Wednesday, 15 April 2026

Blocking Iran’s Oil, Day 2, Gulf Oil Day 47! China Warns. Talks Hopium.

Baltic Dry Index. 2354 +104     Brent Crude 95.57

Spot Gold  4825                           Spot Silver 79.87

US 2 Year Yield 3.76 -0.02

US Federal Debt. 39.119 trillion

US GDP 31.328 trillion.

“Our ships are moving in and out of the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. We have trade and energy agreements with Iran. We will respect and honour those agreements and expect others not to interfere in our affairs.”

China Defence Minister Dong Jun

Having backed himself into a corner of his own making, Trump and Team Trump are desperately spinning that new talks with Iran are at hand.

But even if such talks are real, why would Iran concede now? Iran holds almost all the cards. The global economy is maybe ten days away from starting to sieze up.

A seizure that will be globally blamed on Israel and Trump’s very rude America.

Having insulted most of the world, friend and foe alike, coveted Canada and Greenland, started a war with no end plan, blockaded Iran’s oil exports, further rapidly stressing the global economy, Trump and Team Trump are facing a looming global economic disaster.

Iran has merely to run out the clock. Trump has to fold or take the global consequences. But don’t expect mainstream media to report it truthfully.

Without Trump concessions and fast, bad things start happening in the markets once reality sets in.

Iran and US Look to Arrange More Peace Talks

After a failed first round, both sides appear headed back to the table.

April 14, 2026 at 10:57 PM GMT+1

According to the Trump administration, six merchant vessels complied with instructions from American forces to turn around and re-enter an Iranian port during the first day of its promised blockade, as traders watched for signs of ships testing the restrictions.

No vessels made it through the flotilla, the US said, which is made up of more than a dozen warships and 10,000 service personnel. The administration says it is enforcing the measures in the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea, lying in wait for Iranian vessels that try to sail out of the Persian Gulf. That means some ships can cross the Strait of Hormuz but still not break the blockade.

As the blockade continues, Iran and the US are said to be looking to arrange a second round of peace talks following a failed first round, with Tehran mulling a pause in shipments through the strait to help ease the path toward an agreement on time and place. The stated objective is to hold more discussions before a ceasefire in the US-Israel war with Iran expires next week.

With the possibility of further peace talks, stocks continued their climb on Tuesday, putting the S&P 500 Index within sight of a fresh record. —Jordan Parker Erb

Stocks Rise on Iran War Talks Push: Evening Briefing Americas - Bloomberg

Asia markets open higher as hopes for a U.S.-Iran deal rise and oil prices drop

Published Tue, Apr 14 2026 7:45 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Wednesday, tracking overnight gains in U.S. stocks, as oil prices fell amid rising hopes of a diplomatic solution to the Middle East conflict.

White House official told CNBC on Tuesday that a second round of negotiations between Washington and Tehran was under discussion. Nothing has been officially scheduled yet, the official said, who asked not to be named to discuss the administration’s internal plans.

“We’ve been called by the other side,” President Donald Trump said Monday. “They’d like to make a deal very badly, he added.

The West Texas Intermediate was down 0.34% at $90.97 per barrel as of 11:46 p.m. ET. Brent crude reversed early losses, rising 0.33% to $95.10 per barrel.

South Korea’s Kospi advanced 2.84% while the small-cap Kosdaq gained 2.61%. Shares of information technology services provider Samsung SDS rose 20% following news that private equity firm KKR will buy $820 million of its convertible bonds.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was 0.88% higher, while the Topix rose 0.60%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was flat.

Mainland China’s CSI 300 index inched 0.2% higher, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index added 0.80% higher. China’s finance ministry said it will issue 15.5 billion yuan-denominated treasury bonds in Hong Kong on April 22, according to Reuters.

India’s Nifty 50 was trading 1.61% higher following a holiday on Tuesday.

Futures tied to the broad market index and Nasdaq 100 futures were last trading marginally lower. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 17 points, or less than 0.1%.

Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 1.18%. The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.96%, while the blue-chip Dow advanced 317.74 points, or 0.66%.

The S&P 500 is nearing its all-time high of 7,002.28, reached on Jan. 28.

Asia markets today: Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, CSI 300

Trump’s Hormuz blockade puts China, India in crosshairs as U.S. pressure on Iran spills over

Published Tue, Apr 14 2026 11:51 PM EDT

The U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is not only squeezing Iran but also ratcheting up pressure on two of its most consequential relationships in Asia — India and China.

With roughly 98% of Iranian oil exports bound for China, and a summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping weeks away, Washington’s maximum pressure campaign on Iran risks destabilizing the fragile detente that the administration has carefully cultivated with Beijing.

India, with its complicated ties with the U.S., is increasingly finding U.S. policy at odds with its economic interests — most acutely in the energy shock now rippling through its economy.

Trump is scheduled to visit China in mid-May, and the administration signaled repeatedly in recent weeks that it wants the bilateral relationship stable enough to keep the high-stakes meeting on track.

