By Stella
Qiu , Ryan
Woo
BEIJING
(Reuters) -China’s factory gate prices rose at the fastest rate in three and a
half years in April, data showed on Tuesday, adding to inflation concerns as
the world’s second-largest economy gathers momentum after strong growth in the
first quarter.
The producer price index (PPI), a
gauge of industrial profitability, rose 6.8% from a year earlier, the National
Bureau of Statistics said, ahead of a 6.5% rise tipped by a Reuters poll of
analysts and a 4.4% rise in March.
Investors globally are increasingly
worried that pandemic-driven stimulus measures could spark a rapid rise in
inflation and force central banks to raise interest rates and take other
tightening measures, potentially holding back economic recovery.
However, while producer prices are
soaring, analysts said the rising costs were unlikely to be fully passed on to
consumers. April’s consumer price index (CPI) rose by a modest 0.9% on a year
earlier.
---- The sharp jump in producer prices
included an 85.8% surge in oil and natural gas extraction from a year ago,
while ferrous metals processing rose 30%, said Dong Lijuan, senior NBS
statistician in a statement accompanying the data release.
Consumers could see some price rises
ahead from a global chip shortage affecting goods such as home appliances, cars
and computers, said Iris Pang, Greater China chief economist at ING.
“We believe that the chip price
increase has already pushed up prices of fridges, washing machines, TVs,
laptops and car prices in April, which increased 0.6%-1.0% month-on-month,” she
said.
Even as producer prices surged, the
consumer inflation remained mild. April’s 0.9% CPI increase was up on a 0.4%
rise in March, driven mostly by gains in non-food prices as the services sector
recovered. However, it missed analysts’ expectations for a 1.0% rise.
Sheng Laiyun, a deputy director at
NBS, said on Friday that China’s full-year CPI is likely to be significantly
below the official target of around 3%.
More
https://www.reuters.com/article/china-economy-inflation/update-3-chinas-factory-gate-prices-surge-at-fastest-in-over-3-years-idUSL1N2MW0LW
Iron Ore Turns ‘Very Hot’ as 10%
Surge Adds to Commodities Boom
Bloomberg News
10 May 2021, 01:52 BST Updated on 10 May 2021,
06:29 BST
·
Futures soar past $226 in Singapore to all-time
high
·
Goldman says commodities may be entering
‘Goldilocks scenario’
Iron ore futures surged more than 10% and copper jumped to
a record amid growing bets they’ll be among the biggest winners from a commodities
boom that’s stoking concerns about inflation around the world.
While market participants struggled to pinpoint a trigger
for Monday’s gains, they cited several ongoing trends including optimism that
central banks will retain supportive policies even as the global economy
recovers. Expectations China will tighten environmental rules have added to the
bull case for copper -- seen as vital to the green energy transition -- and
fueled speculation that steelmakers may front-load iron ore purchases before new
curbs kick in.
The gains add to a more than yearlong surge in raw-materials
prices that has shifted into overdrive in recent weeks, with the Bloomberg
Commodity Spot Index climbing for 14 of the past 15 days to the highest level
in almost a decade.
A “Goldilocks scenario” may be forming as strengthening global
growth combines with restrained wage pressures and a dovish Federal Reserve,
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. commodities analysts said
in a May 7 report, the same day weak U.S. jobs figures added to the case for
more stimulus. The risk for bulls -- and anyone betting on buoyant returns from
stocks and bonds -- is that the surge in raw materials feeds through to broader
measures of inflation and eventually forces central banks to tighten.
The iron ore sector “is very, very hot,” Vivek Dhar,
commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in Bloomberg
Television interview. “Supply is still not able to meet that strong demand.”
Read:
Investors Bet Billions That the Metals Bull Run Isn’t Stopping
Iron ore futures in Singapore jumped to a record above $226 a
ton, extending this year’s gain to about 40%. Contracts in Dalian climbed by
the daily limit when the market opened. Raw materials producers led gains in
the MSCI Asia Pacific Index of regional shares, while Australia’s benchmark
equity index was trading near an all-time high. Iron ore is the country’s
biggest export earner.
Copper, often viewed as a barometer of the global economy’s
health, rose as much as 2.1% to a record $10,639 a metric ton on the London
Metal Exchange.
Copper remains a favorite long wager in the commodities
complex, as “massive green demand is set to clash with a completely unprepared
supply side,” Goldman Sachs analysts led by Sabine Schels wrote. They said the
metal may rise to $11,000 a ton in 12 months and to $14,000 in 2024.
