Tuesday, 28 April 2026

Iran, Trump Humiliated, Germany. More Trumpflation.

Baltic Dry Index. 2666 +01     Brent Crude 109.87

Spot Gold  4661                           Spot Silver 73.80

US 2 Year Yield 3.78  unch.

US Federal Debt. 39.173 trillion

US GDP 31.366 trillion.

'Emergencies' have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded.

Friedrich August von Hayek

More stock casino disconnect. More rigging? 

On a global fiat currency system trapped in an Israeli/US war crashing global supply chains, have the central banks taken to propping up global stock casinos and if so, how does that end?

Look away from that oil price now.

CNBC Daily Open: Investors look past warning signs to send stock markets soaring

Published Mon, Apr 27 2026 9:27 PM EDT

Hello, this is Hui Jie writing to you from Singapore. Welcome to another edition of CNBC’s Daily Open.

From stagflation warnings and stalled Iran talks to rising oil prices, red flags are everywhere. 

But investors continue to push markets in the U.S. (and some in Asia) to new highs — is that misplaced optimism or the AI-driven tech gains are going to sustain this rally amid geopolitical worries?  

What you need to know today

Warning signs are flashing for the Trump administration like red lights on a stalled F1 driver’s car.

There’s geopolitical strain from stalled Iran peace talks, growing worries of an extended Mideast conflict, and billionaire investor Ray Dalio has warned the U.S. economy was in a “stagflationary period.”

That’s the kind of scenario that usually spooks investors as it usually means that central banks cannot cut or raise rates to combat inflation or stimulate growth. 

But not this time around. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rose to fresh highs overnight, clearly underlining that investors are looking past the warning signs. While Asia markets opened mixed Tuesday, South Korea’s Kospi briefly touched a new record high.

Dalio also said that it would be a mistake for the potential Federal Reserve chair successor Kevin Warsh to lower interest rates, a key demand of U.S. President Donald Trump. 

Oil prices continued to rise as Iran-U.S. peace talks stalled, further stoking energy supply worries, with global Brent futures advancing 2.75% to close at $108.23 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate futures up 0.39% to trade at $96.77 per barrel. They were trading higher during early Asia hours Tuesday.

Iran has reportedly offered a new proposal to the U.S. for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the war while suggesting that nuclear talks be deferred. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed Monday that Trump and his national security team discussed Iran’s proposal.

Meanwhile, just weeks ahead planned talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, Beijing has moved to block Meta’s $2 billion acquisition of Manus, a Singaporean artificial intelligence startup with Chinese roots. The acquisition was completed last December and Meta said in March “the transaction complied fully with applicable law.”

Looking ahead, Asian investors will be watching the Hong Kong market debut of Chinese optical-computing provider Lightelligence, after it raised 2.5 billion Hong Kong dollars ($323 million) in its IPO.

CNBC Daily Open: Investors look past warning signs to send stock markets soaring

Stock futures little changed after the S&P 500 posts another record, Wall Street awaits earnings: Live updates

Updated Tue, Apr 28 2026 1:23 AM EDT

U.S. stock futures were little changed early Tuesday after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed the regular session with new records.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq Composite futures remained flat. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 64 points, or 0.13%.

During the day’s regular trading, both the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq hit new intraday and closing highs. The broad market index rose 0.12%, while the Nasdaq added 0.20%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged behind, slipping 62.92 points, or 0.13%.

The market’s gains were kept in check as peace talks between the U.S. and Iran appeared to come to a standstill.

Over the weekend, President Donald Trump canceled plans to send U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan to discuss the ceasefire in Iran. In a Truth Social post, the president said that negotiations could happen over the phone. Esmaeil Baqaei, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, said that no meetings are currently planned between Tehran and Washington.

In a bit of positive news, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed on Monday that Trump and his national security team have discussed Iran’s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the war ends and the U.S. lifts its blockade.

The news comes during a major earnings week for the stock market, with five of the “Magnificent Seven” tech titans slated to report. Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft are due Wednesday, while Apple’s results are set for Thursday.

“I do think some strength in the first quarter has been pre-traded,” said John Belton, growth equities portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime” on Monday afternoon. “But these are strong fundamentals, high expectations — hard to say how stocks respond on day of earnings against that setup. Still, looking longer term, I think these are pretty interesting.”

Wednesday will also be the conclusion of what could be current Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s final Federal Reserve meeting. Policymakers will roll out their rate decision that afternoon.

