Baltic Dry Index. 1169 +21 Brent Crude 46.60
Spot Gold 1828
Coronavirus Cases 24/11/20 World 59,516,010
Deaths 1,402,042
“See now the power of truth; the same experiment which at first
glance seemed to show one thing, when more carefully examined, assures us of
the contrary.”
Discorsi E Dimostrazioni Matematiche: Intorno a Due Nuoue Scienze, Attenenti Alla Mecanica & I Movimenti Locali
As usual, the “markets” are busy counting their chickens before they’re hatched, crossing bridges before they’ve come to them, and salivating over Tesla getting added to the S&P next month, guaranteeing massive year-end profits and bonuses.
Ignored for now that the world is just about to embark on the biggest unknown human experiment ever recklessly undertaken on humanity.
We are proposing, starting next month, to start vaccinating millions, if not hundreds of millions of human guinea pigs, with Sars-CoV-2 vaccines that haven’t had long term safety testing, neither in animals nor humans.
Hopefully, that won’t blow up in everyone’s faces, but when humans play God it all too often ends in unintended consequences.
But that’s an update for another day, probably a weekend special edition.
Below, what’s not to like? What could possibly go wrong?
Brent hits highest since March, spurred by coronavirus vaccine hopes
BERLIN (Reuters) - The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in Germany increased by 13,554 to 942,687, data from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) for infectious diseases showed on Tuesday. The reported death toll rose by 249 to 14,361, the tally showed.
These AAA-Rated Bonds Are Tumbling as China Default Fears Spread
Bloomberg NewsA string of defaults by Chinese state-owned companies has sent shockwaves across the world’s second-largest credit market.
But some bonds have fared much worse than others as investors clamber to avoid the next potential blowup. Among the most notable losers: notes issued by Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Jizhong Energy Group Co., Tianjin TEDA Investment Holding Co. and Yunnan Health & Culture Tourism Holding Group.
While none of the companies have missed debt payments, and all four are rated AAA by Chinese domestic ratings firms, their bonds have tumbled by at least 14% since Nov. 10. That’s when a surprise default by a state-owned Chinese coal producer cast fresh doubt on the implicit guarantees that have long underpinned government-backed borrowers.
“Most of the onshore bonds hit hardest this time share a common symptom: their profitability has lagged far behind their debt growth,” said Li Yunfei, credit analyst at Pacific Securities Co. “Repricing of some onshore bonds, though it occurred abruptly and quickly, is a rational outcome of the recent defaults.”
Pingdingshan Tianan Coal said in a written reply to Bloomberg News that the company was aware of declines in some of its bonds, but declined to comment further. An official in charge of information disclosure from Yunnan Health & Culture Tourism didn’t answer calls or respond to an an email seeking comment.
An official in charge of Tianjin Teda Investment’s bond issuance department declined to comment when reached by phone. Multiple calls made to Jizhong Energy’s general line were not answered.
Here’s why some investors are worried:
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World Economy Risks Buckling Into 2021 Despite Vaccine Nearing
By Enda Curran and Jeff BlackHopes are mounting that Covid-19 vaccines will become available as soon as December, but widespread delivery will take months and infections are rising again in many large economies. Authorities are responding with more restrictions to limit the virus’s spread at the price of weaker economic activity.
Wall Street economists now say that it wouldn’t take much for the U.S., euro area and Japan to each contract again either this quarter or next, just months after they bounced from the deepest recession in generations. Bloomberg Economics gauges of high-frequency data point to a double-dip downturn, with European factory indexes on Monday justifying that worry, though a U.S. measure of business activity was upbeat.That leaves policy makers hearing calls for more stimulus, even when central banks are already stretched and starting to worry about froth in financial markets. Meantime, politicians from the U.S. to Europe are clashing over just how much they can and should do with fiscal policy.
“While there is much excitement over the progress of vaccine development, it will not be the quick fix that many expect it to be,” Singapore’s Trade & Industry Minister Chan Chun Sing told reporters on Monday. “Manufacturing enough doses, then distributing and vaccinating a significant population of the world, will take many months, if not years.”
Bloomberg Economics predicts a global economic rebound of 4.9% next year
Source: Bloomberg Economics
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BOJ's Kuroda rebuffs view Japan heading towards deflation
November 24, 2020
TOKYO (Reuters) - Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Tuesday he did not see Japan heading towards deflation, but added he would watch service-sector consumption and capital expenditure closely.
“We expect capital expenditure to rebound, as the hit from COVID-19 eases and helps lift corporate profits,” Kuroda told a semi-annual testimony to parliament.
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