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Saturday, 3 April 2021

Easter Update 03/04/2021 Searching For An Honest Man.

 Baltic Dry Index. 2072 +26  Brent Crude 64.86

Spot Gold 1729

Covid-19 cases 02/04/20 World 1,000,000

Deaths 53,100

Covid-19 cases 03/04/21 World 130,820,485

Deaths 2,850,523

A happy, healthy, honest and safe Easter to all.

It’s only when the tide goes out that you learn who has been swimming naked.

Warren Buffett.

In our ever more dishonest, central bankster funded fake markets, fake invoices seem to have been used intentionally or unintentionally, by Greensill Capital, according to the Financial Times.  Another Wirecard scandal surfacing?

How many more to come?

Come back Diogenes and bring your lamp! Is there anyone honest in today’s world of fake money, funded by the central banksters newly discovered Magic Money Tree forests?

What happens when inflation hits, or the Magic Money Tree forest dies?

Below, the LIR Easter scandal edition.

Greensill Capital’s administrator unable to verify Gupta invoices

Exclusive: Grant Thornton has received denials from companies listed as debtors to steel group

Cynthia O’Murchu and Robert Smith in London  April 1 2021

Greensill Capital’s administrator has been unable to verify invoices underpinning loans to Sanjeev Gupta, after companies listed on the documents denied that they had ever done business with the metals magnate.

Greensill, whose collapse last month has become a corporate and political scandal, provided financing to Gupta’s companies backed by payments to his suppliers and from his customers.

The disputed invoices raise questions over other transactions underpinning billions of pounds of loans from Greensill to Gupta.

It comes as the metals magnate’s GFG Alliance, which owns metals plants around the world and employs 35,000 people, teeters on the brink of collapse. The state of Gupta’s UK steel operations has been of particular concern, with unions warning that up to 5,000 jobs are at risk across the country.

Grant Thornton, which is looking to recoup money owed to Greensill in its role as administrator to the collapsed firm, last month approached companies that were listed as debtors to Gupta’s Liberty Commodities trading firm, which borrowed hundreds of millions of pounds backed by invoices.

Greensill had extended a receivables financing facility to Liberty Commodities that allowed it to exchange bills from customers for cash upfront. This process, also known as factoring, meant that Greensill would get repaid when the customer settled the invoice, by paying for goods it purchased from Liberty.

However, several of these companies have disputed the veracity of the invoices from the metals magnate’s commodities trading firm, according to people familiar with the matter and correspondence seen by the Financial Times.

RPS Siegen GmbH, a German scrap metals business, confirmed to the FT that it had been approached about an outstanding invoice and said that it had not traded with Liberty Commodities.

 “We know them, but a trading relationship between us does not exist,” said Winfried Winterhager, manager at RPS Siegen.

 Grant Thornton and Greensill Capital declined to comment. Gupta’s GFG Alliance said it was unable to comment without seeing the relevant invoices.

Credit Suisse, which invested its clients’ money in bond-like products devised by Greensill, this week pushed for insolvency filings against several of the British businessman’s companies, including Liberty Commodities.

Gupta, once hailed as the “saviour of steel” for his rescue of metals plants from Wales to Australia, on Thursday disputed that these debts were due for repayment.

The UK government last week rejected a plea by Gupta for more than £170m to help bail out his British operations. The FT has previously reported that Greensill provided financing to Gupta’s business empire based on invoices from ostensibly independent companies, but which actually had deep ties to the steel magnate.

https://www.ft.com/content/fe234f59-75b9-44f7-af8a-f05e588957b7

Another Wirecard? Invoices Backing Greensill-Issued Bonds Never Existed, Administrator Finds

Friday, Apr 02, 2021 - 06:00 AM

As the collapse of Greensill Capital threatens to ensnare former PM David Cameron in a humiliating public probe, the Financial Times on Thursday reported some disturbing new details that appear to suggest Greensill wasn't merely reckless, but potentially guilty of a Wirecard-style fraud. According to the FT, Greensil's administrator - who is responsible for winding down whatever assets remain and managing creditors' claims - "has failed to verify invoices underpinning loans to Sanjeev Gupta, after companies listed on the documents denied that they had ever done business with the metals magnate."

