Monday, 16 March 2026

A Way Too Long War! Central Banks Week. Stagflation?

Baltic Dry Index. 2028  +56    Brent Crude 106.24

Spot Gold  4999                           Spot Silver 79.44

US 2 Year Yield 3.73 +0.03

US Federal Debt. 38.888 trillion

US GDP 31.240 trillion.

It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.

Adam Smith

8:00 AM Updates oil price higher, gold and silver lower.

5:00 AM Update.

In the week ahead, global disaster if President Trump starts attacking Iran’s main oil export terminal on Kharg Island.

A slower global disaster if the US Navy can’t get the Strait of Hormuz reopened to shipping.

Last week President Trump boasted he didn’t need Britain’s naval help, “joining after the war is won.”

This week President Trump is begging for naval help from Britain, NATO, India, China, Japan, Australia and others, to help try to get the Strait of Hormuz open for shipping.

If the Strait of Hormuz isn’t reopened to shipping soon, stagflation looms for most, if not all of the G-7 economies.

In the financial markets, several important central banks led by the Fed, will announce their latest key interest rates. In the Gulf war circumstances most, if not all are expected to hold rates unchanged.

Asia-Pacific markets fall as oil prices stay elevated amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions

Published Sun, Mar 15 2026 7:57 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets fell Monday as investors assess elevated oil prices and the latest developments in the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict.

U.S. crude prices topped $100 per barrel as the Trump administration weighs military strikes on Tehran’s Kharg Island, a strategically vital hub often referred to as Iran’s “oil lifeline.”

U.S. crude oil was trading flat at $98.7 per barrel by 8:10 p.m. ET. Brent prices, the international benchmark, were up 0.48% to $103.7 per barrel.

President Donald Trump on Friday ordered strikes against Iranian military assets on Kharg Island and warned of further attacks on crude facilities located there. Mike Waltz, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, repeated the warning Sunday.

Goldman Sachs estimates that the surge in energy prices stemming from the war in Iran could shave about 0.3% off global GDP over the next year, while pushing headline inflation higher by roughly 0.5% to 0.6%.

Higher natural gas prices are expected to add further inflationary pressure and growth headwinds, particularly in Europe and Asia, with risks skewed toward larger impacts if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the bank wrote in a note on Sunday.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 0.3%, while the CSI 300 was down 0.31% even as China’s consumption and production both beat expectations on holiday spending and strong foreign demand.

Retail sales for the first two months of the year rose 2.8% from a year earlier, beating economists’ forecast for a 2.5% growth, but a notable slowdown from the 4% growth in the January-February period in 2025.

Industrial output climbed 6.3%, also exceeding expectations for a 5% jump in a Reuters poll. Industrial production has been a relative bright spot in the world’s second-largest economy, thanks to resilient external demand, particularly from European and Southeast Asian nations.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.07%, while the Topix slid 0.98%. South Korea’s Kospi was unchanged, while the Kosdaq fell 1.72%.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.44%.

Stock futures rose slightly as Wall Street tried to recover from another losing week.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 153 points, or 0.3%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% and Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.3%.

Last Friday, the three major U.S. averages fell. The S&P 500 shed 0.61%, putting it 5% below its recent high and closing at 6,632.19. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.93% to end at 22,105.36. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 119.38 points, or 0.26%, and settled at 46,558.47.

Asia-Pacific markets: Nikkei 225, Kospi, Hang Seng Index

Global week ahead: Price pressure in the pipeline

Published Sun, Mar 15 2026 8:41 AM EDT

U.S. political strategist James Carville famously said he would like to be reincarnated as the bond market because “you can intimidate everyone.” So when bond yields start signaling a problem, the whole market listens.

The escalatory rhetoric around the war in the Middle East has led to what Deutsche Bank is calling “the most hawkish central bank pricing of the year so far for both the [European Central Bank] and the Fed.”