“The supply side has been overshadowed somewhat recently with
this spike in prices and stimulus projects talking about electric vehicle
demand and decarbonization,” Sam Spring, CEO of Kincora
Copper Ltd. , an exploration company, said in a phone interview. “Before
Covid and the spike in the copper price, you already had the industry
struggling to keep supply flat. Investment from the last commodity cycle had
peaked and not many new projects had been kicked off post 2015-16.”
The iron-ore boom comes as China’s steelmakers keep output
rates above 1 billion tons a year, despite a swath of production curbs aimed at
reducing carbon emissions and reining in supply. Those measures have boosted
steel prices and profitability at mills, allowing them to better accommodate
higher iron ore costs and potentially front-load production ahead of more
environmental restrictions.
Steelmakers in the rest of the world, such as ArcelorMittal
SA, are also enjoying a boom
as demand bounces back from pandemic lows.
More
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-10/iron-ore-turns-very-very-hot-as-prices-jump-10-in-minutes?srnd=premium-europe
Corn Is the Latest Commodity to
Soar
Prices
have risen roughly 50% in 2021, and a bushel costs more than twice what it did
a year ago
Updated May 10, 2021 3:11 pm ET
America’s biggest cash crop has rarely been more expensive.
Corn prices have risen roughly 50% in 2021 and a bushel costs more than twice
what it did a year ago.
Corn has been one of the sharpest risers in the broad rally
in raw materials that is prompting companies to boost prices for goods and fueling concern among investors
that inflation could hobble the post-pandemic economic recovery .
Lumber prices have shot to more than four times what is typical , pushing up home
prices and obliterating renovation budgets. Copper, a cog of industry found
throughout the home and in electronics, hit record prices Friday . Crude oil hasn’t cost so much
since 2018 and soybeans are trading at their loftiest level since 2012.
With
corn climbing toward a record, Americans can expect to pay more for all sorts
of items at the grocery store as well as at the gasoline pump. Corn is a key
ingredient in making products ranging from tortilla chips and chicken wings to bourbon and Coca-Cola . About 40% of the U.S. crop is blended into
motor fuel.
More
https://www.wsj.com/articles/corn-is-the-latest-commodity-to-pop-11620644400
Visualizing the Recent Explosion
in Lumber Prices
Published May 8, 2021
Lumber is an important commodity
used in construction, and refers to wood that has been processed into beams or
planks.
Fluctuations in its price, which is
typically quoted in USD/1,000 board feet (bd ft), can significantly affect the
housing industry and in turn, influence the broader U.S. economy.
To understand the impact that lumber
prices can have, we’ve visualized the number of homes that can be built with
$50,000 worth of lumber, one year apart.
More
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/visualizing-explosion-lumber-prices-50k/
Covid-19 Corner
This
section will continue until it becomes unneeded.
In India’s northeast there’s fear
of a virus surge to come
By
WASBIR HUSSAIN and ANIRUDDHA GHOSAL May 10, 2021
GAUHATI, India (AP) — With experts saying the
coronavirus is likely spreading in India’s northeastern state of Assam faster
than anywhere else in the country, authorities were preparing Monday for a
surge in infections by converting a massive stadium and a university into
hospitals.
Cases in Assam started ticking upward a month
ago and the official seven-day weekly average in the state on May 9 stood at
more than 4,700 cases. But a model run by the University of Michigan — which
predicts the current spread of cases before they are actually detected — says
infections in Assam are likely occurring as fast as any other place in the
country.
Add to that recent elections in the state — and
the huge political rallies that accompanied them — and experts fear a
uncontrolled surge is on the horizon.
Worryingly, along with cities in India’s
northeastern frontier — which is closer to Myanmar, Bangladesh and Bhutan than
it is New Delhi — cases have also started to spike in some remote Himalayan
villages in the region.
Nationwide, India’s Health Ministry reported
360,000 new cases in the past 24 hours Monday, with more than 3,700 deaths.
Since the pandemic began, India has seen more than 22.6 million infections and
more than 246,000 deaths —- both, experts say, almost certainly undercounts.
Officials in Assam were racing to prepare for a
virus surge because similar onslaughts in infections have overwhelmed hospitals
in much richer Indian states.
“We are adding 1,000 beds a week to prepare
ourselves in the event of cases spiraling,” said Dr Lakshmanan S, the director
of the National Health Mission in Assam.
The state’s largest government-run hospital,
the Guwahati Medical College Hospital has more than doubled its number of
intensive care beds to 220 and health officials are building another 200 in the
hospital’s parking lot.
