Tuesday, 5 December 2017

Time To Take Profits?

Baltic Dry Index. 1662 +36 Brent Crude 62.42
Are the bubbly global stock markets already fully priced? I would argue, long over priced, and largely rigged by the free money central banksters. But if the all news is good news era is ending, as we approach the dying days of 2017, what comes next?

In buy the rumor sell the fact, the US over hyped tax cuts are already priced in. What’s not priced in are higher interest rates, or bad news starting to act as bad news again. Much of the Great 2017 Stock Bubble was led by a handful of technology stocks, aided and abetted by debt driven stock buybacks rigging stock prices. What happens now if that turns into so last year in 2018. Lookout below, in all probability. Are there any more Greater Fools left to buy into Everest level technology stocks? Haven’t they all moved on into Bitcoin?

We open today with technology taking a wobble, and no Microsoft support totally failed yesterday at getting my Office 365 suite to install. Now they can’t even link remotely to my computer, having inadvertently turned off something that’s preventing the connection. After the Big Bull Run, will technology lead the rout in 2018?

Tech-stock selloff weighs on Asian markets

Published: Dec 4, 2017 11:21 p.m. ET
A global decline in technology stocks continued Tuesday in Asia, weighing on indexes in Japan and Taiwan.

“Technology shares are suffering heavy selling pressure as investors are rotating out from the valuation-rich sector in an attempt to lock in profits” amid continuing U.S. tax-reform efforts, said Margaret Yang, a market analyst at CMC Markets.

Worries about Brexit talks have also added to pessimism in global markets.

After the Nasdaq fell 1.1% Monday, the Nikkei NIK, -0.18%   ended its morning session down 0.4%.
The Taiex Y9999, -0.94%   shed 0.6% as index heavyweight Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. 2330, -2.14%   fell 1.9%. Samsung Electronics 005930, -0.51%   fell 0.9% in Seoul, though the Kospi SEU, +0.24%   was essentially flat due to strength from steel stocks.

Hong Kong’s benchmark was also weighed by tech, with the market’s biggest company, Tencent Holdings 0700, -1.96%  , down 1.4%. The Hang Seng HSI, -0.48%   was recently 0.5% lower, with new component Sunny Optical 2382, -4.17%   skidding 5%.


In China, the startup-heavy ChiNext slid 1.2% and the Shenzhen Composite 399106, -1.19%   fell 0.8%. But the CSI 300, made up of the biggest companies in Shenzhen and Shanghai SHCOMP, -0.17%  , rose 0.2%.

Meanwhile, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 XJO, -0.23%   was down 0.2% as the local currency hit session highs following the release of better-than-expected retail sales growth data for October. As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia did not make a change in interest rates.

Elsewhere in currencies, a modest overnight increase in yen strength added to pressure on Japan stocks. The U.S. dollar JPYUSD, -0.180262%   was recently near ¥112.50, versus ¥112.80 when local equities trading ended Monday.

In other markets, bitcoin BTCUSD, +0.91%   has been relatively steady over the past 24 hours and was recently at around $11,600, according to CoinDesk. Oil was slightly higher in Asia after falling more than 1% Monday.

Asia Stocks Mixed, Dollar Falls as Tax Boost Fades: Markets Wrap

By Adam Haigh
December 4, 2017, 10:07 PM GMT Updated on December 5, 2017, 4:53 AM GMT

Stocks in Asia traded mixed after gains spurred by the passage of the U.S. tax cuts in the Senate lifted equities to fresh highs. The Australian dollar jumped on stronger-than-expected retail sales data and comments on inflation from the central bank.

Benchmark indexes fluctuated in Tokyo and were lower in Hong Kong and Sydney as investors assessed a rally that’s propelled stocks to numerous records this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index erased earlier losses as S&P 500 Index futures advanced, though tech shares on the Asian gauge declined after the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell. The dollar pulled back as optimism about tax reform died down and Treasury yields were steady in Asia after handing back part of their advance on Monday.

The Australian dollar advanced to the strongest in more than three weeks after October retail sales beat estimates and the Reserve Bank of Australia said it sees inflation quickening as it left its cash rate at a record-low 1.5 percent for a 15th straight meeting on Tuesday.