Last week, sovereign bonds sold off across the board, with Europe as the epicenter. 10 year bunds hit their highest level since October 2023, while France’s 10 year OAT yield rose to highs not seen since the European debt crisis of 2011. U.K. gilts followed the same path, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level in at least six months, driving markets to price in an 82% probability of a Bank of England rate hike this year. That’s right — a hike!

Across the Atlantic, predictions for the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut rates has dropped dramatically, with just 20 basis points of cuts priced in by the end of the year. That means — that for the first time — a 2026 rate cut from the Fed is now no longer fully priced in, according to Deutsche Bank.

Altaf Kassam from State Street Investment Management told CNBC that “central banks can look through temporary energy shocks, but persistent inflation risks will delay easing,” adding that in the event of an extreme shock, there could be a renewed tightening bias.

First up, the Fed

President Donald Trump has renewed his attacks on the Federal Reserve, taking to Truth Social to ask, “Where is the Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome “Too Late” Powell, today? He should be dropping Interest Rates, IMMEDIATELY.”

However, in recent days traders have abandoned hope of easing from the Fed, with reducing odds of a cut this year. EY-Parthenon Chief Economist Gregory Daco said in a recent note that there is now an elevated chance that Powell “could continue leading the FOMC even after May”, due to the current market conditions. The Fed begins its two-day meeting on Tuesday.

Wait and see for the ECB?

ECB President Christine Lagarde said the European economy was in a better position to absorb an inflation shock, telling France 2: “We will do all that is necessary to ensure inflation is under control.”

Analysts are less convinced, with BNP Paribas saying the uncertainty around Iran will “rattle the ECB’s ‘good place’ narrative.” The consensus expectation is for the central bank to hold rates on Thursday, however, in a recent interview with Bloomberg, Governing Council member Peter Kazimir suggested policymakers could opt for hike rates sooner than expected.

Keep it boring, BOE

The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates on hold at 3.75% when it meets on Thursday. In a recent note, Oxford Economics outlined a worst-case scenario where oil rises to $140 a barrel, which could drive inflation much higher and send the U.K. economy into a mild recession.

Global Central Bank meetings this week

Monday: Reserve Bank of Australia Day 1

Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia Day 2, Federal Reserve FOMC Day 1

Wednesday: Federal Reserve FOMC Day 2, Bank of Canada

Thursday: Bank of England, European Central Bank, Swiss National Bank, Sweden’s Riksbank

Global week ahead: Price pressure in the pipeline

CNBC Daily Open: Oil infrastructure under threat as Iran war rages on?

Published Sun, Mar 15 2026 9:29 PM EDT

What you need to know today

Iran’s critical oil export hub Kharg Island is now in U.S. President Donald Trump’s sights, with Trump threatening strikes on the island’s oil infrastructure after hitting military targets on Friday.

That definitely won’t calm the oil markets that have seen U.S. crude futures topping $100 a barrel, despite plans for the largest coordinated release of crude from global stockpiles. On Monday, the U.S. president said to reporters on Air Force One that oil prices will come “tumbling down once its all over.”

The White House, meanwhile, plans to announce as soon as this week that multiple countries have agreed to help escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. officials told The Wall Street Journal. About a week back, Trump told CBS that he “couldn’t care less” when asked if he would want U.S. allies to offer him greater support.

Investors will also be focusing on key economic data out from China on Monday, with the world’s second-largest economy announcing retail sales, industrial output and urban investment data. 
But even in China, Trump looms large. The U.S. president could reportedly delay his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, as he urges Beijing to help unblock the Strait of Hormuz. 
Away from the war and energy supply worries, the Oscars are currently underway, with KPop Demon Hunters winning the award for the best animated feature film. Netflix’s most-watched film ever is getting a sequel, it was confirmed on Friday. 

CNBC Daily Open: Oil infrastructure under threat as Iran war rages on?

Food prices could spike as fertiliser supplies at risk due to Iran war

14 March 2026

The blockade on fossil fuels through the strait is driving a spike in the cost of nitrogen and phosphate fertilisers – used for growing cereals and vegetables – and means farms now face a twin threat of higher fuel prices for machinery as well as for fertiliser as the conflict in Iran disrupts global supply chains.

