviour - Yahoo News UK

Blue Origin launchpad damaged in rocket explosion may not be restored until 2028, NASA’s Isaacman says

Published Mon, Jun 1 2026 7:48 PM EDT

NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman on Monday told CNBC that it will “take some serious time” to restore the launchpad damaged last week by a Blue Origin rocket explosion.

Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin was conducting a hot-fire test of its massive New Glenn rocket on Thursday at a Space Force launch facility in Cape Canaveral, Florida, when the rocket erupted into a fireball. Bezos confirmed that all Blue Origin personnel were safe following the incident, and pledged to rebuild, while calling it a “very rough day.”

A 2028 timeframe is “within the realm” of a possible launchpad recovery, Isaacman said in an interview with CNBC’s Morgan Brennan at the CEO Council Summit.

“We’re all getting organized generally around the idea that we certainly want to see Blue Origin be very successful,” Isaacman said. “So recovering, getting the pad recovered, providing subject matter expertise, root cause analysis for sure. Let’s figure out what’s broken, and then we got to keep moving forward.”

Isaacman, Bezos and Blue Origin CEO Dave Limp toured the launchpad and addressed the space startup’s employees on Friday. Limp wrote in a Saturday post on X that Blue Origin has since regained some access to launchpad and developed a plan for rebuilding.

NASA has several contracts with Blue Origin as part of the space agency’s Artemis program, an effort to return American astronauts to the Moon’s surface by 2028. It tapped Blue Origin to launch an uncrewed Blue Moon lander, known as MK1, atop New Glenn later this year.

Getting the lander to the moon will require a rocket that can carry a significant amount of mass, Isaacman said. That will likely put NASA in “Falcon Heavy land,” he said, referring to the super heavy-lift rocket developed by Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

“In terms of heavy lift, you know, real heavy lift, you’ve got SpaceX and Blue Origin, and obviously one of them is down a pad right now,” Isaacman said.

New Glenn was designed by Blue Origin to compete with SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket, along with United Launch Alliance’s Vulcan heavy-lift rocket.

Blue Origin only has one New Glenn launchpad, making Thursday’s explosion an especially devastating mishap. It plans to operate a New Glenn launchpad out of Vandenberg Space Force Base in California, but that pad remains in development.

“We’ve got a lot of data, in fact, it was one of the first things my team made available, is, hey, across history of human space flight, of every launch pad we’ve built, every launch pad we ever had to rebuild, here’s the timelines,” Isaacman said. “Even if you’re moving at, you know, a pretty quick pace, that’s going to take some serious time.”

The incident also impacts Blue Origin’s other customers, including Amazon. Blue Origin was set to ferry 48 satellites for Amazon’s nascent Leo internet-from-space venture this week, as part of several upcoming missions.

Amazon, which Bezos founded in 1994, has a pending deadline by the Federal Communications Commission to deploy about half of its constellation by next month. It’s also working to bring its Leo service online for commercial customers later this year, which aims to compete with SpaceX’s Starlink.

AST SpaceMobile, which is building a direct-to-device satellite system, also relies on Blue Origin for some rocket launches. The stock closed down more than 6% on Monday, after falling almost 17% on Friday.

Blue Origin launchpad may not be restored until 2028: NASA's Isaacman

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)    

The most likely way for the world to be destroyed, most experts agree, is by accident. That’s where we come in: we’re computer professionals. We cause accidents.

Anon.

Tuesday, 2 June 2026

AI Bubbles On, Bust Coming? Peace Talks Over?

Baltic Dry Index. 3222 -02       Brent Crude 94.21

Spot Gold 4514                           Spot Silver 76.19

US 2 Year Yield 4.05 +0.07

US Federal Debt. 39.198 trillion

US GDP 32.175 trillion.

Possessing utility, commodities derive their exchangeable value from two sources: from their scarcity, and from the quantity of labour required to obtain them.

David Ricardo

All good things must come to an end and with the peace talks to end the Israeli/American war on Iran over and no sign of the Strait of Hormuz opening  President Trump flipped out

telling CNBC, “I don’t care if they’re over, honestly.”