A football and cricket stadium is being
converted into a hospital for COVID-19 patients with 430 beds. The private
Royal Global University in the state capital, Gauhati, has been converted into
a hospital with 1,000 beds.
----Adding to concerns is confirmation the virus
has started spreading into more remote Himalayan villages with poor health
infrastructure. These areas are home to indigenous tribes, whose are already
face some of the lowest access to health care in the nation.
The region had largely been
untouched by the virus earlier and many people behaved like COVID-19 didn’t
exist. But it now appears the virus was spreading in even remote villages
without people knowing until it was too late.
More
https://apnews.com/article/india-science-coronavirus-pandemic-health-government-and-politics-a8f84336cc5de2e729ba848f75728837
At Rs 700-Rs 1,500, price of Covid vaccine in India’s private
market is among the costliest
Last Updated: May 10, 2021, 02:02 PM IST
From Rs 250, the cost of vaccines in the
private sector has shot up by up to six times. It now ranges from Rs 700-900
for Covishield manufactured by the Serum Institute of India (SII) and Rs
1,250-1,500 for Covaxin manufactured by Bharat Biotech (BB). The CoWIN website
shows that the bulk of private-sector vaccination right now is by four big
corporate hospital groups — Apollo, Max, Fortis and Manipal.
An overwhelming majority of countries are
not making people pay from their own pocket for Covid vaccination. India is not
only one of the few exceptions, the cost of vaccines in the private market in
India is among the highest — almost $12 for getting a shot of Covishield and
$17 for Covaxin.
Initially, the Centre was procuring both vaccines at Rs 150 and supplying to
state governments and private hospitals. The private sector was allowed to
charge Rs 100 per dose as vaccination charges. Private hospitals had agreed
that Rs 100 would cover the cost of administering the vaccine. However, many
hospitals are effectively charging Rs 250-300 per shot of Covishield as
vaccination charges.
A Max hospital spokesperson told TOI that
the landed price of Covishield was Rs 660-670, including GST and transportation
and storage costs. There is 5-6% wastage due to breakage, and thus the cost of
vaccine per inoculation is Rs 710-715, she added. “The vaccine administration
charges include hand sanitiser, PPE kit for staff, biomedical waste disposal
etc which comes to Rs 170-180. The net cost of Rs 900,” she said.
More
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/healthcare/biotech/healthcare/at-rs-700-rs-1500-price-of-covid-vaccine-in-indias-private-sector-among-costliest/articleshow/82513865.cms
Australian judge upholds
temporary ban on Indian travel
10 May 2021
SYDNEY (AP) — An Australian judge on
Monday rejected a challenge to a temporary COVID-19 ban on citizens returning
from India.
The government imposed the Indian
travel ban on April 30 to relieve pressure on quarantine facilities for
returned international travelers. The ban will be lifted on Friday when a
government-chartered plane is expected to repatriate 150 of the 9,000
Australians in India who want to come home.
Federal Court Justice Tom Thawley
dismissed the first two parts of a four-pronged challenge to the ban initiated
by 73-year-old Australian Gary Newman who has been stranded since March last
year in the Indian city of Bangalore.
The second two parts are based on
constitutional grounds so require more notice for a court hearing than Newman’s
application last week for an urgent hearing allowed.
The hearing was initiated before the
government announced that six chartered flights would bring Australians home
before the end of May. The government has yet to decide when commercial flights
will resume.
The ban is the first time that
Australia’s Biosecurity Act has been used to prevent Australians from returning
home.
Newman’s lawyers had argued the ban
violated a fundamental common law right of citizens to enter their country of
citizenship.
Thawley ruled that the Biosecurity
Act was intended to impinge on common law rights.
More
https://apnews.com/article/australia-india-coronavirus-pandemic-health-64870bfb1b803ccb02f97de8efa6cc42
Covid jab maker BioNTech to build
SE Asia manufacturing site
Issued on: 10/05/2021 -
09:26
Covid jab maker BioNTech said Monday
it would build a Southeast Asia headquarters and manufacturing site in
Singapore to produce hundreds of millions of mRNA-based vaccines per year.
Construction of the site will start
this year, and it could become operational by 2023, the German company said in
a statement.
"With this planned mRNA
production facility, we will increase our overall network capacity and expand
our ability to manufacture and deliver our mRNA vaccines and therapies to
people around the world," said BioNTech chief executive Ugur Sahin.