Over the past month, the price of urea – a nitrogen fertiliser – has risen by 33.7 per cent, and is up 54.9 per cent compared to the same time last year.

Meanwhile, a number of fertiliser plants in the Middle East have closed because of their inability to obtain the substances required to manufacture it. Natural gas accounts for between 60-80 per cent of the costs associated with the production of nitrogen fertilisers, according to the NFU.

As prices go up, so must what farmers charge. Richard Heady, who farms 700 acres in Buckinghamshire, told The Telegraph: “prices for fertiliser have shot up, but the fact is we need it." He said he will have to increase the price of a ton of grain from £170 to £220 (a 30 per cent increase) after harvest, in order to cover his costs.

Without fertilisers, farmers will face soil nutrient shortages that threaten lower-yield harvests.

Around 30–35 per cent of the world’s nitrogen fertiliser supply passes through the strait, along with roughly 40–45 per cent of sulphur exports from the Gulf, highlighting just how exposed the market is to regional turmoil.

Key producers such as Qatar Fertiliser Company, Saudi Arabia’s Sabic and the UAE’s Fertiglobe usually play a major role in keeping global supplies moving, making the sudden disruption in the area rapidly felt on agricultural operations far beyond the Middle East.

NFU president Tom Bradshaw said this week he had met with Defra Secretary of State Emma Reynolds to outline how "volatility in the global energy market has a huge impact on our food supply chains here", and he said the government is "watching this very closely".

----Oxford Economics warned last week that rising oil prices are set to push up farmers’ transport costs, feeding directly into the price of staples such as rice and wheat, with higher oil and fertiliser costs translating into more expensive food globally.

----“As a result of higher natural gas prices and the importance of the strait for fertiliser trade, we have raised our fertiliser price forecast by around 20 per cent for the second quarter of 2026,” Oxford Economics said. “Risks are skewed to the upside due to the real risk of disruption to production in the region and trade through the strait.”

More

Food prices could spike as fertiliser supplies at risk due to Iran war

Food prices could rise within weeks - but the 'big worry' is that they won't come back down

The Iran conflict is creating supply issues that could lead to consumers paying more for their groceries in the short and long term - here's why.

Wednesday 11 March 2026 08:52, UK

Food prices could rise within weeks if the Iran war continues and there is a "big worry" that they won't come back down, a trade expert has warned.

Rising shipping, insurance, fuel and energy costs, combined with cancelled flights, could lead to consumers paying more in stores, James Mills, head of trade policy for Logistics UK, said.

Despite the country having resilient supply chains, the Iran conflict has caused suppliers to re-route their stock, which makes the journey more expensive and causes delays.

Instead of going through main shipping channels, some suppliers are rerouting about 6,000km around Africa's Cape of Good Hope, causing two-week delays and higher costs, Mills said.

Why impact could last months

The British Retail Consortium (BRC), a leading trade association for UK retailers, has warned that goods being redirected via longer routes could have potential knock-on effects on availability and prices due to higher shipping costs.

At the same time, fuel prices have been going up, with a barrel of Brent crude oil hitting more than $100 at the start of this week before falling back.

"If the conflict continues, people may notice that energy price rises continue and that feeds into higher transport and production costs and that gradually feeds into higher food prices," Mills said.

"It will be weeks or months before things feed through."

This is because most supermarket suppliers buy goods in advance, and will bulk-buy fuel to try to mitigate the risk of prices rising.

Perishable goods would be impacted the quickest, Mills said.

"I'd say fresh produce and those areas will probably be more sensitive to air cargo capacity being constrained. Anything that's sensitive to energy markets will obviously be impacted by that as well."

Andrew Opie, director of food and sustainability at the BRC, said: "There are also concerns about the effect on inflation and overall pricing if energy costs remain elevated for an extended period.