“The Iran conflict, particularly the blockade, may upend this effort,” said Wendy Cutler, vice president at the Asia Society Policy Institute and a former U.S. trade negotiator.

Signs of friction are already emerging. Beijing, which had kept its stance on Trump’s blockade largely restrained, appeared to harden its tone on Tuesday. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun slammed the move as “dangerous and irresponsible,” and it will only “exacerbate tensions.”

More than a month into the war, Trump pulled a familiar playbook when he threatened to hit China with a 50% tariff if Beijing supplies weapons to Iran. Beijing pushed back, with Guo rejecting what he called “groundless smears and malicious linkage.”

“China will resolutely retaliate with countermeasures against any U.S. attempt to use weapons sales as a pretext for additional tariffs,” Guo said.

India, in the meantime, is facing a different type of pressure. Its heavy reliance on imported energy has left it increasingly exposed to the economic fallout from the conflict.

Earlier this month, India resumed purchases of Iranian oil and gas after a seven-year hiatus, having secured safe passage for its ships through the strait from Tehran, under a temporary U.S. waiver.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, after a nearly 40-minute call with Trump on Tuesday, said the two leaders had a “useful exchange of views” on the Middle East conflict and that India “supports de-escalation and restoration of peace at the earliest.”

Even if Washington carves out special provisions for India, they are unlikely to cover the full scale of New Delhi’s gas needs, said Arpit Chaturvedi, South Asia geopolitical risk advisor at consultancy Teneo.

As the U.S. blockade takes hold, India will likely halt its crude imports from Iran, said Chaturvedi, otherwise “we will see the relationship between New Delhi and Washington deteriorate.”

For now, “there is no incentive for India to risk its relationship with Washington any further, and bring [it] close to a point of no return,” Chaturvedi added. 

More

Iran war: Trump’s Hormuz blockade tests U.S. ties with China and India

Global economy to grind to a halt as chilling 10-day meltdown warning issued

14 April 2026

The global economy has been issued a 10-day warning as Iran's and US's chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz could bring global trade close to a halt.

Robert Pape, a professor at the University of Chicago, said he believes the economic consequences of the war are about to expand far beyond the price of oil-and he says the effects will be felt in days, Business Insider reported.

"Within 10 days, parts of the global economy will start running short of critical good. Not just higher prices - Shortages. Markets are not ready for this," he said.

Quoted by Business insider, he said: "Once inventories run down, this stops being about expensive inputs. It becomes about missing inputs. Factories don't slow because costs rise. They stop because materials don't arrive."

He also added that America's energy independence "won't spare the US economy from more pain to come, echoing other commentators who have said recently that the US isn't isolated from the disruptions", the same outlet reported.

Business Insider also spoke to Michael Cembalest of JPMorgan Private Bank who also said that the US's energy independence "won't shield the US from energy shocks," the Insider wrote.

Cembalest, quoted by the same publication, said: "When supply chains seize, the shock transmits via trade reductions," Pape added. "This is the real shift: prices no longer determine outcomes. Access does. By the time shortages show up in headlines, it's already too late. That's how these shocks work."

More

Global economy to grind to a halt as chilling 10-day meltdown warning issued

In other news, about those Gulf blockades. First there was one blockade then another came along. Approx. 16 minutes.

Strait of Hormuz and Dueling Blockades - The United States and Iran Block Access to the Persian Gulf

Strait of Hormuz and Dueling Blockades - The United States and Iran Block Access to the Persian Gulf

Don't interfere: China fires warning shot at US over Hormuz blockade

13 April 2026

A senior Chinese official has warned the United States against imposing a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and cautioned it not to interfere in China's bilateral relations with Iran.

Defence Minister Admiral Dong Jun's warning coincided with the start of the US naval blockade at 7:30 pm IST on Monday.

"We have trade and energy agreements with Iran; we expect others not to interfere in our affairs," said Jun, adding that the Strait of Hormuz remains open for China.

The waterway is extremely crucial for Beijing as it supplies nearly 40 per cent of its oil and at least 30 per cent of its LNG needs. Hence, China has been pushing for a ceasefire to secure the critical waterway in the Gulf.

China's Foreign Ministry has also said that "maintaining the waterway's safety, stability and unimpeded passage serves the common interests of the international community."

"The root cause of disruptions to navigation through the strait lies in the conflict involving Iran, and the way to resolve this issue is to achieve a ceasefire and end hostilities as soon as possible," SCMP quoted spokesperson Guo Jiakun as saying on Monday.

He also added that China is ready to play a positive and constructive role in ending the conflict in the Middle East.

More

Don't interfere: China fires warning shot at US over Hormuz blockade

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians.

Surcharges Are Suddenly Everywhere—And Grumpy Americans Are Paying Up

The add-ons were a feature during Covid and are once again sneaking their way onto bills. ‘I feel like I need to be my own detective.’