“I really don’t care. I couldn’t care less,” Trump told CNBC’s Eamon Javers in a phone interview midday Monday, adding that he felt the drawn-out negotiations had “started to get very boring.”

Well maybe, but most of the world does care, especially the world’s poorest, to whom high priced diesel is starting to impact their ability to buy food at soaring global food prices.

Besides, with supply chain disruption forever as US policy, I suspect it won’t be long before a scramble to take profits in the stock casinos gets underway.

Getting out first always beats getting carried out last. 

Asia-Pacific stocks mostly lower as Iran war uncertainty keeps investors on edge

Published Mon, Jun 1 2026 7:42 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets traded mostly lower Tuesday, as investors weighed renewed uncertainty over U.S.-Iran peace negotiations, while Wall Street benchmark indexes climbed to fresh highs overnight on tech optimism.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was 1.32% lower, while the Topix declined 1.14%. South Korea’s Kospi fell 1.92% and the small-cap Kosdaq was down 3.13%.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.71%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index added 0.13%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 was up 0.1%.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday shrugged off the possibility that peace talks with Iran could fall apart, telling CNBC, “I don’t care if they’re over, honestly.”

“I really don’t care. I couldn’t care less,” Trump told CNBC’s Eamon Javers in a phone interview midday Monday, adding that he felt the drawn-out negotiations had “started to get very boring.”

Trump was responding to a question about reports earlier Monday that Iranian negotiators were considering ending discussions with Washington and moving to “completely block” the Strait of Hormuz in response to Israel’s military campaign in Lebanon targeting the Iran-backed Hezbollah group.

When asked whether Iranian officials had informed him that they would no longer continue negotiations, Trump replied, “No, they haven’t.”

S&P 500 futures slipped 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.3%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 122 points, or 0.2%.

Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose even as oil prices advanced, with Nvidia leading technology higher following the launch of a new chip for PCs.

The broad market index advanced 0.26% to close at 7,599.96, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.42% to close at 27,086.81. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 46.42 points, or 0.09%, and ended at 51,078.88. All three indexes reached new all-time intraday highs and closed at records.

Asia-Pacific markets today: Kospi, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng Index

Stock futures slip after all three major indexes close at new records: Live updates

Updated Tue, Jun 2 2026 10:12 PM EDT

U.S. stock futures ticked lower on Monday night after all three major indexes rose to fresh records during the regular session.

S&P 500 futures slipped 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.3%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 122 points, or 0.2%.

Shares of Hewlett Packard Enterprise surged 26% after the technology company issued a rosy outlook for the current quarter and raised its guidance for the full year, trouncing the Street’s estimates. HPE’s second-quarter results also marked its biggest earnings beat since 2018.

A rally in the technology sector, led by Nvidia following the launch of a new chip for PCs, propelled stocks higher on Monday. The S&P 500 gained 0.26%, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.42%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 46.42 points, or 0.09%. All three major averages notched new intraday all-time highs and closing records.

Enthusiasm over the artificial intelligence trade has resulted in tremendous performance in the equity markets over the past few weeks. But Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, says that there are no indications that the equity market rally is over.

“We’ve had nine consecutive up weeks for the S&P 500, and naturally that does reflect positive momentum. Momentum is positive now, short term, intermediate term, long term, and we saw a series of flag pattern breakouts, or essentially sharp run ups followed by brief consolidation phases that are then resolved higher,” Stockton said on CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Monday afternoon. She noted that Dell was a recent example.

“These run-ups are really explosive. Unfortunately, that also means they tend to end in dramatic fashion, but we don’t have indications yet, any confirmed sell signals from our overbought oversold metrics to suggest that this is over.”

Oil prices also rose on Monday after Iranian state media reported that the country’s negotiators will stop exchanging messages with the U.S. via intermediaries. Iran’s state-affiliated news outlet, Tasnim, also said that the country will move to fully block the Strait of Hormuz. The report added that “no dialogue will take place” until Israel fully stops all attacks in both Lebanon and Gaza and fully withdraws from occupied areas in Lebanon.

In response, President Donald Trump told CNBC’s Eamon Javers in a phone interview that he “couldn’t care less” if peace negotiations with Iran are over.

