Friday, 19 June 2020

Hi Ho, Hi Ho, Its Back To Work We Go!!


Baltic Dry Index. 1527 +281   Brent Crude 41.89
Spot Gold 1728

Coronavirus Cases 19/6/20 World 8,625,733
Deaths 459,146

The taxpayer - that's someone who works for the federal government but doesn't have to take the civil service examination.

Ronald Reagan  

Are we in for a Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs employment ending? Well probably not.

Nevertheless, we start with a good news article from CNN on McDonald’s hiring 260,000 people this summer in the USA.

That’s probably great news for all Americans about to leave school or university this summer. If they move fast, they just might have a job after all.

McDonald's is hiring 260,000 people in the US this summer

By Jordan Valinsky, CNN Business
New York (CNN Business)McDonald's plans to hire 260,000 people this summer in the United States as it begins to resume normal operations. 

The beefed-up staffing comes as it prepares to reopen its dining rooms after a majority of them were temporarily closed because of coronavirus. The positions are a mix of full- and part-time roles.

In May, McDonald's (MCD) laid out the new safety precautions it will use as it reopens its dining rooms. Notably, customers will see stickers on floors encouraging social distancing, blocked-off tables and the closure of its self-serve beverage bar. Employees have to wash their hands every hour and wear personal protective equipment.

Roughly 95% of its restaurants around the world have reopened in some capacity, and around 99% of its US restaurants have continued operating some services throughout the pandemic.

"We've put new minimum national standards and nearly 50 new processes in place in our restaurants as they continue to reopen safely and judiciously," said Joe Erlinger, president of McDonald's USA, in Thursday's press release. The company employs around 850,000 people in the United States.

McDonald's is experiencing a rebound in sales and demand. Its US sales fell 19% during the month of April compared with the same period in the year prior, but were down just 5% year-over-year in May. Those numbers include sales at all locations that have been operating for at least 13 months, even if the restaurants were temporarily closed during the pandemic.

Breakfast sales were particularly low, something executives lamented on the company's quarterly earnings call in early May. Wendy's (WEN), however, reported strong sales for its newly launched breakfast menu.

But reality is a little harsher, more law of the jungle. How many are new hires? If McD’s furloughed and or fired most of its 850,000 USA employees earlier in the year, taking back 260,000 leaves roughly 590,000 still left behind.

More realistically, if McD’s let go 425,000 and are taking on 260,000 that leaves 165,000 still adrift. 

As important, how many will be permanent jobs v temporary jobs? Low paying entry jobs v higher paying admin or management career jobs?

How many will return anyway? From yesterday’s article by David Rosenberg:

We have people who are unemployed but making more money not working than when they had a job. The incentive system has been destroyed, not by the pandemic, but by the pathetic government response.

Will President Trump have to bribe them back to work low paying temporary jobs with a $1,000 tax free signing on bonus?

In other employment/unemployment news, US new jobless claims are still staggeringly high.

Jobless claims dip to 1.51 million in mid-June, but layoffs remain stubbornly high

Published: June 18, 2020 at 9:03 a.m. ET

The numbers: About 1.5 million people applied for traditional jobless benefits in mid-June, but the high number of people still seeking or receiving financial aid suggests a fresh wave of layoffs may be crashing over the economy and stunting an embryonic recovery.

Initial jobless claims filed the traditional way through state unemployment offices fell slightly in the seven days ended June 13 from 1.57 million in the prior week, the Labor Department said Thursday. It was the 10th decline in a row.

Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a seasonally adjusted 1.35 million new claims

If people who applied for unemployment benefits through a temporary federal program are included, new claims totaled an unadjusted 2.19 million in mid-June.

Yet the number of people who are actually receiving traditional jobless benefits barely fell to 20.54 million in the week ended May 30. These so-called continuing claims, reported with a one-week lag, had peaked in the middle of May at nearly 23 million, but are declining at an agonizingly slow pace.

What happened: New jobless claims have fallen steadily from a peak of almost 7 million in late March, but the decline has been much slower than economists had expected. They worry a second wave of layoffs is keeping the numbers elevated, posing a potential threat to an economic recovery that’s now in the early stages.
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Nor is unemployment just a US problem. From Australia to Europe and just about every nation around planet Earth, unemployment levels are flirting with Great Depression levels. Just don’t tell anyone in the Fed’s Great Disconnect Stock Bubble.

Australia unemployment rate jumps to 19-year high

Published: June 18, 2020 at 2:03 a.m. ET
SYDNEY--Australia's economy shed a further 227,700 jobs in May, causing the unemployment rate to surge to a 19-year high of 7.1% as coronavirus lockdowns continued to undermine business confidence and cripple activity.

The plunge in employment compared with an expected decline of 75,000, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Thursday.

The drop in employment added to a 600,000 fall in April, bringing the total to 835,000 since March.

The increase in the unemployment rate was tempered by larger-than-usual numbers of employed and unemployed people leaving the labor force, the ABS said.