UPSGeneral MotorsCoca-ColaHilton WorldwideJetBlue and Corning are just some of the companies on the docket to report earnings Tuesday before the bell. Traders will also watch for April’s consumer confidence reading.

Stock market today: Live updates

Up next, what most Brits, Europeans and most of the world are thinking. Trump was sucker punched by Netanyahu to doing Israel’s dirty work in Iran. Is there any exit short of unthinkable nuclear war?

Germany's Merz says Iran is humiliating US as talks stall

27 April 2026

BERLIN, April 27 (Reuters) - German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on Monday Iran's leadership was humiliating the United States and getting U.S. officials to travel to Pakistan and then leave without results, in an unusually abrupt rebuke over the conflict.

Merz also said he not see what exit strategy the U.S. was pursuing in the Iran war - comments that underlined deep divisions between Washington and its European NATO allies, which had already been festering over Ukraine and other issues.

"The Iranians are obviously very skilled at negotiating, or rather, very skilful at not negotiating, letting the Americans travel to Islamabad and then leave again without any result," he said during a talk to students in the town of Marsberg.

"An entire nation is being humiliated by the Iranian leadership, especially by these so-called Revolutionary Guards. And so I hope that this ends as quickly as possible," he added at the venue in the state of North Rhine-Westphalia.

U.S. President Donald Trump has harshly criticized NATO allies for not sending their navies to help open the Strait of Hormuz during the conflict. The waterway has remained virtually shut, causing market turmoil and unprecedented disruption in energy supplies.

Merz reiterated that Germans and Europeans were not consulted before the U.S. and Israel started attacking Iran on February 28, and that he had conveyed his scepticism directly to Trump afterwards.

"If I had known that it would continue like this for five or six weeks and get progressively worse, I would have told him even more emphatically," Merz said, comparing it to previous U.S. wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Hopes of reviving peace efforts have receded since Trump scrapped a visit on Saturday by his envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Islamabad, the Pakistani capital.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi travelled to Russia on Monday after failed talks in Pakistan and Oman.

Merz said it was evident the Strait of Hormuz had been at least partially mined. "We have offered, also as Europeans, to send German minesweepers to clear the strait, which has obviously been mined in part," he said.

He said the conflict was costing Germany "a lot of money, a lot of taxpayers' money and a lot of economic strength."

Germany's Merz says Iran is humiliating US as talks stall

Israel’s President, Putting Off Decision on Pardon for Netanyahu, Will Push for Plea Deal

President Isaac Herzog of Israel has decided not to issue a pardon to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in his corruption case at this time, and instead will seek mediation, officials say.

April 26, 2026

For months, President Isaac Herzog of Israel has deliberated over the politically fraught question of whether to grant Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a pardon in his long-running corruption trial. It’s a highly contentious issue that has divided Israelis and drawn pressure from President Trump, who has aggressively intervened on Mr. Netanyahu’s behalf.

But Mr. Herzog does not plan to give Mr. Netanyahu a pardon anytime soon. Instead he will first try to initiate a mediation process to reach a plea deal, according to two senior Israeli officials with direct knowledge of Mr. Herzog’s thinking.

Mr. Herzog, the officials said, believes that there are many options beyond the binary pardon-or-no-pardon choice, and that the main role of Israel’s president is to foster unity. So he does not plan to say yes or no to Mr. Netanyahu’s request for a pardon at this stage, the officials said, preferring to try to resolve the issue through negotiations.

The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity because the issue is so politically sensitive.

More

Israel’s President, Putting Off Decision on Pardon for Netanyahu, Will Push for Plea Deal - The New York Times

In other news.

Renewable energy will boost national security and protect UK from sabotage, minister says

Widely dispersed wind farms and solar panels are harder to target than fossil fuel power stations, Michael Shanks says

Mon 27 Apr 2026 00.01 BST

Renewable energy will boost the UK’s national security and make the country more resilient against potential aggression or sabotage, the government’s energy minister has said.

Michael Shanks said widely dispersed wind farms and solar panels were much harder to target than large-scale fossil fuel power stations. They are also not vulnerable to supply shocks, such as the current oil crisis caused by the US-Israel war on Iran and the soaring gas prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

“We are dealing with a far more complex threat landscape than we’ve ever dealt with before. That’s true in the UK, it’s true across Europe,” Shanks said. “Building a decentralised power system with a whole series of assets is less of a risk of physical attack than large-scale power stations. Moving towards clean power is the best way to deliver our energy security in an increasingly uncertain world.”