In China, a private report on services indicated that the sector expanded more firmly last month than in October. Caixin’s China composite and services PMIs came in at 51.6 and 51.9, respectively, in November. It’s the latest data point for a world economy that’s chugging along enough for some central banks to be raising rates and winding down stimulus programs.
More

In good Brexit news, the cheaper British Pound has made London boom again. Who needs crazed, rent-seeking, highly leveraged, derivatives gambling banksters, looking for bailouts, when there’s real commerce about. As of yesterday, still no London banksters have slithered off to dangerous, high tax Paris, dull, dour Frankfurt, or tiny Dublin, Amsterdam or the tax Siberia of Luxembourg.

December 5, 2017 / 12:07 AM / Updated 6 hours ago

Pound's fall boosts London's appeal to tourists - study

LONDON (Reuters) - London was the number one destination for European tourists in 2017, a study showed on Tuesday, as the cheaper pound made it attractive to both domestic and foreign visitors despite a spate of militant attacks on the British capital this year.

London saw a 24 percent increase in bookings from Europe and retained its position as the top visitor destination for the second year running.

“The fall in the value of the pound since the Brexit referendum in 2016 appears to have been a key driver of growth, as visitors to the UK can now get more for their money,” the eDreams ODIGEO “European Traveller Insights 2017 Report” said.

Sterling GBP=D4 is down around 10 percent since Britain voted to leave the European Union in June 2016, due to uncertainty over how the split from its biggest trading partner could affect growth prospects.

The fall in the value of the pound boosted the city’s appeal to British tourists too, with a rising appetite for staycations making it the number one destination for UK travellers. Last year, it ranked fourth among British tourists.
More

Car production rises as exports make up for falling UK demand

Just over 157,000 cars produced in October, 3.5% more than same time last year, as exports rise by 5% and domestic demand falls 2.9%

Car production increased last month as rising exports made up for falling demand in the UK, new figures reveal.

Just over 157,000 cars rolled off production lines in October, 3.5% more than the same month last year, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).
Exports were up by 5%, with more than 1.1m cars built for overseas markets so far this year, compared with a 2.9% fall in domestic demand.

Production for the UK car market has now fallen for nine months in a row, to 28,178 in October. The SMMT blamed lower business and consumer confidence and confusion over government policies towards diesel vehicles.

UK car sales have been declining since April and fell another 12% in October, with diesel transactions down nearly 30%.

More than four out of five UK-built cars were shipped abroad last month, the highest proportion this year, with most going to other European countries.
More

Crooks and Scoundrels Corner

The bent, the seriously bent, and the totally doubled over.
Yes, Bitcoin again. Super bubble or super fraud? How about both. How long did it take Holland to recover from tulipmania? Can a Bitcoin bust evaporate stocks? Commodities? Fiat currencies? Central banksters?

Bitcoin Is Now Bigger Than Buffett, Boeing and New Zealand

By Colin Simpson
December 4, 2017, 6:57 AM GMT
Bitcoin’s extraordinary price surge means its market capitalization now exceeds the annual output of whole economies, and the estimated worth of some of the world’s top billionaires.

With the debate over its bubble status still raging, the flagship cryptocurrency continued its march higher on Monday, solidifying above $11,000 and bringing its climb this year to more than 1,000 percent. With market tracker Coinmarketcap.com putting the total value of all bitcoins in circulation at $190 billion, it’s come a long way from August, when one coin could buy you a hefty supply of avocados.

Here are five things that have been eclipsed by bitcoin in terms of market capitalization:

New Zealand’s GDP

The South Pacific nation’s farm-and-tourism-led economy is valued at $185 billion, according to World Bank data as of July, putting it some $5 billion below bitcoin. The cryptocurrency’s market cap is also bigger than the likes of Qatar, Kuwait and Hungary.

Bitcoin’s run-up has even seen it valued more highly than two of the world’s most influential banks. Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s market cap was $97 billion as of Friday, while Zurich-based UBS Group AG came in at about $67 billion. Add those numbers together and it still falls short of bitcoin.

Both financial heavyweights have taken a hands-off approach to the digital currency, with Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein saying it’s too early to draft a bitcoin strategy and UBS -- the world’s biggest wealth manager -- saying it won’t allocate it in portfolios because of the threat of a government crackdown.
More

Hedge Funds Prepare to Trade Against Bitcoin

By Rob Urban and Sonali Basak
December 4, 2017, 12:00 PM GMT Updated on December 4, 2017, 6:10 PM GMT
A bitcoin big short is building.