This was reflected in a further drop in the participation rate, which fell 0.7 percentage point to 62.9% in May, a 19-year low.

The pandemic has pushed Australia's economy into its first recession in 29 years but signs of a recovery are beginning to emerge.

Consumer confidence and spending data have been looking more positive in recent weeks. The underemployment rate fell to 13.1% from 13.8%.

"It will take us around two years to get back to where we were before it happened, and we think over five years we can seek to catch up to where we were planning to be," Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison told reporters.

Australian health authorities have been successful in containing the virus, with steps now being taken to reopen key parts of the economy.

Major banks recently raised their expectations for gross domestic product growth in 2020, but few are expecting a V-shaped recovery as it will likely take years to repair the damaged job market.
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Finally, yesterday we wrote:

The tide has just turned and is going out. A massive wave of corporate fraud and malinvestment is about to get exposed.

While not sure into which class this falls, something tells me it might be both. Of course, there might be an innocent explanation for all this, I look forward to hearing what it might be.

One company previously said Wirecard had "more red flags than you would see at a communist rally."

Wirecard shares plunge as Ernst & Young says no evidence for 1.9 billion euros of cash on balance sheet

Published: June 18, 2020 at 5:05 a.m. ET
Shares of Wirecard WDI, -48.10% lost 59% as the company said Ernst & Young told it that no sufficient audit evidence could be obtained so far of cash balances on trust accounts of 1.9 billion euros, or approximately a quarter of the balance sheet. 

"There are indications that spurious balance confirmations had been provided from the side of the trustee respectively of the trustee's account holding banks to the auditor in order to deceive the auditor and create a wrong perception of the existence of such cash balances or the holding of the accounts for to the benefit of Wirecard group companies. The Wirecard management board is working intensively together with the auditor towards a clarification of the situation," said the company.

Wirecard urges UK High Court to dismiss fraud lawsuit

German payments group is accused of wrongdoing in €326m acquisition of a company sold for €36m
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No government ever voluntarily reduces itself in size. Government programs, once launched, never disappear. Actually, a government bureau is the nearest thing to eternal life we'll ever see on this earth!

Ronald Reagan

Covid-19 Corner                       

Though hopefully, we are passing/have passed the peak of new cases, at least of the first SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, this section will continue until it becomes unneeded.

100 days of the COVID-19 pandemic: 5 critical mistakes that created the biggest public-health crisis in a generation


Published: June 19, 2020 at 12:49 a.m. ET
It’s been 100 days since the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus outbreak a pandemic. Several important red flags were missed, so what can we learn from those mistakes?

The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths continues to rise. As of Friday, there were 2,189,056 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. and 118,420 deaths, including 30,974 deaths in New York, the most of any state in the country. Worldwide, there were 8,464,739 confirmed cases and 453,289 deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University. The Dow Jones Industrial Index DJIA, -0.15% and the S&P 500 SPX, +0.05% ended broadly flat Thursday, as the market mulled hopes of a potential therapeutic steroid treatment and vaccine research.

The missteps of the past 100 days must not be repeated, said Gregory Poland, who studies the immunogenetics of vaccines at the Mayo Clinic.

“Imagine this scenario: It’s October,” he said. “The seasonal influenza epidemic occurs. COVID-19 comes back. We’re fussing with China. There’s been a glitch with the Moderna MRNA, +2.59% vaccine trials. There’s another incident with police, and now the riots are inflamed because, after all these years, nothing appears to be fixed, and we’re in the middle of a political campaign ahead of the presidential election in November. This does not have good optics to me.”

This is the first pandemic since the AIDS crisis. So what key moments led to this point?
More


·         Products from German slaughterhouse Toennies are banned from entering China after a coronavirus outbreak at the facility, customs agency says
·         Outbreak is likely add to concerns about the safety of imported food in China and comes just days after Beijing halted shipments of European salmon
Orange Wang Published: 8:50pm, 18 June, 2020
China on Thursday banned imported pork from a German company after its workers became infected by coronavirus, adding to uncertainty over fresh food shipments to the country amid a new outbreak in Beijing.

More than 650 out of 1000 staff at the meatpacking plant owned by Toennies tested positive for the virus, leading German authorities to close the facility, as well as schools and childcare centres in the western city of Guetersloh.

All products from the German slaughterhouse were banned from entering China as of June 17, the General Administration of Customs said on Thursday, adding German authorities had alerted China to the cluster of infections.

The outbreak is likely to add to concerns about the safety of imported proteins in China – a country of 1.4 billion people -and comes just days after Beijing halted shipments of European salmon amid fears it may be the source of a new coronavirus outbreak.

Though food experts say salmon is unlikely to carry the disease, shipments were frozen after the virus was discovered on chopping boards used for imported salmon at Beijing’s Xinfadi market, which has been linked to a new infection in the capital.

The outbreak has resulted in a partial lockdown of the capital, though authorities are still investigating its origin.


