Saturday, 27 September 2025

Special Update 27/09/2025 PCE Relief. AI Starts To Hit Employment.

Baltic Dry Index. 2259 -07         Brent Crude 70.13

Spot Gold 3760              U S 2 Year Yield 3.67 -0.01   

US Federal Debt. 37.532 trillion

US GDP 30.292 trillion

A broken clock is right twice a day.

Which makes it more accurate than economists.

And so it starts; the AI revolution gets underway. Where it leads and how it ends is anyone’s guess, but my guess is social disorder and increased violence in the early days.

Accenture plans on ‘exiting’ staff who can’t be reskilled on AI amid restructuring strategy

Published Fri, Sep 26 2025 7:18 AM EDT Updated Fri, Sep 26 2025 12:03 PM EDT

Tech consultancy Accenture has set out plans to lay off staff who aren’t able to reskill on artificial intelligence amid a broader restructuring strategy which will see the company prioritize AI efforts.

Accenture CEO Julie Sweet said in a call Thursday that as advanced AI becomes “a part of everything we do” and the global professional services company continues to invest significantly in the area, it expects employees to “retrain and retool” at scale.

“We are investing in upskilling our reinventors, which is our primary strategy,” Sweet said. She explained that the company is “exiting on a compression timeline” people for whom reskilling isn’t a “viable path.”

Sweet said Accenture had already reskilled 550,000 workers on the fundamentals of generative AI and outlined a six-month $865 million business optimization program, which detailed costs associated with severance and headcount reductions.

“We expect savings of over $1 billion from our business optimization program, which we expect that we will reinvest in our business and in our people because it’s so important for our future growth and so we expect to reinvest that while still delivering modest margin expansion,” Accenture Chief Financial Officer Angie Park said.

Alongside cuts, the company is continuing to hire and has beefed up its AI talent with 77,000 employed AI and data professionals in 2025, up from 40,000 in 2023. Sweet said its also expecting to increase the company’s headcount in the next financial year across markets including the U.S. and Europe.

“Our No. 1 strategy is upskilling, given the skills we need, and we’ve had a lot of experience in upskilling, we’re trying to, in a very compressed timeline, where we don’t have a viable path for skilling, sort of exiting people so we can get more of the skills in we need,” Sweet added.

The company reported revenue of $69.7 billion this year, growth of 7% from the prior year. In an interview with CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street,” Sweet pinned this growth on massive client demand to deploy artificial intelligence across organizations.

“Our early investment in AI is really paying off,” Sweet told CNBC. “We feel very good as we go into FY26 with the momentum we’re seeing in our business which is driven by Accenture being the company that you really partner to make sure you can use advanced AI.”

“Every CEO, board and the C-suite recognize that advanced AI is critical to the future. The challenge right now they’re facing is that they’re really excited about the technology and they’re not yet AI ready for most companies,” she added.

Accenture plans on 'exiting' staff who can't be reskilled on AI

In other news, nothing good.

Germany's Bosch to cut 13,000 jobs in blow to auto sector

25 September 2025

German industrial giant Bosch said Thursday it would cut 13,000 jobs, mostly in its auto unit, in the latest blow for the country's ailing car sector.

The auto industry in Europe's biggest economy has been hammered by fierce competition in key market China, weak demand and a slower than expected shift to electric vehicles. 

The cuts, all of which will take place in Germany, represent about 10 percent of Bosch's total workforce in the country, and three percent of its staff worldwide.

Bosch -- the world's biggest auto supplier, making everything from braking and steering systems to sensors -- said the layoffs were needed to help make annual savings of 2.5 billion euros ($2.9 billion) in the group's car unit.

"Demand for our products is shifting significantly to regions outside Europe," said Stefan Grosch, head of industrial relations at Bosch. "We need to orient ourselves to where our markets and customers are."

Workers' representatives vowed to resist the cuts, labelling them "unprecedented". 

- Slow EV shift -

Bosch had already announced 9,000 layoffs since last year and other automotive suppliers, including Schaeffler and Continental, have also laid off thousands. 

The top carmakers themselves are facing serious problems, with 10-brand Volkswagen -- Europe's top automaker -- planning to cut thousands of jobs in Germany as sales and profits slide.