In a later Truth Social post, the president said that he “had a very productive call” with  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. In a separate post, Trump added that talks with Iran are “continuing, at a rapid pace.”

Dollar GeneralVictoria’s Secret and Signet Jewelers will report earnings before Tuesday’s opening bell. Traders will also watch out for April’s reading on JOLTS job openings.

Stock market today: Live updates

On Wall Street the Great AI Bubble soars on but see the LIR Technology section.

Wall Street bulls bet US stocks rally will defy bubble fears

Investors and strategists shrug off worries that markets could be overheating by betting on huge gains for AI-linked shares

1 June 2026

Wall Street bulls are betting that a rally in US stocks has further to run, shrugging off concerns that huge gains for shares linked to AI are a sign that markets are overheating.

The S&P 500 sailed to record closing highs 11 times in May, half of all trading days, leaving the US blue-chip index up about 11 per cent this year. Tech stocks have posted even loftier gains, with the Nasdaq up 16 per cent.

First-quarter earnings blew past Wall Street expectations, leading big banks including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to raise their S&P targets for the year in recent weeks.

Many investors are betting that AI advances and huge investments in chips and data centres will turbocharge US growth and continue boosting companies’ bottom lines.

“We do not believe that we’re in a bubble . . . A bubble would laugh at the valuations that we’re paying right now,” said Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes’ deputy chief investment officer for global equities. 

“Secular bull markets historically are 20-year events,” he added. “We think we’re in the middle, and we think it’s accelerating and this market can continue to go higher.”

Companies at the centre of the AI frenzy have posted eyewatering gains.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor index, which tracks big chipmakers, has soared 81 per cent since the start of the year, leaving it on course for its best run since 1999.

Sandisk, a maker of data centre storage products, has surged 600 per cent so far in 2026, while other companies linked to AI including Micron, Dell Technologies, Intel, Seagate and Western Digital are up 200 per cent.

Nvidia, the $5tn chip behemoth most closely associated with the AI boom, has gained 13 per cent so far this year.

The rally in AI stocks has helped push measures of market valuations higher. The S&P 500 is trading at about 21 times expected earnings over the next year, above the 30-year average of 17, FactSet data shows.

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Wall Street bulls bet US stocks rally will defy bubble fears

In other news, thinking the unthinkable.

What if the Strait of Hormuz didn’t reopen?

The longer the closure, the higher the risks to the global economy

Jun 1, 2026

When the Suez Canal closed in 1967 after war broke out between Egypt and Israel, 15 ships got trapped inside the waterway. They dropped anchor to wait for the hostilities to stop. The conflict ended quickly. Aptly, it was called the Six-Day War, but the canal remained closed for eight years.

When the ships were finally allowed to leave, in 1975, only two remained seaworthy. The rest were so rusted they became known as the Yellow Fleet.

History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. So what if something similar were to happen in the Strait of Hormuz? It’s a nightmare few contemplate and it’s certainly not my own base case. But nearly 90 days since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran all but closed the oil-and-gas sea route, it’s worth considering what seems unthinkable but has happened elsewhere. Call it historical science fiction.

Perhaps it won’t come to this. Washington and Tehran are talking, via Pakistani mediators, about ending the conflict and reopening the choke point. But what if a deal was limited initially to a one-page long memorandum of understanding? Would that clear the strait fully?

Tellingly, the United Arab Emirates has accelerated plans for a second pipeline bypassing the strait, which it hopes to put into service in 2027. This is prudent worst-case scenario planning — and a strong signal that Abu Dhabi thinks the waterway could remain imperiled far longer than many others believe.

The industry consensus on the reopening is less apocalyptic. Asking my contacts in the commodity and financial world, most seem to think Hormuz will reopen next month, at worst in July. Why? Mostly because the consequences of the opposite happening — much higher energy prices and serious economic damage — are too painful to consider.

In the 1980s, American economist Herbert Stein made a famous observation: “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” Today, Wall Street is leaning on a slightly tweaked version of Stein’s Law: “The Strait of Hormuz cannot be closed forever because it will cause too much economic damage. Therefore, it will reopen.”

