Wednesday, 27 August 2014

World Falls Apart – Stocks Unhurt.



Baltic Dry Index. 1070  -18  

LIR Gold Target in 2019: $30,000.  Revised due to QE programs.

''Money has no country.''

Christina Stead. House of All Nations. 1938.

No update tomorrow due to early travel commitments.
With Pax-Americana in full retreat, as President Obama golfs away the summer of 2014 and the American War Party does its best to start World War Three in the Ukraine, China seems to be pushing the envelope in the East China and South China Seas. Probing reaction times, monitoring telemetry, and testing its neighbours and Uncle Scam’s responses.  

While our world from Libya through the Levant out to Afghanistan, down to Mali, South Sudan, Kenya, Chad, parts of Northern Nigeria and Cameroon, come under fanatical Nazi moslem racist murderous terror, the west’s voodoo economic policies of ZIRP and QE Forever, still have the largest financial displacement ever underway into global stocks. Moslem Nazis steal 400 Christian girls into Islamic slavery, buy more stocks. Egypt and UAE bombing Tripoli Libya, buy more stocks. Uncivil wars raging in the Ukraine, Syria, Iraq, buy more stocks. One third of the Warsaw Ghetto on the Med levelled, displacing many thousands but with no place to flee, buy more stocks.  Continental Europe heading into a depression even before the blowback from Russian sanctions hits, buy more stocks.  Burger King to buy Hortons and seek tax asylum in Canada, buy more stocks.

Our financial world of Great Vampire Squids and banksters, has never been more disconnected from our new global reality. I strongly suspect that we are approaching a world changing tipping point. Stay long fully paid up physical precious metals. We have reached peak paper, I think.

Taiwan Fighters Chase China Jets a Week After U.S. Incident 

Aug 27, 2014 5:08 AM GMT
Taiwan sent fighter jets to tail two Chinese military planes that entered the island’s air space, a week after a close encounter between a U.S. and Chinese jet.

“We responded immediately, asking them to leave,” Taiwan defense minister Yen Ming said yesterday in Taipei. Fighter jets were dispatched to warn the Chinese surveillance aircraft, each of which entered Taiwan airspace twice yesterday, to leave, David Lo, spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense, said by phone today.

Tensions remain between China and Taiwan even as economic relations have strengthened since Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou took office in 2008. The two sides have been governed separately since China’s Nationalist government fled across the Taiwan Strait to the island during a civil war with Communist forces. China still claims Taiwan as part of its territory and has indicated it will take it back by force if necessary.

As China increases its economic and military muscle, encounters with other nations’ militaries have been on the rise. U.S. aircraft had at least two previous run-ins with Chinese jets this year prior to last week’s encounter, and Japanese and Chinese planes and ships regularly tail one another around disputed islands in the East China Sea.

----On Aug. 19, a Chinese fighter jet in international waters flew within 20 feet of a U.S. Navy surveillance aircraft and did a barrel roll over it in what the White House called a provocation. The U.S. plane, a Boeing P-8 Poseidon submarine surveillance aircraft, was flying 135 miles (217 kilometers) east of Hainan Island, China’s main submarine base.
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Up next,  the war between the paper billionaires over Argentina, is about to pit English Law versus US law, well N.Y. State law anyway. Well at least the lawyers will make out like Great Vampire Squids. Don’t you just love it when amoral billionaires fall out.

If all the rich men in the world divided up their money amongst themselves, there wouldn't be enough to go round.

Jules Bertillon. House of all Nations 1938

Soros’s Argentine Bond Bet Revealed in Lawsuit in London

Aug 26, 2014 10:18 PM GMT
Less than a month after Argentina defaulted for the second time in 13 years, George Soros has suddenly emerged as a key rival of fellow billionaire Paul Singer in the legal fight over the nation’s debt.

