Tuesday 27 October 2020

Rising Fear Sinks Stocks.

 Baltic Dry Index. 1402 -13  Brent Crude 40.83

Spot Gold 1912

Coronavirus Cases 27/10/20 World 43,597,570

Deaths 1,161,029

The market, like the Lord, helps those who help themselves. But, unlike the Lord, the market does not forgive those who know not what they do.

Warren Buffett.

In the stock casinos, rising fear. Fear that the soaring coronavirus infections will lead to at best a double dip G-7 recession. A new wave of unemployment and a 2021 depression at worst.

Fear that a Biden-Harris sweep in the US election will lead to a Democrat-Socialist controlled House and Senate.

In the real economy, Halloween frights come early.

Fear that a China v USA renewed trade war clash is imminent.

Concern that a new front in the trade wars is opening up in Europe.

Below, the casinos v the new reality.

Asian shares hit by surging coronavirus cases, U.S. stimulus woes

October 26, 2020

(Reuters) - Asian stocks markets fell on Tuesday as soaring global coronavirus cases and slow progress on a U.S. stimulus deal hammered investor sentiment and took a toll on Wall Street.

MSCI’s gauge of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan was down 0.43%, with Australia’s ASX 200 off 1.1% to an almost three-week low.

China’s CSI300 Index edged down 0.1%, as investors looked out for any news from a meeting of China’s Communist Party leaders to set the next five-year plan.

Data out earlier in the day also showed China’s industrial profits grew at a slower pace in September, suggesting a recovery in the manufacturing sector is yet to be bedded-in.

In Japan, the benchmark Nikkei 225 dropped 0.28% in morning trade while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was down 1.02%.

U.S. indices fell sharply overnight to open the week’s trading, as anxiety over new record daily COVID-19 cases in the United States, Russia and France weighed on investor appetite.

Adding to the gloom, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow told reporters on Monday that talks over a coronavirus relief package have slowed, though House Speaker Nancy Pelosi remained hopeful an agreement can be reached before the Nov. 3 elections.

Many Senate Republicans have resisted legislation of a scope that Pelosi and Mnuchin have discussed, totaling around $2 trillion.

“The challenge for markets is that in most cases they are already pricing a very strong economic bounce. The new outbreaks, and the potential for a double-dip recession, directly contradict this assumption,” Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney.

---- The sharp stock market decline set a bleak tone ahead of a busy third-quarter earnings season, with large U.S. tech firms like Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Google-parent Alphabet Inc set to report. Microsoft Corp reports its results Tuesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.29% overnight, the S&P 500 lost 1.86%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.64%.

More

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-global-markets/asian-shares-hit-by-surging-coronavirus-cases-u-s-stimulus-woes-idUKKBN27B2RK?il=0

S&P 500 Tumbles Most in a Month on Virus Spread: Markets Wrap

By Claire Ballentine and Vildana Hajric

Updated on October 26, 2020, 8:03 PM GMT

Tech leads European shares lower; crude oil and copper decline

·         Turkey’s lira weakens through 8 per dollar for the first time

The S&P 500 Index posted its biggest drop in a month on concern rising coronavirus cases will hurt the global economy and as prospects dimmed for fiscal aid from Washington before the presidential election.

More

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-25/dollar-rises-asia-stocks-set-for-muted-open-markets-wrap

China to impose sanctions on U.S. firms over Taiwan arms sales

October 26, 20207:33 AM

BEIJING (Reuters) - China will impose sanctions on Lockheed Martin LMT.N, Boeing Defense BA.N, Raytheon RTX.N and other U.S. companies it says are involved in Washington's arms sales to Taiwan, a foreign ministry spokesman said on Monday.

Zhao Lijian told journalists that China was acting to protect its national interest, but did not spell out what form the sanctions would take.

The U.S. State Department has approved the potential sale of three weapons systems to Taiwan, including sensors, missiles and artillery that could have a total value of $1.8 billion, the Pentagon said last week.

Beijing considers Taiwan a wayward province it has vowed to bring under control, by force if necessary.

“To safeguard our national interests, China decided to take necessary measures and levy sanctions on U.S. companies such as Lockheed Martin, Boeing Defence, and Raytheon, and those individuals and companies who behaved badly in the process of the arms sales,” Zhao said.

China has imposed sanctions on Lockheed Martin and other U.S. companies in the past for selling weapons to Taiwan, though it is unclear what form the penalties have taken.

The United States, like most countries, has no official diplomatic ties with Taiwan, but Washington is bound by law to provide the island with the means to defend itself.

---- A spokesman for Boeing said in an emailed statement that the company’s partnership with China’s aviation community had long-term benefits and that Boeing remained committed to it.

Lockheed Martin said in an emailed statement that all of its international military sales are strictly regulated by the U.S. government, and that its presence in China is limited.

Raytheon did not immediately respond to emailed requests for comment.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-taiwan/china-to-impose-sanctions-on-u-s-firms-over-taiwan-arms-sales-idUSKBN27B0P2?il=0

China gives six U.S. media outlets a week to report on operations

October 26, 2020

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