The problem is the closure is yet to do enough economic harm to either side to force a compromise. For U.S. President Donald Trump, the war has been relatively cheap so far, at least in terms of what he cares about most: financial markets.

The S&P500 index is hovering close to an all-time high, up nearly 10% since the war began. Gasoline prices have risen but they’re below their 2022 record peak. And the American economy is galloping, with the estimate for second-quarter growth currently above 4%.

Equally, Iran hasn’t yet suffered the economic meltdown that would force its hard-line leaders to drop their negotiating red lines. Unemployment is rising, food inflation is rampant and the currency is in free fall. Unable to export because of the U.S. Navy blockade, the regime has started curtailing oil output. But the Islamic Republic has demonstrated many times before its huge capacity to absorb pain, more so when the threat is existential.

With both sides dug in, the best hope is for any kind of deal to emerge, however imperfect. If not, we’re back to waiting until the economic toll becomes unbearable. 

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What if the Strait of Hormuz didn’t reopen? - The Japan Times

Oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz might not return to levels seen before the Iran war

Published Sat, May 30 2026 9:00 AM EDT

The oil market might face a new reality after the Iran war in which exports through the Strait of Hormuz do not return to the levels once considered normal, as shipowners now have to weigh the risk that fighting could abruptly break out in the volatile Persian Gulf.

And Western commercial ships will likely hesitate to sail through Hormuz if it remains under Iran’s de facto control, especially if they have to coordinate with the Revolutionary Guard, putting them at risk of violating U.S. sanctions.

It is a scenario with consequences that are difficult to foresee given the vital role that Hormuz plays in global energy markets. Freedom of navigation through the strait was never seriously challenged until Iran basically closed the sea lane in response to the war launched by the U.S. and Israel on Feb. 28.

Iran’s blockade of Hormuz has triggered the largest oil supply disruption in history, putting pressure on the U.S. to make a deal as the threat to the global economy grows by the day. Tehran appears intent to use this leverage to consolidate control over the strait in a settlement that ends the war.

Middle East leaders believe that Iran has already taken control of Hormuz, said Amos Hochstein, who served as a senior energy and national security advisor to former President Joe Biden.

“No matter what happens, the Iranians will control the Strait of Hormuz for the foreseeable future,” Hochstein told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. “It doesn’t even matter what the deal says. Everybody in the region believes that.”

Oil tanker traffic through Hormuz before the war might represent the high point for transits for the foreseeable future, said Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

“Any end to the conflict that leaves Iran exercising operational control and influence over the Strait will result in appreciably lower flows through the waterway in our view,” Croft told clients in a Thursday note.

Traffic under this scenario might return to 60% to 70% of prewar volumes with China-affiliated ships moving freely while passage for Western vessels require bilateral agreements with Iran, said Richard Meade, editor-in-chief of Lloyd’s List, in a briefing on May 21.

“This doesn’t trigger a recession in the way that some of the doomsday scenarios that we’ve talked about before might suggest, but it does not allow the prewar rebound,” Meade said. Lloyd’s List is one of the oldest shipping industry trade journals in the world.

“It produces something more insidious,” Meade continued. “A permanently bifurcated strait where access is a function of political alignment, not freedom of navigation.”

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Oil exports through Hormuz might not return to levels before Iran war

Iran attacks damage 20 US military sites since start of war, satellite images show

1 June 2026

Iran has damaged 20 US military sites since the start of the war, satellite images and videos analysed by BBC Verify show, suggesting the attacks are more extensive than publicly acknowledged.

Iran has targeted key facilities across eight countries in the Middle East since the end of February, causing millions of dollars of damage to state-of the-art air defence systems, refuelling aircraft and radars.

Tehran has targeted both US bases and shared military facilities in retaliation to the US-Israeli strikes across Iran and Lebanon over the past three months. The Pentagon says it has hit more than 13,000 targets in Iran since the start of Operation Epic Fury.

Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, has sought to highlight his military's success in striking US facilities. In a statement on Tuesday he claimed the Middle East was no longer a "safe place" for American bases.

While the White House has repeatedly claimed that Iran's military has been almost wiped out, analysts said that the damage seen at US facilities suggests that Tehran's counter-attacks have been more precise and extensive than American officials have previously acknowledged.

