Monday, 6 July 2015

Greece To Germany - Drop Dead.



Baltic Dry Index. 805 +11    Brent Crude 59.62

LIR Gold Target in 2019: $30,000.  Revised due to QE programs.

"If the EU cannot resolve a small problem the size of Greece, what is the point of Europe?"

Romano Prodi, former chief of the European Commission, former Italy Prime Minister.

Tired of five years of German bullying and a 2010 bailout that bailed out continental Europe’s banks but put the cost on the hapless Greeks, Greek voters hit back yesterday in Europe’s Boston Tea Party moment. Greek voters violently shook Euroland’s Great Tree of Illusion and Comfort, Merkel, Juncker, Draghi & Co., all came crashing down to earth. What happens next, no one knows. The ECB’s Draghi must now make good on his “whatever it takes pledge.”  “Whatever” just arrived yesterday, and how! Instead he seems to be happily in the campaign to get Greece kicked out of the monetary union. A no vote was almost a certainty after the IMF on Thursday said that whatever happens, Greece needs another 50 billion euro just to get through 2017.

The dying wealth and jobs destroying monetary union, which was already in the I. C. unit, just fell out of bed and got a kicking from Greece. If it wasn’t so serious it would all be very funny. Why would anyone want to be in a monetary Club like this. And just wait until MJD & Co., have to tackle the problems of Belgium, France, Italy and Spain!  Some 400 million continental Europeans, now have an urgent need to own some physical gold and silver.

Below, the Bilderberger dream of the euro replacing the dollar lies in ruins. My guess is that it still only gets worse from here! Give that morose, dour, Scots ex-Chancellor Brown a medal for keeping GB out of the monetary union from hell.

"On the whole human beings want to be good, but not too good, and not quite all the time.”

George Orwell.

Greeks Reject Austerity, Setting Up Euro Showdown

July 5, 2015 — 9:35 PM BST Updated on July 6, 2015 — 3:28 AM BST
Greece voted against yielding to further austerity demanded by creditors, leaving Europe’s leaders to determine if the renegade nation can remain in the euro.

Sixty-one percent of voters backed Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’s rejection of further spending cuts and tax increases in an unprecedented referendum that’s also taken the country to the brink of financial collapse.

Tsipras described the result as a “great victory”, and said Athens would return to the negotiating table on Monday with a strengthened hand.

As the euro fell to a four-week low in Asian trading and Tsipras’s supporters filled Athens’s central Syntagma Square waving Greek flags, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande called for an emergency leaders’ summit on Tuesday.

The result turns the tables on Merkel and Greece’s other creditors, who must now decide if a financial rescue of the region’s most-indebted country is still possible. It significantly raises the chances of a Greek exit from the single currency, as the country’s banks run out of cash and its economy staggers toward all-out collapse.

“The bill for keeping Greece in the euro area -- without commitment to reform -- has just risen disproportionately,” said Mujtaba Rahman, the head of the Europe practice at political consultancy Eurasia Group. “The hawks in the euro group will win the debate that aid should be given to the country to leave the currency bloc.”
More
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-05/tsipras-turns-tables-on-europe-in-austerity-referendum-triumph

German calls for Grexit mount as EU stunned by 'No' vote

BRUSSELS/BERLIN | Sun Jul 5, 2015 7:13pm EDT
France and Germany called for an emergency summit of euro zone leaders to discuss Greece's stunning referendum vote on Sunday to reject bailout terms, as calls mounted in Berlin to cut Athens loose from Europe's common currency.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel's deputy said Athens had wrecked any hope of compromise with its euro zone partners by overwhelmingly rejecting further austerity.

Merkel and French President Francois Hollande conferred by telephone and will meet in Paris on Monday afternoon to seek a joint response. Responding to their call, European Council President Donald Tusk announced that euro zone leaders would meet in Brussels on Tuesday evening (1600 GMT).

German Vice-Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel, leader of Merkel's centre-left Social Democratic junior coalition partner, said it was hard to conceive of fresh negotiations on lending more billions to Athens after Greeks voted against more austerity.

Leftist Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras had "torn down the last bridges on which Greece and Europe could have moved towards a compromise," Gabriel told the Tagesspiegel daily.

His comments reflected a mounting public demand in the most powerful EU country, which is also Greece's biggest creditor, to eject Athens from the 19-nation currency area, of which membership was intended to be irreversible.

It was not clear whether Merkel, who has repeatedly said she wants to keep Greece in the euro zone, would shift to a similarly hard line.

But senior lawmakers in her conservative bloc also spoke firmly: "Now one has to ask the question whether Greece would not be better off outside the euro zone," Hans Michelbach, a member of the Bavarian Christian Social Union, told Reuters. "Unfortunately, Greece has chosen a path of isolation."

The vote sharpened differences between Greece's few remaining sympathizers in the euro zone - mostly in Italy and France - and hardline countries led by Germany that are fed up with pouring loans into Greece.

