Wednesday, 1 April 2026

Stocks, More Rigging. Peace Or An Easter Ground Attack?

Baltic Dry Index. 1995 -22      Brent Crude 105.21

Spot Gold  4750                           Spot Silver 75.40 

US 2 Year Yield 3.79 -0.03

US Federal Debt. 39.061 trillion

US GDP 31.287 trillion.

Tungsten and helium prices have been surging, "but you don't have anyone on the buy side saying, 'oh my goodness, we don't have enough product,'" Ecclestone said. "Defense contractors should have warehouses of tungsten, but they don't."

"The world has got lazy. It thinks life is like a supermarket, the product is a pack of cornflakes or a few tons of sulfuric acid," he said. "The supermarket of commodities has had a few of the aisles chopped down."

Christopher Ecclestone, principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company.

To no one’s great surprise, faced with an unfolding stocks rout on the last trading day of the month and quarter, President Trump goosed markets higher by all but declaring his Iran/Gulf war over. More details tonight in  his televised speech to the nation.

But is his unnecessary war on Iran really over, with or without Iran reopening shipping in the Strait of Hormuz? Is it just cover for a “surprise” ground attack over Easter?

For now in the stock casinos, the relief/dead cat bounce.

South Korea’s Kospi leads rebound in Asia markets as Trump says Iran war could end in weeks

Published Tue, Mar 31 2026 7:50 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets rebounded Wednesday after statements from U.S. President Donald Trump raised hopes that the Iran war could end soon.

On Tuesday stateside, Trump said the U.S. could leave Iran in “two or three weeks,” adding “We leave because there’s no reason for us to do this.”

U.S. crude futures were up 1.34% at $102.72 a barrel as of 10.42 p.m. ET, while Brent futures climbed 1.27% to trade at $105.29 per barrel.

South Korea’s Kospi led gains in the region, surging over 6.5%, while the small-cap Kosdaq gained 5.38%, after data showed South Korean exports in March jumped 48.3% from a year earlier, beating Reuters poll estimates of 44.9%.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 4.04%, led by financial stocks, while the broad-based Topix added 3.79%.

The Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey for the first quarter of 2026, which measures business sentiment, showed optimism among large Japanese manufacturers rising to 17 from 15. That beat expectations of 16 from economists polled by Reuters and reached its highest level since the fourth quarter of 2021.

Large non-manufacturers’ business sentiment stood at 36, unchanged from the previous quarter and above Reuters poll expectations of 33.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index gained 1.71%, powered by basic materials stocks, while mainland China’s CSI 300 rose 1.47%.

According to a private survey China’s manufacturing activity slowed in February. The RatingDog PMI came in at 50.8 in February, missing Reuters-polled analysts’ forecast for 51.6 and slowing from a more than 5-year high of 52.1 in February.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 advanced 1.7%, driven by a rise in educational services stocks.

U.S. futures also ticked higher, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.16% and 0.24%, respectively. Dow futures rose 44 points, or 0.09%.

Overnight in the U.S., all three major indexes posted their best day since May, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 2.49%.

The S&P 500 gained 2.91%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 3.83%.

The moves followed an unconfirmed report that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was open to ending the war with guarantees. 

South Korea's Kospi leads rebound in Asia markets as Trump says Iran war could end in weeks

CNBC Daily Open: Markets rally as Trump signals Iran war could end soon

Published Tue, Mar 31 2026 9:17 PM EDT

Hello, this is Dylan Butts writing to you from Singapore. Welcome to another edition of CNBC’s Daily Open.

The global markets rollercoaster resulting from the U.S. war with Iran continued on Tuesday, with Wall Street rallying sharply on renewed hopes that the conflict could be moving towards a resolution. 

Those hopes were fueled by an announcement from the White House that President Donald Trump will deliver an address “to the nation to provide an important update on Iran” at 9 p.m. ET Wednesday.

But, we’ve been here before: Optimism builds, markets rally, but then reality intrudes. Can this recent positive sentiment last, or are we just building up to more drops and loops? 

What you need to know today

A wave of reports on Tuesday suggested that Washington and Tehran may be exploring paths to end their conflict, including an unconfirmed report that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is open to ending the war if guarantees are provided. 

The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump had told aides he was willing to end military hostilities in the Middle East even if the Strait of Hormuz remained largely shut. The President later told the New York Post he believes the war will likely end soon, and that the strait would reopen ‘automatically’ after a U.S. exit.

Markets rallied sharply on the shifting tone Tuesday. All three major U.S. indexes posted their best day since May, with the Dow jumping more than 1,100 points. The S&P 500 gained 2.91% to end at 6,528.52, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 3.83% to 21,590.63.

After markets closed, Trump said he expected that U.S. military forces would leave Iran in “two or three weeks.” The U.S. has been building up troops in the Middle East for potential ground operations against Iran, though no moves have been made at this time.

Hours later, the White House said that Trump will deliver an address “to the nation to provide an important update on Iran” at 9 p.m. ET Wednesday.

On Tuesday, Trump also lashed out at Western allies including France and the U.K, warning that the U.S. “won’t be there to help you anymore” after they refused to join military action against Iran and help open the Strait of Hormuz. 

Partial closures of the strait have impacted global supply chains, particularly oil, since the start of the war. Brent crude prices remained elevated as Iran struck a Kuwaiti oil tanker in waters near Dubai.

While oil continues to dominate wr-related market headlines this week, we’ve also seen some recent notable swings in tech stocks, particularly artificial intelligence.

OpenAI on Tuesday announced it closed a record-breaking funding round that valued the company at $852 billion post-money, with $122 billion in committed capital, up from the $110 billion figure it announced in February.

Meanwhile, CNBC confirmed that Oracle has begun telling employees it will cut thousands of jobs, as the software maker grapples with a plummeting stock price tied to heavy spending on AI infrastructure.

CNBC Daily Open: Markets rally Trump signals Iran war could end soon

Oracle cutting thousands in latest layoff round as company continues to ramp AI spending

Published Tue, Mar 31 2026 11:34 AM EDT  Updated Tue, Mar 31 2026 4:20 PM EDT

Oracle has started telling employees that it’s cutting thousands of jobs, CNBC has confirmed, as the software maker deals with a plummeting stock price tied to hefty capital commitments for building out AI infrastructure.

While Oracle’s core business is on the receiving end of market panic about competitive risk from generative artificial intelligence models, the company is also facing pressure from investors about the amount of debt it’s raising for AI investments and its dwindling cash flow.