A US defence official declined to comment on BBC Verify's findings, citing "operational security reasons".

The US has sought to limit satellite analysis of the conflict by requesting Planet, a major provider, to impose an "indefinite" restriction on new images of Iran and most of the Middle East. The company justified the move, saying that it wanted to ensure its images were not used "by adversarial actors to target allied and Nato-partner personnel and civilians".

BBC Verify has used satellite imagery from other international providers combined with older images from Planet to track the damage caused by Iranian attacks. The facilities are in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman. The actual figure could be higher, with some analysts placing the number of bases hit as high as 28.

Among the valuable hardware damaged were three state-of-the-art anti-ballistic missile batteries systems at the Al Ruwais and Al Sader airbases in the UAE and Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan.

The US is only known to operate eight of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) batteries, which are deployed at bases around the globe and cost around $1bn (£766m) to manufacture. Each battery needs a crew of about 100 troops to operate it while the interceptors it fires cost around $12.7m per round.

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Iran attacks damage 20 US military sites since start of war, satellite images show - BBC News

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Trump is facing a new inflation warning from the bond market, adding to his midterm challenges

Updated 5:47 PM GMT+1, June 1, 2026

WASHINGTON (AP) — The world is getting more uptight about lending money to President Donald Trump’s government — causing interest rates to climb in ways that are worsening affordability pressureshampering economic growth and creating a new risk for Republicans in November’s midterm elections.

The energy price spike triggered by the Iran war has seeped into the price of bonds that help fund the U.S. government. Interest rates on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note are topping 4.44%, up from 3.95% before the war started at the end of February. Average mortgage rates have climbed to their highest levels in nine months, while auto sales are slumping.

The challenge is global in scale, as interest rates have risen for multiple countries as the world has been adjusting to the prospect of higher inflation, mounting questions about the sustainability of government debt and a dramatic surge in investment in artificial intelligence.

Trump has tried to assure Americans that he has a plan to trim the roughly $1.8 trillion annual budget deficit. In the past, he has pointed to revenue from tariffs, payments from foreigners for his “Gold Card” visa, spending cuts made by the Department of Government Efficiency, and faster economic growth. Last week, he said the fraud task force led by Vice President JD Vance would be the key to unlocking massive savings.

Economists say this is probably unrealistic

Economists say Trump’s strategies to meaningfully curb the deficit are unlikely to deliver the promised results.

The cost of servicing the national debt has tripled since 2021 to more than $1 trillion annually, said Jessica Riedl, a budget and tax fellow at the Brookings Institution.

“President Trump signed a tax cut bill that will likely add $5 trillion to 10-year deficits — and tariffs are offsetting only a small fraction of those costs,” she said. “Budget deficits are still projected to soar past $4 trillion annually within a decade under current policies.”

Deficits are expected to grow over the next decade as the costs of Social Security and Medicare outstrip tax revenues.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate climbed as high as 4.67% in the middle of May and has since eased as negotiations over the Iran ceasefire continued — just as rates initially climbed in 2025 because of Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs and then began to decline once Trump backed off the most extreme increases.

When Kent Smetters, faculty director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, broke down the math tied to rising 30-year Treasury yields, he estimated that 60% of the increase had come from the expectation that America will continue its outsized borrowing and the other 40% was tied to the inflation driven by the Iran war and Trump’s tariffs.

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Why the bond market’s message on US debt matters for midterms | AP News

China’s factory activity beats forecasts in May, private survey shows, despite softer official data

Published Sun, May 31 2026 9:59 PM EDT

BEIJING — China’s manufacturing activity expanded faster than expected in May, according to a private survey released Monday, although growth slowed from the previous month and contrasted with softer official data pointing to weaker momentum in the sector.

The RatingDog China General Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index, compiled by S&P Global, came in at 51.8, a touch above the 51.6 expected in a Reuters poll.

The reading was down from April’s 52.2, indicating a slower pace of improvement in manufacturing conditions. The 50 mark separates expansion from contraction.

“While the rate of growth eased, it remained among the highest observed over the past five years,” said Yao Yu, founder of credit research firm RatingDog.

