Saturday, 6 June 2026

Special Update 06/06/2026 US Jobs Rout Stocks. An ECB/Fed Rate Hike?

Baltic Dry Index. 2981 -56      Brent Crude 93.09

Spot Gold 4354                           Spot Silver 70.00

U S 2 Year Yield 4.17 +0.12

US Federal Debt. 39.215 trillion

US GDP 32.187 trillion

June 6, 1944. Operation Overlord: D-Day begins as the 156,000-strong Allied Expeditionary Force lands in Normandy, France, during World War II

The US employment report on Friday was surprisingly strong, unexpected and routed way over priced stocks.

Adding to technology stock misery, the S&P will not follow NASDAQ and fast track SpaceX and other tech IPO stocks into the S&P indexes.

Look away from US Treasury yields now.

U.S. payrolls rose by 172,000 in May, much more than expected; unemployment at 4.3%

Published Fri, Jun 5 2026 8:31 AM EDT Updated Fri, Jun 5 2026 2:51 PM EDT

Job growth unexpectedly surged in May as the U.S. labor market continued a solid year of expansion, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.

Nonfarm payrolls jumped a seasonally adjusted 172,000 for the period, down slightly from the upwardly revised 179,000 in April and far above the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 80,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

“This is a labor market that is stronger than it was last year and is looking pretty darn solid, despite high energy prices and higher inflation generally,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC. “There’s no indication that the labor market needs support.”

Breadth of job gains improved in May, with multiple sectors seeing solid advances.

Leisure and hospitality led all sectors with 70,000 jobs, well above the 14,000 per month average over the past year and a possible reaction to hiring needed for the World Cup. [My emphasis.]

Local government added 55,000.

Health care, which has been the leading sector, contributed 35,000 new hires, about in line with its average. Social assistance added 12,000.

Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% for the month and were up 3.4% over the past year, both in line with the Wall Street consensus.

The report came against a background of muted expectations as employers have held their ground in a low-hire, low-fire environment. While job gains have been largely concentrated in just a few sectors, layoffs also have been moderate, though some signs are building that artificial intelligence is having an impact on labor rolls.

In addition to the strong jobs numbers for May, revisions for prior months also presented an even better picture. The April tally represented an upward revision of 64,000, while March got a boost up to 214,000, a gain of 29,000.

Last summer, President Donald Trump, angered by weak jobs numbers and high downward revisions, fired the BLS commissioner and installed William J. Wiatrowski as the acting chief.

“The hiring recession is over. American firms are hiring again,” said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “This is a strong jobs report from every angle.”

More

Jobs report May 2026:

Nasdaq falls 4% and suffers worst day since April 2025 as traders flee chip stocks: Live updates

Updated Fri, Jun 5 2026 4:23 PM EDT

The iShares Semiconductor ETF dropped 10% for its worst day since March 2020. Shares in Broadcom were nearly 8% lower after tumbling more than 12% on Thursday. Marvell Technology dropped more than 16% Friday. Intel and Advanced Micro Devices fell around 11%.

Micron Technology, the memory chipmaker that’s been the latest star of the bull market, was down 13% after dropping 8% on Thursday.

“Investors had been kind of hovering with their finger over this sell button,” said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide. “Not necessarily to get out. But if you’ve owned some of these semiconductor names through the last two months, you’re very out of whack with your long term positioning goal. You need to take profits at some point.”

In another sign of speculation coming out of the market, bitcoin tumbled below $60,000 for the first time since late 2024.

The iShares Semiconductor ETF is still up 79% on the year even after the recent declines. This rout comes as tech investors get ready for the largest IPO ever in SpaceX next week. Already set to go public at a valuation of $1.77 trillion, Elon Musk’s space and AI venture has boosted enthusiasm for the sector, while also stoking concern among some that its debut could mark some kind of top in what they think is an investing bubble. Others believe part of this chip and bitcoin decline is investors making room in their portfolio for the IPO.

“People looking to get into the SpaceX IPO next week, it’s unlikely they’re going to use Procter & Gamble funds to fund it,” said Nationwide’s Hackett. “It’s going to be some of these AI trades, the semis, the momentum names, or at least tech in general. ... Once the boulder starts rolling down the hill, like we saw yesterday, you can see fairly disorderly sell-offs.”