Business Insider reported on the latest cuts earlier on Tuesday. CNBC confirmed the cuts with two people familiar with the matter who asked not to be named because the announcement hasn’t been made public.

Oracle, which employed 162,000 people as of May 2025, declined to comment. The company’s stock price is down 25% this year, dropping more than all of tech’s megacaps.

Oracle continues to sell its flagship database for storing and serving up corporate information. In recent years, alongside cloud rivals such as Amazon, the company has ratcheted up capital expenditures as it builds data center infrastructure that can handle AI workloads. But Oracle is smaller than its cloud peers.

Oracle has been leaning on the debt market to fund its buildout. In January, Oracle announced plans to raise $50 billion in debt and equity. During earnings last month, executives said there were no more plans to raise debt in 2026.

In September, Oracle disclosed that its remaining performance obligations, a measure of contracted revenue that has not yet been recognized, jumped 359% to $455 billion following an agreement with OpenAI worth over $300 billion. Weeks later, Oracle picked executives Mike Sicilia and Clay Magouyrk to replace Safra Catz as CEO.

Cutting 20,000 to 30,000 employees could lead to $8 billion to $10 billion in incremental free cash flow, TD Cowen analysts wrote in a January note.

Executives have said its AI investment will pay off, over time.

“Demand for AI infrastructure, both GPU and CPU, continues to exceed supply,” Magouyrk said on an earnings call earlier this month. “This is directly visible in our $553 billion remaining performance obligations.”

Oracle cutting thousands in latest layoff round as AI spending booms

In other news, the rise and rise of China.

Aluminium, with US ali imports of about 575 million Kg p.a. coming from the blocked up Gulf, and Canada the only realistic replacement source, was it really a good idea, Mr. President, to tariff Canada and insult Prime Minister Carney by calling him “Governor Carney” leader of the 51st  State?

Three niche commodity prices are surging. What they show about China's grip on supply chains

March 31, 2026

BEIJING — The Iran war is squeezing a global commodities market already pressured by China's export controls and stockpiling efforts.

Prices of three niche elements — tungsten, sulfur and helium — have climbed sharply in recent weeks.

While none of the commodities are traded as widely as oil, the surge indicates how ripple effects from the Middle East conflict could end up restricting production of the semiconductors that power artificial intelligence advances.

Tungsten, a metal nearly as hard as a diamond, creates the electrical connection in the core of a semiconductor chip. Sulfuric acid, a byproduct of sulfur, cleans chip wafers. Helium enables smooth production of semiconductors since the gas prevents unwanted chemical reactions in the manufacturing process.

Those are just some of the ways in which the three elements have become critical for modern manufacturing, including for defense.

Beijing started to ramp up its control over the critical supplies even before the Iran war started on Feb. 28, partly as tensions with the U.S. escalated over the last few years.

China started restricting tungsten exports just over a year ago, and in December called for tighter limits on sulfuric acid exports. Helium, a gas that's difficult to store, saw the volume of Chinese imports rise by 15.7% in 2025, after a nearly 65% surge in 2024, according to Wind Information.

The Iran war and the ensuing constraints on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical Middle East shipping route for energy and chemicals, has tipped some oversupply situations into undersupply, while exacerbating existing shortages.

Prices of the three commodities have jumped in some cases by more than oil. The widely used fossil fuel has climbed by more than 50% in March, putting Brent on track for a record month.

"While the Chinese supply chain is being viewed as more resilient than many peers, the risk of disruption in chemicals as raw materials for manufacturers in selected segments is higher than expected based on the feedback," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report late last week, citing nearly 40 commodity-related meetings and site visits in China.

Tungsten

Tungsten hit a record high of over $3,000 late last week, marking a surge of well over 50% for the month and more than tripling in price since late December. That's based on the industry benchmark called "ammonium para tungstate (APT)" in metric ton units, or MTU, from Fastmarket, as quoted by tungsten miner Almonty.

Almonty officially reopened a large tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, earlier this month, and plans to start producing some tungsten this year at a project in the U.S. state of Montana.

The company's CEO Lewis Black told CNBC that defense sector demand for tungsten has been "extremely strong" since the beginning of last year, but that there's been no notable change despite the Iran war.

"There's no material to stockpile. That's probably the biggest change," he said.

Sulfur

The price of sulfuric acid in Africa is now at least 30% higher than it was prior to the war, and is still rising, the Goldman Sachs analysts said, citing a local Chinese miner in Africa.

More

Helium

Helium prices have roughly doubled since the Iran war began, according to Fitch Ratings.

As most trading occurs through long-term private contracts between industrial gas suppliers and manufacturers, it is difficult to pinpoint industry-wide prices, said Shelley Jang, Fitch's director of Asia-Pacific corporate ratings.

Iranian missile attacks this month crippled a key industrial center in Qatar, which produces about one-third of the world's helium.

That implies helium supply won't be restored anytime soon, pointed out Christopher Ecclestone, principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company.

more

Three niche commodity prices are surging. What they show about China's grip on supply chains

Iran’s attacks on aluminum producers are sending ‘shockwaves’ through the metals market

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 10:36 AM EDT

Aluminum closed in on prices not seen since 2022 following Iranian attacks on two Middle Eastern producers over the weekend, heightening fears of a supply crisis for the industry. 

Futures prices on the London Metal Exchange initially jumped 5.5% on Monday to briefly touch $3,492 per tonne, a price last seen in April 2022.

It pulled back slightly by Monday afternoon to land 3.5% higher at $3,381 per tonne. Aluminum has risen around 10% since the conflict began on Feb. 28, though it fell briefly last week alongside most other asset classes amid fears of a global recession.

Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) and Aluminium Bahrain, two of the Gulf’s largest producers, came under fire from Iranian drones and missiles on Saturday.

EGA said in a statement that its Al Taweelah smelter sustained “significant” damage in the strikes, injuring several people.

“The safety and security of our people is our top priority at all times,” CEO Abdulnasser Bin Kalban said. “We are deeply saddened and are assessing the damage to our facilities.”

‘Shockwaves’ through the global market

Saturday’s attacks only served to darken the outlook for commodity firms in the region, which have faced severe supply disruption over the past month. 

Around 9% of global ​aluminum supply comes from the Gulf, and most firms there have been unable to export the metal beyond the region since Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz. EGA’s damaged smelter produced 1.6 million tons of cast metal in 2025, according to its statement.