Sports car maker Porsche, a VW subsidiary, last week hit the brakes on its EV rollout due to weak demand.

More

Germany's Bosch to cut 13,000 jobs in blow to auto sector

Volkswagen cuts output, pauses production at German EV plants, Bloomberg News says

25 September 2025

(Reuters) -Europe's top carmaker Volkswagen is curbing volumes and introducing temporary shutdowns at two of its electric-vehicle plants in Germany, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday.

The German automaker's Zwickau factory will stop production for a week from October 6 due to weak demand for the Audi Q4 e-tron, the report said, citing a company spokesperson.

The carmaker's Emden plant has reduced employee hours and is expected to halt production lines for several days, Bloomberg said.

Reuters could not immediately verify the report. Volkswagen did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Last week, Volkswagen said it would take a 5.1 billion euro ($6 billion) hit over its unit Porsche AG's delayed EV rollout due to weaker demand, and rising competition from China coupled with higher U.S. tariffs.

Volkswagen cuts output, pauses production at German EV plants, Bloomberg News says

Shale oil execs say Trump policies are hurting investment, ‘business is broken’

Published Thu, Sep 25 2025 5:28 PM EDT Updated Thu, Sep 25 2025 5:57 PM EDT

Shale oil executives say President Donald Trump is hurting investment in the oil patch, and are giving a grim outlook for the future of the industry that turned the U.S. into the largest crude producer in the world.

The executives’ anonymous comments were published in a quarterly survey of oil and gas companies by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas this week. The 139 companies that responded operate predominantly in Texas as well as northern Louisiana and southern New Mexico.

Trump has championed fossil fuels while attacking the renewable energy industry since taking office in January. His One Big Beautiful Bill Act, passed by Congress in July, delivered virtually everything the oil lobby wanted.

But Trump’s push for lower crude prices, higher tariffs, and the resulting uncertainty caused by his “stroke of pen” policies are hurting investment, executives at independent oil and gas producers told the Dallas Fed.

Nearly 80% of executives who participated in the survey said they have delayed investment decisions in response to heightened uncertainty about the future price of oil and the cost of producing crude.

“We have begun the twilight of shale,” one executive said, pointing to layoffs by the thousands and industry consolidation under big companies like Exxon Mobil. “The writing is on the wall,” the unnamed manager said.

‘Drilling is going to disappear’

Another executive warned that “drilling is going to disappear” as Trump pushes for $40 per barrel crude oil at the same time his steel tariffs are raising costs. U.S. crude oil prices are currently trading around $65 per barrel, just above the level producers need to drill profitably.

The shale industry has been “gutted” over the course of the Biden and Trump administrations, another executive said. Political hostility from Biden chased away capital from the industry, the person said. Economic ignorance from Trump is “finishing the job,” they said.

“The U.S. shale business is broken,” the executive said.

The Trump administration has effectively aligned itself with the decision by OPEC+ to increase oil supply, “kneecapping U.S. producers in the process,” the person said.

“Guided by a U.S. Department of Energy that tells them what they want to hear instead of hard facts, they operate with little understanding of shale economics,” the same executive said.

More

Shale oil execs say Trump policies are hurting investment, 'business is broken'

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

Core inflation rate held at 2.9% in August, as expected, Fed’s gauge shows

Published Fri, Sep 26 2025 8:31 AM EDT

Core inflation was little changed in August, according to the Federal Reserve’s primary forecasting tool, likely keeping the central bank on pace for interest rate reductions ahead.

The personal consumption expenditures price index posted a 0.3% gain for the month, putting the annual headline inflation rate at 2.7%, the Commerce Department reported Friday.

Excluding food and energy, the more closely followed core PCE price level was 2.9% on an annual basis after rising 0.2% for the month.

The headline annual inflation rate was a slight increase from the 2.6% in July while the core rate was the same.

All of the numbers were in line with the Dow Jones consensus forecast.

Spending and income numbers were slightly higher than expected.

Personal income increased 0.4% for the month, while personal consumption expenditures accelerated at a 0.6% pace. Both were 0.1 percentage point above the respective estimates.

Though the Fed targets inflation at 2%, the readings are unlikely to change course for policymakers who last week indicated they see two more quarter percentage point reductions before the end of the year.

