It is the maxim of every prudent master of a family, never to
attempt to make at home what it will cost him more to make than to buy...What
is prudence in the conduct of every private family, can scarce be folly in that
of a great kingdom.
Adam Smith. The Wealth of Nations, 1776.
It’s Fed day again, in America, but
with a US presidential election less than two months away, it would be a
suicidal US central bankster who voted change anything ahead of the election.
In Japan, a new Prime Minister takes over
from the retiring Abe later today. No policy change is expected. Harshly
described on the extreme left wing BBC World Service radio as the retiring
Prime Minister’s backroom Mr Fix-it.
In Gulf hurricane news, hurricane Sally
seems to have stalled just offshore, turning it into a massive rain event,
about which we likely hear more about later today and tomorrow.
Friday sees quadruple witching -- the
quarterly expiration of futures and options on indexes and stocks -- in U.S.
markets.US casinos are likely to remain
nervous into the witching.
Will the Robinhooder’s win big time with
their call options, or will the professional call sellers drive down stocks and
take Robinhood’s merry men to the cleaners? Of course, none of this has
anything to do with the real economy.
Below, life goes on despite all the
mainstream media hype and trivia drivel.
Asia Stocks Steady Ahead of Fed
Meeting; Oil Rises: Markets Wrap
Asian stocks were little changed on Wednesday as investors
awaited a Federal Reserve meeting to gauge the extent of central bank support
for the economic recovery. Crude oil extended gains.
Shares were little changed in Japan, China, Hong Kong and South Korea,
while Australia outperformed. S&P 500 futures edged higher after the
benchmark rose for a third consecutive session, as gains in technology shares
helped offset a late slide in financials. Nasdaq 100 contracts erased earlier
losses seen in the wake of news that Facebook Inc. might face a possible U.S.
antitrust lawsuit. Treasuries and the dollar were steady.
While a gauge of Asian stocks is up for a fifth straight
day, the longest stretch since June, investors are looking for catalysts to
take markets higher after an impressive global recovery from March lows
sputtered in the first half of September.
The Fed is expected to maintain its dovish stance at its
policy meeting Wednesday after earlier saying it will shift to a more relaxed
approach on inflation. Central bank stimulus has been shoring up sentiment in
the face of risks from the pandemic, the U.S. presidential election and the
possibility of a no-deal Brexit.
“Given the volatility we have seen in the stock market in
the last couple of weeks -- as more evidence of some bubble-like
characteristics in the exposure to growth stocks has been revealed -- it’s hard
to see a new, strong rally ahead of the U.S. election,” said Chris Iggo, chief
investment officer of core investments at AXA Investment Managers.
Meantime, President Donald Trump said a vaccine shot could
be ready within four weeks. Trade issues also continue to simmer, with the
World Trade Organization ruling that the U.S. violated international
regulations by imposing tariffs on more than $234 billion of Chinese exports.
Here are some key events coming up:
Wednesday sees the FOMC
policy decision and news conference from Chair Jerome Powell.
Bank of Japan, Bank
Indonesia and Bank of England policy decisions come Thursday.
Friday sees quadruple
witching -- the quarterly expiration of futures and options on indexes and
stocks -- in U.S. markets
These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
Futures on the S&P 500
added 0.2% as of 1:26 p.m. in Tokyo. The gauge increased 0.5% on Tuesday.
Japan's Suga elected as country's
first new PM in eight years
September 16,
2020
GENEVA/BRUSSELS
(Reuters) - The World Trade Organization found on Tuesday that the United
States breached global trading rules by imposing multibillion-dollar tariffs in
President Donald Trump’s trade war with China, a ruling that drew anger from
Washington.
The Trump administration says its tariffs imposed two years ago on more
than $200 billion in Chinese goods were justified because China was stealing
intellectual property and forcing U.S. companies to transfer technology for
access to China’s markets.
But the WTO’s three-member panel said the U.S. duties broke trading
rules because they applied only to China and were above maximum rates agreed to
by the United States. Washington had not then adequately explained why its
measures were a justified exception, the panel concluded.