According to court documents filed in London last week, Quantum Partners LP, a fund managed by Soros’s family office, has joined a group of investors suing bond trustee Bank of New York Mellon Corp. for failing to distribute 226 million euros ($298 million) of interest payments on Argentine debt. The group, which also includes Kyle Bass’s Hayman Capital Management LP, owns more than 1.3 billion of euro-denominated bonds, court documents obtained by Bloomberg News show.

At the crux of the dispute is a U.S. court ruling won by Singer’s Elliott Management Corp., which blocked Argentina from paying its overseas bonds until the country compensates him and other holders of debt from its 2001 default. While the ruling prevents BNY Mellon from transferring any money deposited by Argentina until Singer is paid, it shouldn’t apply to bonds governed by jurisdictions outside of the U.S., the group says.

“The trustee isn’t acting in its official capacity as trustee,” Bass said in a telephone interview from New York. “Our interest payment is governed by U.K. law, which hasn’t ruled on this. Until there’s a similar injunction in the U.K., they owe us our interest payments.”

----Singer, who also sued the governments of Peru and the Republic of Congo after they reneged on their obligations, bought Argentine bonds before its $95 billion default in 2001.

After a more than decade-long legal pursuit for full repayment, Singer and other creditors who refused to accept losses of 70 percent to provide Argentina debt relief are now owed $1.5 billion as of result of the U.S. court orders.
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In the land of the police cowed, trembling between the shinning seas, awkward news on the great real estate recovery. All might not be quite what it’s spun. Not to worry though, buy more stocks. The best part of being in a bubble, according fallen former guru “Bubbles” Greenspan, is that you can’t see them. At least, not if you’re on a team that’s paid not to see them.

''People who don't like scandals shouldn't be in finance.''

Jules Bertillon. House of all Nations 1938

This house market is falling apart

Published: Aug 26, 2014 2:29 p.m. ET
Housing recovery is an illusion, real estate expert says

Most real estate experts believe the U.S. housing market is roaring back. Few have anything to negative to say about real estate. But what if they’re wrong?

Real estate analyst Keith Jurow, author of the Capital Preservation Real Estate Report, is warning that the real estate market is not as strong as it seems. Says Jurow: “I never bought into the idea that we had a recovery at all.” His research leads him to conclude that home prices will be heading lower.

Why? Largely because home listings are going up but sale prices are not. Jurow discovered that as of June 2014, listings in Ft. Lauderdale increased by 89.3% year-over-year. In Miami, listings are up by 65.7% In Charlotte, N.C. they are up 51%, and in Riverside, Calif. they’re up 28.1%. In 10 major metro areas around the country, listings have increased. Jurow gets his data from Redfin.com and Raveis.com.

“Many people waited for prices to rise before putting their house on the market, and they have,” Jurow says. “But now listings are increasing because everyone has the same idea. Unfortunately, May and June are traditionally the strongest months for sales, and these home sellers have missed the peak season.”

Jurow points out that Redfin.com’s latest figures show that in 21 out of 29 major metro areas, sales volume is down year-over-year. “If sales are weakening and listings are going up substantially, prices will fall,” he says.

The problems in housing are much deeper than many people realize, Jurow contends. Another nagging concern is the large number of homeowners who are delinquent. “Delinquent means you haven’t paid the mortgage,” Jurow says. “The lender or servicer can file an official notice of default, which begins the foreclosure proceeding.” However, to keep prices from falling further, mortgage servicers have sharply reduced the number of homes placed into default.
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In the continent made for tanks, Europe’s Bilderberger depression looks like being a long one. Whose idea was it to rile up the Russian bear, by trying to steal the most corrupt European nation on the planet to slice and dice up Russia. How come no US or UK companies get forced to pay to play in this ill thought out game? More fool continental Europe’s politicians for getting into bed with America’s War Party.

Europe will be Russia's hostage over gas supplies for at least another decade

Policymakers will have no choice but to continue buying gas from Russia until at least the mid-2020s and "potentially much longer", according to Fitch

Europe will remain heavily reliant on Russian gas for at least another decade, according to a leading rating agency.