In other words, it would appear that some of the bonds issued by Greensill were backed by fraudulent invoices. Keep in mind, Credit Suisse went on to take these bonds and absorb them into "low risk" trade finance funds marketed to the bank's "professional" clients, which mostly includes institutions like sovereign wealth funds, governments and ultra-wealthy individuals. German cities that invested in a Greensill-owned bank based in Germany have also been hammered by the firm's collapse.

More

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/another-wirecard-invoices-backing-greensill-issued-bonds-never-existed-administrator-finds

Greensill wage-advance app used by NHS nurses goes into administration

Administrators overseeing wind-down of Earnd UK with 30 employees made redundant

Thu 1 Apr 2021 15.48 BST

A wage-advance app owned by the collapsed-lender Greensill Capital and used by NHS nurses during the pandemic has gone into administration.

The Covent Garden-based company, Earnd UK, claimed to serve “thousands of UK employees across several NHS trusts” by allowing users to access their wages before their regular payday if they needed extra cash, similar to schemes run by rivals Wagestream and Hastee.

Like its parent company, Earnd tried to bolster its reputation by hiring Westminster heavyweights on to its advisory board, including Tony Blair’s former home secretary and Labour peer David Blunkett, and Dame Louise Casey, director general of the troubled families unit under David Cameron and former homelessness tsar for Boris Johnson.

The company, which also counted the former head of government procurement Bill Crothers among its directors, offered the service to roughly 10 NHS trusts free of charge but made money by charging private sector employers for the service.

Three of those contracts were negotiated through the central NHS’s corporate services provider, NHS SBS and

A spokesman for NHS SBS said it was trying “to ensure that staff can continue to access flexible salary payments via our NHS employee app, MySBSPay, in future”.

Lex Greensill struck a deal with the NHS trusts shortly after buying Earnd UK in late 2019, using cash from a fresh $655m (£475m) investment from SoftBank, a vast investment conglomerate run by the Japanese billionaire Masayoshi Son.

Earnd UK, formerly known as FreeUp, reported a loss of more than £615,000 in the final six months of 2019, according to its latest accounts.

Greensill also reportedly dispatched one of its own advisers, the former prime minister David Cameron, to lobby the Australian government to adopt Earnd while he was attending the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, last January.

The Mail on Sunday reported the offer was rejected because it was deemed too similar to payday lending.

More

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2021/apr/01/greensill-wage-advance-app-earnd-nhs-nurses-administration

Finally, what goes up, often comes down. The Archegos story of greed, leverage, egos, bankster self-deception, and a Fed fuelled gambling economy.  Happily, Archegos wasn’t too big to fail, requiring yet another taxpayer bailout.

The whole article on what is wrong with the central bankster’s gambling economy is well worth the read, if only because in the central bankster funded stock casinos there are many more leveraged gambling outfits lurking, awaiting a similar fate.

Call it a side effect of building castles on crooked foundations in an artificial, fake, Fed-supported market.

Rehypothecated Leverage: How Archegos Built A $100 Billion Portfolio Out Of Thin Air... And Then Blew Up

Thursday, Apr 01, 2021 - 06:13 PM

One week after the biggest, and most spectacular hedge fund collapse since LTCM, we now have an (almost) clear picture of how Bill Hwang’s Archegos family office managed to single-handedly make a boring media stock the best performing company of 2021, but then when its luck suddenly ended it was margin called into extinction, leading to billions in losses for the banks that enabled what Bloomberg has dubbed its "leveraged blowout."

Thanks to detailed reports by the Financial Times and Bloomberg, we now have the missing pieces to complete the picture of the biggest hedge fund implosion of the 21st century.

