Monday 13 September 2021

The Magic Money Tree Inflation Forest.

 Baltic Dry Index. 3864 +221  Brent Crude 73.23

Spot Gold 1792

Coronavirus Cases 02/04/20 World 1,000,000

Deaths 53,100

Coronavirus Cases 13/09/21 World 225,482,944

Deaths 4,644,220

Faced with the choice between changing one's mind and proving that there is no need to do so, almost everyone gets busy on the proof.

John Kenneth Galbraith.

We open as usual with Asian casinos news, where the news/rumour out of China is not good. President Xi wants to break up Ant Group’s Alipay payments and loans company.

When is capitalism not capitalism? Don’t ask Beijing, ask Fed Chairman Powell and his Magic Money Tree inflation forest.

Chinese tech, EV stocks fall on regulatory fears; property developer Soho China drops 35% on failed deal

SINGAPORE — Shares in Asia-Pacific largely slipped in Monday trade, with stocks in Hong Kong leading losses.

Hong Kong-listed shares of Alibaba dropped 4.47% following a Financial Times report that Beijing wants to break up Ant Group’s Alipay and force the creation of a separate loans app.

Other Chinese tech stocks also declined, with Tencent falling 3.67% while Meituan slipped 6.32%. The Hang Seng Tech index dropped 2.83%.

Chinese electric vehicle stocks fell after the country’s industry minister said consolidation in the sector is needed as there are “too many” EV makers in China. BYD dropped 3.82% while Xpeng slipped 2.67%.

Meanwhile, Chinese property developer Soho China plunged 34.86% after a takeover deal by Blackstone Group fell through. Soho China said in a filing on Friday that Blackstone has decided not to go through with its $3 billion bid to buy the developer.

Hong Kong’s broader Hang Seng index dropped 1.98%. Mainland Chinese stocks were mixed, with the Shanghai composite up fractionally while the Shenzhen component declined 0.507%.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 edged 0.26% lower while the Topix index shed 0.25%.

Shares of automakers Toyota and Honda fell 2.43% and 1.72% respectively. The two firms criticized a U.S. House electric vehicle tax plan that would benefit Detroit’s Big Three automakers, according to a Reuters report.

South Korea’s Kospi dipped 0.26%. The S&P/ASX 200 in Australia edged 0.19% higher.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1%.

Looking ahead for the week, the U.S. consumer price index for August is set to be out on Tuesday, while retail sales figures stateside are expected Thursday. A slew of Chinese economic data, including retail sales and industrial production for August, is also set to be out on Thursday.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/13/asia-markets-us-and-china-economy-currencies-oil.html

Chinese regulators look to break up Ant Group’s Alipay: report

Investors are paying close attention to any reading on inflation these days, and the consumer price index will be the big one to watch in the coming week.

The latest snapshot of the economy comes just a week before the Federal Reserve’s important September meeting. At that meeting, the Fed is expected to discuss more details about its plan to taper down its bond buying program, or quantitative easing.

Market professionals say a hotter inflation reading could speed up the Fed’s plans to slow the $120 billion a month in bond purchases. The paring back of its asset purchase program would be the Fed’s first major step away from the easy policy it put in place to combat the pandemic.

The consumer price index is expected Tuesday, and there is retail sales data is released Thursday. They are expected to show consumer prices jumped at a 5.3% annual pace in August, according to the consensus estimate from FactSet, while the consumer continued to pull back from the high spending levels of earlier in the year.

Hot CPI

“If the CPI is hotter than expected, it could make the difference between a September announcement for tapering or waiting to November,” Bleakley Advisory Group chief investment officer Peter Boockvar said.

Economists expect CPI to rise at a 0.4% pace month over month. The report comes after August’s producer price index — which was released Friday — showed a jump of 8.3% year over year, due in part to supply chain constraints.

The Fed’s formal announcement about tapering its bond-buying program, also called QE, is widely expected in November or December. Many of those who had expected a September announcement pushed back their time frame to later in the year after August’s employment report showed just 235,000 jobs added, about 500,000 less than expected.

More

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/10/markets-brace-for-hot-consumer-inflation-report-in-the-week-ahead.html

In crude oil news, hurricane Ida’s effect still lingers on, and we’re only just passing the mid-point of the Atlantic-Gulf hurricane season.

Oil climbs to one-week high on U.S. supply concerns

September 13, 2021

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