Wednesday 29 May 2024

Stocks, Asia Slips. More US AI Mania. Smart Money Exiting?

Baltic Dry Index. 1784 -13     Brent Crude  84.41

Spot Gold 2358           US 2 Year Yield 4.94 +0.01

In the run up to the UK General Election on July 4, the LIR will play its part.

A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen.

Winston Churchill.

In the first US trading day of the week in the US stock gambling casinos, the Nvidia/AI mania/bubble drove the NASDAQ to new highs, but in the wider S&P 500 casino, 350 of the 500 fell while only 150 rose.  The Dow actually fell over 200 points.

Is the smart money, aka insiders, now exiting the casinos for the summer?


Asia markets mostly lower after investors assess Australia inflation data

UPDATED WED, MAY 29 2024 10:01 PM EDT

Asia-Pacific markets traded mostly lower on Wednesday as investors assessed Australia’s inflation numbers for April and awaited data from Japan.

Australia’s weighted consumer price index rose 3.6% year-on-year in April, greater than the 3.4% gain forecast in a Reuters poll. The reading was also higher than the 3.5% reported for March.

In a preview note last week, analysts from ING said: “One more bad inflation report from Australia, and we will consider removing the final cut we have pencilled in by the [Reserve Bank of Australia] in the fourth quarter of this year. Two more, and we may consider adding a rate hike.”

The Australian S&P/ASX 200 fell nearly 1% after the CPI announcement.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.41%, while the broad-based Topix dropped 0.48%. Both indexes reversed course from the open to trade lower.

South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.9% and the small-cap Kosdaq was 0.75% lower.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 1.35%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 rose 0.35%.

Overnight in the U.S., the Nasdaq Composite hit another record high to surpass 17,000, powered by a 7% gain in tech darling Nvidia.

The S&P 500 inched up just 0.02%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.55%.

While Nvidia’s rally disguised troubles in the broader market, the blue-chip Dow was weighed down by a drop in Merck and other health-care stocks.

Meanwhile, more than 350 stocks in the broad S&P 500 were negative in the session. The index’s health-care, industrials and financials sectors all finished more than 1% in the red.

Asia markets live markets: Nvidia, Nasdaq record, Australia CPI (cnbc.com)


Stock futures are little changed after the Nasdaq Composite posts a record close: Live updates

UPDATED WED, MAY 29 20247:20 PM EDT

Stock futures were little changed Tuesday night after the Nasdaq Composite rose to a fresh record.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched lower by 54 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures ticked down 0.07%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline.

American Airlines slid more than 6% in after-hours trading after slashing its sales outlook for the second quarter. JetBlue and Southwest Airlines slid about 2% each in sympathy. Retail brokerage Robinhood added about 3% after announcing a $1 billion share repurchase program.

On Tuesday, the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.6% to a record high and closed above the 17,000 threshold for the first time, fueled by a nearly 7% jump in Nvidia. The tech-heavy index was an outlier, however, as the S&P 500 edged higher by just 0.02%, and the 30-stock Dow slid nearly 0.6%, dragged lower by a decline in Merck shares.

Still, the major averages are on track to close the month with impressive gains, partly propped up by enthusiasm about a better-than-expected quarterly earnings season. The S&P 500 is up 5.4% this month, while the Dow has advanced 2.7%. The Nasdaq is outperforming by a wide margin, up 8.7% in May.

The gains arrive even as traders have lowered their expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Indeed, fed funds futures trading data suggests a nearly 54% chance that rates will hold steady in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

More

Stock market today: Live updates (cnbc.com)

Dow Theory.

Record highs in the stock market have yet to be confirmed by a more than 100-year-old indicator: Dow Theory.

While the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trading at new all-time highs over the past two weeks, the Dow Jones Transportation Average is still trading 9% below it's record closing high. When both are moving higher in lockstep, they provide a bullish signal for stocks, according to the theory.