As a reminder, and as we previously discussed, we already knew how Archegos was building up stakes in its various holdings: unlike most other investors, the fund never actually owned the underlying stock or even calls on the stock, but rather transacted by purchasing equity swaps known as Total Return Swaps (TRS) or Certificates For Difference (CFD). Similar to Credit Default Swaps, TRS exposed Archegos to the daily variation margin on the underlying stock, and as such while the fund would benefit economically from increases in the underlying stock price (and, inversely, would be hit by price drops forcing it to put up more cash as margin any day the stock price dropped) it would never be the actual owner of record of the underlying stock. Instead, the stock that Archegos was long would be "owned" by its prime broker, the same entity that allowed it to enter into TRS in the first place. As such Archegos also never had any disclosure requirements, allowing it to transact completely in the dark while being fully compliant with SEC disclosure requirements - since it didn't own the underlying stock, Archegos did not have to disclose it. Simple and brilliant.

This part is important because the lack of a documented trail of ownership to Archegos is what enabled the entire Ponzi bezzle... and the staggering leverage the fund applied to its portfolio. Furthermore, well aware that there was almost no way to verify just how much of a given stock he owned, Hwang proceeded to have nearly identical positions with not one, not two but at least eight prime brokers (the final number is still being determined as more and more come out of the woodwork).

Not that Archegos prime brokers were completely clueless as to what was going on.

More. Much, much, more.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/rehypothecated-leverage-how-archegos-built-100-billion-portfolio-out-thin-air-and-then-blew

Seduced by Archegos' growth, Nomura took a chance on Hwang comeback

April 2, 2021  8:17 PM  By Lawrence Delevingne, Matt Scuffham, Sumeet Chatterjee

NEW YORK/HONG KONG (Reuters) - U.S. investor Sung Kook “Bill” Hwang was looking for a second chance on Wall Street after falling from grace and shutting his multibillion-dollar hedge fund firm. Japan’s Nomura Holdings Inc gave him one.

Nomura had previously had a relationship with Hwang’s Tiger Asia Management LLC before the investment firm shut down in 2012 after being punished by U.S. and Hong Kong regulators over insider trading of Chinese stocks.

Like other banks, it initially did not resume the business relationship with the Korean-American investor’s new family office, Archegos Capital Management, according to one person familiar with the situation. But Hwang’s appetite for huge bets on technology, media and other company stocks in the United States and Asia proved too lucrative to resist.

“It was ‘They paid their fines, everything’s settled ... they are open for business’” said a former Nomura employee with knowledge of the revived relationship. “It was like ‘OK ... what are you looking to do?’”

It took time for executives in Tokyo to approve the renewed relationship, in around 2016, the person said. But once they did, Archegos grew to become one of the ten most profitable clients for the bank’s U.S. operations, according to the same two people.

A U.S. spokesman for Nomura declined to comment on the relationship with Hwang.

---- The story of how Hwang worked his way back in to Nomura’s good graces with the promise of a lucrative trading relationship, details of which are reported here for the first time, underscores the risks Nomura was prepared to take to make headway in the world’s most competitive capital market.

This story is based on interviews with nearly a dozen people with knowledge of Hwang and Archegos and their relationships on Wall Street, including two people familiar with Nomura’s dealings with the fund.

More

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-markets-blocktrades-banks-insight/seduced-by-archegos-growth-nomura-took-a-chance-on-hwang-comeback-idUSKBN2BP1GD

It is hard to believe that a man is telling the truth when you know that you would lie if you were in his place.

H. L. Mencken.

Covid-19 Corner             

This section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

France sees biggest jump in COVID-19 intensive care patients in months

April 2, 2021  7:28 PM  By Reuters Staff

PARIS (Reuters) - France reported on Friday that 5,254 people were in intensive care units with COVID-19, an increase of 145 people in one day and the highest daily increase in five months.

The risk of emergency wards being unable to cope was one of the main reasons for President Emmanuel Macron to order a third nationwide lockdown this week, after unsuccessfully trying for months to contain the epidemic with a curfew and regional lockdowns.

From next week, France starts a third lockdown, with schools and non-essential businesses closed nationwide for four weeks.

