Tuesday, 28 October 2025

Stocks To Infinity And Beyond. What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

Baltic Dry Index. 1976 -15      Brent Crude 65.47

Spot Gold 3973            US 2 Year Yield 3.48 unch

US Federal Debt. 37.990 trillion

US GDP 31.537 trillion.

The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other peoples' money.

Margaret Thatcher

Due to technical issues, the next few updates will be briefer than usual.

Asia markets mostly slip as investors look to Trump-Takaichi meeting in Japan

Published Mon, Oct 27 2025 7:48 PM EDT Updated 59 Min Ago

Asia markets fell across the board on Tuesday as investors in the region look toward a meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and newly minted Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.

Trump met Japan’s Emperor Naruhito after arriving in Tokyo on Monday and will be the first foreign leader to hold talks with Takaichi since she took office.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 retreated from its record high on Tuesday, falling 0.15%, while the broad-based Topix was down 0.49%.

Other Asia-Pacific markets also fell, despite gains on Wall Street that sent all three major U.S. indexes  record closing highs.

South Korea’s Kospi led losses in the region, dipping 1.15%, while the small-cap Kosdaq fell 0.1%.

South Korea also reported its third-quarter GDP numbers, which beat expectations and marked its fastest pace of expansion in over a year.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dipped 0.43%.

Hong Kong Hang Seng index was close to the flatline, while mainland China’s CSI 300 bucked the trend and rose 0.28%.

China’s Sany Heavy Industry traded flat on its Hong Kong trading debut Tuesday after raising HKD$12.36 billion ($1.59 billion) in one of the city’s largest listings this year.

Overnight in the U.S., the S&P 500 climbed 1.23% to 6,875.16, its first close ever above the 6,800 level.

The Nasdaq Composite rallied 1.86% to 23,637.46, bolstered by a rise in Nvidia and other chip stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 337.47 points, or 0.71% to 47,544.59. 

Key market catalysts loom ahead this week, including Big Tech earnings, a Federal Reserve rate decision and a potential China trade deal.

Asia markets mostly slip as investors look to Trump-Takaichi meeting in Japan

Stock futures are little changed after major U.S. indexes notch record highs: Live updates

Stock futures were little changed Monday evening following a big rally to start the week.

Key market catalysts loom ahead this week, including Big Tech earnings, a Federal Reserve rate decision and a potential China trade deal.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 15 points. S&P futures were basically flat, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.1%.

Investors during Monday’s session cheered cooling tensions between the U.S. and China ahead of a highly-anticipated meeting between President Donald Trump and China President Xi Jinping on Thursday. Both nations have agreed on a framework for a potential trade deal, which addresses China rare earth minerals restrictions, soybean purchases and TikTok.

The S&P 500 in the previous session recorded its first-ever close above the 6,800 level, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average also closed at record highs. The Russell 2000 small-cap benchmark finished at a new all-time high as well.

Tuesday marks the start of the two-day Fed meeting, where the central bank is expected to cut rates for a second time this year. Traders are also hoping for a signal from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday that the central bank will cut once more at its final meeting of the year in December, partly driven by concerns about a weakening labor market. The Fed is dealing with an economic data blackout given the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.

Investors are also eyeing a slew of upcoming earnings reports due Wednesday and Thursday from several “Magnificent Seven” stocks, including AlphabetAmazonAppleMeta Platforms and Microsoft, which together account for roughly one quarter of the S&P 500′s total value. So far, the third-quarter earnings season is off to a strong start.

“Another batch of solid earnings, signs of easing inflation pressures, firming rate cut expectations, and confirmation of a President Trump-Xi meeting later this week underpinned the buying pressure,” LPL Financial chief technical strategist Adam Turnquist said in a note. “Fundamental strength will be in the spotlight this week, as 30 companies in the NDX report earnings.”

Nucor and Cadence Design Systems were among a handful of stocks moving in after-hours trading on the back of their earnings results. Amazon announced it will begin layoffs on Tuesday that will amount to the largest cuts to its workforce in the company’s history, CNBC reported, adding to the slew of job cuts seen in the tech industry this year.

Stock market today: Live updates

OpenAI says U.S. needs more power to stay ahead of China in AI: ‘Electrons are the new oil’

Published Mon, Oct 27 2025 4:38 PM EDT

OpenAI on Monday said the U.S. needs to substantially ramp up its investment in new energy capacity if it wants to stay ahead of China in the race to develop artificial intelligence.

The startup has been inking deals for ambitious infrastructure buildouts in recent months that will require massive amounts of power. The sprawling data centers will push the boundaries of what is possible in the U.S. during a time when the electric grid is already under strain.

“Electricity is not simply a utility,” OpenAI said in a blog post Tuesday. “It’s a strategic asset that is critical to building the AI infrastructure that will secure our leadership on the most consequential technology since electricity itself.”

OpenAI shared an 11-page submission with the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, in which it encouraged the U.S. to commit to building 100 gigawatts of new energy capacity each year.

