Wednesday, 7 February 2024

More Disconnect. EV Fires. Iran Nukes.

Baltic Dry Index. 1516 +80            Brent Crude  78.66

Spot Gold 2034                  US 2 Year Yield 4.39 -0.07

“If liberty means anything at all it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.”

George Orwell, Animal Farm.

In the stock casinos, the Greatest Disconnect from global reality soars on. Two terrible unstoppable wars now challenge global supply lines.

Far from influencing Israel to stop its war on Gaza’s women and children, President Biden Joe Biden has been accused of anti-semitism by some od Israel’s cabinet.

As this section’s last article posits, Iran can have a nuke within a week.


Asia markets rise as investors assess earnings; Japan’s Nikkei falls

UPDATED TUE, FEB 6 2024 11:18 PM EST

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher Wednesday, with the exception of Japan’s Nikkei, as investors assessed corporate earnings.

DBS Group, Southeast Asia’s largest bank, reported a 2% year-over-year increase in fourth quarter net profit to $2.39 billion, while maintaining its full-year net interest income forecast for 2024. Shares of the bank jumped 2%.

China’s biggest chipmaker SMIC said Wednesday persistent global macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical tensions could impact the business in 2024, a day after it posted a 54.7% drop in fourth-quarter profit.

Shares of SMIC fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong trading.

Electric vehicles shares listed in Hong Kong rose after China’s commerce ministry released a document that laid out its plan for “healthy development of new energy vehicles” in the country.

South Korea’s Kospi jumped 1.4%, leading gains in Asia, while the Kosdaq gained 1.2%.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.61%, a day after the country’s central bank held rates at 4.35%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index extended gains after surging over 4% on Tuesday, gaining 0.4%, while the mainland Chinese CSI 300 was 0.3% higher.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was the only benchmark in the negative territory, down about 0.11%. The broader Topix inched 0.3% higher.

Overnight in the U.S., all three major indexes gained ground after a fresh batch of quarterly earnings, with the S&P 500 up 0.23%.

The Nasdaq Composite inched up 0.07%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 0.37%.

Asia markets live updates: U.S. earnings, Hong Kong gains (cnbc.com)

Toyota shares hit record high after earnings upgrade, domestic rivals in focus

February 7, 2024 4:33 AM GMT

TOKYO, Feb 7 (Reuters) - Toyota Motor (7203.T) opens new tab shares hit a record high on Wednesday after its earnings upgrade the prior day, with rivals Honda and Nissan also posting gains on expectations their solid hybrid lineups may benefit from cooling interest in electric vehicles.

Weakening momentum for battery-powered vehicles has led many overseas automakers to scale back roll-out plans for EVs or cut production targets as lower government subsidies and high interest rates make EV purchases harder for customers.

Toyota's strong financial performance in the third quarter was helped by robust demand for gasoline-electric hybrid vehicles, the world's top-selling automaker said on Tuesday.

Its shares were up 4% on Wednesday afternoon after jumping as much as 7.3% to a record high in the morning session, outperforming a 0.2% advance in the broad Topix (.TOPX) opens new tab index.

Nissan Motor's (7201.T) opens new tab shares rose 2.9% in afternoon trade after gaining as much as 4.3% earlier. Those of Honda Motor (7267.T) opens new tab advanced 1.3% after rising as much as 2.6% earlier.

"We think the market is now rethinking the potential of hybrid products, which are a strength of Toyota," analysts at Goldman Sachs wrote in a note released after Toyota raised its operating profit guidance by nearly 9% for the 12 months ending March 31.

The company's progress on raising prices that helped boost its earnings per vehicle was likely the biggest driver for the higher operating profit forecast, the analysts added.

Toyota's shares have risen 80% since the start of 2023, compared to a 69% rise in Honda's shares and Nissan's 47% gain over the same period.

More

Toyota shares hit record high after earnings upgrade, domestic rivals in focus | Reuters

European markets head for mixed open amid ongoing uncertainty over rate cut outlook

UPDATED WED, FEB 7 2024 12:23 AM EST

European markets are heading for a mixed open Wednesday amid ongoing uncertainty over the rate cut outlook.

Doubts over the timetable for interest rate cuts have crept in after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that investors may have to wait longer than expected for a central bank pivot.

Powell also reiterated Sunday that more positive data on inflation was needed before rates could come down. His comments during an interview with “60 Minutes” also led many to believe that there may be fewer cuts this year than some had hoped.

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher Wednesday, with the exception of Japan’s Nikkei, as investors assessed corporate earnings. U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday evening, as investors digested another slate of quarterly results halfway through the corporate earnings season.