The report further indicates that President Donald Trump’s tariffs have had only a limited pass-through effect on consumer prices. Though many economists expected Trump’s expansive levies to juice prices, companies have relied on a mixture of pre-tariff inventory accumulations and cost absorbing measures to limit the impact.

Moreover, the data showed that consumers have been resilient despite the round of tariffs, continuing to spend strongly as incomes have held up.

Fed officials including Chair Jerome Powell say a likely scenario for the tariffs is that they are a one-time boost to prices rather than a longer-term cause of underlying inflation. However, some policymakers have continued to express reservations and see limited room for further rate cuts.

Markets are strongly betting on a rate cut in October, though there’s less enthusiasm for another move in December. The Federal Open Market Committee last week approved a quarter percentage point reduction in the fed funds rate, the first easing of the year that took the benchmark down to a target range of 4%-4.25%.

PCE inflation August 2025:

Starbucks to close stores, lay off workers in $1 billion restructuring plan

Published Thu, Sep 25 2025 7:55 AM EDT Updated Thu, Sep 25 2025 12:34 PM EDT

Starbucks announced a $1 billion restructuring plan Thursday that involves closing some of its North American coffeehouses and laying off more workers as it moves ahead with its “Back to Starbucks” transformation under CEO Brian Niccol.

The number of company-operated stores in North America will decline by about 1% in fiscal 2025, accounting for both openings and closures, the company said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. That figure translates to roughly 500 gross closures, according to TD Cowen estimates.

Approximately 900 nonretail employees will be laid off on Friday, Starbucks said.

Starbucks estimates that 90% of the expected $1 billion restructuring cost will be attributable to the North America business. In total, the company expects to incur about $150 million in employee separation costs, plus about $850 million in restructuring charges related to the store closures, according to the filing. A significant portion of expenses will be incurred in fiscal 2025, it said.

The company plans to end its fiscal year with almost 18,300 North American locations, including both company-operated and licensed cafes. Starbucks plans to start growing its footprint again in fiscal 2026.

Starbucks said in the filing it is prioritizing investment “closer to the coffeehouse and the customer” as it looks to reverse a sales slump in its biggest market. The company’s same-store sales have fallen for six straight quarters, hurt by increased competition and price-conscious consumers.

This is the second round of layoffs in Niccol’s tenure, after 1,100 corporate workers were let go earlier this year. Starbucks ended 2024 with about 16,000 employees who work outside of store locations.

“These steps are to reinforce what we see is working and prioritize our resources against them,” Niccol wrote in a letter to employees Thursday. “I believe these steps are necessary to build a better, stronger, and more resilient Starbucks that deepens its impact on the world and creates more opportunities for our partners, suppliers, and the communities we serve.”

In July, the company announced its biggest investment ever into labor and operating standards, “Green Apron Service,” which involves a more than $500 million investment in labor hours across company-owned cafes in the next year.

In an interview earlier this month, Niccol told CNBC, “I really hope we’re moving towards being the world’s greatest customer service company, [and] the world’s greatest customer-centric company.

More

Starbucks to close stores, lay off workers in $1 billion restructuring

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.

Approx. 8 minutes.

Trapped in a Tesla: 3 Deaths in German Crash

Trapped in a Tesla: 3 Deaths in German Crash

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

Exponent Calculator

Enter values into any two of the input fields to solve for the third.

Exponent Calculator

This weekend’s music diversion. The finest opening allegro in classical music.  Approx. 19 minutes, but the opening allegro is only approx. 8 minutes. Performed in a stunning Austrian church.

J. F. Fasch | Concerto in D major - FaWV L:D5

J. F. Fasch | Concerto in D major - FaWV L:D5 - YouTube

Next, China’s new shipping route to Europe. Approx. 4 minutes.

China's Arctic Shortcut To Europe | GRAVITAS

China's Arctic Shortcut To Europe | GRAVITAS

Finally, more fun on a subject we haven’t covered in at least two years, perfect numbers.  Approx. 30 minutes.

How One Problem Has Stumped Mathematicians for Centuries

How One Problem Has Stumped Mathematicians for Centuries | Watch

How many economists does it take to screw in a lightbulb?

No one knows. They just keep going on and on about how the last one broke.

 


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