“The attacks have sent shockwaves through the global aluminum market, raising the risk of a supply crisis that could reshape the industry,” April Kaye Soriano, aluminum research analyst at S&P Global Energy, told CNBC over email.

She added that, if the damage proves lasting, the market could move away from any temporary softness and begin to reflect expectations of tighter supply and higher prices.

Joyce Li, commodities strategist at Macquarie Group, told CNBC over email that their base case before the attacks assumed a cut to the current running capacity of approximately 20%, which amounts to roughly 800 to 900 kilotons of production loss in 2026.

Li said Macquarie saw this disruption as sufficient to push the global market into a full-year deficit, adding added that they were closely monitoring the “fluid” situation for any changes.

More

Alumninum prices rise after Iran attacks Gulf smelters

China’s factory activity returns to growth, expanding at its sharpest pace in a year

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 9:37 PM EDT

China’s official gauge for manufacturing activity climbed more than expected in March to mark its best performance in a year and snapping two months of declines, as export orders showed strong momentum.

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for March rose to 50.4, according to the National Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday, beating economists’ expectations for 50.1 in a Reuters poll. A reading below 50 indicates contraction, while levels above that threshold signal expansion.

That expansion marked a notable rebound after two months of contraction, with the official figure standing at 49.3 and 49.0 in January and February, respectively. In March last year, the reading was 50.5.

Within China’s latest manufacturing PMI, sub-indexes showed that production and new orders expanded while the measures on raw materials inventory, employment, and delivery time remained in contraction.

Manufacturing activity in March gathered momentum as factories rushed to resume production after an extended national holiday in mid-February, said Huo Lihui, chief statistician at NBS.

The non-manufacturing PMI, which measures activity in the services sector such as tourism, rose to 50.1 from 49.5 in February.

Mideast war clouds outlook

Higher shipping fees and costs for imported commodities, including crude oil and chemicals — triggered by the ongoing Middle East conflict — have weighed more on NBS-surveyed companies, Huo said. Price indexes tracking raw material inputs and factory-gate prices rose 63.9% and 55.4%, respectively.

Many factory owners in China expected the disruption to be short-lived as U.S. President Donald Trump has planned a visit to China in May to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, said Cameron Johnson, Shanghai-based senior partner at consulting firm Tidalwave Solution, leaving a period of roughly six weeks of elevated prices and supply challenges.

Inquiries for Chinese-made solar panels and batteries from overseas buyers have picked up in recent weeks, particularly from Europe, India, and East Africa, Johnson said, as China appears somewhat insulated from the supply shock due to its massive stockpiles.

″[But] if we’re talking about the same [disruption] into May, that’s going to be a really big problem,” Johnson noted.

In the first two months of this year, China’s exports surged 21.8% from a year earlier, sharply beating expectations, as robust demand from Southeast Asia and Europe more than offset the slump in U.S.-bound shipments.

A separate private-survey PMI conducted by RatingDog and S&P Global is set to be released on Wednesday and is expected to drop to 51.6 in March from a 5-year high of 52.1 in February, according to a Reuters poll.

China's factory activity returns to growth, expanding at its sharpest pace in a year

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Economics is extremely useful as a form of employment for economists.

JK Galbraith.

A Walmart-related recession indicator that's preceded the last 4 economic downturns is flashing red

Mar 30, 2026, 3:08 PM BST

An indicator linked to Walmart, one of the US's most iconic economic stalwarts, is flashing a possible recession warning, according to a Wall Street veteran.

Jim Paulsen — a longtime economist and the former chief investment strategist of the Leuthold Group — maintains the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS), which measures Walmart's stock price against a basket of luxury stocks. The general idea is that the higher the gauge goes, the more risk there is of a sharp economic downturn.

As the chart below shows, the WRS is the highest since the Global Financial Crisis nearly two decades ago:

The logic behind the recession signal is that, as the economy slows, more shoppers shift away from luxury businesses to budget retailers like Walmart. That means a rise in the Walmart Recession Signal could hint that a downturn or a "significant economic slowdown" is on the way, Paulsen said of the indicator.

Walmart, which has long served as a marker for US consumer health, has crushed it in the past year, with its stock up 40% over the last 12 months. It's gotten a boost from consumers looking to save money as inflation worries have mounted.

Paulsen noted that the Walmart Recession Signal has seen a sharp increase leading up to the past four US downturns. So far this year, it's climbed about 28 basis points, likely due to economic anxiety surrounding the Iran war, he said.

More

Recession Warning: Walmart's Stock Suggests More Economic Pain Is Coming - Business Insider

Why high oil prices could plunge world into recession by the summer

30 March 2026

The world economy is heading for a “rare” recession in the middle of this year as a prolonged war seems likely amid the prospect of US troops heading to the Middle East. 

Economists have warned that activity will fall in the middle of the year if oil prices surge to $150 per barrel and remain there for a period of four months. 

Oil prices continued to climb higher on Monday morning as the Brent Crude benchmark raced past the $116 per barrel mark amid mixed messages between the US, Israel and Iran on the state of the war

It is the highest level the price of oil has reached since war in the Middle East erupted at the end of last month.

Officials in Israel and the US have raised the prospect of a ground war could being launched within days. President Donald Trump said he was considering an invasion of Kharg Island, which accounts for the vast majority of Iran’s crude oil exports. 

Reports across US outlets have detailed plans for a military operation that could take several months. 

The involvement of Houthi militants near Yemen, which is another proscribed Iran-backed group, is also adding to trade tensions given shipping flows across the Red Sea are under greater threat. 

City analysts have noted that Trump’s words about the war were being taken with a pinch of salt as mounting fears of fuel shortages could lead to to crude pieces hitting $150 per barrel within weeks. 

World economy set for surge in inflation

Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research Ben May has predicted there would be a contraction in the US economy this year before a recovery in 2027. 

May also warned that European and Asian economies would suffer a bigger hit to GDP. 

The world economy could face a hit of around two percentage points compared to previous growth forecasts, making countries just two per cent richer altogether this year. 

Global inflation would also rise to 7.7 per cent this year, near the peak seen in 2022. 

World economies could also suffer from “critically low levels” of oil supplies while diesel shortages could lead to food prices spiking and transport connections coming to a halt. 

Shortages in aluminium, sulphur, naphtha and helium would also damage key semiconductor, manufacturing and fertiliser industries. 

“The speed and scale of this energy shock push us into uncharted territory, and it’s possible that diesel, jet fuel, and shipping fuel shortages could inflict greater damage to activity this year,” May wrote. 

