Tuesday 21 September 2021

Evergrande Or Nevergrande? Biden’s Big Day.

Baltic Dry Index. 4304 +29  Brent Crude 74.56

Spot Gold 1762

Coronavirus Cases 02/04/20 World 1,000,000

Deaths 53,100

Coronavirus Cases 21/09/21 World 229,835,231

Deaths 4,713,636

The only way to get rid of temptation is to yield to it... I can resist everything but temptation.

Oscar Wilde, Wannabe Bankster. 

Today we are spoiled for choice of subject.

The stock casinos are in turmoil over the impending default of the China Evergrande Group. What took them so long? Was China Evergrande, China Nevergrande and just another Ponzi Scheme fraud?

The commodity casinos also wobbled, unsure how badly a Nevergrande default might impact on China’s demand for iron ore, steel and copper

The Fedsters start day one of their two day meeting in the Washington District of Crooks, with some members, including Fed Chairman Powell, under a cloud of suspicion that they abused their Fed position for personal gain.

Inflation, especially energy inflation led by the soaring price of natural gas, now threatens more global supply chain disruption, surprisingly among the food supply chain.

The results of Canada’s big gamble of holding a General Election in the midst of a SARS pandemic are expected later today. Generalissimo Trudeau is widely expected to retain power and retain hold on to his vast colourful wardrobe of theatrical costumes.

President Biden gets to star in his big day out at the United Nations gathering of the Good, the Bad and the Ugly in New York City.

We open as usual in the casinos, now hoping desperately for a government rescue from the Nevergrande collapse. Any government will do but China’s preferred.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 falls nearly 2% as Asia-Pacific investors monitor Evergrande

SINGAPORE — Shares in Asia-Pacific were mixed in Tuesday trade as investors continued monitoring the situation surrounding embattled developer China Evergrande Group.

Japanese stocks declined as they returned to trade following a Monday holiday. The Nikkei 225 dropped 1.79% in afternoon trade while the Topix index shed 1.51%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index, which was dragged down by more than 3% on Monday amid investor fears around Evergrande, sat 0.32% lower by Tuesday afternoon in the city.

Shares of China Evergrande Group fell 3.51%, while the Hang Seng Properties index climbed 1.59%, bouncing back partially from Monday’s losses.

Evergrande’s chairman tried to reassure markets on Tuesday, and said the firm will fulfill its responsibilities to property buyers, investors, partners and financial institutions, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing local media.

Meanwhile, S&P Global Ratings credit analysts said in a report: “We believe Beijing would only be compelled to step in if there is a far-reaching contagion causing multiple major developers to fail and posing systemic risks to the economy,” according to the Monday report. “Evergrande failing alone would unlikely result in such a scenario.”

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 advanced 0.15%.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan traded 0.18% lower.

Markets in mainland China and South Korea are closed on Tuesday for a holiday.

Overnight stateside, the S&P 500 saw its worst day since May, dropping 1.7% to 4,357.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 614.41 points to 33,970.47 while the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.19% to 14,713.90.

More

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/21/asia-markets-evergrande-group-china-and-south-korea-markets-closed-currencies-oil.html

China Evergrande fears grip markets as Beijing stands back, for now

Reuters) - The risks of China Evergrande Group (3333.HK) defaulting on its mountain of debt loomed large over nervous markets on Tuesday, as investors looked for signs of intervention by Beijing to stem any potential domino effect across the global economy.

Analysts played down the threat of Evergrande's troubles becoming the country's "Lehman moment," though concerns about the spillover risks of a messy collapse of what was once China's top-selling property developer have roiled financial markets.

In an effort to assuage investor anxiety, Evergrande Chairman Hui Ka Yuan said in a letter to staff the company is confident it will "walk out of its darkest moment" and deliver property projects as pledged, local media reported on Tuesday.

In the letter, coinciding with China's mid-autumn festival, the chairman of the debt-laden property developer, also said Evergrande will fulfil responsibilities to property buyers, investors, partners and financial institutions.

Investors in Evergrande, however, remained on edge.

Its shares were sold-off again on Tuesday, fell as much as 7%, having tumbled 10% in the previous day on fears its $305 billion in debt could trigger widespread losses in China's financial system in the event of a collapse.

Other property stocks such as Sunac (1918.HK), China's No.4 property developer, and state-backed Greentown China (3900.HK) on Tuesday recouped some of their hefty losses in the previous session.

Elsewhere in Asia, broad selling pressure persisted in early trade, as investors fled riskier assets on Evergrande contagion fears. Mainland China markets are still closed for a public holiday.

The Chinese government has been largely quiet on the crisis at Evergrande, and there was no mention of the firm's troubles in major state media during a public holiday.

A major test for Evergrande comes this week, with the firm due to pay $83.5 million in interest relating to its March 2022 bond on Thursday. It has another $47.5 million payment due on Sept. 29 for March 2024 notes .

Both bonds would default if Evergrande fails to settle the interest within 30 days of the scheduled payment dates.

"I think (Evergrande's) equity will be wiped out, the debt looks like it is in trouble and the Chinese government is going to break up this company," Andrew Left, founder of U.S.-based Citron Research and one of the world’s best known short-sellers, told Reuters.

"But I don't think that this is going to be the straw that breaks the global economy's back," Left said.

Left in June 2012 published a report that said Evergrande, which has been scrambling to raise funds to pay its many lenders, suppliers and investors, was insolvent and had defrauded investors.

More

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-evergrande-fears-consume-investors-awaiting-trading-2021-09-21/

U.S. swap spreads widen, three-month Libor rises as risk aversion spreads

September 20, 2021

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