A gigawatt is a measure of power, and 10 gigawatts is roughly equivalent to the annual power consumption of 8 million U.S. households, according to a CNBC analysis of data from the Energy Information Administration.

OpenAI said that China added 429 gigawatts of new power capacity last year, while the U.S. added 51 gigawatts. The company said this disparity is creating an “electron gap” that is putting the U.S. at risk of falling behind.

“Electrons are the new oil,” OpenAI said.

OpenAI says U.S. needs more power to stay ahead of China in AI

In other news.

Venezuela claims capture of CIA group, accuses U.S. of plotting ‘false flag’ attack

By Antonio María Delgado October 27, 2025 9:58 AM

The Nicolás Maduro regime said Sunday Venezuela has captured a group of alleged mercenaries with ties to the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency and accused Washington and Trinidad and Tobago of coordinating military exercises intended to provoke an armed confrontation in the Caribbean.

In a statement released by Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, the socialist government said the arrests revealed what it described as a “false-flag operation” planned from waters bordering Trinidad and Tobago, or from Trinidadian or Venezuelan territory, “to generate a full-scale military confrontation” against Venezuela.

The regime’s announcement comes amid the fast-growing buildup of U.S. forces in the Caribbean launched by President Donald Trump to combat drug cartels. The administration has signaled that it might soon authorize ground incursions into Venezuela to target the so-called Cartel de los Soles, a narco-trafficking organization the U.S. claims is led by Maduro himself.

The Venezuelan government did not release any evidence or details about the alleged arrests, such as the number of suspects, their nationalities, or when and where they were detained.

Caracas also linked the alleged plot to military drills it claims are being carried out this week by Trinidad and Tobago “under the coordination, financing, and control” of the U.S. Southern Command, calling them “a hostile provocation and a grave threat to the peace of the Caribbean.”

Accusations against Trinidad and Tobago

The statement accused Trinidad and Tobago’s Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar of having “renounced the sovereignty” of her country to act as a “military colony subordinated to U.S. hegemonic interests.

“By aligning herself with Washington’s militarist agenda, Persad-Bissessar not only seeks to attack Venezuela and break our historical bonds of brotherhood, but also violates the United Nations Charter, the CELAC declaration of Latin America and the Caribbean as a Zone of Peace, and the principles of CARICOM,” the statement read.

The Maduro government said the alleged military maneuvers are part of an effort to “turn the Caribbean into a space for lethal violence and U.S. imperial domination.”

The Miami Herald could not independently confirm the arrest of any group or the existence of coordinated operations involving the CIA or the Doral-based U.S. Southern Command, which oversees military operations in Latin America.

In its statement, the Caracas regime compared the supposed plan to historical events such as the USS Maine explosion in Cuba in 1898 — one of the causes of the Spanish-American war — and the Gulf of Tonkin incident near Vietnam in 1964, both of which preceded major U.S. military interventions. The government said the alleged provocation follows the same pattern and accused Washington of seeking “a pretext for war” in the region.

More

Venezuela claims capture of CIA-linked mercenaries | Miami Herald

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

UK rate cut hangs in the balance after latest inflation data

Published Wed, Oct 22 2025 2:05 AM EDT

Another interest rate cut from the Bank of England this year looks uncertain after the latest U.K. inflation data came in cooler expected.

The annual inflation rate was unchanged in September, coming in at 3.8% for the third month in a row.

The data, released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Wednesday, shows that the financial squeeze on consumers and businesses remains high, but there are hopes this could be the peak.

The Bank of England forecast earlier this year that the consumer price index would top out at 4% — double the central bank’s target — in September, before gradually cooling into next year. Economists polled by Reuters had also expected the rate to rise to 4% in the twelve months to September.

September’s core inflation, which excludes more volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, rose by an annual 3.5% in the year to September, down from 3.6% in August.

---- November rate cut unlikely?

The data is the last inflation reading before the BOE’s next meeting on Nov. 6.

Some economists believe the central bank could trim its benchmark interest rate from the current level of 4% given lower-than-expected inflation data and lackluster growth figures. Others think the central bank could maintain its cautious stance, given that inflation remains sticky and the economic picture is mixed.

The latest GDP data showed the British economy expanded by just 0.1% month-on-month in August.

George Brown, senior economist at Schroders, noted Wednesday that the latest inflation data could lead investors to reconsider expectations for a trim next month.

More

UK rate cut hangs in the balance after latest inflation data

Inflation stays hot as UK’s economic woes deepen

Wednesday 22 October 2025 7:19 am

Inflation in the year to September remained sticky, new figures have shown, in further evidence that the UK’s economic woes have deepened and hit Brits harder than those in other countries. 

September was the third consecutive month that inflation hit 3.8 per cent, nearly double the Bank of England’s two per cent target. It came below economists’ expectations.

Inflation has now also been on an upward trend over the last year when inflation was 2.3 per cent in the month of Rachel Reeves’ first Budget.

Core CPI inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, was 3.5 per cent, slightly below last month’s figure, while food price inflation was 4.5 per cent over the year. 