“Although activity would likely rebound more quickly too, the additional disruption could also trigger greater supply chain pressures, and thus higher and stickier core inflation.”

The UK economy is expected to be more heavily affected than other countries due to its reliance on imports for key goods and recent woes in dealing with price growth and productivity. 

Economists at the OECD, the Paris-based think tank, said the UK economy would suffer the second lowest growth this year in the G7 while also having the second highest level of inflation. 

Sir Keir Starmer is holding a meeting with key banking, energy and military officials on Monday to discuss the possible impact of shortages for businesses and households across the country. 

Why high oil prices could plunge world into recession by the summer

Pessimism sets in for Europe as Iran war hits economic and consumer confidence

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 8:03 AM EDT

Economic and consumer confidence plummeted in Europe in March, according to official data released on Monday, in the latest evidence of how the Iran war is upending growth and inflation expectations.

Preliminary data from the European Commission shows economic sentiment declined in both the EU (down 1.5 points from the previous month to 96.7) and the euro area (down 1.6 points to 96.6) in March.

The figures, measuring economic sentiment across five key sectors of the European economy, also reveal employment expectations are under pressure across the EU and euro zone. Employers in the retail trade, services and industry sectors are all adjusting their employment plans against a backdrop of ongoing war in the Middle East.

The slump adds to a deterioration seen in February, but the Commission warned the latest data prints showed a “marked deterioration of economic sentiment in March”, which had driven both economic sentiment and employment expectations “away from their long-term average of 100.”

Consumer confidence also fell sharply to its lowest level since Oct. 2023, “driven by a dramatic decline in consumers’ expectations for the overall economic situation in their country.”

“Consumers also became markedly more pessimistic about their household’s future financial situation and less prone to make major purchases over the next 12 months,” the Commission added.

It follows separate data showing euro zone private sector output fell to a 10-month low and toward contraction territory in March, raising fears of looming “stagflation”.

In revised forecasts released on March 19, the European Central Bank now expects economic growth of 0.9% in 2026, and headline inflation to average 2.6% this year.

ECB President Christine Lagarde said last week that the central bank was watching data closely and would respond with interest rate hikes if necessary.

Rising risk profile

European leaders have refused to get involved in the U.S. and Israel’s bombardment of Iran, seeing the war as one of choice, rather than necessity.

Nonetheless, Iran’s retaliatory strikes and almost total closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed up global energy prices, with Germany’s defense minister warning last week that the conflict represented a “catastrophe” for the world’s economies.

More

European economic and consumer sentiment drops in March

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Wind power hits new record as gas squeezed to tiny share of generation

Solar and wind also combined to squeeze more expensive gas to just 2.3% of the power mix

Mar 26th, 2026 at 14:16 Last updated Mar 26th, 2026 at 16:39

Wind energy across Great Britain hit a new record on Wednesday, producing enough electricity for more than 23 million homes across the country.

Solar and wind also combined to squeeze more expensive gas-fired generation to just 2.3% of the power mix, figures from the National Energy System Operator (Neso) show.

The record comes as the Government announced a £64 million grant to back the development of Port Talbot, in Wales, as the first port in the Celtic Sea to support floating offshore wind which can harness even more renewable power.

The Neso figures show that between 1.30pm and 2pm on Wednesday, wind generation hit 23,880 megawatts (MW) of electricity, beating the previous record of 23,825MW set on December 5 2025.

Slightly earlier at midday wind and solar power combined to produce 34 gigawatts (GW) of power, squeezing gas generation to just over a gigawatt, or 1,358MW – the lowest since April 2024.

At the time of the record, more than half of Britain’s electricity (53.5) was coming from wind power, a fifth came from solar, 10% from nuclear, 9.6% from trading over interconnectors with other European countries, 2.4% from biomass, 2.3% from gas, 1.5% from other sources and 0.4% from hydro, Neso said.

Kayte O’Neill, chief operating officer at Neso said: “This is a world-leading record, showing that our national electricity system can run safely and securely on large quantities of renewables generated right here in Britain.

“We’ve come on leaps and bounds in wind generation in recent years.

“It really shows what is possible, and I look forward to seeing if we can hit another clean energy milestone in the months ahead: running Britain’s electricity grid entirely zero carbon.”

The record comes as the UK faces rising energy costs as a result of the Middle East crisis which has pushed up global oil and gas prices.

There have been calls to increase drilling in the North Sea in light of the crisis following the US-Israeli war on Iran, to boost energy security, although experts have warned that will not significantly bring down prices or secure supplies.

Meanwhile the Government has doubled down on its push towards clean energy, with new housing rules mandating heat pumps and solar panels, access to plug-in solar panels for homeowners and bringing forward renewable energy auctions for major wind farms and other projects.

In its latest move, it has provided £64 million funding for Associated British Ports to complete the design and engineering work needed to build one of the first floating offshore wind ports in the UK at Port Talbot.

The port will support the development of 4.5GW of floating offshore wind projects – which are suited to the Celtic Sea as they are based in deeper waters where they can harness stronger and more consistent wind speeds – enough to power 6.5 million homes.

More

Wind power hits new record as gas squeezed to tiny share of generation | STV News

Record wind output helps shield the UK from worst of Iran war fallout

March 31, 20267:10 AM GMT+1

LITTLETON, Colorado, March 31 (Reuters) - Record output from wind farms has helped boost total clean power supplies in the United Kingdom to new highs so far in 2026, and allowed power firms to pare use of fossil fuels to multi-year lows.

The growth in wind output has helped shield the UK power system from the worst effects of the U.S. ​and Israel war against Iran, which has disrupted supplies of fossil fuels from the Middle East and sent oil and natural gas costs soaring.

Power supplies from UK wind farms during ‌the opening three months of 2026 increased by 31% from the same months in 2025, data from LSEG shows, helping to lift overall clean power output by 16% from a year ago and total power output by 4%.

More, subscription required

Record wind output helps shield the UK from worst of Iran war fallout | Reuters

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

What is worth doing is worth the trouble of asking somebody to do it.

Ambrose Bierce.

Tuesday, 31 March 2026

March Month-End, Quarter-End. US Jobs Week.

Baltic Dry Index. 2017 -14      Brent Crude 107.14

Spot Gold  4593                           Spot Silver 72.48

US 2 Year Yield 3.82 -0.06

US Federal Debt. 39.057 trillion

US GDP 31.284 trillion.

If the governments devalue the currency in order to betray all creditors, you politely call this procedure 'inflation'.