Friday’s tech drop came after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 172,000 in May, well above the 80,000 jobs that economists polled by Dow Jones had expected to be added. The 10-year yield jumped above 4.5%, while the 30-year yield advanced above 5%, key levels that revived concerns about a slowing economy and raising borrowing costs for companies helping to fuel the AI buildout.

Investors rotated into healthcare and staples stocks on Friday as they dumped tech shares. Colgate-Palmolive added 4%, and Coca-Cola was up more than 3%. Johnson & Johnson was up 2%.

Stock market today: Live updates

Wall Street panics as stock markets crash deep into the red despite the excellent May jobs report

Updated: 22:10, 5 June 2026

Stock markets crashed on Friday afternoon as big technology companies melted down after a strong jobs report raised expectations that the Federal Reserve will be forced to hike interest rates sooner rather than later.

The benchmark S&P 500 sank 2.6 percent, its biggest one-day decline since the early days of the Iran war in March, and closed out its first losing week in the last ten. 

But it was the Nasdaq Composite that really stank, plummeting 4.7 percent, its worst decline in nearly four years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.3 percent.

Tech stocks dragged the market lower as companies that had powered record highs over recent months saw sharp losses: Nvidia fell 5.5 percent, Broadcom dropped almost 7 percent and Micron Technology slid more than 11 percent. 

Stocks within the S&P 500 were close to evenly split between gainers and losers, but many of the bigger tech stocks have pricey valuations that tend to have an outsized influence on the broader market. 

The Fed has been holding interest rates steady as it tries to gauge the ongoing impact of rising inflation, but investors were still clinging to hope for a rate cut - at least until today. 

'Any hopes of a Fed rate cut have effectively been eliminated with this morning's strong jobs report,' wrote Lazard chief market strategist Ronald Temple in a research note. 

In a sign of the panic on Wall Street, the so-called fear gauge soared by more than 34 percent to 21 in late-day trading, the biggest one-day gain in two years.

The price of Brent crude fell 2.2 percent to $92.97 - it was about $70 per barrel before the Iran war. 

The surge in oil prices prompted a jump in gasoline prices, which has in turn fueled a broader rise in inflation as prices for anything being shipped move higher and threaten to slow economic growth.

A measure of inflation preferred by the Fed showed that prices rose 3.8 percent overall in April, the biggest increase in two years.

More

Wall Street panics as stock markets crash deep into the red despite the excellent May jobs report | Daily Mail Online

In other news, Trump’s war on the global poor without a casus belli.

Defense expert: 'The stupidity of the war has become impossible to ignore'

June 4, 2026

Former U.S. Army major and former executive officer of the Defense Intelligence Agency Harrison Mann made it clear that President Donald Trump's war against Iran has become so stupid that even Republicans are backing away.

It was reported on Wednesday that Trump had reached an agreement a month ago but didn't like it being compared to the previous Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), negotiated, in part, by President Barack Obama's administration.

Mann explained that the "so-called sticking point was a demand from before the war ... When Trump did the surprise attack with Israel in February, what the U.S. and Iran were discussing was some kind of sanctions relief, which would be a de facto release of funds in exchange for a freeze on Iran's nuclear enrichment. And so I think it's, in my mind, a little misleading to say that this thing that we've known has always been an Iranian demand is a sticking point. I think really the principal sticking point remains Trump's lack of interest in pushing for it."

Indeed, for the past several weeks, reports have revealed that Trump is growing "bored" with the Iran War.

Mann fears that Trump is alone in believing the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is working and sustainable in the long term.

"The Iranians don't believe either. I think they're pretty confident in their ability to withstand, you know, some loss of oil sales. And they really don't like the status quo," he said. "It seems like Trump kind of thinks he basically ended the war and, you know, occasional tit-for-tat strikes can go on really forever. The Iranians don't want that. They think they've got an advantage and they want to press it."

Also on Wednesday, four GOP members of the House of Representatives voted to block further Iran War, delivering enough votes for the Democrats to reassert congressional authority over the president.

