Saturday 12 September 2015

Weekend Update – A Chinese Slowdown.



What does the Chinese slowing economy mean for the rest of us? A bad case of economic flu seems likely, followed by a slew of next Lehman’s surfacing globally, from all the malinvestment fostered by central banksters,  QE forever, ZIRP and NIRP. “Capitalism’s broken,” wailed fallen former guru Greenspan back in the 1990s, before he really broke it 2007-2008. Now comes the aftermath. 

Below, from the always interesting ZeroHedge.com website.

Visualizing China's Mind-Boggling Consumption Of The World's Raw Materials

Over the last 20 years, the world economy has relied on the Chinese economic growth engine more than it would like to admit. The 1.4 billion people living in the world’s most populous country account for 13% of global GDP, which is significant no matter how it is interpreted. However, in the commodity sector, China has another magnitude of importance. The fact is that China consumes mind-bending amounts of materials, energy, and food. That’s why the prospect of slowing Chinese growth is likely to continue as a source of nightmares for investors focused on the commodity sector.

----The country consumes a big proportion of the world’s materials used in infrastructure. It consumes 54% of aluminum, 48% of copper, 50% of nickel, 45% of all steel, and 60% of concrete. In fact, the country has consumed more concrete in the last three years than the United States did in all of the 20th century.
China is also prolific in accumulating precious metals – the country buys or mines 23% of gold and 15% of the world’s silver supply.

With many mouths to feed, China also needs large amounts of food. About 30% of rice, 22% of corn, and 17% of wheat gets eaten by the Chinese.

Lastly, the country is no hack in terms of burning fuel either. Notably, China uses 49% of coal for power generation as well as metallurgical processes in making steel. It also uses 13% of the world’s uranium and 12% of all oil.
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Fools rush in where angels fear to tread. Don’t be too early in trying to catch a falling sword. Better yet, wait until the sword finally hits the ground. This falling sword has much further to fall, I believe.

In other China news Friday, China autos sales tumble.

'From big to strong': China sees competitive edge in green cars

Fri Sep 11, 2015 4:48am EDT
China's auto sales could be heading for a rare fall this year, but one bright spot is in so-called green cars, where sales have almost quadrupled so far in 2015.

With a part-carrot, part-stick strategy of incentives and targets, Beijing is pushing car makers to develop battery electric cars, seeing this as its best shot at closing a competitivehttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png gap with global rivals who have a 100-year headstart in traditional combustion engines.

Electric powertrains are simpler to develop, and driving a push to green cars fits President Xi Jinping's policy goal of reducing pollution.

With an eye on both big subsidies and looming fuel economy targets, automakers in China are earmarking at least 50 billion yuan ($7.86 billion) this year for developing and making 'new energy' vehicles, a Chinese catch-all term for electric and highly electrified cars, data compiled by Reuters shows.

---- Electric and plug-in hybrid car sales jumped 270 percent to 108,654 cars in January-August, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) said on Thursday, and China is on track to overtake the United States as the world's leading producer, making more than 130,000 such cars this year, according to consultancy LMC Automotive.

The government has set a goal of annual production of 1 million new energy cars by 2020, though industry researcher IHS Automotive forecasts output then at nearer 791,000.

As for the carrot, drivers in Shanghai, for example, can save up to 182,600 yuan ($28,600) over a traditional gasoline-powered car, by taking advantage of free license plates for some green cars and other subsidies, according to official data and analysts' estimates.

However, Beijing said in April it would roll back subsidies fasterhttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png than expected, and may now lean increasingly on fuel economy requirements that grow progressively stricter to 2020.
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