George Bernard Shaw

It is the last trading day of the month and quarter in the stock casinos, normally a day to dress up stocks and stock indexes for the all important professional money manager bonuses.

But with Trump’s Persian Gulf was nowhere near ending and looking more likely to escalate, will the stock casinos bomb out later today?

Possibly not, as Washington’s TACO man seems to be trying his best to talk up a war exit and influence crude oil prices and the end of month and quarter stock pricing.

I wonder which way the District of Crooks insiders are betting?

Trump Steps Up Threats Against Iranian Energy Assets

March 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM GMT+1

US President Donald Trump repeated threats to destroy Iranian energy assets if the Strait of Hormuz isn’t reopened soon, raising fears of a further escalation amid soaring energy prices and a mounting economic toll from the war.

The US “is in serious discussions” with Iran to end military operations, Trump said in a social-media post today as more American troops arrived in the region. But if a deal isn’t reached and Hormuz reopened, “we will conclude our lovely “stay” in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!).”

There is no sign of a lull in the war. Iran’s intense ballistic missile attacks on Gulf targets is beginning to drain those countries’ pre-war stockpile of interceptors. Meanwhile there’s growing exasperation with how the war is dragging on.

Group of Seven finance and energy officials urged today against export controls on hydrocarbons and pledged to take “all necessary measures” to “preserve the stability and security of the energy market.” G-7 central banks are committed to price stability amid rising inflation pressures, they added after holding a meeting by video link.

Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi appealed to Trump to find a way to end hostilities, which has pushed the country of 110 million to dim the lights early to conserve energy.

“I’m saying to President Trump, no one can stop the war in our region, in the Gulf, except for you,” El-Sisi said told an energy conference in Cairo. “Please help us end the war,” he added. “You are capable of that.” — Zoltan Simon

Trump Steps Up Threats Against Iranian Energy Assets - Bloomberg

Asia markets trade mixed as oil markets whipsaw on report that Trump is seeking Iran war exit

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 7:48 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets whipsawed in volatile trading on Tuesday, as oil prices reversed course to fall after a report said that President Donald Trump was looking to avoid a prolonged conflict in the Middle East.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Monday evening stateside that Trump told aides he was willing to end the U.S. military hostilities against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remained largely closed.

The West Texas Intermediate futures for May delivery reversed gains, dropping 0.72% to $102.14 a barrel as of 10:31 p.m. ET. May futures for Brent crude also pulled back, declining 1% to $111.55 a barrel.

Trump and his aides assessed that an operation directed at reopening the critical chokepoint could prolong the conflict beyond the initial timeline for the war of up to six weeks, the WSJ said.

“Trump could be forced to wave the white flag to control gas prices and thereby inflation before midterms,” said Ben Emons, CIO at Fed Watch Advisors, highlighting that Trump’s “verbal signals” for ending the Iran war gained currency after Brent neared the $120 per barrel level.

The war has increasingly become an ” asymmetric” game, Emons said, adding that the U.S. now gains more from de‑escalation than before, while Iran still benefits most from dragging the conflict out.”

Trump had earlier threatened to expand attacks to Iran’s civilian energy infrastructure, including water desalination plants, if Tehran failed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Shipping traffic through the Hormuz waterway, through which a fifth of the global seaborne oil used to transit before the conflict, has virtually ground to a halt since U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran on Feb. 28.

South Korea’s blue-chip Kospi dropped 2.2% while the small-cap Kosdaq lost 1.9%. The Korean won depreciated 0.67% to 1,537.4 against the U.S. dollar, hovering near its weakest level since 2009.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 0.13%, while the broad-based Topix reversed earlier losses to trade 0.18% higher.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 also turned positive, rising 0.9%.

Hong Kong Hang Seng index dipped 0.3%, while the mainland Chinese CSI 300 was little changed.

Overnight in the U.S., the S&P 500 fell 0.39% to finish at 6,343.72, marking its third losing session in a row while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.73% to end at 20,794.64. The Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the trend to rise 0.11% to 45,216.

The stocks pulled back even as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that inflation outlook remains in check despite rising energy prices and the central bank does not need to respond with higher interest rates.

U.S. stock futures also edged higher, with futures tied to the S&P 500 rising 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures adding 0.2%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advanced 177, or 0.4%.

Asia markets trade mixed as oil markets whipsaw, Trump mulls war exit

Stock futures rise as oil prices fall after report says Trump looking to end Iran war: Live updates

Updated Tue, Mar 31 2026 11:10 PM EDT

U.S. stock futures edged up on Monday night as oil price reversed course to drop in overnight trading.

Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.2%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advanced 177, or 0.4%.

Prices dropped following a Wall Street Journal report that President Donald Trump had told aides he was willing to end military hostilities in the Middle East even if the Strait of Hormuz remained largely shut.

Oil had gained in extended trading after Bloomberg reported that Iran struck a Kuwaiti oil tanker in Dubai waters. The Dubai government’s media office said in a post on X that no injuries were reported and that “the safety of all 24 crew members has been secured.” Brent crude futures climbed 2% and West Texas Intermediate futures advanced 3%, before falling 0.82% and 0.66%, respectively.

In Monday’s regular session, the S&P 500 slipped 0.39%, posting its third losing session in a row, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.73%. The 30-stock Dow bucked the trend with its gain of 49.50 points, or 0.11%.

The S&P 500′s Monday losses put it just over 9% off its closing high and were driven by declines in the technology sector, which slid more than 1%. But Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth Management, said that the recent pullback may reflect a typical market reset rather than anything out of the ordinary.

“There’s a couple of narratives going on, but I think long term investors should keep in mind that 10% corrections are normal. They happen all the time. On average, every two years we have a 10% correction,” he said to CNBC. “It’s also important for investors to understand that the volatility in equities is the price you pay for the higher longer-term returns.”

Hogan added: “We’ve had a smattering of positive days when there’s some whiffs of good news.”

Several different factors on Monday reflected the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The CBOE Volatility Index, Wall Street’s fear gauge, topped 30 during the session, while U.S. oil prices also rose to kick off the week.

On the other hand, markets received some good news that the Middle East war could soon come to a conclusion, with President Donald Trump writing in a Truth Social post that “great progress has been made” regarding the United States’ “serious discussions with A NEW, AND MORE REASONABLE, REGIME to end our Military Operations in Iran.” On Sunday, Trump shared that tensions have eased in the form of Iran accepting most of the U.S.′ 15-point plan to end the war, with the country allowing an additional 20 oil ships to cross the Strait of Hormuz.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell also delivered some relief to investors, saying on Monday that he sees the current inflation outlook in check and there is no need at this time for any interest rate hikes.

