Saturday, 7 January 2023

Special Update 07/01/2023 Why Did I Take Up Stealing?

 Baltic Dry Index. 1130 -16   Brent Crude 78.57

Spot Gold 1866       U S 2 Year Yield 4.24 -0.21

Covid-19 cases 02/04/20 World 1,000,000

Deaths 53,100

Covid-19 cases 07/01/23 World 66,871,533

Deaths 6,709,809

Why did I take up stealing? To live better, to own things I couldn't afford, to acquire this good taste that you now enjoy and which I should be very reluctant to give up.

President Nixon, with apologies to Cary Grant. To Catch A Thief.

This weekend, something a little different.  Three very important independent Red YouTube videos. Enjoy, unless of course you’re one of the victims.

Sadly, on the Great Nixonian Error of Fiat Money, August 15, 1971, we’re all victims of the third YouTube video on “the biggest scam in history.” It’s just, unlike the scam of cryptocurrency, the fraud hasn’t been detected yet by most victims.

But first this hopium rally in the gambling houses.

Stocks stage first big rally of 2023 as hope grows that inflation will ease, Dow closes up 700 points

UPDATED FRI, JAN 6 2023 5:15 PM EST

U.S. stocks advanced Friday after the December jobs report and an economic activity survey showed signs that inflation may be cooling, signaling that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes are having their intended effect.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 700.53 points, or 2.13%, to close at 33,630.61. The S&P 500 ended up 86.98 points, or 2.28%, to 3,895.08. The Nasdaq Composite added 2.6%, which equates to 264.05, to end at 10,569.29.

It was the best day for the Dow and S&P 500 since Nov. 30 and the best for the Nasdaq since Dec. 29. Every Dow component ended Friday up.

Friday’s rally helped stocks end in positive territory for the week, which was the first of the year. The Dow and S&P 500 each closed the week up 1.5%. The Nasdaq advanced 1%.

The December nonfarm payrolls report showed that the U.S. economy added 223,000 jobs last month, slightly higher than the expected 200,000 jobs economists polled by the Dow Jones expected. In addition, wages grew slower than anticipated, increasing 0.3% on the month where economists expected 0.4%.

“All investors care about is that the data suggests inflation is moving towards the Fed’s target,” said Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors. “That’s all investors care about and average hourly earnings suggest inflation continues to slow. They are excited about that.”

Stocks rose again when the ISM’s nonmanufacturing purchasing managers’ index showed that the services industry contracted in December, a sign that the Fed’s rake hikes may be working to slow the economy.

Stocks stage first big rally of 2023 as hope grows that inflation will ease, Dow closes up 700 points (cnbc.com)

European markets clock best week since November as investors digest U.S. jobs report

UPDATED FRI, JAN 6 202311:55 AM EST

LONDON — European markets climbed on Friday as investors digested key euro zone inflation data and December’s U.S. jobs report.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed 1.1% higher provisionally, marking a 3.4% rise for the week — its best performance since mid-November.

All sectors were in the green. Basic resources led gains with a 2.5% rise, as chemicals and energy stocks both rose around 1.9%.

Inflation in the euro zone dropped for a second consecutive month in December. Headline inflation, which includes food and energy costs, came in at 9.2% year-on-year in December, according to preliminary data Friday from the European statistics agency, Eurostat.

It follows November’s headline inflation rate of 10.1%, which represented the first slight contraction in prices since June 2021.

Investors may be hoping that falling inflation will pave the way for the European Central Bank to temper its aggressive monetary policy tightening cycle and limit the continent’s economic pain. However, analysts do not expect a pivot from the ECB just yet.

Minutes from the last meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve, published earlier this week, showed policymakers stateside were seemingly unmoved from their hawkish position as they look to bring inflation back down toward target.

Global stocks received a boost during afternoon trade in Europe when Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report showed payroll growth decelerated in December. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.07% shortly after the open.

Payroll growth still exceeded expectations, however — reinforcing the strength of the labor market despite the Fed’s attempt to tame inflation and suggesting there is room for higher interest rates.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 223,000 for the month, above the Dow Jones estimate for 200,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, 0.2 percentage point below expectations.

Shares in Asia-Pacific ticked higher overnight, led by South Korea’s Kospi index, while U.S. stock futures pointed to a positive open on Wall Street as traders await the key jobs report.

Europe markets open to close: Euro zone inflation data, U.S. jobs report in focus (cnbc.com)

But not everyone is a buyer.

Corporate Insiders Aren’t Betting on a Market Rebound

Recent market declines have pushed stock prices lower, but executives and directors haven’t been scooping up their companies’ shares

Jan. 5, 2023 7:00 am ET

U.S. stocks have been on sale of late, but corporate insiders aren’t finding many bargains. 

Insider sentiment, measured by the trailing three-month average ratio of companies whose executives or directors have been buying stock versus selling, has dropped for six consecutive months, according to data from InsiderSentiment.com. That is the longest such decline in almost two years.