Italy's foreign minister, Paolo Gentiloni, said the euro zone should resume efforts to reach a deal with Athens.
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Greece has captured its conqueror. Now the EU should forgive and restructure the debt

The Greek people may have spent too much in the good times but austerity is now killing their country. The EU should demonstrate compassion

The Roman poet Horace said: "captive Greece captured its rude conqueror." He meant that the defeated ancient Greeks won in the long run by bringing poetry to his savage Empire. I hope the victory of the No vote in Sunday's referendum means that this time they'll bring a little compassion to the EU. It sorely needs it.

Compassion. It's not a concept that a lot of people are applying to the Greek crisis. The EU elite has handled it with charmless inelegance, threatening Greece even with the prospect of "suicide" (note: it would be the EU pulling the plug). When the result came in, some Eurofanatics said Greece should suffer the consequences and leave the Euro. There were quite a few economic conservatives who agreed, because they regard the whole thing as a morality play about socialism and debt. The far Left and far Right, meanwhile, cheered a "triumph of democracy", surely knowing that the triumph will actually involve more pain in the medium term. Too often, the Brits see everything from their own
perspective. We see Grexit and think of Brexit and our own struggle for national self-determination.
But Greece, by contrast, is struggling to survive - not, say, end the tyranny of EU banana regulation.

No one in this story is an angel. Greece has effectively admitted that it lied to get into the Euro, spent too much and propped up a crazy welfare system in which hairdressers could retire at 50. But when the Crash came, the EU compelled them to swallow an overwhelming debt burden and pay for it via tax rises and cuts. Boy, did they pay. Public sector wages fell by 1/3. Pensions by 44 per cent. Per capita income by $5,000. And suicide jumped by 35 per cent.
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In other news, China moved over the weekend to rig its collapsing stock market bubble. 
We are rapidly reaching the end of the Great Nixonian Error of fiat money. China is rigging markets. Japan is rigging markets. America is rigging markets. Europe is rigging markets. Yet the global economy can’t seem to break out from the global shock of 2007-2009. Canute ordering back the sea comes to mind.

Chinese stocks rise after Beijing unleashes emergency support

Mon Jul 6, 2015 12:35am EDT                            
Chinese stocks rose on Monday after Beijing unleashed an unprecedented series of support measures over the weekend to stave off the prospect of a full-blown crash that was threatening to destabilize the world's second-biggest economy.

In an extraordinary weekend of policy moves, brokerages and fund managers vowed to buy massive amounts of stocks, helped by China's state-backed margin finance company, which in turn would be aided by a direct line of liquidity from the central bank.

The CSI300 index .CSI300 of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen was up 2.5 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index .SSEC had gained 2.2 percent, pulling back after an initial burst of euphoria sent them up around 8 percent when trading began.

Oliver Barron, China policy research analyst at NSBO, said it wasn't just faith in the markets at stake after investors had ignored official measures to prop up the market as equity indexes slid around 12 percent last week.

"After the market continued to fall despite myriad support measures, the government reached peak panic mode and must have worried that investors would not only lose confidence in the markets, but in the government itself," he said.

The rapid decline of China's previously booming stock market, which by the end of last week had fallen around 30 percent from a mid-June peak, had become a major headache for President Xi Jinping and China's top leaders, who were already struggling to avert a sharper economic slowdown.

In response, China has orchestrated a halt to new share issues, with dozens of firms scrapping their IPO plans in separate but similarly worded statements over the weekend, in a tactic authorities have used before to support markets.

China Vanke Co Ltd (000002.SZ), the country's largest developer, said in a statement to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Monday it planned to repurchase up to 10 billion yuan ($1.6 billion) worth of its domestic shares to protect investor interests.

China's state media rolled in behind the official moves with supportive reports and commentaries.
"Rainbows always appear after rains," said an editorial by the People's Daily, the mouthpiece of the ruling Communist Party on Monday. "(China has) the conditions, ability and confidence in maintaining capital market stability," the newspaper said.

Monday's gains were focused on blue chips, the explicit target of the stabilization fund, with the ChiNext growth board .CHINEXTC, home to some of China's giddiest small-cap valuations, falling 3.8 percent.

---- China stocks had more than doubled over the past year, despite a cooling economy and weakening corporate earnings, resulting in a market that even China's bullish securities regulators eventually admitted had become too frothy.

But the slide that began in mid-June, and which the China Securities Regulatory Commission initially tried to downplay as a "healthy" correction, quickly showed signs of getting out of hand.

A surprise interest-rate cut by the central bank at the end of June, relaxations in margin trading and other "stability measures" did little to calm investors, many of whom have borrowed heavily to play the stock market.

STILL EXPENSIVE

In a series of initial announcements on Saturday, China's top brokerages pledged to collectively buy at least 120 billion yuan ($19.3 billion) of shares to help steady the market, and said they would not sell while the Shanghai Composite Index remained below 4,500, a level last seen on June 25.
More
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/06/us-china-markets-idUSKCN0PG06B20150706

In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

George Orwell.