Announcing the lockdown on Wednesday, Macron said the number of ICU beds will be raised from 7,000 to over 10,000.

At the peak of the first lockdown in spring 2020, France saw a high of 7,148 COVID-19 patients in ICUs, but that fell back to a few hundred in August following the strict first lockdown.

During November’s less restrictive lockdown, ICU numbers peaked at just under 5,000, but since then they have only briefly dipped below 3,000 in December.

With new infections rising sharply, doctors expect the third wave of the virus will peak in the coming two weeks, with a further increase in ICU numbers.

On Friday, new confirmed cases jumped by the highest week-on-week rate since the end of November, when France was in its second nationwide lockdown.

The ministry reported 46,677 new cases, 6.2% more than a week ago, taking the total to 4.74 million cases.

More

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-france/france-sees-biggest-jump-in-covid-19-intensive-care-patients-in-months-idUSKBN2BP1EN?il=0

India's richest state warns of full lockdown amid second wave of coronavirus

April 2, 2021  6:26 AM  By Zeba Siddiqui, Rajendra Jadhav

NEW DELHI (Reuters) - The chief minister of India’s Maharashtra state warned on Friday of a full lockdown to curb coronavirus infections if people did not limit their movement, as the country hit a six-month high for daily cases.

India’s richest state and home to the crowded financial capital Mumbai has been hit hard by the virus, while the country as a whole has now recorded 12.3 million cases including 81,466 new infections registered on Friday, health ministry data showed.

“Consider this a warning that I could impose a complete lockdown in the next couple of days if things remain the same,” Maharashtra’s Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray said in a televised address.

He said that people were not taking necessary precautions such as wearing masks or avoiding unnecessary travel.

“The situation in the state is worrying. If it continues, our health infrastructure will be inadequate in the next 15-20 days,” Thackeray added.

India has the third-highest death toll from the virus after the United States and Brazil, and several states are considering imposing new restrictions. The death toll in the country reached 163,396 with 469 new deaths reported on Friday.

Maharashtra reported as many as 47,828 new infections on Friday - its highest since the pandemic reached India in March 2020.

The southern state of Karnataka ordered gyms to be closed, barred functions at religious places and told cinema halls, bars, pubs and restaurants to accept a limited number of people.

Cases have also spiked in the states of Chhattisgarh, Punjab, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh.

More

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-india-cases/indias-richest-state-warns-of-full-lockdown-amid-second-wave-of-coronavirus-idUSKBN2BP0CD

Almost one in seven suffers long COVID, UK study finds

April 1, 2021

Nearly one in seven Britons who tested positive for COVID-19 continued to have symptoms for at least 12 weeks, according to a UK study released Thursday.

The Office for National Statistics said the study of over 20,000 people who had tested positive from April last year to March this year found 13.7 percent had symptoms that lasted for at least 12 weeks.

This was based on people's self-reported symptoms of so-called "long COVID". The list of 13 symptoms included fatigue, muscle pain and difficulty concentrating as well as loss of taste and smell.

Women were more more likely (14.7 percent) to report such long-lasting symptoms than men (12.7 percent).

Those aged 35-49 were most likely to report symptoms at five weeks (25.6 percent).

The study of UK patients was based on a random sample of 21,622 participants who tested positive from swabs and were asked about their symptoms monthly.

A control group who were unlikely to have been infected was also set up. It found they were eight times less likely to have such symptoms.

A larger survey of 1.1 million people self-reported long COVID over the four weeks ending March 6, 2021, the ONS said.

Ben Humberstone, Head of Health Analysis and Life Events at the ONS said this was its first analysis of new data and "our understanding of it and its quality will improve over time".

Long COVID "is an emerging phenomenon that is not yet fully understood", he added.

Britain, one of the countries worst hit by the pandemic, has recorded nearly 127,000 deaths from COVID and 4,350,266 cases.