The current divergence between the two major stock market averages represents a tactical risk for US equities in 2024, according to a recent note from Bank of America.

Record Highs in Stock Market Are Defying Dow Theory Indicator (businessinsider.com)


Bond yields climb, stocks under pressure as Fed cut doubts resurface

By Kevin Buckland 

TOKYO, May 29 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields pushed to a near four-week peak on Wednesday, lifting their Asia-Pacific counterparts and the dollar while pressuring equities, as data sowed new doubts about the timing and extent of Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Crude oil rose for a fourth day to reach a four-week high amid speculation OPEC+ will maintain production cuts at a meeting this Sunday.

Benchmark U.S. 10-year yields ticked as high as 4.556% in Tokyo trading hours, a level not seen since May 3, following poorly received two- and five-year Treasury auctions overnight.

Equivalent Japanese yields hit the highest since December 2011 at 1.065%, while Australian yields jumped to a more than three-week top at 4.42%.

Investors were also caught off-guard by a sharp improvement in a U.S. consumer confidence measure for May. Economists had predicted a fourth straight month of weaker confidence, particularly after a tepid reading for the University of Michigan's analogous survey result from Friday.

That has kept the market guessing about the strength of the economy and sticky inflationary pressures, which in turn cloud the outlook for the Fed's policy path.

Traders currently put the odds of at least a quarter-point interest rate cut by September at 44% following the data, from a coin toss a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

More

Bond yields climb, stocks under pressure as Fed cut doubts resurface | Reuters

Finally, more on why you should never buy an EV.

 

Thieves target EV charging cables at rapid charging sites in latest wave of car-related crime

May 25, 2024

The electric vehicle charging industry is the latest target car crime with cable thefts said to be on the rise.

Experts are warning that thieves are after the copper in cables at rapid and ultra-rapid charger sites, in a spate of criminality dating back to November.

Autocar says Instavolt - Britain's largest operator of rapid chargers, running Osprey Charging and BP Pulse - have had 174 cables stolen from 27 sites since.

Nottinghamshire residents first flagged up the issue of missing charging cables at The Malting Retail Park, Northgate and at Waitrose, Ossington Way in November - around seven months after four Osprey high-powered EV chargers were first installed in Northgate.

This type of charger has the cable attached to the charge point, which the EV owner plugs into their car in order to charge it. 

At the time ZapMap, showed that EV charging points at Albert Street and Appletongate – both owned by BP Pulse – were also offline.

An Osprey spokesman confirmed that Osprey was 'aware of coordinated vandalism targeting public charging sites in the Leeds, Newark, Rotherham and Derby areas' and said it was working with the police and other operators to share CCTV.

Instavolt has over 1,500 live chargers across the UK, which puts the 174-affected sites as reported by Autocar, just below 12 (11.6) per cent of the network. 

Each cable cut costs charging providers between £700 and £1,000 – an expensive problem, but Instavolt is most worried about the way it could jolt public confidence.

---- It appears organised gangs of thieves are cutting charging cables to strip and sell the copper wiring inside to illegal scrap dealers, or on places like Facebook Marketplace and eBay.

In March copper hit an 11-month high with prices rising to $9,164.50 a ton on the London Metal Exchange. 

The International Copper Study Group predicts global copper demand will rise by 4.6 per cent in 2024, due demand from renewable energy systems and electric vehicle fleet expansion combining with global supply constraints.

But, while the price of copper might be tempting, the cable wiring isn't worth as much as vandals would imagine.

Lane told Autocar 'that the cable isn't a solid copper bar, it's just lengths of thin wire that takes ages to extract. It's a misconception that the copper brings real financial gain.'

A recent CBN News report looked into charging cable thefts in Canada and found that EV chargers only contain about $5 worth of copper metal – that's about £3.93.

For the 174 reported Instavolt thefts vandals have netted less than £700, which considering the effort it takes to cut and steal the cables – Lane says vandals will keep coming back to the same site to strike again – is not much of a payoff.

