Thursday 15 October 2020

Coming Soon, Central Bank Digital Currency. Get Gold.

Baltic Dry Index. 1637 -95  Brent Crude 43.35

Spot Gold 1900

Coronavirus Cases 15/10/20 World 38,578,643

Deaths 1,094,746

The Gregorian Calendar Starts October 15, 1582.

---- Every year that is exactly divisible by four is a leap year, except for years that are exactly divisible by 100, but these centurial years are leap years if they are exactly divisible by 400. For example, the years 1700, 1800, and 1900 are not leap years, but the years 1600 and 2000 are.

The calendar was a revision of the Julian calendar and had two aspects.[Note 1] It shortened the average (calendar) year by 0.0075 days to stop the drift of the calendar with respect to the equinoxes.[3] To deal with the drift since the Julian calendar was fixed, the date was advanced 10 days; Thursday 4 October 1582 was followed by Friday 15 October 1582.

More.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gregorian_calendar

In the stock casinos this morning, a pause. But for how long? 

Most of yesterday’s real-world news was bad. In America a scandal broke in the NY Post over candidate Biden’s ties to his son’s suspicious Ukrainian business dealings. It was promptly censored on Facebook and Twitter. Hmm, why?

The on again, off again US financial rescue package went off again. There will be no relief deal until after the US elections on November 3rd.  But what if there’s no rescue deal until well into January?

Trade war team Trump is about to escalate its attack on China’s firms.

New Covid infections continue to soar in the USA, most of Europe and India. Reports surfaced the China was aware of cases similar to Covid-19 in Wuhan in late September. Hmm.

In Europe, GB and the rump-EUSSR have reached Brexit trade deal or no deal day. No deal looks like a winner to me. But the “free lunch” bill for all won’t come in for all until next year.

In normal times, bad enough to cause a stock sell-off. But we are living in far from normal times.

Seven central banks and the BIS release a report assessing the feasibility of publicly available Central Bank Digital Currencies in helping central banks deliver their public policy objectives.

To which dinosaur Graeme can only say everyone now needs to own some fully paid up, securely held, physical gold and silver as insurance. Our market rigging crooked central banksters now see a gigantic car crash right ahead.

Global shares slip on pandemic surge, failing stimulus hopes

October 15, 2020

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. State Department has submitted a proposal for the Trump administration to add China’s Ant Group to a trade blacklist, according to two people familiar with the matter, before the financial technology firm is slated to go public.

It was not immediately clear when the U.S. government agencies that decide whether to add a company to the so-called Entity List would review the matter.

The move comes as China hardliners in the Trump administration are seeking to send a message to deter U.S. investors from taking part in the initial public offering for Ant Group. The dual listing in Shanghai and Hong Kong could be worth up to a record $35 billion.

The latest swipe at China also comes in the run-up to the Nov. 3 election, in which U.S. President Donald Trump, trailing in the polls against his Democratic rival Joe Biden, has made a tough approach to China an important foreign policy platform.

While the Alipay payment app is currently unavailable for American users in the United States, according to a spokesperson for Ant, Trump administration officials fear the Chinese government could access sensitive banking data belonging to future U.S. users.

A powerful security panel known as the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) stopped its $1.2 billion bid to buy the money transfer company Moneygram in 2018 over national security risks.

More

https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-usa-antfinancial-blacklist-exclusive/exclusive-trump-administration-to-consider-adding-chinas-ant-group-to-trade-blacklist-sources-idUKKBN26Z2UT?il=0

UK urged to conclude trade deal with EU to limit Brexit cost

14 October, 2020

LONDON (AP) — A leading international economic watchdog urged the British government to conclude a free trade agreement with the European Union in the coming days and weeks to support the recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

In its latest survey of the the British economy, the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Wednesday that a trade deal that ensures a close relationship will minimize the costs of Brexit.

The OECD, which monitors and advises its 37 member countries, said the British economy will likely end this year 10.1% smaller than it started following the spring slump when a national lockdown was imposed to suppress the coronavirus outbreak.

Though the British economy recovered around half the output lost during the summer, when the lockdown was eased, the resurgence of the virus in the past few weeks has led to further government restrictions on businesses, both nationally and locally. As a result the economy is set to lose steam and potentially fall back into recession during the winter.

The OECD warned that the economy will be further hobbled by a rise in unemployment, which has been largely held in check this year by a wage support program. With that ending this month, the OECD is forecasting a spike in unemployment to 5.3% by the end of this year from 4.3% at present.