"We saw this following the Russian invasion of Ukraine when higher energy prices drove up manufacturing costs. Since energy is a significant component of our production costs, sustained increases directly impact the prices of the goods we sell."

'The bigger problem'

War risk insurance premiums have also risen, with Mills saying insurance for a $100m oil tanker has gone from $250,000 to $3m per trip.

And transporting goods via plane has also become more difficult due to the number of commercial flights that have been cancelled.

Mills said around 10,000 passenger flights, which can carry food and supplies in the belly of the plane, have been cancelled so far, reducing the overall cargo capacity.

While all of this is a concern, Mills said the "big worry" is how long the price increases last, and whether they will create a "new normal" price level for goods.

"Most people see prices going up, but are they going to stay the same and not come down? That's the bigger problem," he said.

"What we have seen in the past, especially since COVID, is they go up like a stone and come down like a feather."

Opie said retailers and their suppliers are adept at managing this type of disruption and are working hard to minimise the impact on customers.

---- What does all of this mean for British farming?

It's not just imported food products that are affected by the conflict - British farmers are also feeling the effects of rising prices.

At a time when farmers are usually at their busiest planting spring crops, some may have to halt their plans due to the volatile fertiliser and red diesel costs.

President of the National Farmers Union Tom Bradshaw told Money: "It takes us back to the Ukraine situation where we saw this huge volatility and massive inflationary pressure in the energy markets."

He said that fertiliser and fuel prices have been withdrawn from the market, meaning farmers don't know how much they will be expected to pay, or if they'll be able to place an order.

Around 35% of key fertilisers, like urea and ammonia nitrate, come through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively shut by the war in Iran.

"The pure economics of crop production today are incredibly difficult," Bradshaw said.

"This is going to be an incredibly challenging time for farmers, and without a shadow of a doubt, it's massively inflationary.

More

Food prices could rise within weeks - but the 'big worry' is that they won't come back down | Money News | Sky News

In other news, poor Iranians. Like the Syrian Kurds before them and, largely betrayed by Biden, now Trump’s America is betraying the Iranians Trump promised to protect.  Moral of the modern world don’t be a patsy and get involved as proxies in other’s duplicitous wars.

‘You are all worse than each other’: anti-regime Iranians turn on Trump

Mood among some in Iran shifts from hope of being rescued to dismay at destruction of infrastructure, culture and lives

Sat 14 Mar 2026 08.00 GMT

After years of arrests, disappearances and mass killings of protesters, the hatred in Iran from some quarters for the hardline, oppressive governing regime had boiled into such a desperate rage that many believed Donald Trump’s promise that the US would “come to their rescue”.

Now, after a fortnight of war, with US and Israeli airstrikes killing hundreds as they hit residential blocks, shops, fuel depots and even a school, the mood is changing.

“They are also lying! Like the regime has been lying to us,” said Amir*, a student at the University of Tehran. “You are all worse than each other.”

The anti-regime protester has let himself hope for more from the US and Israel, which on the first day of the war had swiftly killed Iran’s most feared and powerful man, the supreme leader.

Yet the regime lives on, with Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s son quickly appointed to replace him, while Israel has widened and intensified its attacks on the country of more than 90 million people.

“We’re tense. We are really tense,” said Amir. “I feel worse when I am alone. Khamenei’s death has left us with this weird sense of emptiness. Like I am now forced to think about the future, which seems so chaotic right now. We never got to look at him in the eye. He died just like that? Without facing justice for what he did to us?”

The turning point for Amir was the Israeli strikes on fuel depots in Tehran last week, with one attack on the Shahran oil depot overshadowing the capital with black smoke. A rain shower later covered trees, homes and cars with layers of toxic oil.

“I genuinely believe now they [the US and Israel] didn’t have a plan. I was still hoping I was wrong, but the Shahran attack changed the way I look at this war right now,” he said. “If the regime is what you want to hit, even if you think these depots were used by the regime, where do you draw the line? What about us, the ordinary Iranians? We rely on this civil infrastructure. Why take away our ability to govern in the future? Who can rebuild utter ruins?”