More

Thieves target EV charging cables at rapid charging sites in latest wave of car-related crime (msn.com)

 

Thieves are Targeting Tesla Charging Stations for Copper in California, Causing Approximately $1 Billion in Losses

May 21, 2024

In the technological heartland of California’s Bay Area, a troubling trend has emerged: thieves targeting Tesla and other electric vehicle (EV) charging stations, aiming to harvest the copper from within the cables. This recent rash of thefts underscores a persistent and growing challenge not just for car owners but for the broader security of the nation’s critical infrastructure.

 

In what appeared to be a meticulously timed operation, cables were severed from nine Tesla supercharging stations, causing significant stress among EV drivers and potentially racking up repair costs into the tens of thousands. According to a report by NBC Bay Area, these incidents are part of a larger issue plaguing the United States, where copper theft is recognized by the Department of Energy as causing approximately $1 billion in annual losses.

More

Thieves are Targeting Tesla Charging Stations for Copper in California, Causing Approximately $1 Billion in Losses (msn.com)

 

Tesla Settles Fatal Crash Suit as Another Jury Trial Loomed

May 28, 2024

(Bloomberg) -- Tesla Inc. has reached a deal to resolve a lawsuit over the death of a Model S passenger in a fiery 2016 crash, marking the second time in two months the electric-vehicle maker has avoided a jury trial in California over a fatal wreck.

Friday’s settlement comes after the automaker in April struck a confidential accord in a high-profile suit over a crash involving Autopilot on the eve of a trial. In that case an Apple Inc. engineer was killed on the way to work in 2018 when his Model X veered off the highway and slammed into a roadside barrier at about 71 miles (114 kilometers) per hour.

While Tesla has drawn a lot of attention from regulatory investigations and litigation over alleged defects with its assisted-driving software, the crash in downtown Indianapolis almost eight years ago involved different issues.

The plaintiffs claimed that driver Casey Speckman lost control of the 2015 Model S when the car suddenly accelerated on its own, hitting a tree and bursting into flames. Speckman’s boss, Kevin McCarthy, who was in the passenger seat, allegedly survived the impact but died in the blaze ignited by a battery explosion, according to his family’s complaint in state court in San Jose. The suit blamed the “propensity of the vehicle to catch fire, as well as the defective design of the door latch system entrapping him in the vehicle.”

Tesla maintains there was nothing wrong with the car. It said the data event recorder showed that Speckman kept her foot on the accelerator pedal before the crash and never attempted to brake. It also said police reports revealed that Speckman was found to be driving with a blood-alcohol level more than twice the legal limit.

The company lost a bid for dismissal of the Speckman family’s suit in February 2023 when a judge concluded that Tesla had failed to show that the plaintiffs didn’t have evidence to refute the company’s version of events.

More.

Tesla Settles Fatal Crash Suit as Another Jury Trial Loomed (msn.com)

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

UK retail sales bounce back in May, price growth slows: CBI

May 28, 2024

LONDON (Reuters) - British retail sales bounced back in May after a slump in April that could have been caused by the timing of Easter and bad weather, while prices charged by shops pointed to the weakest inflation in nearly four years, according to industry data.

The Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) monthly retail sales balance, a gauge of sales versus a year ago, recovered to +8 this month after tumbling to -44 in April.

More retailers felt sales were normal for the time of year than at any other time in the past eight months, the CBI said.

British consumers are recovering some of the spending power lost to the surge in inflation although official data published last week showed retail sales in April slid by far more than expected as heavy rain kept shoppers away.

The CBI's measure of selling price inflation was its slowest since August 2020 and was below its long-run average with expectations of only a slight pick-up in June.

Earlier on Tuesday, the British Retail Consortium said its measure of shop prices showed the weakest increase in two-and-a-half years this month, welcome news for the Bank of England as it considers when to cut interest rates.