The organization warned that the economy won’t have recovered all the ground lost during the pandemic by the end of 2021 as it is estimating growth of 7.6% for next year - assuming the U.K. and the EU will have reached a free trade arrangement.

Alvaro Pereira, on OECD director, said in a news conference that any form of Brexit “obviously compounds” the economic effects of the pandemic but that a trade deal would “help minimize the impact.”

Though the U.K. left the bloc on Jan. 31, it is in a transition period that sees it remain within the EU’s tariff-free single market and customs union until the end of this year.

More

https://apnews.com/article/virus-outbreak-brexit-global-trade-free-trade-europe-6b929db3368adf01e3c2b4ce6fd8ee05

Finally, where our failing Great Nixonian Error of fiat money is heading. Worthless digital currency, big brother tracking, and serfdom. Things must be really bad given this level of central bankster desperation.

Central banks and BIS publish first central bank digital currency (CBDC) report laying out key requirements

Press release  | 

09 October 2020

  • Seven central banks and the BIS release a report assessing the feasibility of publicly available CBDCs in helping central banks deliver their public policy objectives.
  • Report outlines foundational principles and core features of a CBDC, but does not give an opinion on whether to issue.
  • Central banks to continue investigating CBDC feasibility without committing to issuance.

A group of seven central banks together with the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) today published a report identifying the foundational principles necessary for any publicly available CBDCs to help central banks meet their public policy objectives.

The report, Central bank digital currencies: foundational principles and core features, was compiled by the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, Sveriges Riksbank, the Swiss National Bank and the BIS, and highlights three key principles for a CBDC:

  • Coexistence with cash and other types of money in a flexible and innovative payment system.
  • Any introduction should support wider policy objectives and do no harm to monetary and financial stability.
  • Features should promote innovation and efficiency.

The group of central banks will continue to work together on CBDCs, without prejudging any decision on whether or not to introduce CBDCs in their jurisdictions.

More

https://www.bis.org/press/p201009.htm?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsletter_axiosmarkets&stream=business

 

 Winter Watch.

The Arctic winter sea-ice expansion and northern hemisphere snow cover. From around mid-October, the northern hemisphere snow cover usually rapidly expands, while the Arctic ice gradually expands back towards its winter maximum.

Over simplified, a rapid expansion of both, especially if early, can be a sign of a harsher than normal arriving norther hemisphere winter. Perhaps more so in 2020-2021 as we’re in the low of the ending sunspot cycle, which possibly also influenced this year’s record Atlantic hurricane season.

Adding to this year’s winter concerns, a developing La Nina weather pattern in the Pacific. While the La Nina effect on the winter weather of western Europe is weaker than that of an El Nino pattern, which tends to make for a milder winter, a La Nina pattern tends to make for a colder winter.

US National Ice Center.

https://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/

"We shouldn't pour cold water on everything.  We, the eight or nine players in global investment banking, have a very good future."

Deutsche Bank, CEO Josef Ackermann. Davos, January 2007.

Davos 2021 cancelled due to Covid-19.

 

Covid-19 Corner                       

This section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

Europe Beefs Up Measures; India’s Covid Cases: Virus Update

Bloomberg News

Updated on October 15, 2020, 5:49 AM GMT+1

Europe intensified efforts to stem a resurgent coronavirus outbreak, with France announcing further restrictions and London set for a clampdown.

Record cases were reported from Italy to the Czech Republic. The virus’s comeback in the U.S. has reached the vast majority of the country, with trends worsening in 46 states and the nation’s capital. India reported fewer than 70,000 cases for the fourth straight day, though daily infections are still higher than in the U.S.

In China, the head of the local health authority in Qingdao was suspended after an outbreak in the city, echoing moves made in Wuhan earlier in the year. Japanese drugmakers said they don’t think they can roll out a possible vaccine until 2022.

Key Developments:

  • Global Tracker: Cases pass 38.4 million; deaths top 1.09 million
  • Covid’s deadly U.S. comeback widens, spreads to 46 states
  • Who’s succeeding against the coronavirus and why: QuickTake
  • FDA chief says vaccine-trial halts about safety, not politics
  • How do people catch Covid-19? Here’s what experts say: QuickTake

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-14/france-orders-city-curfews-u-s-resurgence-widens-virus-update?srnd=coronavirus

Japan supercomputer shows humidity affects aerosol spread of coronavirus

October 14, 2020

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