Mann thinks that this bill passed as a result of two major reasons.

"One, the costs of the war, and the ... stupidity of the war have become impossible to ignore," he said. "We're three months in. You can't pretend Trump's got a plan. You can't ignore the very visible and tangible economic effects."

It isn't merely the gas prices, it's also the cost of fertilizer that has dramatically increased, all of which is putting pressure on American farmers.

Defense expert: 'The stupidity of the war has become impossible to ignore'

Global Inflation/Stagflation/Recession Watch.

Given our Magic Money Tree central banksters and our spendthrift politicians, inflation now needs an entire section of its own.

Rising EU inflation clears the way for an ECB interest rate hike next week

4 June 2026

Energy is the component showing the highest rate in May, but the most significant acceleration is in the rise of service prices.

Inflation in the Eurozone climbed to 3.2% in May from 3% in April, driven by price increases in countries like Bulgaria, Lithuania, and Greece, where the index exceeds 5%, making it easier for the European Central Bank (ECB) to decide to raise interest rates at its next monetary policy meeting scheduled for June 11.

The European Consumer Price Index (CPI) has now increased for four consecutive months and has risen by 1.5 points during this period, reaching its highest level since September 2023, when the continent was beginning to recover from the inflationary wave triggered by the invasion of Ukraine a year earlier.

Energy is the component with the highest rate in May (10.9% compared to the same month last year, only a tenth higher than in April), followed by services (3.5%, half a percentage point higher than in April), food, alcohol, and tobacco (2%), and non-energy industrial goods (0.9%), as detailed by Eurostat on Tuesday. Services showed the biggest jump in inflation, which could indicate the price increase typical of Easter or an initial sign of the impact of rising energy costs.

"The additional increase in overall inflation and, in particular, in services in May reinforces the need for the ECB to raise interest rates and suggests that the upside risks to underlying inflation could be greater than we anticipated. Eurozone general inflation - which had already risen from 1.9% in February to 3.0% in April - increased to 3.2% in May. Although it aligns with the consensus forecast, it was slightly higher than expected since we learned last week that inflation had fallen in Germany (...) Energy inflation is likely to decrease for the rest of this year, even if crude oil and natural gas prices do not fall. However, food inflation is likely to rebound, and underlying inflation could also trend upwards in the coming months. We have only forecasted two 25 basis points rate hikes by the ECB this year, but the risks to this forecast seem to be skewed to the upside," evaluated the British consultancy Capital Economics on Tuesday.

Carsten Brzeski, Global Head of Macroeconomics at ING, agrees that this data "strengthens the case" for the ECB to raise rates next week. "With the Middle East war entering its fourth month, the energy price shock has become more permanent, although oil prices are actually lower than many had imagined for a more adverse scenario regarding the duration of the war. Therefore, there will also be no automatic change in inflation and growth scenarios at the ECB meeting next week. However, for inflation in the eurozone, the only way is currently up. It will not be a sharp increase, but a moderate and gradual one. Although the side effects of higher energy prices on other prices, such as transportation and food, will be difficult to avoid, the latest inflation expectations based on surveys have decreased slightly. Price expectations in both industry and services, as well as the ECB's own long-term consumer inflation expectations, fell slightly in May (...) Enough to support our view of only a gradual and limited increase in inflation in the coming months."

The reason experts are cautious about the expected evolution of inflation in the coming months is mainly the absence of substantial fiscal support, as there was four years ago, and the fact that household savings ratios are much lower than they were then, which could limit consumption capacity and curb the inflationary spiral.

More

Rising EU inflation clears the way for an ECB interest rate hike next week

Nobel laureate economist tears into 'sneeringly bogus' lie behind Trump's new tariff plot

June 4, 2026

Nobel Prize-winning economist turned political commentator Paul Krugman had a scathing review of President Donald Trump's latest attempt to impose sweeping global tariffs.

Trump has already lost multiple court battles over his tariffs. He first tried to enact a worldwide "reciprocal" import tax scheme under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), only for the Supreme Court to invalidate this. He then pushed a 10 percent global tariff under a different law, only for the Court of International Trade to rule that illegal too.