The planned introduction of bitcoin futures contracts at CME Group Inc., Cboe Global Markets Inc. and Nasdaq Inc. will make it much easier to bet on a decline. Hedge funds, which have largely stayed on the sidelines, are waiting for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s futures market to open for a fresh opportunity to bet against the cryptocurrency, according to more than a half dozen people trading the assets.

“The futures reduce the frictions of going short more than they do of going long, so it’s probably net bearish,” said Craig Pirrong, a business professor at the University of Houston. “Having this instrument that makes it easier to short might keep the bitcoin price a little closer to reality.”

Bitcoin has gained millions of percent since it started trading in 2010. An investment of $1 at the beginning would now be valued at more than $1.4 million. A dollar invested in the S&P 500 stock index for the same period would now be worth less than $4 including reinvested dividends. 

Some see the bitcoin market as “one of the greatest shorting opportunities ever,” said Lou Kerner, a partner at Flight VC who invests in the cryptocurrency. “You have a lot of zealotry, and a lot of people, including me, who think it’s the greatest thing to ever happen in the history of mankind. You have a lot of people who think it’s a bubble and a Ponzi scheme. It turns out both of them can’t be right.”


Bitcoin has been especially volatile recently, plunging nearly 20 percent in less than 90 minutes on Nov. 29, to $9,009 after briefly topping $11,000. The price has since recovered, and was trading at more than $11,332.01 at 11:42 a.m. in New York on Monday, a 3.9 percent jump since Friday.

Cboe said Monday it will start trading bitcoin futures on Dec. 10, while CME’s contracts are set to debut on Dec. 18. Nasdaq is planning to offer futures in 2018, according to a person familiar with the matter. Cantor Fitzgerald LP’s Cantor Exchange is creating a bitcoin derivative, and startup LedgerX already offers options.
More


Solar & Related Update.

With events happening fast in the development of solar power and graphene, I’ve added this section. Updates as they get reported. Is converting sunlight to usable cheap AC or DC energy mankind’s future from the 21st century onwards? DC? A quantum computer next?

Highly efficient photocatalyst capable of carbon dioxide recycling

Date: December 1, 2017
 
Source: DGIST (Daegu Gyeongbuk Institute of Science and Technology)
 
Summary: A research team from Korea has developed titanium dioxide-based photocatalyst with the highest efficiency in the world that converts carbon dioxide into methane. The result is expected to be applied to technologies to reduce and reuse carbon dioxide.
A research team of Energy Science and Engineering at DGIST has succeeded in developing a titanium dioxide (TiO2)-based high efficiency photocatalyst that converts carbon dioxide to methane using a simple reduction method.

The photocatalysts developed by the research team can be used to convert carbon dioxide to fuels like methane. Therefore, it is expected to be applied to technologies for carbon dioxide abatement and resource reclamation.

As is now well known, anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases, particularly CO2, is a significant factor driving global climate change; sustainable, low carbon, readily portable fuels are one of the most pressing needs of modern society. To that end, there has been a worldwide effort underway to find ways to convert carbon dioxide, a major contributor to global warming, into a usable fuel, such as hydrogen, methane, ethanol, methanol, and butanol.

In order to utilize carbon dioxide as a resource, it is essential to increase the conversion efficiency and light absorption efficiency when converting carbon dioxide into fuel, and to make photocatalyst help to prevent secondary harmful substances.

High-efficiency photocatalyst development technology that synthesizes materials such as titanium dioxide, copper oxide, and reduced graphene oxide, or controls the structure and surface of photocatalyst material is regarded as the core of carbon dioxide recycling technology.

Surprisingly, DGIST's research team has discovered a synthesis method which rapidly reduces titanium dioxide (TiO2) at low temperatures using a strong reducing agent, sodium borohydride (NaBH4).

In the study, titanium dioxide-based photocatalysts using this synthesis method showed 12.49% conversion of methane to photochemical carbon dioxide on the gas phase, which represents the highest conversion rate among the introduced photocatalysts so far.

In addition, the photocatalyst developed by the research team has the controlled band gap through the conversion of the oxidation number from 4 to 3 by breaking the oxygen atoms on the surface of titanium dioxide. This change increases the amount of light absorption and efficiently separates the charge, resulting in higher carbon conversion of carbon dioxide. Moreover, the experiment has also proved that the efficiency of methane conversion of carbon dioxide can be increased up to 29 times using platinum nanoparticles.
More

The monthly Coppock Indicators finished November

DJIA: 24272 +243 Up NASDAQ: 6874 +299 Up. SP500: 2648 +189 Up.


No comments:

Post a Comment