Insiders typically have greater insight on the business outlook, and the fact that they haven’t been scooping up their own stocks as the market tumbles suggests they believe that it might not have bottomed just yet. The S&P 500 has fallen 18% in the past year and last set a record a year ago.

Corporate insiders tend to time their transactions well, researchers say. They binged on shares of their own companies as markets sold off at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and were rewarded with a furious rally over the rest of that year. And they sold en masse in November 2021 when Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated the central bank would soon begin raising interest rates, and technology and other growth stocks hit a peak.

Last year, the ratio of insider buying to selling inched up in June when stocks hit their summer lows, but it has been trending downward ever since. If insiders remain on the sidelines, that could portend more trouble ahead for the stock market, strategists say.

“The thing that stands out right now is the lack of buying even though prices have come down so much,” said Nejat Seyhun, a finance professor at the University of Michigan who studies corporate-insider activity. “That’s kind of a warning.” 

More

Corporate Insiders Aren’t Betting on a Market Rebound - WSJ

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.     

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians,  inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

No inflation/stagflation or recession watch this weekend. This weekend more on that new scandal/fraud unfolding after the FTX collapse. Approx. 24 minutes of crypto hell. Red YouTube One.

FTX - Genesis & DCG Accused of $50 Billion Fraud Scam Thro CO-MINGLING & Internal Loans. Crypto

FTX - Genesis & DCG Accused of $50 Billion Fraud Scam Thro CO-MINGLING & Internal Loans. Crypto - YouTube

‘Contagion risk’: After the FTX collapse, top U.S. regulators warn banks about crypto

Published Fri, Jan 6 20238:30 AM EST

Federal bank regulators warned banks about investing in crypto this week, in what might be a prelude to more aggressive regulations to come.

The guidance comes after the recent “failures of several large crypto-asset companies,” according to a press release put out by the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

More

U.S. regulators warn banks about crypto 'contagion risk' post FTX (cnbc.com)

Below, why a “green energy” economy may not be possible, and if it is, it won’t be quick and it will be very inflationary, setting off a new long-term commodity Supercycle. Probably the largest seen so far.

The “New Energy Economy”: An Exercise in Magical Thinking

https://media4.manhattan-institute.org/sites/default/files/R-0319-MM.pdf

Mines, Minerals, and "Green" Energy: A Reality Check

https://www.manhattan-institute.org/mines-minerals-and-green-energy-reality-check

"An Environmental Disaster": An EV Battery Metals Crunch Is On The Horizon As The Industry Races To Recycle

by Tyler Durden Monday, Aug 02, 2021 - 08:40 PM

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/environmental-disaster-ev-battery-metals-crunch-horizon-industry-races-recycle

Covid-19 Corner

This section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

Today, the rise and rise of heart disease since 2019. Approx. 15 minutes. Hopefully this won’t get censored. Red YouTube Two.

Swindon data

Swindon data - YouTube

World Health Organization - Landscape of COVID-19 candidate vaccineshttps://www.who.int/publications/m/item/draft-landscape-of-covid-19-candidate-vaccines

NY Times Coronavirus Vaccine Trackerhttps://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html

Regulatory Focus COVID-19 vaccine trackerhttps://www.raps.org/news-and-articles/news-articles/2020/3/covid-19-vaccine-tracker

Some more useful Covid links.

Johns Hopkins Coronavirus resource centre

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

The Spectator Covid-19 data tracker (UK)

https://data.spectator.co.uk/city/national

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.

Simulations Show How Coal may be Converted to Valuable, Carbon-Neutral Materials

Jan 6 2023

In a warming world, coal can often seem the "bad guy." But we can do other things with coal besides burn it. A team at Ohio University used the Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center's Bridges-2 system to carry out a series of simulations showing how coal might eventually be converted to valuable - and carbon-neutral - materials like graphite and carbon nanotubes.

More

Simulations Show How Coal may be Converted to Valuable, Carbon-Neutral Materials (azom.com)

This weekend’s music diversion. Have another Heinichen. Approx. 9 minutes.

Johann David Heinichen, Concerto en ré majeur S.226 pour violon, flute, hautbois, théorbe et cordes

Johann David Heinichen, Concerto en ré majeur S.226 pour violon, flute, hautbois, théorbe et cordes - YouTube

This weekend’s chess update. Approx. 12 minutes.

He Performs Actual Magic

He Performs Actual Magic - YouTube

This weekend’s update on the gigantic bankster scam of inflation. Approx. 30 minutes. Red YouTube Three.

Inflation: The Biggest Scam In The History Of Mankind - Hidden Secrets of Money Ep 4

Inflation: The Biggest Scam In The History Of Mankind - Hidden Secrets of Money Ep 4 - YouTube

At each step of the transition from commodity to paper to credit, money became more unreal, and detached 
from the real goods and services that money can be exchanged for. Money transformed itself from a mechanism
for trade into an object in its own right. Modern technology—digital money—further stripped money of 
corporeality. Money exists as pure information, with no intrinsic value. It is nothing and everything. 
Making money, lending it, borrowing money, and making money from money is central to human existence and activity.

Satyajit Das. Extreme Money.

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