New export business saw a slight decline in May, the RatingDog PMI report said, while employment also “contracted marginally.”

Seasonally adjusted input prices fell in May from the prior month for the first time in half a year, although costs remained elevated due to higher prices for raw materials and energy, as well as supply chain disruptions, the report said.

The private survey of Chinese manufacturers noted optimism for growth over the next 12 months, based partly on “new product launches, technological breakthroughs and improved production capacity.”

Because it samples a smaller group of export-oriented manufacturers, the RatingDog survey often differs from the official manufacturing PMI, which covers a broader segment of China’s manufacturing sector.

China’s official manufacturing PMI for May fell to 50 in May from 50.3 in April, in line with expectations and its lowest since a 49 print in February, according to data released Sunday.

Overall, the official PMI suggests “subdued manufacturing sector growth, increased services activity, and continued decline in the construction industry,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report Sunday.

The mixed manufacturing signals come as China’s broader economy continues to show uneven momentum.

While China’s retail sales growth hit a 40-month low in April, official figures showed overall domestic tourism and spending picked up during an extended May 1 holiday. Chinese hotel group H World said the 10 most popular destinations by occupancy rate were in smaller cities. Rates tend to be lower in those regions than major cities.

China’s factory activity beats forecasts in May, private survey shows, despite softer official data

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Warning, I have no way of verifying this YouTube presentation, but if even halfway accurate, it sounds like a dot con style crash is coming.  Approx. 9 minutes. “And the walls came tumbling down” comes to mind.

Why Tech CEOs Are Quietly Cancelling Their AI Plans

Why Tech CEOs Are Quietly Cancelling Their AI Plans

See yesterday’s AI article from Goldie’s CEO, in the “In other news” section.

The stock market just did something eerily similar to the dot-com bubble top in 2000

Published Mon, Jun 1 2026 7:45 AM EDT

The S&P 500 closed at a record on the last trading day of May, but only a handful of stocks — focused mostly in the AI area — hit their own all-time highs.

This strange occurrence echoes what happened at the top of dot-com bubble 26 years ago.

On Friday, just 20 of the index members hit a record. Of those 20, just seven were not directly related to artificial intelligence.

Michael Hartnett at Bank of America pointed out in a note to end last week that it was just 20 stocks that hit new highs at the very top of the internet bubble in March 2000.

While the widely followed strategist said the “speculative price action” is likely not over yet, this occurrence is the latest sign that it is nearing. Hartnett believes central banks and rising interest rates will ultimately spell the end, giving clients a “post-bubble” road map.

The May stock boom was driven largely by semiconductors, specifically memory chip makers like Micron TechnologyAdvanced Micro Devices, SK Hynix and Samsung, which are all valued at or near a trillion dollars. AMD soared 46% on the month, Micron jumped 88%, Samsung 44% and SK Hynix 81%.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 25% in April and May, its best two-month stretch in more than two decades.

Narrow bull

A growing number of strategists and investors are concerned that if this bull market doesn’t start to broaden out, it will ultimately be its undoing.

Advance-decline lines, which show the number of stocks rising compared with the number falling, have exhibited a similar trend, surging at the end of March and then falling back in a bearish sign since the middle of April.

“Internals have lagged since the initial April surge,” Ari Wald wrote in a May 23 technical analysis for Oppenheimer.

Only about 55% of S&P 500 constituents were trading above their 200-day moving average as of May 20, according to BCA Research.

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The stock market just did something eerily similar to the dot-com bubble top in 2000

Florida AG sues OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman over AI safety concerns and alleged harm to users

June 1, 2026

Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier announced a lawsuit in West Palm Beach against OpenAI and its CEO, Sam Altman, over the design and safety of its AI products.

Florida is the first state to sue the company, with the lawsuit alleging that OpenAI knowingly ignored warnings that harm users and deceives parents.

The attorney general referenced the shooting at Florida State University last year and the murders of two University of South Florida students in April, stating that in both cases, the suspects used ChatGPT before the crimes.

Florida AG sues OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman over AI safety concerns and alleged harm to users

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)    

There is no art which government sooner learns of another than that of draining money from the pockets of the people.

Adam Smith