Fitch said a lack of alternative sources meant policymakers would have no choice but to continue buying gas from Russia until at least the mid-2020s and "potentially much longer".

Europe already buys a quarter of its gas from Russia, and analysts expect consumption to increase by a third by 2030 as economies recover from the debt crisis and gas-fired electricity generation replaces old coal and nuclear power.

Analysts said it would be difficult for countries to secure alternative sources of supply in the medium term, leaving them at risk of being "held hostage by dominant suppliers", including Russia.

"Any attempt to improve energy security by reducing European reliance on Russia would require either a significant reduction in overall gas demand or a big increase in alternative sources of supply, but neither of these appears likely," Fitch said in a report on Tuesday.

---- Finland, the Czech Republic and much of eastern Europe rely heavily on Russia for gas, while Germany imports a substantial amount from Russia. Fitch said overhauling Europe's current infrastructure and making the network more resilient to shocks would cost around €200bn (£160bn). Although around half of this can be funded by capital markets, there is a risk that consumers may also be forced to pay for the upgrade through higher energy bills.

---- Analysts also highlighted Russia's dominant role across the energy market. "Even if coal-fired and nuclear energy were favoured over gas, the impact on energy security would be limited because Russia also supplies 26pc of the EU's hard coal and is the sole supplier of fuel rods to nuclear power plants in several countries," it said.

---- The rating agency also cast doubt over an American-style shale gas revolution in Europe. "We do not expect meaningful shale production for at least a decade by which time it could at best offset the decline of conventional gas production," it said.
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A bank is a confidence trick. If you put up the right signs, the wizards of finance themselves will come in and ask you to take their money

Jules Bertillon. House of all Nations 1938

At the Comex silver depositories Tuesday final figures were: Registered 59.99 Moz, Eligible 119.20 Moz, Total 179.19 Moz.  

Crooks and Scoundrels Corner

The bent, the seriously bent, and the totally doubled over.

With some of the most polluted air on the planet, thanks to burning coal to produce electricity, and an explosion of internal combustion engine petrol cars and diesel trucks, China looks like it’s about to get serious about cleaning up its air quality in the decades ahead. Diesel pollution in particular increases the chance of heart disease and strokes in the big cities. China appears to be about to make a big bet on the future of electric vehicles (EVs.)

China Said to Consider $16 Billion EV-Charging Fund

Aug 27, 2014 4:10 AM GMT
China is considering providing as much as 100 billion yuan ($16 billion) in government funding to build electric-vehicle charging facilities and spur demand for clean cars, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The policy will be announced soon, said the people, who asked not to be named because the discussions are private. The people declined to provide further details of the plan such as how long the program would last or whether the chargers would be compatible with cars made by Tesla Motors Inc. (TSLA)

Increased state funding would be a tailwind for carmakers coping with consumer concerns over the price, reliability and convenience of electric vehicles. It would also build on the tax breaks announced by China, the world’s biggest carbon emitter, to fight pollution and cultivate its local EV industry, which includes BYD Co. (1211) and Kandi Technologies Group Inc. (KNDI)

“Charging infrastructure and EV growth is a chicken-and-egg situation,” said Ashvin Chotai, managing director of researcher Intelligence Automotive Asia. “It’s got to be a gradual process to scale up both EV sales as well as charging infrastructure. EVs are still not very attractive when compared with conventional-powered cars.”

----Among recent government initiatives, China will exempt new-energy vehicles -- defined as electric cars, plug-in hybrids and fuel-cell vehicles -- from a purchase tax starting next month, and has ordered government departments to buy such vehicles for their official fleets.
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From the Orwellian thoughts of Chairman Salmond:

“All Scots are equal, but some Scots are more equal than others.”

The monthly Coppock Indicators finished July.

DJIA: +157 Down. NASDAQ: +318 Down. SP500: +232 Down.  The Fed’s final bubble has taken on a very scary wobble, but this is nothing compared to the return of real interest rates at some point ahead.

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