Now, he's trying again, imposing tariffs on 60 countries under Section 301 "Relief from Unfair Trade Practices" law, asserting that several of America's closest trading partners, including Canada, the U.K., the European Union, and Japan, are complicit in slave labor practices.

This is absurd, wrote Krugman, who has extensively torn apart Trump's other tariff schemes previously.

"Everyone, and I mean everyone, understands that the alleged justification for these tariffs is a lie," wrote Krugman. "There is absolutely no reason to believe that the EU is less diligent about opposing the use of slave labor than the US. For that matter, there is no reason to believe that Trump and his minions have any particular objection to slave labor. This is nothing but a transparently, one might say sneeringly, bogus rationale for continuing to flout both US law and international agreements."

It's particularly bizarre that Trump wants to die on this hill, Krugman noted, because data make clear that not only are the tariffs wildly unpopular with voters, they are failing in their basic goal of increasing domestic manufacturing, with a steady decline in manufacturing investment ever since he took office.

Unfortunately, he concluded, Trump reversing his tariff policies "would amount to admitting failure. And if you believe he’s going to do that, I have a quick, easy victory over Iran you might want to buy."

Nobel laureate economist tears into 'sneeringly bogus' lie behind Trump's new tariff plot

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.

Meet the Brit trying to make battery fires a thing of the past

3 June 2026

Battery fires are one of those subjects that make people sit up a bit straighter. We’ve all seen the videos: an e-bike battery smoking in a hallway, an e-scooter going up in flames, or the occasional scary headline about an electric car fire.

The reality is more balanced than the social media clips might suggest, especially when it comes to properly engineered electric cars from established manufacturers. But lithium-ion battery fires are a real and growing concern, particularly around cheaper, modified or poorly managed batteries in e-bikes and scooters.

That is where Nick Bailey comes in. Bailey is the founder and CEO of Battery IQ, a British technology company that wants to give batteries something approaching a safety passport, with live monitoring that can flag up problems long before they become dangerous.

The company’s first focus is on e-bikes and e-scooters, where the fire risk has made the most headlines. But Bailey believes the same thinking could eventually stretch from power tools all the way up to electric cars, including the batteries removed from older EVs and moved around the world for second-life energy storage.

“Fundamentally we’re looking at everything from power tools up to electric vehicles – they’re all things that have caught fire and that’s our scope to try and solve,” Bailey tells The Independent. “And I think we’re on that journey. We’re at a specific point of the journey which we’re having success in a particular area, but I think it will grow over time.”

Bailey’s route into batteries started with bikes. He founded Boost during Covid, building technology to convert bicycles to electric power. He says the idea was to create a UK business that could design and build its own technology, rather than simply rely on off-the-shelf systems.

“I was an engineer before I was anything else,” he says. “I went to university in the workshop rather than studying. I started Boost about five years ago during Covid, which was focused around converting bikes to electric – a UK business that could create that technology. I’m a fan of trying to actually build things in the UK and design things in the UK rather than just relying on the Chinese to do all the design and all the manufacturing.”

Battery IQ came out of that work. Bailey says he became concerned that some generic battery safety systems were not doing everything they should. A project to develop Boost’s own battery management system was paused when the company found a better system from China, but the wider issue did not go away.

“At the beginning of last year it became clear that this battery fire problem wasn’t going away and it was rearing its head in electric vehicles catching fire as well as scooters and e-bikes,” says Bailey.

New figures from business insurer QBE put the scale of the problem in context. UK fire brigades attended 1,760 lithium-ion battery fires in 2025, equivalent to 4.8 a day, and up 147 per cent since 2022. E-bikes accounted for 520 of those fires in 2025, close to a third of the total.

More

Meet the Brit trying to make battery fires a thing of the past

Finally, after that stock rout, a summer bonus. Time for a G & T.

The Gin and Tonic Is a Cocktail With a Storied History. Don’t Overlook Scotland’s Connection to the Classic

The country’s scientists, doctors, merchants and distillers all played significant roles in transforming the simple combination that packs a complicated mythology

June 2, 2026 10:23 a.m.