April 12, 2026 8:00 pm ET

An extra 3% for paying with a credit card. A 5% involuntary contribution to a restaurant’s employee wellness fund. $25 a month in addition to rent for trash collection.  

Consumers already weary of rising inflation are now contending with a new crop of costs that are hidden in plain sight. New fees or surcharges are popping up everywhere as companies search for ways to recoup their own rising costs while blaming outside pressures.

In recent weeks, package-delivery companies and airlines have announced new or higher fees, citing increasing fuel prices. Economists expect more to follow unless oil prices rapidly fall.

Surcharges increase pressure on consumers, whose spending drives the economy. On Friday, the University of Michigan’s survey of consumers reported its lowest-ever sentiment reading, beating out the 2008 recession and the pandemic, pointing to Americans’ increasing concerns over rising prices.

Yet there is a simple reason why companies like these types of fees, which often don’t show up until a customer is already checking out: They work. 

A JD Power study released in 2025 found that 34% of small businesses were adding credit-card surcharges. A fifth of restaurant operators, meanwhile, now add fees or surcharges to customer checks, according to a 2025 report from the National Restaurant Association, up from 16% in 2022.

“Consumers tend to pay less attention to surcharges than to base prices,” said Vicki Morwitz, a marketing professor at Columbia University.

Researchers call this phenomenon a “lock-in effect.” By the time a surcharge appears at the end of a transaction, consumers have already committed to the purchase and are far less likely to abandon it than if they had seen the full price from the start. That makes them mad. But it doesn’t cause them to change their behavior.  

---- How much a surcharge irritates consumers depends largely on where it appears in a transaction. Fees disclosed upfront and included in an initial purchase price are generally better-received than those that show up only at checkout, a practice known as drip pricing.

The Federal Trade Commission banned drip pricing in short-term lodging and live-event ticketing in 2025, citing research showing that consumers were manipulated by low initial prices even when the full cost was eventually disclosed.

Companies sometimes prefer surcharges to straight price increases because they shift blame to an external force. When airlines or shipping companies label a fee a “fuel surcharge” they are pointing at a circumstance outside of their control rather than appearing to pad their margins, said Rebecca Hamilton, a marketing professor at Georgetown University. 

---- Not everyone is convinced the current wave is as justified—or as temporary—as companies claim. 

Corey Andrews, 32, views the fees as a one-way street.

“If jet fuel goes back down, the baggage fees won’t,” he said, referring to nearly every major U.S. carrier’s recent decision to raise prices for checked baggage. Andrews, a laid-off market strategist in Denver, tries to avoid fees in his day-to-day life. He has at times not returned to restaurants that pass wellness service charges on to customers, and he avoids fee-heavy food-delivery apps. He waits until he has multiple items to buy from a retailer to avoid paying for shipping, and signs up for credit cards with travel-status points that make checked baggage free.

“I consider myself a savvy consumer,” Andrews said. “But when everything goes up, you run out of levers.” 

More

Surcharges Are Suddenly Everywhere—And Grumpy Americans Are Paying Up - WSJ

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section Updates as they get reported.

This new chip could slash data center energy waste

Date: April 10, 2026

Source: University of California - San Diego

Summary: A new chip design from UC San Diego could make data centers far more energy-efficient by rethinking how power is converted for GPUs. By combining vibrating piezoelectric components with a clever circuit layout, the system overcomes limitations of traditional designs. The prototype achieved impressive efficiency and delivered much more power than previous attempts. Though not ready for widespread use yet, it points to a promising future for high-performance computing.

As data centers consume more energy to support growing digital demands, engineers at the University of California San Diego have introduced a new chip design that could make powering graphics processing units (GPUs) more efficient. The innovation focuses on a key function in electronics: converting high voltages into the lower levels required by computing hardware. In laboratory testing, a prototype chip successfully performed this type of voltage conversion with high efficiency under conditions similar to those found in modern data centers.

The findings, published in Nature Communications, suggest the potential for smaller and more energy-efficient systems in advanced computing environments.

Rethinking DC-DC Converters for Modern Electronics

At the center of the new design is an improved version of a widely used component known as a DC-DC step-down converter. These converters are found in nearly all electronic devices and serve as a critical link between power sources and sensitive circuits. Their job is to take a high incoming voltage and reduce it to the exact level needed for safe operation.

In data centers, electricity is often distributed at 48 volts, while GPU processors typically require much lower voltages, usually between 1 and 5 volts. Efficiently managing this large voltage drop has become increasingly challenging as computing systems grow more powerful and compact.

Limits of Traditional Power Conversion Technology

More

This new chip could slash data center energy waste | ScienceDaily

Journal Reference:

Jae-Young Ko, Wen-Chin B. Liu, Patrick P. Mercier. A hybrid piezoelectric resonator-based DC-DC converterNature Communications, 2026; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-026-70494-0

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org) 

“Contrariwise,' continued Trump, 'if it was so, it might be; and if it were so, it would be; but as it isn't, it ain't. That's logic.”

With apologies to Lewis Carroll, Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland / Through the Looking-Glass

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