The vaccine produced by BioNTech
jointly with Pfizer of the United States became the first Covid-19 jab to be
approved for use in the West late last year.
It is now supplying more than 90
countries worldwide, and is expecting to ramp up its production to up to three
billion doses by the end of the year from 2.5 billion doses expected
previously.
The pace will further accelerate to
more than three billion doses in 2022.
The Singapore production site will
be the German company's first mRNA manufacturing facility outside Europe, and
will have an estimated capacity of several hundred million doses of such
vaccines.
More
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210510-covid-jab-maker-biontech-to-build-se-asia-manufacturing-site
Next, some vaccine links kindly
sent along from a LIR reader in Canada. The links come from a most informative
update from Stanford Hospital in California.
World
Health Organization - Landscape of COVID-19 candidate vaccines . https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/draft-landscape-of-covid-19-candidate-vaccines
NY
Times Coronavirus Vaccine Tracker . https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html
Stanford
Website . https://racetoacure.stanford.edu/clinical-trials/132
Regulatory
Focus COVID-19 vaccine tracker . https://www.raps.org/news-and-articles/news-articles/2020/3/covid-19-vaccine-tracker
Some other useful Covid links.
Johns Hopkins Coronavirus
resource centre
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
Rt Covid-19
https://rt.live/
Centers for Disease Control
Coronavirus
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html
The Spectator
Covid-19 data tracker (UK)
https://data.spectator.co.uk/city/national
Technology Update.
With events happening
fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section.
Updates as they get reported.
Towards 2D memory technology by
magnetic graphene
Date: May 6, 2021
Source: University of Groningen
Summary: In spintronics, the magnetic moment of
electrons is used to transfer and manipulate information. An ultra-compact 2D
spin-logic circuitry could be built from 2D materials that can transport the
spin information over long distances and provide strong spin-polarization of
charge current. Experiments by physicists suggest that magnetic graphene can be
the ultimate choice for these 2D spin-logic devices as it efficiently converts
charge to spin current and can transfer this strong spin-polarization over long
distances.
In spintronics, the magnetic moment
of electrons (spin) is used to transfer and manipulate information. An
ultra-compact 2D spin-logic circuitry could be built from 2D materials that can
transport the spin information over long distances and also provide strong
spin-polarization of charge current. Experiments by physicists at the
University of Groningen (The Netherlands) and Colombia University (USA) suggest
that magnetic graphene can be the ultimate choice for these 2D spin-logic
devices as it efficiently converts charge to spin current and can transfer this
strong spin-polarization over long distances. This discovery was published on 6
May in Nature Nanotechnology .
Spintronic devices are promising
high-speed and energy-saving alternatives for the current electronics. These
devices use the magnetic moment of electrons so-called spins ('up' or 'down')
to transfer and store information. The ongoing scaling down of memory
technology requires ever smaller spintronic devices and thus it seeks for
atomically thin materials that can actively generate large spin signals and
transfer the spin information over micrometre-long distances.
Graphene
For over a decade, graphene has been
the most favourable 2D material for the transport of spin information. However,
graphene cannot generate spin current by itself unless its properties are
appropriately modified. One way to achieve this is to make it act as a magnetic
material. The magnetism would favour the passage of one type of spin and thus
create an imbalance in the number of electrons with spin-up versus spin-down.
In magnetic graphene, this would result in a highly spin-polarized current.
This idea had now been
experimentally confirmed by the scientists in the Physics of Nanodevices group
led by prof. Bart van Wees at the University of Groningen, Zernike institute
for advanced materials. When they brought graphene in close proximity to a 2D
layered antiferromagnet, CrSBr, they could directly measure a large
spin-polarization of current, generated by the magnetic graphene.
---- The spin transport in graphene, furthermore,
is highly sensitive to the magnetic behaviour of the outer-most layer of the
neighbouring antiferromagnet. This implies that such spin transport
measurements enable the read-out of the magnetisation of a single atomic layer.
Thus, the magnetic graphene-based devices not only address the most
technologically relevant aspects of magnetism in graphene for the 2D memory and
sensory systems but also provide further insight into the physics of magnetism.
The future implications of these
results will be investigated in the context of the EU Graphene Flagship, which
works towards new applications of graphene and 2D materials.
More
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2021/05/210506142123.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Fmatter_energy%2Fgraphene+%28Graphene+News+--+ScienceDaily%29
What people today call inflation is not inflation, i.e., the
increase in the quantity of money and money substitutes, but the general rise
in commodity prices and wage rates which is the inevitable consequence of
inflation.
Ludwig von Mises.
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