European markets live updates: stocks, news, data and earnings (cnbc.com)

Netanyahu Pinned in Tough Spot as Key Ministers Attack Biden

February 6, 2024

(Bloomberg) -- As US Secretary of State Antony Blinken shuttles across the Middle East in the hope of easing regional tensions and winding down the war in Gaza, far-right Israeli ministers are pulling in the opposite direction.

In recent days, two of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s most important ministers have attacked US President Joe Biden.

Itamar Ben Gvir, the national security minister, said Biden was hindering the offensive against Hamas and too focused on getting aid to civilians in Gaza. He suggested that, from Israel’s standpoint, Donald Trump would be a better president.

Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich then assailed Biden for imposing sanctions on half a dozen Jewish settlers in the West Bank. Blocking their access to bank accounts amounts to an “anti-Semitic campaign,” he said.

The two politicians have long been controversial and outspoken. But their blunt criticism of Biden — who visited Israel soon after Hamas’ attack on Oct. 7 and has consistently defended its right to wage war in Gaza — underscores the strains between the two countries’ leaderships.

More

Netanyahu Pinned in Tough Spot as Key Ministers Attack Biden (msn.com)

Up next, EV news. Has the EV boom turned into a fiery bust?

 

South Korea’s EV Sales Held Back by Drivers’ Fears of Battery Fires

By Charles Kennedy - Feb 05, 2024, 10:00 AM CST

 

South Korea’s electric vehicle (EV) sales fell by 0.1% last year for the first annual decline since 2017, as drivers cite fears of batteries catching fire and insufficient number of chargers as key obstacles alongside higher interest rates and high prices.  

South Korean drivers are concerned that their future EVs could catch fire while charging or in a car crash, according to a November survey by the Korea Transportation Safety Authority quoted by Bloomberg on Monday.

 

In 2020 and 2021, several high-profile cases of EVs catching fire were reported in South Korea. Three years ago, an electric bus manufactured by Hyundai Motor caught fire while in use.

 

A few months earlier, Hyundai Motor recalled more than 77,000 Kona EVs sold globally after 13 of the electric crossover vehicles caught fire. Hyundai and its battery supplier LG Chem were at odds over the reasons for the recall, with the battery cell maker saying it wasn’t its battery that was the culprit. 

Another key reason for lower EV sales and increased hesitancy among South Korean drivers to switch to zero-emission vehicles has been a lack of enough charging points.

Concerns about vehicles catching fire during charging in closed-space underground parking lots of high-rise apartment buildings have deterred Koreans to consider switching from a gasoline-fueled car to an EV.

So EV sales declined by 0.1% to 157,823 units in 2023, the first drop in six years, per data from the Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association (KAMA) cited by Bloomberg.

More

South Korea’s EV Sales Held Back by Drivers’ Fears of Battery Fires | OilPrice.com

 

Third electric London bus catches fire in the space of two weeks - as operator launches probe and starts urgent check of 380 similar vehicles in its fleet

An electric bus has caught fire in London just days after two sparked panic in the capital after they also went up in flames.  

Videos posted on social media show flames engulfing a vehicle inside a bus garage in Putney yesterday.

Firefighters from the London Fire Brigade were called to the scene at 8:21am and attended the site with two fire engines. 

The blaze tore through part of the single-deck bus, which was unoccupied, before it was 'promptly' extinguished by 9:13am. Around 20 people inside the building were safely evacuated and there were no reports of any injuries.

The bus, which was used on route 265, had been operated by bus company Go Ahead London, who has now launched a 'precautionary fleet check' of around 380 of its electric buses. 

This is the third electric bus to catch fire in the capital in the last 14 days, heaping more pressure on London Mayor Sadiq Khan to address the problem, which has already put some passengers' lives in danger. 

More

Third electric London bus catches fire in the space of two weeks - as operator launches probe and starts urgent check of 380 similar vehicles in its fleet | Daily Mail Online

Finally, get ready for World War Three?

Iran Can Build Nuclear Bomb in One Week, Signaling ‘Extreme Danger’ for Western World, Report Says

February 5, 2024

Iran has enough weapons-grade uranium to produce its first nuclear weapon within a week and a total of six bombs within a month, a scenario that is increasingly likely to unfold as conflict in the Middle East reaches critical levels, according to a report from a watchdog group.

 

"The volatile situation in the region is providing Iran with a unique opportunity and increased internal justification for building nuclear weapons while the United States and Israel’s resources to detect and deter Iran from succeeding are stretched thin," the Institute for Science and International Security, a watchdog group that monitors Tehran’s atomic program, warned in a report published Monday. "Iran's nuclear weapons capabilities are more dangerous than they have ever been, while its relations with the West are at a low point."