Amir said he now had constant anxiety about Iran “turning into another Iraq”, a country the US invaded in 2003, promising freedom but delivering a civil war. Israeli leaders have also previously called on Palestinians in Gaza and the Lebanese people to rise up against oppression, only to later kill them in large numbers.

“My heart is so heavy,” said Amir. “I don’t even have tears left. Only anger and more anger. At this regime, and them,” he added, referring to the US and Israel.

Others who spoke to the Guardian this week also had a shift in their attitudes towards the war, especially after the attack on oil depots, but also after seeing images of the country’s heritage sites damaged.

Among those that took the worst hits were Tehran’s Golestan Palace, dating to the 14th century, and the 17th-century Chehel Sotoon Palace in Isfahan.

“How will they rebuild … a priceless part of history?” asked a Tehran-based student. “And how will we bring back people who are dying? Is that it? Is the message from abroad that just because the regime doesn’t care, the world shouldn’t? Is the goal to erase our culture and history?”

More

‘You are all worse than each other’: anti-regime Iranians turn on Trump | US-Israel war on Iran | The Guardian

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

Stagflation was the curse of the ‘70s. High oil prices could bring it on again.

March 14, 2026

Stagflation—it’s a term that strikes fear into the hearts of those who lived through the 1970s.

A withering combination of low growth and high inflation, stagflation is back in the news as the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran puts pressure on the world’s oil supply.

The many industrial uses of petroleum make it indispensable to the economy. That was even more true in the 1970s, when two oil crises helped turn stagflation into the curse of the decade.

“Stagflation: THE Problem,” the Niles, Mich., Daily Star wrote on Oct. 25, 1974.

How bad was it? The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.05% for the entire decade, opening at 800.36 on Jan. 1, 1970, and closing at 838.74 10 years later.

And, over the longer period of 1968 to ‘83, the Consumer Price Index soared 186.4%, rising an average of 7.3% annually, with energy jumping 9.9% a year.

Yet the only thing worse than stagflation is its cure.

“Find me an economist who can explain the causes of the current surge of inflation and cure it without massive unemployment, and I’d like to meet him,” economist Robert Gordon told The Wall Street Journal on Sept. 6, 1974.

Economist, and Federal Reserve chairman, Paul Volcker did cure inflation, but not without the massive unemployment predicted by Gordon. The remedy also included the “double-dip” recessions of 1980-82 that crushed many American families.

The recent fluctuations in crude prices, hitting $100 for the first time in four years, so far aren’t as destructive as those of the ‘70s.

But with inflation running persistently hotter than Fed targets, and signs that the economy may be slowing, stagflation’s chief components are in place. They just need a catalyst—something like higher oil prices.

---- All this set the stage for real trouble: the Oil Crisis of 1973.

Following the Yom Kippur War of 1973, the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries implemented an oil embargo against countries that had supported Israel, including the U.S. Crude prices jumped 300% in months.

In America, the lasting image of the time is of cars and exasperated drivers waiting for hours in fuel lines.

“Gasoline-Seekers Clog Highways,” the Hartford Courant reported on Dec. 22, 1973, as the Christmas holiday approached.

“People are panicking,” the owner of one service station told the Courant. “They’re all running around like animals.”

Petroleum is an essential element in modern industry, whether used as a fuel, a lubricant or an ingredient in plastics and chemicals. The supply shock rippled through the economy, forcing businesses to cut hours, trim orders and lay off workers.

More

Stagflation was the curse of the ‘70s. High oil prices could bring it on again.

EXCLUSIVE: Hormuz disruption risks spreading beyond oil to petrochemicals, aluminium and container trade, UNCTAD says

UN trade agency tells Arabian Business that disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could raise costs for petrochemicals, aluminium and container cargo while forcing markets to monitor freight rates, insurance premiums and shipping traffic

Fri 13 Mar 2026

Petrochemicals, aluminium and containerised consumer goods moving through Gulf shipping hubs could face higher costs and delays if disruption in the Strait of Hormuz persists, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) told Arabian Business. The UN trade body told Arabian Business that sectors beyond oil and gas could feel the impact of tensions affecting the critical maritime corridor linking Gulf exporters with global markets.