The Conservatives and Reform UK have pushed for more drilling in the North Sea, rather than renewables. But those arguments received a heavy blow last week when the Guardian revealed that Fatih Birol, the executive director of the International Energy Agency and the world’s leading energy economist, advised against new exploration licences on a commercial basis and said potential new fields already within the licensing system, such as Rosebank and Jackdaw, would make little difference to the UK’s energy security or energy prices.

Military experts have also called for investment in wind farms and solar panels to bolster the UK’s national security against potential aggression or sabotage. Several former military chiefs have written to governments to urge them to pursue renewables. Retired Lt Gen Richard Nugee has previously said investing in renewable energy would make the UK more resilient. “To have a strong military deterrence, we need a resilient homeland. If we want to build a resilient country, low-carbon energy is a very important component,” he said.

More

Renewable energy will boost national security and protect UK from sabotage, minister says | Renewable energy | The Guardian

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

The $50 Movie Ticket Has Arrived

Theaters raising prices for most avid moviegoers despite complaints from Hollywood studios

April 27, 2026 5:30 am ET

One of the best selling points of a night out at the movies has long been how cheap it was for two hours-plus of entertainment. Not so much when it costs $50 a ticket.

That is how much Regal Cinemas recently charged for opening night seats in the best theaters to see December’s “Dune: Part Three.”

Eye-popping prices for the most in-demand movies on the best screens are becoming increasingly common as the cinema industry copies the audience-segmentation playbooks of airlines and hotels. Theaters are getting people who love movies and have discretionary income to pay substantially more.

Some 17% of film tickets sold last year were for premium-format theaters with bigger screens and better sound, compared with 13% in 2021. They cost an average of $18 nationally, according to research firm EntTelligence, and as much as $30 in big cities such as New York and Los Angeles.

Welcome to the new box office reality. Die-hards are paying top dollar while the rest of the country rarely goes to the theater and gets most of their entertainment from Netflix, YouTube and TikTok. Despite recent hits such as “Michael,” “Project Hail Mary” and “The Super Mario Galaxy Movie,” the annual number of tickets sold is down more than one-third from before the pandemic.

More

The $50 Movie Ticket Has Arrived - WSJ

UK retail sales tumble by most in over 40 years, CBI survey shows

27 April 2026

LONDON, April 27 (Reuters) - British retailers reported the sharpest year-on-year decline in sales in more than 40 years as the Iran war raised households' inflation fears, a survey from the Confederation of British Industry showed on Monday.

The CBI's monthly retail sales volume measure dropped to -68 in April from -52 in March, its lowest reading since the series started in 1983.

Expectations for May also darkened, dropping to -60 from -49, the gloomiest outlook since March 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

"With the economic impact of the Iran conflict becoming clearer, firms will be looking to government to recognise that easing cost of living pressures depends on tackling the cost of doing business," CBI economist Martin Sartorius said.

The CBI called on the government to stop new employee rights legislation from boosting employers' costs too much, reduce their property taxes and lower electricity bills.

"Some retailers reported that weak consumer confidence was weighing on spending in April," the employer organisation added.

The survey was based on response from 61 retail chains collected between March 26 and April 14.

UK retail sales tumble by most in over 40 years, CBI survey shows

Price hikes due to Iran war will be felt for at least eight months after conflict ends, minister warns

Mon, 27 April 2026 at 5:47 am BST

Price hikes as a result of the Iran war will be felt for at least eight months after the conflict ends, a government minister has warned.

The chief secretary to the prime minister, Darren Jones, warned people will see higher energy, food and flight prices “as a consequence of what Donald Trump has done in the Middle East” and said there will be a “long tail from this”.

The government has stepped up planning for how to offset potential shortages sparked by the conflict, following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping lane crucial for the supply of a fifth of global oil and gas, which sent oil prices soaring.

Meanwhile, peace talks planned for this weekend have stalled, with Iran insisting no direct talks would take place and Donald Trump calling off a trip for US negotiators to visit mediators in Pakistan.

The prime minister will chair another meeting of the Cabinet committee set up to deal with the fallout on Tuesday, after the so-called Middle East Response Committee met last week.