The findings signal "extreme danger" for the international community and marks the "first time" the institute has issued such a determination since it began reporting on the Iranian nuclear program’s threat level in October 2022. In May 2023, when the last report was published, Iran’s total threat score was calculated at 140 out of 180. This year the score reached 151.

Hamas’s war against Israel, which is being supported by Iran, has significantly increased the likelihood that Tehran races to build a functional nuclear weapon, according to the report. The United States is now in its third day of airstrikes against Iranian targets across the Middle East, threatening to ignite a broader conflict with Iran that could consume the region and increase Tehran’s rush to become a nuclear-armed power.

The Islamic Republic continues to make "progress on developing sensitive nuclear capabilities, ... increasing its nuclear weaponization efforts beyond breakout."

Iran has the ability to "break out and produce enough weapon-grade enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon in a week, using only a fraction of its 60 percent enriched uranium," according to the report. "This breakout could be difficult for inspectors to detect promptly, if Iran took steps to delay inspectors’ access."

Using its stock of 60 percent enriched uranium, which has grown under the Biden administration, and a remaining allotment of around 20 percent enriched uranium, Iran "could have in total enough weapon-grade uranium for six weapons in one month, and after five months of producing weapon-grade uranium, it could have enough for twelve."

More

Iran Can Build Nuclear Bomb in One Week, Signaling ‘Extreme Danger’ for Western World, Report Says (freebeacon.com)

 

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

Falling US inflation opens door to rate cuts within months, says OECD

Price pressures in UK forecast to be highest among G7 nations over next two years

February 5, 2023

A rapid fall in US inflation has opened the way for interest rate cuts within months, the OECD said, but it warned that Britain would suffer from the G7’s fastest price growth.

The OECD’s interim outlook, published on Monday, predicted US inflation of just 2.2 per cent in 2024 and 2 per cent in 2025 — among the lowest rates in the G7. The Paris-based organisation said that only in Italy would price growth be less this year.

But it forecast the UK would be burdened by the G7’s highest inflation rate, at 2.8 per cent this year and 2.4 per cent in 2025, underscoring the battle faced by the Bank of England in reining in price growth.

Although inflation is falling across the world in the wake of interest rate rises, the threat has not subsided, with a US jobs report last Friday rekindling fears that the country’s labour market remains too hot for rapid rate cuts.

----The OECD said inflation would fall to most G20 countries’ target rates by the end of 2025. It predicted that central banks would be able to start reducing interest rates sooner than it said in its previous economic outlook in November.

The club of the world’s rich economies added that central banks could begin cutting rates in the US by the second quarter and in the euro area and the UK in the third quarter.

More

Falling US inflation opens door to rate cuts within months, says OECD (ft.com)

Turkey's January inflation piles pressure on central bank

February 5, 2024

Turkey's annual inflation rate stayed stable in January at nearly 65 percent, but month-on-month consumer price increases jumped sharply following a huge minimum wage hike, official data showed Monday.

The year-on-year inflation rate moved to 64.86 percent -- up a notch from 64.77 percent in December, the TUIK statistics agency reported.

Turkey's finance minister, Mehmet Simsek, attributed the monthly inflation jump to "temporary effects". 

"We predict that, starting from February, monthly inflation will decrease significantly and remain in line with our forecast," Simsek said on social media.  

"We will see a significant decline in annual inflation in the second half of the year."

Inflation remains a pressing issue for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government ahead of local elections in March.

His ruling AKP party is trying to win back control of major cities, including Istanbul and the capital Ankara, currently held by the main opposition party. 

Turkey's central bank, which has raised its key rate from 8.5 percent to 45 percent since June, said last month that the level was sufficient to start easing the cost of living crisis.

The bank's governor Hafize Gaye Erkan resigned on Friday, less than a year into her tenure, after a scandal involving her family.

She was replaced by Fatih Karahan, a former economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the US online retail giant Amazon, who may be under pressure to again start raising the interest rate, analysts said.

"The arguments in favour of restarting the tightening cycle with another interest rate hike later this month are compelling and would underline the central bank's commitment to tackle inflation -– and help to build Governor Karaham's credibility," Capital Economics analyst Liam Peach said.

Turkey's January inflation piles pressure on central bank (msn.com)

Covid-19 Corner

This section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

Today, Big Brother, Dr. President Biden Joe Biden knows best. We can’t have you thinking for yourself after all.

