Wednesday, 10 March 2021

Nasdaq Bubble Back. Punch Bowl Back.

Baltic Dry Index. 1901 +48 Brent Crude 66.93

Spot Gold 1713

Coronavirus Cases 02/04/20 World 1,000,000

Deaths 53,100

Coronavirus Cases 10/03/21 World 118,161,913

Deaths 2,622,143

"The principal cause of the crisis was the dismantling of the system of regulation and supervision in the financial sector which had for much of the post-war period kept the most dangerous elements of that sector in check. In the absence of an appropriate system of effective supervision and regulation, what happens is that the actors in the system, who are intent upon taking the greatest degree of risk — including actors who are intent upon using fraudulent methods to increase their returns — come to dominate parts of the system. As they do that, the general methods of assessing performance in the market, specifically stock-market valuations, become counter-productive. That is to say, they invariably reward the worst actors, while they force more traditional actors, who are still respecting the old norms of conduct, into a competitively disadvantaged position. Thus the bad actors, the fraudulent actors, and the speculative extremists quickly take over.”

John Kenneth Galbraith. The Great Crash: 1929.

In the casinos, the everything bubble is back, led by, wait for it, Nasdaq! Buy more, including Tesla and bitcoin! 

Thanks to the latest bailout relief package due to be voted on later today, Americans are about to rush out to the malls, well online malls anyway, and spend, spend, spend, like there’s no tomorrow.

Of course, there is a tomorrow and it’s likely to be very different from today which was like yesterday.  

Tomorrow is likely to be at best, a day of buyers remorse and stagflation, as the bill comes in for all of the trillions of new dollars created out of nothing and largely spent on indulgent lifestyle, casino gambling, and paying people not to work.

But for now, party on, the US central banksters and President “bailout” Biden just topped up the punch bowl (yet again.) We are all going to gamble our way to incredible wealth and prosperity! Why didn’t previous generations think of this before?

What could possibly go wrong on free money for all?

Asian Stocks Steady After Nasdaq Surge; Bonds Rise: Markets Wrap

By Andreea Papuc and Emily Barrett

Updated on 10 March 2021, 05:26 GMT

·        

Nasdaq 100 advanced about 4%; China stock swings in focus

·         Treasury auction aids sentiment; dollar edges up from decline

Asian stocks were steady Wednesday as traders evaluated the biggest jump in the Nasdaq 100 since November and whether a rout in China will stabilize. The dollar pared some of its overnight losses and Treasury yields held declines.

The Nasdaq 100 advanced 4% on a revival of higher-valuation stocks such as Tesla Inc., which jumped 20%. The move snapped a rotation into value shares based on optimism about an economic reopening aided by fresh stimulus and vaccines. S&P 500 contracts and futures on the tech-heavy gauge dipped.

In Asia, Chinese shares rallied from a slump on Tuesday that evaded state efforts to slow the pace of losses. Hong Kong’s benchmark rose and Japan fluctuated. Treasury yields steadied below their recent peaks as the first in a string of U.S. auctions went off without disrupting markets. Bitcoin dipped below $54,000 after reaching a two-week high.

The pullback in Treasury yields encouraged investors to wade back into growth stocks, which suffered recently amid concerns about valuations. The prospect of faster inflation as economies recover from the pandemic has pushed up longer-term borrowing costs this year. In China, a report showing surging producer prices highlighted the risk of the nation exporting inflation as factories charge more for goods sold abroad, and upcoming consumer prices data in the U.S. are expected to show a slightly faster annual increase.

The recent rising trend in bond yields is consistent with economic growth expectations, said Lauren Goodwin, portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments. That backdrop still favors cyclicals over defensive assets and “supports equities over bonds, and a weaker U.S. dollar,” she said.

The upcoming sales of U.S. 10- and 30-year government bonds will test appetite for the safest debt after last month’s poorly bid seven-year auction helped drive yields higher, sending tremors across risk assets globally.

The Australian dollar declined after the central bank governor suggested markets may be getting ahead of themselves by pricing in an interest-rate increase within the next couple of years.

Here are some key events to watch:

  • EIA crude oil inventory report is due Wednesday
  • The U.S. February consumer price index will offer the latest look at price pressures Wednesday.
  • The U.S. government auctions 3-, 10- and 30-year Treasuries this week.
  • The European Central Bank holds its monetary policy meeting and President Christine Lagarde is set to do a briefing Thursday.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-09/asia-stocks-to-gain-after-tech-rebound-bonds-rise-markets-wrap?srnd=premium-europe

U.S. prepares to send checks, but big stimulus challenges loom

WASHINGTON - Congress is set to give the final green light to a $1.9 trillion coronavirus stimulus package Wednesday, setting in motion a Washington-wide effort to administer one of the largest economic relief packages in U.S. history.

Over the coming weeks, the Biden administration may send another round of one-time checks to millions of families, rethink vast portions of the U.S. tax code and dole out sums to help cash-strapped Americans, seeking to swiftly blunt an economic crisis that has left millions without jobs and falling further behind financially.

Biden and his aides have promised that a large number of Americans could receive their $1,400 stimulus payments before the end of March. But some of the other ambitious elements of the soon-to-be law - including new child tax support, aid to local governments and money to help families pay rent - could take much longer to disburse. The sheer volume of new programs threatens to swamp federal agencies, including the Internal Revenue Service, leaving some lawmakers fearful about early delays.

Congressional aid packages that became law over the past year have proved instrumental in helping the country rebound from one of the worst economic crises since the Great Depression. But the federal bureaucracy at times has strained to deliver some of that support in a tight time frame. Few Americans have benefited so far from the $25 billion in rental and utility assistance that lawmakers approved in December, housing experts said, and other programs to help workers and businesses pay their bills have not yet fully come online.

"Implementation is the ballgame. You can have the best priorities in the world, whether it's the well-being of children [or] the needs of those who have been laid off of no fault of their own," said Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee. "It doesn't mean a whole lot if you can't get the benefits out so people can make ends meet."

https://www.newstimes.com/news/article/U-S-prepares-to-send-checks-but-big-stimulus-16013338.php

Analysis: With $1,400 stimulus checks set to hit bank balances, stocks could benefit

March 10, 2021

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