Historians debate who first combined gin and tonic water—and where. The now-classic cocktail is often tied to the story of British colonial India: officers and soldiers stationed abroad during the second half of the 19th century mixed bitter quinine tonics with gin to make the malaria medicine more drinkable. But Scotland also frequently appears in that history, for good reason.

Early days for the ingredients

Long before tonic water existed, Scotland was closely tied to the European trade routes that shaped early gin culture. Philip Kingscott, the “gin experiential ambassador” for the distiller traces that relationship back to the 15th century, when Scotland strengthened commercial and cultural ties with the Low Countries (present-day Netherlands and Belgium) following the marriage of Mary of Guelders to King James II of Scotland in 1449. “The Low Countries are considered to be the birthplace of the juniper-based spirit genever, the forerunner to gin,” Kingscott says. Scotland, he explains, maintained centuries-long trade and cultural relationships with the region. Over time, imported genever became common in Scottish ports and taverns, and Edinburgh became “a major center in the trade and eventual production of ‘Dutch gin.’”

By the 18th century, Edinburgh had emerged not only as a major trading hub, but also as one of Europe’s intellectual capitals during the Scottish Enlightenment. The city’s universities attracted students from across Britain and continental Europe, and physicians and scientists in Scotland were making discoveries that would later impact mixology.

Two Edinburgh doctors in particular—George Cleghorn and James Lind—helped shape medical understandings of ingredients now synonymous with the gin and tonic. “George Cleghorn was the first to scientifically prove the medicinal benefits of cinchona bark [the source of quinine] in preventing malaria,” Kingscott says, “while Lind conducted the first-ever medical trial to prove that citrus fruit could be used to combat scurvy.”

Those discoveries helped establish quinine and citrus as important parts of Britain’s broader medical and naval culture. Quinine would eventually become tonic water’s defining ingredient, while citrus became closely associated with British maritime health practices.

Another Scottish figure, merchant Lachlan Rose of Leith, would later commercialize preserved lime juice through Rose’s Lime Cordial, further connecting Scotland to the citrus side of the drink’s flavor profile.

Still, the gin and tonic as we know it could not exist until another scientific breakthrough arrived: carbonation.

During the late 18th century, European scientists began experimenting with artificially carbonated water. Swedish chemistry professor Torbern Bergman and English chemist Joseph Priestley independently developed methods for infusing water with carbon dioxide during the 1770s. At the time, carbonated water was not considered recreational so much as medicinal. Sparkling mineral waters were thought to aid digestion and improve health, and scientists hoped to recreate them artificially.

German-born entrepreneur Johann Jacob Schweppe refined the carbonation process in the 1780s and commercialized bottled soda water in London. Schweppe initially marketed the product as a therapeutic beverage rather than a cocktail mixer, selling different strengths of carbonation intended for various digestive ailments.

Meanwhile, quinine was becoming increasingly important in European medicine. Derived from the bark of the South American cinchona tree, quinine had long been used to treat fever-related illnesses.

More

The Gin and Tonic Is a Cocktail With a Storied History. Don't Overlook Scotland's Connection to the Classic

Next, the world global debt clock. Nations debts to GDP compared.

World Debt Clocks (usdebtclock.org)

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Enter values into any two of the input fields to solve for the third.

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This weekend’ s music diversion. Handel again. Approx. 3 minutes.

May no rash intruder disturb their soft hours; To form fragrant pillows, arise, oh ye flow'rs! Ye zephirs, soft-breathing, their slumbers prolong, While nightingales lull them to sleep with their song.

Handel: Solomon-Nightingale chorus

Handel: Solomon-Nightingale chorus

Next, more on the 432 Park Avenue calamity. Approx. 22 minutes.

They Knew 432 Park Avenue Would Crack Before They Built It

They Knew 432 Park Avenue Would Crack Before They Built It

Finally, the longest battleship hit ever. Approx. 13 minutes.  

The 'Tired' British Battleship That Killed Mussolini's Pride In Six Minutes At Punta Stilo

The 'Tired' British Battleship That Killed Mussolini's Pride In Six Minutes At Punta Stilo

June 6, 1859.  Queensland, Australia, is established as a separate colony from New South Wales, celebrated as Queensland Day


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