Meanwhile, a contingency planning group of ministers led by Mr Jones is meeting twice a week. They are focusing on live monitoring of stock levels and seeing what plans are in place to address supply chain disruption.

But Mr Jones told the BBC that consumers are more likely to see prices go up rather than gaps on supermarket shelves as a consequence of the conflict.

“Quite frankly, that's probably going to come online, not just in the next few weeks, but the next few months. There's going to be a long tail from this”, he said.

Pressed on how long people will see economic disruption, Mr Jones said: "I think our best guess is eight-plus months from the point of resolution that you'll see economic impacts coming through the system.

"So people will see higher energy prices, food prices and those types of issues, flight ticket prices, as a consequence of what Donald Trump has done in the Middle East.

“The government here in the UK, the work that I'm doing with the prime minister is looking at all of those things and saying, ‘what can we do within our power to help people to get through those difficult times?’”

More

Price hikes due to Iran war will be felt for at least eight months after conflict ends, minister warns - Yahoo News UK

Brits given supermarket price rise warning as horror 'Trumpflation' to hit 4 crucial foods

27 April 2026

Experts have warned the price of four fresh foods could be hardest hit by the war in the Middle East as energy costs skyrocket. The price of tomatoes, cucumbers, lettuce and asparagus are tipped to soar in the coming weeks.

This is reportedly because they are grown in heated greenhouses and have small supply chains. The Iran war has sent economic shockwaves across the world, with surging prices associated with the conflict dubbed 'Trumpinflation'. Sir Keir Starmer is set to chair a meeting of the emergency Cobra committee on Tuesday, as he warned the impact of the war could continue "for some time"

Oil prices hit a near three-week high on Monday as progress on US-Iran peace talks hit another set back after Donald Trump cancelled plans to send a negotiating team to Pakistan.

Karen Betts, the Food & Drink Federation (FDF)'s chief executive, told The Times "anything grown in a greenhouse" would be among the first products to see price rises.

More

Brits given supermarket price rise warning as horror 'Trumpflation' to hit 4 crucial foods

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

Fire officials offer safety tips after several lithium-ion battery fires in NH

April 27, 2026

Several fires have broken out across New Hampshire in the past week after lithium-ion battery malfunctions.

Lithium-ion battery fires typically burn hotter and longer than standard fires. Fire crews often place burning batteries into a barrel and pack them with a granular material to neutralize them.

The latest incident occurred at a Manchester apartment, where investigators said an electric scooter plugged into a wall caught fire while charging.

"You want to make sure you use the charger that's supplied with the device. You want to make sure you're present when you're charging. You don't want to charge overnight. We don't recommend charging them in your home," said Gary Ducharme, assistant fire marshal with the Manchester Fire Department.

A lithium-ion battery-powered portable jump starter was also blamed for a fire that destroyed a mobile home in Littleton on Friday.

The batteries come in many shapes and sizes and are found in e-bikes, electric tools and everyday electronics.

Fire officials say lithium-ion batteries should be treated like a burning candle, with constant supervision.

Anyone who smells an odor or sees smoke coming from a battery should take it as a sign that it may be failing.

"Unplug your device, get it outside, away from the home or business or whatever you're at, and then call, obviously call 911," Ducharme said.

Officials said problems can stem from improper storage, extreme temperature changes or improper charging equipment.

Lithium-ion batteries should never be thrown in the trash or placed with recyclables. Instead, contact a local transfer station for proper disposal.

Fire officials offer safety tips after several lithium-ion battery fires in NH

Months of bin disruption after battery fire to end

27 April 2026

Months of disruption caused by a fire at a waste transfer station likely started by an electric battery is set to come to an end.

The Veolia site in Worksop has been out of use since August, which has delayed bin collections and contributed to problems at tips, according to local authorities.

Veolia said it will fully reopen the site on Friday after months of rebuilding.

Darrell Pulk, the councillor responsible for waste collection on Bassetlaw District Council, said it will then take time for them to clear the backlog and get fully back to normal, but they will make it happen "as soon as possible".

More than 165 firefighters took two days to bring the blaze at the Veolia site off Claylands Avenue under control after being called just before 01:00 BST on 20 August.

The fire service deemed it an accident and Veolia said it had been "almost definitely" caused by a lithium-ion battery, because of the speed it spread and the heat of the flames.

More

Months of bin disruption after battery fire to end - BBC News

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

If socialists understood economics, they wouldn't be socialist.

Friedrich August von Hayek


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