On Tuesday, traders will watch for March’s consumer confidence index and February’s JOLTS job opening numbers.

Stock market today: Live updates

In other news.

Russia welcomes arrival of oil tanker in Cuba after Trump softens approach to U.S. blockade

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 2:21 AM EDT

The Kremlin on Monday welcomed the arrival of a Russian-flagged oil tanker to Cuba, saying energy supplies to the fuel-starved island had been discussed with the U.S. ahead of its delivery.

Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moscow considered it its duty to help Cuba, according to Russian state news outlet RIA Novosti. He added that Havana needed petroleum products amid a de facto U.S. oil blockade.

A Russian oil tanker carrying a humanitarian shipment of 100,000 tons of crude oil reportedly arrived in Cuba earlier in the day.

The sanctioned Anatoly Kolodkin vessel was said to be waiting to unload shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had “no problem” with a Russian crude tanker delivering fuel to Cuba.

Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday, Trump said: “If a country wants to send some oil into Cuba right now, I have no problem with that, whether it’s Russia or not.”

The shipment of crude oil is seen as something of a lifeline to the Caribbean nation, which is facing its biggest test since the collapse of the Soviet Union amid a deepening energy crisis.

Cuba had been heavily dependent on oil supplies from Venezuela, but it has effectively been cut off since early January when the U.S. launched an extraordinary military operation to depose Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

The Trump administration subsequently threatened to impose tariffs on any country that sent crude to Cuba, prompting the likes of Mexico to halt shipments. The Kremlin has previously shrugged off Trump’s tariff threats, pointing out that Washington and Moscow “don’t have much trade right now.”

Cuba’s President Miguel Díaz-Canel said last week that the island hadn’t received oil shipments in more than three months. The country, which has said it is holding talks with the U.S., has sought to dramatically increase its solar power generation amid the ongoing fuel shortage.

The island of roughly 10 million people has faced a series of power blackouts in recent weeks and the United Nations has warned that Cuban hospitals have been struggling to maintain emergency and intensive care services.

“Cuba is finished, they have a bad regime and they have very bad and corrupt leadership and whether or not they get a boat of oil it’s not going to matter,” Trump said Sunday.

“I prefer letting it in, whether it’s Russia or anybody else, because the people need heat and cooling and all of the other things that you need,” he added.

Russia welcomes arrival of oil tanker in Cuba amid U.S. oil blockade

Budget airlines built on cheap fares now face a painful reality: Fuel is getting expensive

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 2:20 AM EDT

Budget airlines in Asia risk losing their price advantage as fuel prices rise and Middle East tensions disrupt key routes, forcing carriers to raise fares and cut expenses.

Low-cost carriers rely on high passenger volumes and low fares, leaving them with thinner margins and less room to absorb fuel price swings and route disruptions than full-service airlines.

Airline executives, speaking at the Aviation Festival Asia conference in Singapore, said they are now trying to cut costs, adjust fares and shift routes to avoid passing too much of the increase on to passengers.

″[We have to] adjust the fares, and at the same time, stimulate the demand,” Vissoth Nam, CEO at AirAsia Cambodia, told CNBC’s Monica Pitrelli during a panel on Thursday. “Otherwise, we don’t have travelers.”

India’s SpiceJet said the Middle East conflict has significantly affected its operations due to heavy traffic between India and the region.

“Dubai alone has 77 flights a week from India, and that’s absolutely a huge impact for us from a route and loss of revenue perspective,”  said Kamal Hingorani, the chief customer officer at SpiceJet.

While higher fuel costs have not yet fully hit the airline, Hingorani said prices are set monthly and could rise further in April.

The Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India on March 26 changed its outlook on India’s aviation sector to negative from stable, citing the weaker Indian Rupee against the U.S. dollar and higher fuel prices. Fuel prices were 5.4% higher in March from a year earlier and are expected to rise further in April.

Hingorani said if fuel prices rise to an unmanageable level, the airline “may have to absorb some [costs]” because passing on high fuel surcharges would hurt demand.

Long-haul strength

Not all airlines have been affected equally, however.

Zipair Tokyo says it has performed relatively well compared with other budget airlines, partly because its routes avoid the Middle East and have not been disrupted by the conflict.

The airline, which operates a fleet of eight planes on mid- to long-haul international flights, has also seen strong demand during Japan’s cherry blossom season, particularly in April.

“With this crisis, there are some routes that have become strong while others have weakened,” said Brendan Sobie, an aviation analyst at Sobie Aviation. Long-haul routes have generally remained resilient.

However, fuel prices still directly affect costs, Yasuhiro Fukada, incoming chief executive and co-founder of Zipair, said, especially because the airline carrier does not impose fuel surcharges.

While Japan has domestic oil reserves and is procuring crude from the United States, Zipair told CNBC in an email that supply conditions could still become more challenging depending on how the conflict develops.

Its parent company, Japan Airlines, implemented a fuel surcharge policy on international flights on Feb. 27 due to the “unprecedented rises” in fuel prices.

Zipair intends to double its fleet to over 20 aircraft by 2032, Fukada said.

More

Airlines get crushed by fuel costs, budget airlines try to cope

Dollar dominance is reinforced by the global oil trade, but the Iran war could give rise to the ‘petroyuan’ as the U.S. security shield weakens

Sat, March 28, 2026 at 7:37 PM GMT 

Middle East oil has long been a linchpin of the U.S. dollar’s status as the dominant currency in global trade and reserves, but President Donald Trump’s war on Iran could open the door to China’s currency, according to Deutsche Bank.

In a note on Tuesday, analysts pointed out that the current “petrodollar” regime goes back to a deal struck in 1974 when Saudi Arabia agreed to price its oil in dollars and invest surpluses in U.S. assets.

And because oil is a core input to global manufacturing and transport, supply chains have a natural incentive to dollarize, the note added. Indeed, Mideast oil and gas is used to make petrochemicals, fertilizer, and even helium, which is critical to chipmaking.

“The world saves in dollars in large part because it pays in dollars,” Deutsche Bank said. “The dollar’s dominance in cross-border trade is arguably built on the petrodollar: globally traded oil is priced and invoiced in USD.”

In exchange for Saudi Arabia recycling its dollars back into the U.S., Washington guaranteed the kingdom’s security, which also involved stationing troops in the region, providing advanced weapons, and ensuring free navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.