However, the number of daily deaths and positive tests have fallen steadily amid a strong vaccination campaign.

https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-04-covid-uk.html

Pfizer COVID-19 shot 91% effective in updated data, protective against South African variant

April 1, 2021  12:29 PM  By Carl O’Donnell

(Reuters) - Pfizer Inc and BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine is around 91% effective at preventing the disease, they said on Thursday, citing updated trial data that included participants inoculated for up to six months.

The shot was also 100% effective in preventing illness among trial participants in South Africa, where a new variant called B1351 is dominant, though the number of those participants was relatively small at 800.

While the new overall efficacy rate of 91.3% is lower than the 95% originally reported in November for its 44,000-person trial, a number of variants have become more prevalent around the world since then.

Pfizer Chief Executive Albert Bourla said the updated results, which include data on more than 12,000 people fully inoculated for at least six months, positions the drugmakers to submit for full U.S. regulatory approval.

The vaccine is currently authorized on an emergency basis by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

The trial data “provide the first clinical results that a vaccine can effectively protect against currently circulating variants, a critical factor to reach herd immunity and end this pandemic for the global population,” BioNTech Chief Executive Ugur Sahin said in a statement.

Experts fear that new variants of COVID-19 from South Africa and Brazil could be resistant to existing vaccines and treatment. More than 300 cases of the South African variant have been detected in more than 25 U.S. states and jurisdictions, federal data shows.

The vaccine was 100% effective in preventing severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and 95.3% effective in preventing severe disease as defined by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

There were also no serious safety concerns observed in trial participants up to six months after the second dose, the companies said.

More

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-pfizer/pfizer-covid-19-shot-91-effective-in-updated-data-protective-against-south-african-variant-idUSKBN2BO55Y

Next, some very useful vaccine links kindly sent along from a LIR reader in Canada. The links come from a most informative update from Stanford Hospital in California.

World Health Organization - Landscape of COVID-19 candidate vaccines. https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/draft-landscape-of-covid-19-candidate-vaccines

NY Times Coronavirus Vaccine Tracker. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html

Stanford Website. https://racetoacure.stanford.edu/clinical-trials/132

FDA information. https://www.fda.gov/media/139638/download

Regulatory Focus COVID-19 vaccine tracker. https://www.raps.org/news-and-articles/news-articles/2020/3/covid-19-vaccine-tracker

Some more useful Covid links.

Johns Hopkins Coronavirus resource centre

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

Rt Covid-19

https://rt.live/

The Spectator Covid-19 data tracker (UK)

https://data.spectator.co.uk/city/national

Technology Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported. Is converting sunlight to usable cheap AC or DC energy mankind’s future from the 21st century onwards.

Global wind power installations hit record levels in 2020

Industry to install nearly 1 TW of new capacity from 2021 to 2030

29 March 2021

114 GW of new wind capacity was added globally in 2020, representing an 82% increase year-over-year (YoY), according to new research from Wood Mackenzie. This is the highest global annual installation total on record.  

China’s National Energy Administration reported 72 GW of installed capacity in 2020, which alone would have qualified as the most capacity added globally in a single year, says Wood Mackenzie. This total includes partially completed projects, as developers claimed full capacity to capitalise on the onshore wind subsidy before it expired at the end of last year.

As noted in the Wood Mackenzie report, the rest of the world - excluding China - added nearly 43 GW in 2020, a 15% increase YoY. Significant contributions came from the US (+6,565 MW YoY), Brazil (+1,055 MW YoY), the Netherlands (+1,878 MW YoY), and Australia (+1,363 MW YoY).

Luke Lewandowski, Wood Mackenzie Research Director, said: “The global wind power industry will add nearly 1 TW of new capacity from 2021 to 2030, underscoring the important role wind technologies will play in the energy transition.

“China’s 1,200 GW target of wind and solar by 2030 will result in 408 GW of new wind capacity from 2021 to 2030, representing 41% of global build. Offshore capacity in the country will grow by 73 GW during this period, an 800% increase in installed capacity in this sector.”