June 18, 2020 / 4:19 PM
June 18 (UPI) -- Members of a large groups of viruses, including influenza viruses, can build new genes using genetic code copied from hijacked human cells, according to new research.

When virologists surveyed the genetic diversity and protein synthesis capabilities of a group of viruses known as segmented negative-strand RNA viruses, or sNSVs, they found a variety of human pathogens can code for new proteins by combining host and viral sequences.

The so-called UFO proteins could explain why these viruses are so adept at infecting human hosts, but they could also be useful targets for future vaccines and anti-viral drugs.

Researchers detailed the production of these never-before-documented proteins in a new paper, published Thursday in the journal Cell.

"The capacity of a pathogen to overcome host barriers and establish infection is based on the expression of pathogen-derived proteins," study co-author Ivan Marazzi, professor of microbiology at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York, said in a news release. "To understand how a pathogen antagonizes the host and establishes infection, we need to have a clear understanding of what proteins a pathogen encodes, how they function, and the manner in which they contribute to virulence."

Viruses can't make their own proteins. To survive and replicate, they must find a host and hijack their cells. Once inside cells, they find ways to feed protein-making instructions to the host cell's protein-making machinery.

Viruses typically use "cap-snatching" to create protein-making codes, snipping off the end of one of the cell's messenger RNA sequences and combining it with a genetic sequence of their own.

"For decades we thought that by the time the body encounters the signal to start translating that message into protein (a 'start codon') it is reading a message provided to it solely by the virus," Marazzi said. "Our work shows that the host sequence is not silent."

The latest analysis showed that because sNSVs make mRNAs using their own genes, they're able to make protein-production instructions featuring host-derived start codons -- a technique called "start snatching." This ability allows sNSVs to synthesize previously unknown proteins using hybrid host-virus sequences.

Though previously invisible to scientists, these proteins are recognizable by the immune system, and they can alter the virulence of the invading virus, but more research is needed to determine the full functionality of UFO proteins.

"Viruses take over their host at the molecular level, and this work identifies a new way in which some viruses can wring every last bit of potential out of the molecular machinery they are exploiting," said study co-author Ed Hutchinson, research fellow at MRC-University of Glasgow Center for Virus Research. "While the work done here focuses on influenza viruses, it implies that a huge number of viral species can make previously unsuspected genes."

Researchers hope their research will illuminate new ways of attacking viruses with drugs and vaccines, and potentially aid the effort to thwart future pandemics and epidemics.

I have wondered at times what the Ten Commandments would have looked like if Moses had run them through the US Congress.

Ronald Reagan

Technology Update.
With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported. Is converting sunlight to usable cheap AC or DC energy mankind’s future from the 21st century onwards.

New material, modeling methods promise advances in energy storage



Date: June 4, 2020

Source: University of Houston

Summary: The explosion of mobile electronic devices, electric vehicles, drones and other technologies have driven demand for new lightweight materials that can provide the power to operate them.

The explosion of mobile electronic devices, electric vehicles, drones and other technologies have driven demand for new lightweight materials that can provide the power to operate them. Researchers from the University of Houston and Texas A&M University have reported a structural supercapacitor electrode made from reduced graphene oxide and aramid nanofiber that is stronger and more versatile than conventional carbon-based electrodes.

The UH research team also demonstrated that modeling based on the material nanoarchitecture can provide a more accurate understanding of ion diffusion and related properties in the composite electrodes than the traditional modeling method, which is known as the porous media model.

"We are proposing that these models based on the nanoarchitecture of the material are more comprehensive, detailed, informative and accurate compared to the porous media model," said Haleh Ardebili, Bill D. Cook Associate Professor of Mechanical Engineering at UH and corresponding author for a paper describing the work, published in ACS Nano.

More accurate modeling methods will help researchers find new and more effective nanoarchitectured materials that can provide longer battery life and higher energy at a lighter weight, she said.

The researchers knew the material tested -- reduced graphene oxide and aramid nanofiber, or rGO/ANF -- was a good candidate because of its strong electrochemical and mechanical properties. Supercapacitor electrodes are usually made of porous carbon-based materials, which provide efficient electrode performance, Ardebili said.

While the reduced graphene oxide is primarily made of carbon, the aramid nanofiber offers a mechanical strength that increases the electrode's versatility for a variety of applications, including for the military. The work was funded by the U.S. Air Force Office of Scientific Research.
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Another weekend, and only just under 5 months for the rest of the world to find out who will rule the “land of the not so free,” between the shining seas.  After a run of terrible bad luck, Clinton, Bush, Obama and Trump, is 5 in a row actually possible?  Have a great, safe, weekend everyone.
We must reject the idea that every time a law's broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.

Ronald Reagan


DJIA: 25,383 +12 Down. NASDAQ: 9,490 +178 Up. SP500: 3,044 +83 Down.

The NASDAQ has remained up. The S&P and the DJIA still remain down despite the best efforts of the Fed to get them to go higher.

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