That security shield was on display in 1990, when Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait and threatened Saudi Arabia. The U.S. assembled a massive international coalition to quickly defeat Iraq and lower oil prices.

Fast forward to today, and America’s role in the Mideast looks vastly different. While the U.S. and Israeli militaries have severely degraded Iran’s capabilities, the regime still retains enough to combat power to selectively close off the Strait of Hormuz—unless countries negotiate safe passage and pay in Chinese yuan.

At the same time, Iran’s swarms of missiles and drones have inflicted significant damage on U.S. aircraft, radars and bases, while American air-defense systems have failed to completely protect Gulf allies’ critical energy infrastructure.

But even before the Iran war, the petrodollar regime had come under pressure, Deutsche Bank noted. U.S. sanctions on oil from Russia and Iran created an illicit trade that relied on other currencies, like the yuan.

Saudi Arabia also joined mBridge project, a central bank digital currency initiative led by China that takes on the dollar-payment infrastructure.

“The current conflict may expose further fault lines, by challenging the US security umbrella for Gulf infrastructure and the maritime security for global trade in oil,” analysts warned.

---- Efforts by Gulf states to diversify from oil and become international finance and tourism hubs are also at risk amid the Iranian bombardment.

“Damage to Gulf economies could encourage an unwind in their foreign asset savings,” Deutsche Bank said. “In this context, reports that the passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz may be granted in exchange for oil payments in yuan should be closely followed. The conflict could be remembered as a key catalyst for erosion in petrodollar dominance, and the beginnings of the petroyuan.”

More

Dollar dominance is reinforced by the global oil trade, but the Iran war could give rise to the ‘petroyuan’ as the U.S. security shield weakens

Inflation is the parent of unemployment and the unseen robber of those who have saved.

Margaret Thatcher

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

India flags slower growth, wider deficit as Iran war raises the stakes for New Delhi

Published Mon, Mar 30 2026 2:08 AM EDT

India has warned that its growth forecast of 7.0%–7.4% for the financial year ending March 2027 faces “considerable downside” risk due to rising energy costs and supply‑chain disruptions linked to the Iran war.

The conflict, which began on Feb. 28 following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, has disrupted goods movement through the Strait of Hormuz — a critical waterway carrying 20% of global oil — driving up energy and freight costs and straining supply chains.

“The trade deficit will rise significantly” in the next financial year ending March 2027 and will lead to “widening [of] the current account deficit,” India’s Chief Economic Adviser V. Anantha Nageswaran wrote in ‌the ⁠report published Saturday.

“Keeping it manageable will require burden-sharing between the government, via fiscal absorption, and households and businesses,” he said. However, the pass-through of higher import prices to end-users “will also moderate demand growth,” said Nageswaran.

So far, the Indian government has shown little inclination to pass the rising energy costs to consumers. On Thursday, it cut central excise duties on petrol and diesel for domestic consumption by 10 rupees ($0.11) per liter each to prevent pump prices from rising as the Iran war disrupts global energy supplies.

The government also raised duties on exports of diesel and aviation turbine fuel, with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman saying it was done to “ensure adequate availability of these products for domestic consumption.”

“This will provide protection to consumers from a rise in prices,” Sitharaman said in a post on X on Friday. This move will hurt India’s tax revenues, India’s Petroleum and Natural Gas Minister Hardeep Singh Puri said Friday.

---- Growth worries

India relies on supplies from the Strait of Hormuz for about 50% of its crude oil needs, according to Citi, and imports most of its liquefied petroleum gas, or LPG — the primary cooking fuel for both commercial establishments and households — through this route.

Alternative supplies of crude and liquified natural gas, or LNG, are available but come with delays and higher costs, the finance ministry’s monthly report said. It added that LPG is far harder to replace because nearly all of it comes from conflict‑hit regions and domestic refinery yields are very low.

“If demand moderates in response to higher prices, the central bank will be more inclined to treat the inflationary impact as a supply shock,” Nageswaran added. The RBI will announce its latest monetary policy decision on April 8.

More

India flags slower growth, wider deficit as Iran war raises the stakes for New Delhi

Trump declared inflation 'defeated' — now the U.S. is projected to have the worst inflation among G7 countries in 2026

Sun, March 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM GMT+1

What a difference a war makes. In January, President Donald Trump boasted to G7 leaders and others at the World Economic Forum in Davos that his team had “defeated” inflation in the U.S. (1)

“Grocery prices, energy prices, airfares, mortgage rates, rent and car payments are all coming down, and they’re coming down fast,” he said.

At the time, U.S. inflation stood at 2.4% year-over-year, compared to 2.7% overall in 2025 (2). When President Joe Biden left office, inflation stood at 3% (3), down from a post-pandemic high of 9.1% in June 2022, when prices were skyrocketing globally (4).

Still, while inflation eased somewhat under Trump, it remained higher than the Federal Reserve’s long-term annual target of 2% (5).

Now the U.S. and Israel’s war in Iran is expected to make inflation worse, according to a new report from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

The OECD predicts that America could have the highest inflation in the G7 by the end of this year, in large part due to the war and the ongoing impact of Trump’s tariff policy.

Here are the projected 2026 inflation rates for G7 countries:

  • U.S. 4.2% (up from 2.6% in 2025, according to its calculation)
  • U.K. 4% (up from 3.4%)
  • Germany 2.9% (up from 2.3%)
  • Canada 2.4% (up from 2.1%)
  • Italy 2.4% (up from 1.6%)
  • Japan 2.4% (the outlier, down from 3.2%)
  • France 1.8% (up from 0.9%) (6)

Things could get worse as the war drags on

The OECD warns that inflation could spike as the Middle East conflict disrupts supply chains and the normal flow of trade. The longer it drags on, the worse things could get.

Trump can no longer claim the cost of energy is down. It’s top of mind for many Americans.

Gas prices are up more than 30% this month amid Iran’s chokehold on shipments through the Strait of Hormuz (7), and attacks on energy infrastructure like refineries, gas plants and oil fields throughout the Middle East (8). According to a New York Times report, even if the war ends, energy prices are likely to remain above the pre-war baseline for months, thanks to damage to energy infrastructure (9).

What about groceries? As PBS reports, farmers in the U.S. and elsewhere are worried about the prices for key components of the fertilizers they need to grow their crops, which are normally shipped through the Strait of Hormuz (10). That’s one reason the cost of groceries is likely to rise (10).