The rest of Asia Pacific will add 126 GW throughout Wood Mackenzie’s 10-year outlook, with India accounting for half of that. Annual GW-scale offshore capacity additions in the region began this year, driven largely by Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam.

Lewandowski added: “Another key region that will spur wind power growth through 2030 is Europe. The EU’s decarbonisation plan will motivate 248 GW of new wind capacity over our 10-year outlook. Additionally, 66% of this capacity will be onshore due to larger turbine models unlocking space-constrained markets, the repowering of an aging fleet, and increased development in Eastern Europe.”

A late 2020 extension of the Production Tax Credit (PTC) in the US has strengthened near-term expectations of 35 GW of new capacity from 2021 to 2023. From 2024 through 2030, new offshore capacity in the country is expected to average 4.5 GW per year and will comprise 40% of annual wind turbine build.

Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico will account for 90% of a record 16 GW of new capacity expected in Latin America between 2021 and 2023. This will be driven by an increase in commercial and industrial demand, coal retirements, and auctions.

https://www.woodmac.com/press-releases/global-wind-power-installations-hit-record-levels-in-2020/

This weekend’s musical diversion. Early Vivaldi (c. 1709) as we rarely get to hear him on modern media. Approx. 13 minutes.

A.    VIVALDI: Sonata for Violin, Oboe and Organ in C major RV 779, Ensemble Pian & Forte

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FjTBc8VWz5Q&t=685s

This Easter weekend’s chess masterpiece. Approx. 10 minutes.

The Game EVERYONE is Talking About!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NfG4kHHks-o

Finally, all you ever need to know about Easter, when and why and more.

 When is Easter in 2021?

Posted by Bruce McClure in Astronomy Essentials | Human World | March 27, 2021

Easter generally falls on the first Sunday after the first full moon on or after the vernal equinox. The 2021 equinox was March 20, marking an unofficial beginning of spring for the Northern Hemisphere and autumn for the Southern Hemisphere. The first full moon after the March equinox is this weekend, with the crest of the moon’s full phase falling on March 28, 2021. Voila. In 2021, Easter is the following Sunday, April 4.

The Council of Nicaea – first ecumenical council of the Christian church – established the date of Easter when it met in Turkey in the year 325 A.D. By ecclesiastical rules set centuries ago, there are 35 dates on which Easter can take place. The earliest possible date for Easter is March 22 and the latest possible date is April 25.

Easter can never come as early as March 21, however. That’s because, by ecclesiastical rules, the vernal equinox is fixed on March 21. That’s in spite of the fact that in the 21st century (2001 to 2100) every March equinox after the year 2007 will fall on March 19 or March 20.

Moreover, an ecclesiastical full moon does not necessarily happen on the same date as an astronomical full moon. Therefore, it’s possible for an ecclesiastical Easter and an astronomical Easter to occur on different dates, as well.

The last time Easter fell on March 22 (earliest possible date) was in 1818, and the next time will be in 2285. The most recent time an Easter came in March was March 27, 2016.

The earliest Easter in the 21st century came in the year 2008 (March 23, 2008). Another March 23 Easter won’t come again until the year 2160.

The century’s latest Easter will occur in the year 2038 (April 25, 2038). After that, it will next fall on April 25 in the year 2190.

See dates of Easter from 1700 to 2299 at Thomas Larsen’s list.

https://earthsky.org/astronomy-essentials/full-moon-vernal-equinox-date-of-easter?utm_source=EarthSky+News&utm_campaign=974b39f6f8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_02_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c643945d79-974b39f6f8-394244537

If calculus or algebra were required to be a great investor, I’d have to go back to delivering newspapers.

Warren Buffett.

Posted by Graeme Irvine at 06:31

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About Me

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Graeme Irvine
London, United Kingdom
Following the markets on both sides of the Atlantic since 1968. A dinosaur, who evolved with the financial system as it was perverted from capitalism to banksterism after the great Nixonian error of abandoning the dollar's link to gold instead of simply revaluing gold. Our money is too important to be left to probity challenged central banksters and crooked politicians.
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