Alpesh Paleja, CBI lead economist, said the data added to signs of an improvement for retailers in the near term

"Falling inflation, and continuing real wage growth will contribute to a healthier consumer outlook, in turn supporting the retail sector further," he said.

However, a drop in retailers' investment intentions underscored the fragile mood in the sector.

UK retail sales bounce back in May, price growth slows: CBI (msn.com)

Covid-19 Corner

 

This section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

New frontiers in medicine: COVID-19 lessons push for multidisciplinary collaboration

May 28, 2024

In a recent review published in the journal Frontiers in Science, researchers underline the need for multidisciplinary collaboration in medicine, particularly in transmissible illnesses, precision/personalized medicine, systems medicine, and data science, based on the lessons learned from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

---- About the review

In the present review, researchers propose an interdisciplinary approach to medicine incorporating communicable illnesses, systems medicine, personalized medicine, data science, and public health science while using COVID-19 pandemic findings for health policy implementation.

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered an increase in medical and health sciences publications overall but with variations between fields. (A) Actual and expected publications across all medical and health sciences, and proportion of all articles that were COVID-19–related, by year between 2016 and 2023. Overall, there was an increase of approximately 9% in the number of articles published during the “COVID-19 years,” during the period 2020–2022, as compared with the volume that would have been expected based on 2009–2019 trends. Approximately 7% of all articles published in 2020–2022 concerned or included reference to SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19. After the increase in medical and health sciences publications between 2020 and 2022, 2023 saw a decrease in publication volume. (B) Actual and expected publications in selected research fields by year between 2016 and 2023. (C) Difference between actual and expected publication numbers between 2020 and 2023 in selected research fields (expressed as a percentage of expected publications) and the proportion of all actual articles that were COVID-19-related. The 2008 Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification (ANZSRC) was applied to identify publications in the field of “Medical and Health Sciences” within Dimensions (data until 1 January 2024), using machine learning to sort publications into Fields of Research. Expected publication numbers for 2020–2022 were calculated based on an exponential trendline fitted on the actual 2009–2019 annual publication numbers in relevant fields. An estimated total publication volume for 2023 was used to correct for the indexation lag of publications.

More

New frontiers in medicine: COVID-19 lessons push for multidisciplinary collaboration (msn.com)

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, among other things, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported.

The Global Graphene Market Report 2024-2035 - Analysis of Graphene Production Methods, Regulations and Pricing Analysis

Mon, 27 May 2024 at 9:36 am BST

Dublin, May 27, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "Global Market for Graphene 2024-2035" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

The Global Market for Graphene 2024-2035 is a comprehensive report that explores the evolving landscape of graphene materials, technologies, and applications. This in-depth analysis covers key sectors such as batteries, supercapacitors, polymer additives, sensors, conductive inks, transparent conductive films, transistors, filtration membranes, and more, providing insights into market trends, growth drivers, competitive landscapes, and future outlooks.

The report offers a detailed overview of graphene production methods, types of graphene materials, and their unique properties, highlighting the importance of this revolutionary nanomaterial in various industries. It covers the commercialization of graphene, including recent market developments, funding and investments, and profiles of publicly listed graphene companies. With market revenue and demand projections spanning from 2024 to 2035, the report segments the global graphene market by material type, end-user market, and region.

Key topics covered include:

·         Types of graphene materials, including CVD graphene, graphene nanoplatelets, graphene oxide, and graphene quantum dots

·         Graphene production methods, regulations, and pricing analysis

·         Patent landscape and publication trends

·         Comprehensive analysis of graphene applications in energy storage, composites, electronics, sensors, and more

·         Market drivers, challenges, and opportunities for each application segment

·         Regional market insights for Asia-Pacific, North America, and Europe

More

The Global Graphene Market Report 2024-2035 - Analysis of Graphene Production Methods, Regulations and Pricing Analysis (yahoo.com)

Next, our latest new section, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.    

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.

George Orwell.

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