At the Comex silver depositories Thursday final figures were: Registered 60.11 Moz, Eligible 123.57 Moz, Total 183.68 Moz. 

Crooks and Scoundrels Corner

The bent, the seriously bent, and the totally doubled over.
No comment needed from me.
"When it becomes serious, you have to lie"

Jean-Claude Juncker. Failed Luxembourg Prime Minister and ex-president of the Euro Group of Finance Ministers. Confessed liar. EC President.

Stop lying to the Greeks — life without the euro is great

Published: July 2, 2015 8:55 a.m. ET

Countries that don’t use the common currency have fared well

Will the euro-fanatics please stop lying to the people of Greece?
And while they’re at it, will they please stop lying to the rest of us as well?
Can they stop pretending that life outside the euro — for the Greeks or any other European country — would be a fate worse than death?
Can they stop claiming that if the Greeks go back to the drachma, they will be condemned to a miserable existence on the dark backwaters of European life, a small, forgotten and isolated country with no factories, no inward investment and no hope?
Those dishonest threats are being leveled this week at the people of Greece, as they gear up for the weekend’s big referendum on more austerity. The bully boys of Brussels, Frankfurt and elsewhere are warning the Greek people that if they don’t do as they’re told, and submit to yet more economic leeches, they may end up outside the euro … at which point, of course, life would stop.
Take a look at the chart at the top of this article. It compares the economic performance of Greece inside the euro with European rivals that don’t use the euro.
Those other countries cover a wide range of situations, of course — from rich and stable Denmark, to former Soviet Union countries, to Greece’s neighbor Turkey, which isn’t even in the European Union.
But they all have one thing in common. During the past 15 years, while Greece has been enjoying the “benefits” of having Brussels run their monetary policies, those poor suckers have all been stuck running their own affairs and managing their own currencies (if you can imagine).
And you can see just how badly they’ve suffered as a result.
They’ve crushed it. Romania, Turkey, Poland, Sweden, Croatia — you name it, they’ve all posted vastly better growth rates than Greece.
----The data come from the International Monetary Fund itself. It measures growth in gross domestic product, per person, in constant prices (in other words, with price inflation stripped out).
Greece adopted the euro in 2001. And after 14 years in the same club as the big boys, they are back right where they started. Real per-person economic growth over that time: Zero.
Meanwhile Romania, with the leu, has only … er … doubled.
Everyone else is up. The Icelanders, who suffered the worst financial catastrophe on the planet in 2008, have nonetheless managed to grow.
Yes, all data points have caveats. Each country has its own story and its own advantages and disadvantages. But the overall picture is clear: The euro has either caused Greece’s disastrous economic performance, or at least failed to prevent it.
----Britain without the euro would be an “orphan country,” petted, humored but ignored, warned one leading figure. Britain would lose all influence and status. It would become a marginal country outside the mainstream of Europe. It would lose “a million jobs.” Factories would close. The car industry would collapse. Foreign investors would walk away because of Britain’s isolation. Exports would plummet because of exchange-rate fluctuations. The City of London, Britain’s financial district, would lose out to Frankfurt. The London Stock Exchange would be reduced to a local backwater. Tumbleweeds would blow in the streets. (OK, I made that one up.)
And here we are today.
Since 1992, when the single currency project began taxiing for takeoff, the countries on board have seen total economic growth of 40%, says the IMF.
Poor old Great Britain, stuck back at the departure lounge with its miserable pound sterling? Just 67%.
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Freedom is the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.

George Orwell.

Solar  & Related Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power, I’ve added this new section. Updates as they get reported. Is converting sunlight to usable cheap AC energy mankind’s future from the 21st century onwards? A quantum computer next?

Formula-e, and flywheel energy storage, plus a few other bits and pieces.

POWERING FORMULA E

Williams Advanced Engineering announced in June 2013 that it will partner with Spark Racing Technology to design and assemble a battery system for the 42 cars that compete in the FIA Formula E Championship.
Spark Racing Technology was created in 2012 and is focused on the manufacture of the cars that will compete in the FIA Formula E Championship, the world’s first fully-electric racing series that begins in 2014. Williams Advanced Engineering has signed an exclusive agreement with Spark Racing Technology and will be the sole supplier of battery technology to Formula E.
Williams battery expertise first originated from its Formula One programme, following the introduction of Kinetic Energy Recovery Systems into the sport in 2009. Williams Advanced Engineering is drawing upon the battery systems used in Williams' Formula One cars to create new battery and battery management systems that are capable of powering a fully electric racing car.
More

http://www.williamsf1.com/advanced-engineering/case-studies

 http://www.williamsf1.com/advanced-engineering/news

 

Moon phase calendar.

Because everyone should have one, and this July has a “blue” moon.

The monthly Coppock Indicators finished June

DJIA: +98 Down. NASDAQ: +192 Down. SP500: +127 Down. 

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