Wednesday 23 July 2014

Spin And Counterspin.



Baltic Dry Index. 723  -01

LIR Gold Target in 2019: $30,000.  Revised due to QE programs.

Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction.

Dick Cheney August 26, 2002

In the US puppet regime Ukraine,  the spin goes on. How the mainstream media is being manipulated into shaping western opinion into supporting economic warfare against Russia. We are spinning our way to a looming tragedy. Though it wasn’t Russia that staged a botched coup in Kiev, preferring to play by what passed for the rules back in November- February, its America and its lackeys in Europe, busy spinning the world towards an economic disaster that will make the 1930s look pleasant.  When we all enter a new depression, will anyone anywhere think it was worth it?

If he declares he has none, then we will know that Saddam Hussein is once again misleading the world.

Ari Fleischer December 2, 2002

23 July 2014Last updated at 00:16

Will MH17 air crash damage Russia's Putin?

Right up until the downing of flight MH17 over eastern Ukraine on 17 July, President Vladimir Putin's handling of the Ukraine crisis was seen in Russia as fairly successful, both strategically and tactically.

Russia was obviously supporting the militants in the Donbass region, while still pursuing a policy of plausible deniability. At the same time, it had joined Germany and France in a diplomatic effort to promote a political settlement within Ukraine that would also take Russia's interests into account.

The European Union was balking at further sanctions against the Russian government, with a number of countries resolved to protect their important economic relations. The Obama Administration's attempts to rally the Europeans around the sanctions agenda appeared largely ineffectual.
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But for the UK at least to continental Europe, it’s do as we say, not as we do. Knocking out German and French competitors, will do very nicely, thank you.

We know for a fact that there are weapons there.

Ari Fleischer January 9, 2003

23 July 2014Last updated at 04:18

UK 'still exporting arms' to Russia, say MPs

Britain is exporting millions of pounds worth of arms to Russia despite fears it is arming the separatist rebels in Ukraine suspected of shooting down a Malaysia Airways plane, MPs have said.

A committee report said 251 licences for the sale of controlled goods worth at least £132m remained in force.

It comes after the PM criticised other EU countries' arms deals with Moscow, given its backing for the rebels.

The government has pledged to stop arms sales which could fuel the conflict.

Ministers say UK policy has not changed.

The cross-party Commons Committees on Arms Export Controls said only 31 UK licences had been halted or suspended.

Permits covering sniper rifles, night sights, small arms ammunition, gun mountings, body armour, military communications equipment and "equipment employing cryptography" remained in force, it said.
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Even in France deeds might not actually match up to words. But not the US spin parroted unchallenged by Bloomberg “that Russia provided the missile.” Didn’t the USA provide stingers in Afghanistan.

We know that Saddam Hussein is determined to keep his weapons of mass destruction, is determined to make more.

Colin Powell February 5, 2003

Hollande Threat to Cancel Russia Mistral Warship May Be Empty

Jul 22, 2014 11:01 PM GMT
French President Francois Hollande said he’s prepared to cancel the sale of the second Mistral warship to Russia. It may be too late for that, a person with knowledge of the contract said.

The construction of the helicopter carrier is nearly complete and it has been mostly paid for, said the person, declining to be identified because details of the contract aren’t public.

Hollande on July 21 held out the threat of a possible cancellation of the warship’s sale if the European Union decides to expand its sanctions against Moscow in light of evidence that Russia-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine shot down a Malaysian airliner last week, killing all 298 people on board. The warship is the second of the two vessels France agreed in 2011 to sell to Russia for about 1.2 billion euros ($1.6 billion). The first ship is due for delivery in October, the second in 2016.

“Can the rest of the contract be honored?” Hollande said. “That will depend on Russia’s attitude.”

Hollande argued that the sale of the first helicopter carrier needs to go through because it has been built and Russia has already paid for it.

And yet, the story is not that different for the second vessel. The 653-feet long assault ship named “Sevastopol,” after the harbor in Crimea, is at least 75 percent built, the person said. The hull, the structure and the landing platforms for helicopters are finished. Workers now are installing cables, beds, elevators and other equipment, the person said.

Hollande’s position was one of principle, an official in the president’s office said. France cannot anticipate the sanctions process and can’t say how it would deal with the breach of the contract, the official said, declining to be named as per government rules.

France came under intensified pressure from European and U.S. partners on the military contract as further sanctions against Russia are considered. President Vladimir Putin, already facing sanctions over Russia’s annexation of Crimea and its role in backing the rebels in Ukraine, is confronting worldwide scorn over the crash as evidence mounts that Russia provided the missile used to down the Malaysian Air jetliner on July 17.
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-22/hollande-threat-to-cancel-russia-mistral-warship-may-be-empty.html

But it’s an ill wind and all that for some. If America’s War Party doesn’t get its war, and somehow Russia and Belarus don’t get sliced and diced into Balkanised western puppet statelets, run from Washington by the “Maliki” of choice, there’s never been a cheaper time to invest in Russia, think some.