“Petrochemicals and polymers, aluminium and containerised automotive and consumer goods moving via Gulf region transhipment hubs may face higher freight costs, insurance premiums and schedule disruptions,” UNCTAD said.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important shipping chokepoints, handling large volumes of energy exports alongside industrial commodities and manufactured goods.

Disruption in the waterway can therefore affect a wide range of sectors that depend on maritime supply chains.

Industrial exports at risk

The Gulf region hosts major petrochemical complexes and aluminium smelters that rely heavily on maritime trade.

Countries including the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain are among the world’s significant producers of aluminium, while petrochemical producers across the region export plastics and industrial chemicals used in manufacturing.

UNCTAD said disruption to shipping routes could increase transport costs and create uncertainty for exporters and manufacturers relying on Gulf supply chains.

Containerised goods may also be affected.

Automotive components, consumer products and industrial materials frequently move through Gulf transhipment hubs before reaching markets in Asia, Europe and Africa.

If shipping networks are disrupted, cargo flows could face longer transit times and higher freight costs.

UNCTAD said container shipping may also experience surcharges or longer routes if vessels are forced to divert around affected areas.

“Containerised cargo overall may see surcharges and longer routings which absorb effective capacity and lift spot rates,” the organisation told Arabian Business.

Key indicators to watch

UNCTAD said markets and governments should closely monitor several indicators to assess the economic impact of disruption in the strait.

These include freight rates, marine fuel costs and war-risk insurance premiums for vessels operating in the region.

Rising insurance costs can quickly translate into higher shipping prices and may influence whether shipowners continue to operate through affected waters.

Shipping traffic levels and maritime trade flows are also key indicators of how the crisis is affecting global supply chains.

Changes in liner shipping connectivity, port call patterns and vessel deployment may signal disruption spreading across international logistics networks.

Operational indicators such as port congestion, transit times and delays can also reveal stress within supply chains.

“Tracking energy prices, freight rates, insurance war risk premiums, shipping traffic, maritime trade flows and liner shipping connectivity will help assess the scope and magnitude of the impacts,” UNCTAD told Arabian Business.

Higher transport costs can eventually feed into inflation across multiple sectors by raising the cost of moving goods between markets.

Developing economies may be particularly vulnerable.

More

EXCLUSIVE: Hormuz disruption risks spreading beyond oil to petrochemicals, aluminium and container trade, UNCTAD says - Arabian Business: Latest News on the Middle East, Real Estate, Finance, and More

Global shipping disruption from Middle East tensions may divert cargo from West Africa to Europe

12 March 2026

Rising tensions in the Middle East are beginning to ripple through Nigeria’s maritime sector, with shipping companies warning that prolonged disruption could push cargo costs higher, reduce vessel calls to West Africa, and add pressure to inflation in Africa’s largest economy.

Rising tensions in the Middle East are pushing shipping costs higher for Nigerian ports, with insurance premiums and longer routes driving up operational expenses.

War Risk Insurance fees of up to $4,000 per container could exacerbate inflation in Africa’s largest economy.

Analysts warn that shipping companies may shift focus to higher-paying European routes, bypassing West Africa.

Nigerian importers are already reviewing logistics strategies as uncertainty threatens global supply chains.

Industry stakeholders say the escalating security situation around key global trade corridors, including the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Suez Canal, is already affecting shipping operations serving Nigerian ports.

Chairman of theShipping Association of Nigeria, Boma Alabi, said the crisis has triggered rising operational costs for shipping companies, largely driven by higher insurance premiums and longer sailing routes.

“It has definitely impacted already and will continue to impact,” Alabi said, noting that insurance and security expenses have surged amid fears of instability in the region. “Ships now incur additional bunker costs because they have to take longer routes, and War Risk Insurance has also been imposed.”