“A variety of price movements meant inflation was unchanged overall in September,” said ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner.

“The largest upward drivers came from petrol prices and airfares, where the fall in prices eased in comparison to last year.”

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said: “I am not satisfied with these numbers. For too long, our economy has felt stuck, with people feeling like they are putting in more and getting less out.

“That needs to change. All of us in government are responsible for supporting the Bank of England in bringing inflation down.

“I am determined to ensure we support people struggling with higher bills and the cost of living challenges, deliver economic growth and build an economy that works for, and rewards, working people.”

The ONS latest publication provided further confirmation that the UK is suffering from higher price growth than similar economies across the world. 

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the OECD are two major global forecasters to predict that the UK will suffer from higher inflation than any G7 country over the next two years. 

Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride said Reeves was “too weak to sort this mess out”

---- Sticky inflation rattles policymakers

Bleak forecasts, plus worrying trends on food prices and energy costs across Britain, have sharpened minds at both the Bank of England and the Treasury. 

George Brown, senior economist at Schroders, said high inflation should be a “wake-up call for markets” who are still pricing in two more interest rate cuts next year.

“High inflation is at risk of becoming entrenched in the UK, due to a combination of disappointing productivity and sticky wage growth,” Brown said.

“We expect the Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold until the end of 2026 and we wouldn’t rule out its next rate move being upward.”

Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members have clashed on whether they believe the UK was set to suffer from higher inflation for the foreseeable future. 

Both chief economist Huw Pill and external member Catherine Mann have indicated they will opt for interest rates to be kept at four per cent at the next meeting in November given fears that price growth expectations remained elevated. 

In a speech last week, Pill urged the Bank to change its guidance language to to cutting rates at a more “cautious pace”. 

More

Inflation stays hot as UK’s economic woes deepen

Covid-19 Corner

This section will continue only occasionally when something of interest occurs.

 

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported.

Amazon goes nuclear with new modular reactor plant

By David Szondy  October 20, 2025

In the shadow of a service outage that affected millions of users, outside of Richland, Washington, internet commerce giant Amazon is building the first of a series of modular nuclear power stations to protect its data services from outages.

We tend to think of Amazon as a place to order ramen bowls or concrete vibrators, but it's also the dominant global provider of internet data services through its Amazon Web Services (AWS), which as of 2025 has an annual revenue of over US$123 billion. It's for this reason that the recent outage that impacted over 1,000 companies is such a big deal and why Amazon and other tech companies are investing in restarting or constructing nuclear power plants to provide their data centers with a round-the-clock, reliable source of power with zero emissions.

However, there's more to the Amazon announcement than the company going nuclear or the fact data centers have quickly become such major assets that they need their own bespoke power source. It's also another example of major companies backing the rapid deployment of Generation IV reactor technology to meet the surging energy demands expected in the coming decades.

For the new power plant, Amazon is using X-Energy's Xe-100 Small Modular Reactor (SMR), which will be installed near Energy Northwest's existing Columbia Generating Station in Washington State.

The Xe-100 is a High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) that is fueled by TRISO-X , a proprietary Tristructural-Isotropic particle fuel made up of grains of uranium wrapped in layers of carbon and ceramics and then bundled into spherical pebbles. These are fed through a hopper into the reactor vessel to produce a self-regulating fission reaction and are cooled by helium gas that carries off the heat to a heat exchanger to generate steam for electrical generators. As the fuel is used up, it is collected at the bottom of the vessel.

The small Xe-100 reactors only produce 80 MWe of power. That seems small, but these SMRs are much smaller and simpler than conventional reactors, which allows them to be mass produced in factories and then trucked to the site. In addition, this design makes for smaller land footprints and eliminates the need for the extremely expensive civil engineering works required for earlier reactor designs.

Another big advantage is that the SMR plants can be easily scaled up and down to meet requirements by adding or removing reactor modules. Decommissioning and disposal is also easier because the modules, once powered down and defueled, can be removed in whole for dismantling.

According to Amazon, the Cascade Advanced Energy Facility will begin construction by the end of the decade and will be operational in the 2030s. The facility will consist of four reactors producing a total of 320 MWe and has the potential to expand to 12 reactors pumping out 960 MWe. If the initiative is successful, Amazon plans to introduce an overall 5 GW of nuclear power to the US by 2039 – enough to power 3.8 million homes.

"This project isn't just about new technology; it's about creating a reliable source of carbon-free energy that will support our growing digital world," said Kara Hurst, Amazon’s chief sustainability officer. "I'm excited about the potential of SMRs and the positive impact they will have on both the environment and local communities."

Source: Amazon

Amazon Goes Nuclear: SMRs Power AWS Data Centers Reliably

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

Let us never forget this fundamental truth: the State has no source of money other than money which people earn themselves. If the State wishes to spend more it can do so only by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more. It is no good thinking that someone else will pay - that 'someone else' is you. There is no such thing as public money; there is only taxpayers' money.

Margaret Thatcher


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