We know where they are. They are in the area around Tikrit and Baghdad.

Donald Rumsfeld March 30, 2003

Putin Under Pressure Has Hermes Bullish on Stocks

Jul 23, 2014 3:45 AM GMT
The Micex stock index sank to a two-month low after the downing of a civilian jet in Ukraine refocused attention on Russia’s involvement in the war there. To Hermes Fund Managers Ltd., sellers may be making a mistake.

International outrage over the tragedy will put so much pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin that he will probably push for an end to the conflict in eastern Ukraine, said Gary Greenberg, an emerging-markets money manager who helps manage about 26.9 billion pounds ($46 billion) at Hermes. He said he’s sticking to his overweight position on Russian stocks.

“Because Putin’s in a weaker position, he’s more likely to be accommodative and further de-escalate the military conflict, which should result in equity values going back up,” Greenberg said in an interview in London yesterday. “We remain slightly overweight on Russia.”
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And now Washington seems to be backing away from last week’s lies. The boy who cried wolf comes to mind.

We have sources that tell us that Saddam Hussein recently authorized Iraqi field commanders to use chemical weapons — the very weapons the dictator tells us he does not have.

George Bush February 8, 2003

U.S. Stops Short of Finding Russian Role in MH17 Crash

Jul 23, 2014 5:00 AM GMT
Almost a week after the downing of a Malaysian airliner in Ukraine, U.S. officials still can’t say they’re certain who did it and whether Russia was involved.

Three American intelligence officials who briefed reporters yesterday said U.S. technical intelligence and overhead satellite images bolster the case that a surface-to-air missile fired from territory held by pro-Russian rebels in eastern Ukraine shot down the civilian plane.

One of the officials described as solid the theory that a Russian-made SA-11 missile hit the plane and said it happened under conditions that Russia helped create. All three, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence findings, stopped short of claiming Russia played a direct role.

More than a decade after the U.S. went to war in Iraq based on false allegations that Saddam Hussein had stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons and ties to al-Qaeda, the intelligence agencies have reason to tread carefully in the airliner probe, according to Andrew Kuchins, director of the Russia and Eurasia program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
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Below, Reuters places its faith in some dodgy doctored transcripts released from Kiev.

Rebels likely downed Malaysian jet 'by mistake': U.S. officials

By Mark Hosenball WASHINGTON Tue Jul 22, 2014 8:19pm EDT
(Reuters) - The U.S. government believes that pro-Russian separatists most likely shot down a Malaysia Airlines jet "by mistake," not realizing it was a civilian passenger flight, U.S. intelligence officials said on Tuesday. The officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the "most plausible explanation" for the destruction of the plane was that the separatists fired a Russian-made SA-11 missile at it after mistaking it for another kind of aircraft.

"Five days into it (following the crash) it does appear to be a mistake," one of the officials said in a briefing for reporters.

The officials said that their assessments were backed up by evidence from social media and by intercepted conversations of known pro-Russian separatists, whose voice prints had been verified by U.S. agencies.

The speakers initially bragged about shooting down a transport plane, but later acknowledged that they might have made a mistake, the officials said. All 298 people aboard died.
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US State Department "Confident" MH17 "Mistakenly" Downed By Separatists, Finds No Direct Link To Russia

UPDATE: Having failed absymally with their earlier release of "information," US intelligence officials have tried to give more information... sadly this does not include any actual evidence, just statements and confirmation of YouTube clips...

Senior U.S. intelligence officials cited sensors that traced the path of the missile, shrapnel markings on the downed aircraft, voiceprint analysis of separatists claiming credit for the strike, and a flood of photos and other data from social media sites.

The officials also for the first time identified a sprawling Russian military installation near the city of Rostov as the main conduit of Russian support to separatists in Ukraine, describing it as a hub of training and weapons that has expanded dramatically over the past month. The officials said that tanks, rocket launchers and other arms have continued to flow into Ukraine

Senior U.S. intelligence officials said they have ruled out the possibility that Ukrainian forces were responsible for the attack.

“That is not a plausible scenario,” said one senior U.S. official, who noted that American intelligence agencies have confirmed that Ukraine had no anti-aircraft missile system within range of the Malaysian flight at the time it was struck.

The official was one of three senior U.S. intelligence officials who spoke on condition of anonymity during a briefing arranged for reporters in Washington

“We are seeing a full-court press by the Russian government to instruct affiliated or friendly elements to manipulate the media environment to spread Russia’s version of the story,” the official said. 
“What this looks like again is a classic case of blaming the victims.”

The officials also declined to provide more details on the satellites and other sophisticated sensors that enabled them to trace the path of the missile, citing concerns about compromising secret U.S. capabilities.