“This panel report confirms what the Trump administration has been
saying for four years: the WTO is completely inadequate to stop China’s harmful
technology practices,” U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said in
response.
China’s Commerce Ministry said Beijing supported the multilateral
trading system and respected WTO rules and rulings, and hoped Washington would
do the same.
The decision will have little immediate effect on the U.S. tariffs and
is just the start of a legal process that could take years to play out,
ultimately leading to the WTO approving retaliatory measures if it is upheld -
moves that China has already taken on its own.
The increase in the amount of forecast rainfall was due to
the storm's decreased forward speed. Monday night into Tuesday Sally had
crawled to a pace of just 2 mph as it inched closer to land.
But it’s better than the view out of
the windscreen, which is covered with mud from the dirty tricks US election
campaign, obscured by masses of smoke in America’s Pacific coastal states,
torrential rain in the Gulf coast states, and the European fog of a Hard Brexit
exit looming for January 1, 2021.
Time to turn on the Tesla auto-pilot,
and hope and pray that we don’t crash. Our Nikola truck won’t start this
morning.
World coronavirus GDP losses
exceed 2009 financial crisis, economic group says
Sept. 14, 2020 /
3:43 PM
Sept. 14 (UPI) -- A world economic organization said Monday that the COVID-19
pandemic's financial toll on the world's largest economies was significantly
more severe than the 2009 financial crisis.
The Paris-based Organization for Economic Co-operation and
Development reported that the gross domestic product of the world's G20 nations dropped by
6.9%, compared with a 1.6% decline recorded in the worst quarter of the 2009
recession.
China was the only country to report growth in GDP during
the second quarter, because the virus hit China early, and the economic effects
of a government shutdown were felt in the first quarter. The Chinese GDP grew
by 11.5 percent in the second quarter, the OECD said.
But the rest of the world felt the economic pinch of public
health shutdowns and the financial drains of medical crises worldwide.
GDP contracted by an average of -11.8% in all other G20 economies
[besides China] in the second quarter of 2020, when the effects of the pandemic
began to be more widely felt," the agency said in the report.
Economies dropped most dramatically in India, where GDP fell by 25.2%
and Britain, which dropped by 20.4%. Mexico's GDP dropped by 17.1%, followed by
South Africa (-16.4%), France (-13.8%), Italy (-12.8%) Canada (-11.5%) and
Turkey (-11%).
The United States GDP dropped by 9.1%, slightly less than Brazil and
Germany, which both recorded drops of 9.7%, the report said.
Finally,
Oh Canada!!! Well at least Canada has in ground gold, and a friend in President
Trump. Anyone know what happens when Magic Money Trees die?
David
Rosenberg: The real reason Canada's economic recovery is a mirage
Knowing how inorganic this recovery is
makes it hard to be bullish on the loonie
Sep 10, 2020
-----I get asked all the time why it is that data in Canada have been
looking so good. Well, few other countries have turned on the monetary and
fiscal spigots like Canada has. It’s an embarrassment of riches — who knew so
much money could grow on so many trees?
The Bank of Canada has taken its balance sheet relative to the size of
the economy to 27 per cent — the average for the industrialized world is 19 per
cent. The federal government deficit in Canada is on the precipice of testing
20 per cent of GDP, which is more than double the rest of the Organisation for
Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Who knew the Canadian government
would be of the view that it oversees the world’s reserve currency, and who
would have believed that the modern monetary theorists would have found such a
welcome home in Canada?
Anyone around
in the late 1960s when Justin’s dad, Pierre, was in charge, knows that we have
seen this movie before. And how it ends
Borrow, redistribute, spend. Borrow, redistribute, spend. And don’t
worry, interest rates will remain at zero forever. Anyone who was around in the
late 1960s when Justin’s dad, Pierre, was in charge, knows that we have seen
this movie before. And how it ends.
The data are startling. Here we are with a first-quarter real GDP
performance in Canada at a minus 8.2 per cent annual rate and followed that up
with a 38.7 per cent plunge in Q2. Even with the recovery in recent months,
employment is still in the hole to the tune of more than one million jobs, or
an annual rate of minus eight per cent through the first eight months of the
year. This is double the worst trend we ever saw in the 2008/09 Great
Recession, for some perspective on what this recovery really is about.