The additional insurance charges alone could significantly raise the cost of importing goods into Nigeria. According to Kayode Farinto,shipping companies may soon impose war risk fees of between $3,000 and $4,000 per container, a development that could quickly feed into consumer prices in a country already battling persistent inflation.

“These charges could be as much as $3,000–$4,000 per container, and you know what that means to an economy like ours,” Farinto said.

Beyond rising costs, maritime analysts warn that Nigeria could also face a reduction in shipping services if the conflict persists. Maritime consultant Daniel Odibe said global shipping companies may prioritise more profitable routes to Europe rather than West Africa.

More

Global shipping disruption from Middle East tensions may divert cargo from West Africa to Europe

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Meta planning sweeping layoffs as AI costs mount: Reuters

Published Sat, Mar 14 2026 6:19 AM EDT Updated Sat, Mar 14 2026 6:49 AM EDT

Meta is planning sweeping layoffs that could affect 20% or more of the company, three sources familiar with the matter told Reuters, as Meta seeks to offset costly artificial intelligence infrastructure bets and prepare for greater efficiency brought about by AI-assisted workers.

No date has been set for the cuts and the magnitude has not been finalized, the people said.

Top executives have recently signaled the plans to other senior leaders at Meta and told them to begin planning how to pare back, two of the people said. The sources spoke anonymously because they were not authorized to disclose the cuts.

“This is speculative reporting about theoretical approaches,” Meta spokesperson Andy Stone said in response to questions about the plan.

If Meta settles on the 20% figure, the layoffs will be the company’s most significant since a restructuring in late 2022 and early 2023 that it dubbed the “year of efficiency.” It employed nearly 79,000 people as of December 31, according to its latest filing.

The company laid off 11,000 staffers in November 2022, or around 13% of its workforce at the time. Around four months later, it announced it was cutting another 10,000 jobs.

More

Meta planning sweeping layoffs as AI costs mount: Reuters

PepsiCo installs major rooftop solar system at Leicester distribution centre

13th March 2026  Updated: 13th March 2026

PepsiCo UK has committed £3.6 million to install a rooftop solar power system at its Southern Region Distribution Centre in Leicester, expanding the company’s use of on-site renewable energy within its UK logistics network.

The project covers around 30,000 square metres of roof space, roughly equivalent to four football pitches. Energy infrastructure company Ineco Energy is delivering the installation.

Andy Smethurst, UK Warehousing & Logistics Director at PepsiCo said: “Leicester is already home to one of the world’s largest crisp factories, and now we’re delivering one of the most complex solar power systems, right here in the East Midlands. It’s a major milestone for PepsiCo UK and shows how we’re continuing to find new ways to power our sites and operate more sustainably.”

The system will have a capacity of 3.56 MWp and is expected to generate about 2.84 GWh of electricity each year. Over a full year, this output is projected to supply the distribution centre’s electricity needs and reduce reliance on grid power.

Any surplus electricity produced by the system will be redirected to the neighbouring Walkers crisps manufacturing plant in Leicester.

The investment forms part of broader efficiency and decarbonisation upgrades across PepsiCo’s UK operations. Previous improvements include electric ovens at the Leicester manufacturing site, upgraded production machinery in Coventry, and higher-efficiency fryers at the Brigg facility, where Pipers crisps are produced. These measures have collectively reduced the company’s greenhouse gas emissions by around 2,400 tonnes annually.

The Leicester distribution centre is a central hub in PepsiCo’s UK supply chain. The site employs around 240 staff and distributes products produced at six manufacturing facilities across the country.

The solar installation follows a £14 million upgrade completed at the site in 2021, which introduced new logistics technology and equipment.

Construction of the rooftop solar system is underway and is scheduled for completion by September 2026.

PepsiCo installs major rooftop solar system at Leicester distribution centre - East Midlands Business Link

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater part of the members are poor and miserable.

Adam Smith

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