The U.S. officials said they have confirmed the authenticity of some of those recordings, including one in which the self-proclaimed defense minister of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Igor Strelkov, claimed responsibility for shooting down a military transport plane at the time the Malaysian aircraft was struck.

Analysis comparing that audio clip to other confirmed recordings of Strelkov’s voice “confirmed these were authentic conversations,” one of the officials said.

“If you listen to Youtube you get that: ‘we’re finding civilians,’” a senior U.S. intelligence official said. Partly for that reason, the official said, “the most plausible explanation to me is [it was] a mistake.”
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So once again no actual evidence... conjecture on 'unknown' recordings provided by Ukraine (ignoring for a moment the fact that the ones that have been released publicly have been proved false). Illustrations of a large Russian military base near the border of Ukraine... well is anyone surprised by that?

----So - to sum up - having told the world that they would release details surrounding intelligence about the MH17 disaster, US officials have pulled a "trust us" moment... blamed the "terrorists" and given themselves an out with Putin... all with absolutely no public proof whatsoever...
*  *  *
Which leaves us with one question - What happened between The White House and Putin (and perhaps Merkel) that ended with this lowering the tone of the debate?
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Iraq both poses a continuing threat to the national security of the United States and international peace and security in the Persian Gulf region and remains in material and unacceptable breach of its international obligations by, among other things, continuing to possess and develop a significant chemical and biological weapons capability, actively seeking a nuclear weapons capability, and supporting and harboring terrorist organizations.

Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, February 5, 2003

At the Comex silver depositories Tuesday final figures were: Registered 58.15 Moz, Eligible 118.41 Moz, Total 176.56 Moz.  

Crooks and Scoundrels Corner

The bent, the seriously bent, and the totally doubled over. 


Today, more on our new lawless age. Centuries of hard won freedoms overturned by the Great Nixonian Error of fiat currency and central planning. Serfs you were, and serfs of the one percent ye be again.

I am confident that we will find evidence that makes it clear he had weapons of mass destruction.

Colin Powell May 4, 2003

Have central banks been breaking the law?

Quantitative easing has had a reverse Robin Hood-type effect by robbing from the poor and giving to the rich

The best way to destroy the capitalist system, the Russian revolutionary leader Vladimir Lenin is reputed to have said, is to debauch the currency. The world’s major central banks have certainly been having a fair old go at it. In the six years since the financial crisis first broke, they’ve been printing money like there is no tomorrow.

Fortunately, they have not yet managed to bring down the free market system. On the other hand, they have succeeded in putting a rocket under asset prices and, in so doing, they have greatly exaggerated the wealth divide.

In a number of cases, including the US and the UK, they have also significantly assisted governments in financing burgeoning fiscal deficits. To the extent that quantitative easing (QE) has had any effect at all, it is asset prices and governments that have been the prime beneficiaries.

This might seem something of an old issue now; the Bank of England stopped buying assets more than two years ago, while the US Federal Reserve is “tapering” fast. For the US and Britain, the age of “unconventional monetary policy” seems to be largely over.

Elsewhere, however, QE remains very much a work in progress. In Japan it’s continuing at heroic pace, while on the Continent the European Central Bank is being urged by the International Monetary Fund to stop dilly-dallying in the face of deflationary pressures and get on with it.

Full marks, then, to Prof Andrew Johnstone and Trevor Pugh, of Sheffield Institute of Corporate and Commercial Law, for a new analysis, The Law and Economics of QE, which concludes that not only has QE been largely ineffectual but that it was also illegal.

Like common brigands, central banks have been acting outside the law – their only real excuse being the supposedly higher purpose of economic necessity, a sort of Robin Hood-type operation where the ends justify the means, only with a slight flaw; by driving up the value of financial assets and real estate, QE further skews the distribution of wealth towards those with already large holdings of it. It robs from the poor and gives to the rich. Not that there is any possibility of the courts judging QE in all its various forms to be against the law, the writers concede. In Europe, the European Court of Justice has admittedly been asked to rule on ECB bond buying, but will almost certainly deem it to be a necessary price for holding the eurozone together. 

Never mind the law, the single currency comes first.

The director and deputy director of the IMF’s Europe division said in a recent blog: “So long as the ECB buys sovereign bonds in pursuit of its mandate and in a way that has nothing to do with fiscal outcomes it can rebut the oft-heard charge that QE violates the prohibition against 'monetary financing of fiscal deficits'.” Thus does looking for ways around the law take precedence over its observation.
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Before people crow about the absence of weapons of mass destruction, I suggest they wait a bit.

Tony Blair 28 April, 2003

The monthly Coppock Indicators finished June

DJIA: +169 Down. NASDAQ: +332 Down. SP500: +241 Down.  The Fed’s final bubble still grows, but …..

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