It is about government giveaways. Think about it. Labour income plunged
18.5 per cent in the first half of the year and yet personal disposable income
managed to expand at a whopping annual rate of 25.9 per cent because of the
eye-popping 324 per cent surge in government transfers to individuals and
families. Labour income is down $116 billion, but total income rose $160
billion because of the $246-billion surge in government transfers (other forms
of income fell in case you’re doing the arithmetic here).
The point is this: for the first time ever, a recession coincided with a
26 per cent annualized increase in total personal disposable income. In other
words, to showcase how the federal government has gone way beyond what was
needed, total income in the personal sector is running five times faster
with the pandemic and lockdowns than if they never happened at all. This is how
you can manufacture an artificial economy. And why it is very difficult to be
bullish on the Canadian dollar, knowing just how inorganic this recovery has
been.
That said, there is something to be said for the Canadian consumer here.
It is true that the fiscal outlook is less robust than it was before from an
income transfer standpoint, but the federal government seems committed to more
fiscal largesse through the spending front. We shall await the Throne Speech in
Parliament, which is on Sept. 23 (expect a lot of emphasis on green-energy
investment and other initiatives).
By means of glasses, hotbeds, and hotwalls, very good grapes can
be raised in Scotland, and very good wine too can be made of them at about
thirty times the expense for which at least equally good can be brought from
foreign countries. Would it be a reasonable law to prohibit the importation of
all foreign wines, merely to encourage the making of claret and burgundy in
Scotland?
Adam Smith. The Wealth of Nations, 1776.
Covid-19 Corner
This
section will continue until it becomes unneeded.
India Cases Reach 5 Million;
Trump’s Vaccine Claim: Virus Update
Bloomberg News
September
16, 2020, 12:09 AM GMT+1Updated on September 16, 2020, 5:41 AM GMT+1
India added over 90,000 new coronavirus cases to reach a
total of more than 5 million confirmed infections, lagging behind only the U.S.
in global tally.
A Pfizer Inc. vaccine trial showed promising safety signs after more than 12,000 people
received their second of two doses. President Donald Trump said a coronavirus
vaccine may be ready within four weeks.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. sent some Manhattan traders home
after an employee tested positive, highlighting the challenges of New York City’s
reopening.
Key
Developments:
Global Tracker:
Cases pass 29.4 million; deaths exceed 933,000
JPMorgan case is a test for
NYC’s reopening planners
AstraZeneca U.S. vaccine
trial remains on hold pending review
Why Indonesia became a testing ground for a Chinese
vaccine
A
new study from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has
found restaurant dining to be the most commonly shared activity amongst a
number of adults with COVID-19. The CDC study suggests eating and drinking at a
restaurant is an especially high-risk activity during this ongoing global
pandemic.
The
study investigated data from 314 adults who showed symptoms of and were tested
for COVID-19 at a variety of centers around the United States. Around half the
cohort tested positive for the virus, while the other half tested negative thus
serving as an effective control group.
All subjects participated in expansive interviews, allowing the
researchers to gather detailed demographic and behavioral data. Comparing the
positive and negative cases, the researchers found no differences between two
groups in most behavioral patterns. Both groups practiced similar rates of
mask-wearing, gyms and hair salon visitations and both groups consistently used
public transport.
However, the most striking finding was those positive COVID-19 cases
were twice as likely to have eaten in a restaurant compared to those in the
negative control group.
“In this investigation, participants with and without COVID-19 reported
generally similar community exposures, with the exception of going to locations
with on-site eating and drinking options,” the CDC study states. “Adults with
confirmed COVID-19 (case-patients) were approximately twice as likely as were
control-participants to have reported dining at a restaurant in the 14 days
before becoming ill.”
The study is admittedly quite limited in that it does not specifically
focus on individual routes of transmission. That is to say, the study does not
claim the positive COVID-19 cases stemmed from an exposure inside a restaurant.