The U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts food prices will rise 3.6% this year, with the cost of groceries rising 3.1% alone, faster than the 20-year average of 2.6%.

Beef, fish, vegetables, sweets and baked goods are all projected to become more expensive (11).

More

Trump declared inflation 'defeated' — now the U.S. is projected to have the worst inflation among G7 countries in 2026

From oil to food to markets: How a month of war on Iran has remade the world economy

Sun, March 29, 2026 at 10:23 PM GMT+1

It's not easy being the world economy right now.

One month into the US and Israeli war on Iran, the shock is upending everything from supply chains to air travel.

As the price of a barrel of oil settles in at north of $100, up from $70 before the war, gas prices in the US are flirting with $4 a gallon, the highest since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. And on the other side of the world, consumers in places like the Philippines and India are waiting hours in line for fuel as governments ration dwindling supplies.

"No country will be immune to the effects of this crisis if it continues to go in this direction," Fatih Birol, the head of the International Energy Agency, told journalists in Australia earlier this week.

This energy supply shock threatens to drive up inflation, which could mean higher interest rates, which can lead to a recession. It's a delicate balance that is difficult to calibrate in the uncertainty of war. Some economists are warning of a dreaded 1970s -style stagflation, a perfect storm of high prices, a stalled economy, and rising unemployment.

The war is also hammering supply chains for things like helium, a critical component in the semiconductor chips powering the AI revolution, and fertilizer, which could, in time, lead to higher grocery prices.

President Donald Trump says the war on Iran is intended to mitigate what he called the "imminent threat" of its ballistic missiles, alleged nuclear weapons program, and its proxies in the Middle East, like Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen.

Iran, however, has shown resilience. How long the war lasts will likely depend on how long the world can withstand its economic impact. Here are some of the major ways that impact is spreading.

The oil shock

Global oil prices have skyrocketed since the military conflict began in late February, mainly due to the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz. About 20% of the world's oil supply and liquefied natural gas pass through the waterway off Iran's coast.

Other major oil hubs across the Middle East have also sustained damage, including the United Arab Emirates' Port of Fujairah, further driving up oil prices to over $100 a barrel. When the markets closed on Friday, Brent oil sat at $112.57, while West Texas Intermediate landed at $99.64.

For the average person, the fallout means two things: spending more money at the pump and surging energy bills. In America, the national average gas price reached $3.98 on Sunday, up from $2.98 in February.

Some countries are trying to cushion the price shock through rationing. That includes the Philippines, where officials implemented a temporary four-day workweek for federal workers and urged businesses to conserve energy. Pakistan also implemented a shortened workweek, closed schools for two weeks, and had public-sector employees work from home to ration oil.

This month, the International Energy Agency released 400 million barrels of oil from reserves to ease global economic volatility. The agency said this war is creating "the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market."

Financial markets begin to crack

Trump has a way with words and has used them strategically to influence markets. Stock traders appeared to wise up this week, however, as multiple exchanges entered correction territory.

Two major indexes — the Dow and the Nasdaq 100 — are now halfway to a bear market. The latter, composed mostly of American tech companies and already reeling from uncertainty over the impact of AI on software companies, slid into the realm of a correction at the close of trading on Friday.

The broader S&P 500, meanwhile, notched its fifth week of losses by the end of the day on Friday, coming in just shy of a correction after a January peak of almost 6,980.

BCA Research, an independent provider of global investment data, said that if losses continue at this pace, it would be a strong "motivator" for Trump to rethink his war strategy.

While it's been a dire few weeks for the markets, not everyone thinks the war, as it stands now, is enough to reverse optimism around the industrial renaissance driven by AI and the tax cuts from Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill."

"The bottom line is that the Iran shock is not big enough to offset the strong tailwinds to the US economy," Torsten Sløk, the chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said Friday.

The spectre of stagflation

More

From oil to food to markets: How a month of war on Iran has remade the world economy

The consequences of inflation are malinvestment, waste, a wanton redistribution of wealth and income, the growth of speculation and gambling, immorality and corruption, disillusionment, social resentment, discontent, upheaval and riots, bankruptcy, increased government controls, and eventual collapse.

Henry Hazlitt

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Tongwei moves into hybrid heterojunction back contact solar cell technology

Tongwei is partnering with GS-Solar and Golden Solar to develop a large-scale manufacturing facility for hybrid heterojunction back-contact (HBC) solar cells that combine heterojunction passivation, tunneling oxide and polysilicon structures used in TOPCon designs, and the grid-free front-side architecture typical of back-contact technologies.

March 30, 2026

Tongwei has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Gold Stone (Fujian) Energy Co Ltd (GS-Solar) and Golden Solar (Quanzhou) New Energy Technology Co Ltd to develop a mass-production facility for hybrid heterojunction back-contact (HBC) solar cells.

The agreement was signed on March 18, 2026, at Golden Solar’s headquarters in Quanzhou. The partners plan to collaborate across the full value chain, including technology development, manufacturing, and process optimization. The factory’s location and planned capacity have not been disclosed, but the companies said it is intended for large-scale commercialization.

Under the agreement, Tongwei Solar, a wholly owned subsidiary of Tongwei, will provide manufacturing capacity, production facilities, supply chain resources, and operational management. GS-Solar will act as the technology provider, contributing its hybrid HBC cell design, GW-scale integrated equipment, and mass-production process solutions. Golden Solar will provide patents, commissioning experience, and process support.

The companies said they will establish a coordination mechanism to optimize production processes, reduce manufacturing costs, and improve conversion efficiency as they move toward industrial deployment.

At the center of the partnership is GS-Solar’s hybrid HBC technology, which combines multiple cell concepts. The design builds on HBC architecture and integrates heterojunction passivation from HJT cells, tunneling oxide and polysilicon structures associated with TOPCon, and a grid-free front-side design typical of back-contact technologies. The approach aims to balance high efficiency with lower production costs and simplified processing.

GS-Solar reported a laboratory conversion efficiency of 27.08% for the technology in March 2023, rising to 27.62% in November 2024, according to the company.

The collaboration brings Tongwei, one of the world’s largest solar cell manufacturers, into the hybrid HBC segment and could accelerate the transition from laboratory-scale development to industrial production. It also expands Tongwei’s technology portfolio, which includes TOPCon, HJT, BC, and TBC-related approaches.

More

Tongwei moves into hybrid heterojunction back contact solar cell technology – pv magazine International

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

Inflation is not all bad. After all, it has allowed every American to live in a more expensive neighborhood without moving.

Senator Alan Cranston