Amazon ‘censored’ COVID-19 vaccine books after ‘feeling pressure’ from Biden White House: docs

February 6, 2024

The Biden administration pressured Amazon to censor books related to COVID-19 vaccines in early 2021 citing concerns that the material contained “propaganda” and “misinformation,” internal company emails released by Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) appear to show.

The documents were obtained by the House Judiciary Committee and the Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government via subpoena, Jordan said in a X thread Monday, which he dubbed, “THE AMAZON FILES.” 

“Who can we talk to about the high levels of propaganda and misinformation and disinformation of [sic] Amazon?” Andrew Slavitt, a former White House senior advisor for COVID-19 response, wrote to the online retailer in a March 2, 2021, email, released by Jordan. 

“If you search for ‘vaccines’ under books, I see what comes up,” Slavitt wrote in a follow up message that same day. “I haven’t looked beyond that but if that’s what’s on the surface, it’s concerning.” 

The Biden administration has previously come under fire for encouraging social media companies to suppress anti-COVID-19 vaccine content. 

Amazon was “feeling pressure” from the Biden White House on how it promoted certain book titles, company emails show.

Amazon officials initially balked at performing “a manual intervention” to remove certain book titles from appearing, arguing that it would be “too visible” and lead to further scrutiny. 

“We will not be doing a manual intervention today,” an email between Amazon executives reads. “The team/PR feels very strongly that it is too visible, and will further compound the Harry/Sally narrative (which is getting the Fox News treatment today apparently), and won’t fix the problem long-term … because of customer behavior associates.” 

The Amazon officials, whose name is redacted from the email, then notes that another individual at the company, whose name is also redacted, “gave very direct guidance to the teams to be boring and not do anything that is visible and will draw more attention.” 

The email states that a tweak to the bookseller’s website that would redirect more customers searching certain keywords to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website was in the works and that a screenshot of that change should be sent to the White House, but it warned employees to play coy with the Biden administration about potential further actions.

More

Amazon ‘censored’ COVID-19 vaccine books after ‘feeling pressure’ from Biden White House: docs (msn.com)

“No one believes more firmly than Comrade President Biden that all persons are equal. He would be only too happy to let you make your decisions for yourselves. But sometimes you might make the wrong decisions, comrades, and then where should we be?”

With apologies to George Orwell, Animal Farm.

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported.

iPhone 16 Pro Series Specs Leak: Will Graphene Cooling Boost Performance and Battery Life?

February 6, 2024

The newest generation of iPhones, the iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max, may fix the overheating issues that plagued their predecessors. According to reports, Apple is considering putting a graphene layer into its following models to improve heat dissipation. Unlike the current titanium frame, which has lesser thermal conductivity than stainless steel, graphene integration could provide a more effective solution to overheating issues, expanding on improvements made in the iOS 17 update for existing flagship models.

Apple might change things up on the iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max. Instead of the conventional graphite pads, they consider utilising graphene to cool the phone's chip. This fancy material would help carry away the heat generated by the chip, allowing the phone to run cooler.

Apple has been rumoured to be exploring graphene

Oh, and this isn't the first time Apple has been rumoured to be exploring graphene. In November, a leaker revealed that Apple planned to outfit the iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max with a functional graphene thermal system. There's even talk of a metal bracket that will house the phone's battery. Apple appears to have some exciting things in the works!

Before that rumour entered the Twitter scene, Apple responded. They released the iOS 17.0.3 update, which addressed the overheating issues plaguing the iPhone 15 Pro models. Apple admitted that their newest phones were experiencing heat, which they blamed on app optimisation and software problems. So they rushed to patch it with that slick upgrade.

The rumoured iPhone 16 Pro and 16 Pro Max may be released in the third quarter of 2024. Take all these rumours and leaks with a grain of salt for now. Apple is experimenting with ideas like graphene or a fancy vapour cooling chamber similar to those found in high-end Android phones. 

iPhone 16 Pro Series Specs Leak: Will Graphene Cooling Boost Performance and Battery Life? (msn.com)

“Comrades!' he cried. 'You do not imagine, I hope, that we pigs are doing this in a spirit of selfishness and privilege? Many of us actually dislike milk and apples. I dislike them myself. Our sole object in taking these things is to preserve our health. Milk and apples (this has been proved by Science, comrades) contain substances absolutely necessary to the well-being of a pig. We pigs are brainworkers. The whole management and organisation of this farm depend on us. Day and night we are watching over your welfare. It is for your sake that we drink the milk and eat those apples.”

George Orwell, Animal Farm.

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