But instead, the research is designed to identify those environments where
people may be most at risk of contracting the disease.
It is hypothesized restaurants may be intrinsically higher risk
environments due to the necessity of having to take masks off to eat. Enclosed
environments with often boisterous conversation and no consistent facial
covering are factors that all coalesce to make restaurants particularly
challenging locations for COVID-19 safety measures.
A global push is on to develop a vaccine to slow the
spread of Covid-19, and experts hope several will be ready in 2021. Yet even
with one, the coronavirus is likely to remain with us for years, demanding long
efforts to find a cure for those who still fall sick.
In humanity’s millennia-long
struggle against viruses, prevention with vaccines has been far more
successful
than treatment with drugs. In fact, modern medicine has come up with a true
cure for only one viral infection. For many serious infections, the best
approaches are a cocktail of drugs that throw speed bumps in front of the
infection.
It’s a lackluster medical armory,
belied by the seeming simplicity of our viral foes.
“They can’t live by themselves, they
aren’t independent, they can’t process food, take in oxygen, reproduce
themselves without the master support system of being the parasite inside a
living cell,” said Paula Cannon, a professor at the University of Southern
California’s Keck School of Medicine.
So why do viruses give humans so
much trouble? Outside of the body, a vigorous hand-washing is enough to kill
many. Inside, the immune system’s long memory is enough to make short work
of most.
It’s when we run into a new virus that
the problems start.
Next, some vaccine links
kindly sent along from a LIR reader in Canada. The links come from a most informative
update from Stanford Hospital in California.
With events happening
fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.
Updates as they get reported. Is converting sunlight to usable cheap AC or DC
energy mankind’s future from the 21st century onwards.
Growing gold nanoparticles inside
tumors can help kill cancer
Gold
isn’t just a pretty face – it’s shown promise in fighting cancer in many
studies. Now researchers have found a way to grow gold nanoparticles directly
inside cancer cells within 30 minutes, which can help with imaging and even be
heated up to kill the tumors.
For this new study, researchers instead found a way to grow the gold
directly inside the cancer cells. The advantage is that it doesn’t require as
high a concentration of gold in the cell, and it can be done much quicker than
other methods.
The team used polyethylene glycol (PEG) as a delivery vector for ionic
gold, which is essentially gold salts dissolved in a liquid. When this is
introduced to the cancer, the acidic cellular microenvironment converts the
gold from its ionic form into plasmonic gold nanoparticles. The team says this
happens in as little as 30 minutes, making it much faster than other treatments
which can take 24 hours or more.
“We have developed a unique system where gold nanoparticles are reduced
by cellular biomolecules and those are able to retain their functionality,
including the capacity to guide the remaining cluster to the nucleus,” says
Dipanjan Pan, corresponding author of the study.
In tests on mice, the researchers took the process a step further. They
first grew gold nanoparticles inside tumors of living mice, then hit them with
lasers to heat them up, killing the cancer cells. This method has been
demonstrated in the past, but the gold isn’t usually grown inside the cells
themselves.
“The intracellular formation and nuclear migration of these gold
nanoparticles presents a highly promising approach for drug delivery
application,” says Pan.
The statesman who should attempt to direct private people in
what manner they ought to employ their capitals, would not only load himself
with a most unnecessary attention, but assume an authority which could safely
be trusted, not only to no single person, but to no council or senate whatever,
and which would nowhere be so dangerous as in the hands of a man who had folly
and presumption enough to fancy himself fit to exercise it.
The NASDAQ
remained up. The DJIA and SP500 turned up in July. With stock mania running
fueled by trillions of central bankster new fiat money programs, especially
tech stock mania in the NASDAQ, the indicators are essentially worthless after
all these years. I will discontinue this section at the end of the month.
Following the markets on both sides of the Atlantic since 1968. A dinosaur, who evolved with the financial system as it was perverted from capitalism to banksterism after the great Nixonian error of abandoning the dollar's link to gold instead of simply revaluing gold. Our money is too important to be left to probity challenged central banksters and crooked politicians.
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